ACHA College Club Hockey Rankings

Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 5, 2012. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.

Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Penn State,_______________________________ 23 3 1, 3.3, 9.7, 13.07, 13.15 2,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 5 3, 2.6, 9.4, 11.93, 11.85 3,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 24 4 1, 2.1, 9.6, 11.68, 12.67 4,Delaware,_________________________________ 27 3 1, 2.8, 8.7, 11.57, 12.00 5,Minot State,______________________________ 22 6 1, 2.8, 8.3, 11.12, 11.95 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 20 11 2, 1.4, 9.4, 10.79, 10.04 7,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 9 3, 1.5, 9.2, 10.66, 10.19 8,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 13 2, 1.0, 9.4, 10.40, 10.26 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 23 9 5, 1.6, 8.5, 10.14, 9.45 10,Adrian,___________________________________ 18 11 2, 2.0, 7.8, 9.75, 11.03 11,Davenport,________________________________ 19 16 0, 0.6, 9.1, 9.70, 9.68 12,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 20 7 3, 1.8, 7.9, 9.69, 9.88 13,Illinois,_________________________________ 13 13 1, 0.6, 8.9, 9.49, 10.37 14,Canton,___________________________________ 25 2 3, 3.9, 5.3, 9.25, 9.20 15,Oakland,__________________________________ 18 13 2, 0.9, 8.1, 9.06, 9.85 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 11 17 2, 0.4, 8.7, 9.05, 8.78 17,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 13 17 2, -0.1, 9.1, 8.96, 7.83 18,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 17 19 0, 0.4, 8.5, 8.86, 8.69 19,Stony Brook,______________________________ 13 12 2, 0.4, 8.4, 8.82, 8.01 20,West Chester,_____________________________ 19 10 0, 0.8, 7.6, 8.41, 8.62 21,West Virginia,____________________________ 18 14 1, 0.9, 7.4, 8.38, 9.66 22,Navy,_____________________________________ 21 7 3, 2.4, 5.2, 7.61, 7.58 23,Rutgers,__________________________________ 15 7 3, 1.4, 6.1, 7.50, 8.37 24,Drexel,___________________________________ 18 12 0, 0.8, 6.6, 7.42, 7.38 25,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 18 8 2, 1.6, 5.8, 7.41, 5.63 26,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 12 18 0, -1.2, 8.3, 7.11, 7.91 27,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 9 2, 1.5, 5.5, 7.04, 7.32 28,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 9 3, 1.0, 5.9, 6.89, 6.29 29,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 16 3, -1.2, 7.9, 6.66, 6.37 30,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 16 5 1, 2.1, 4.3, 6.35, 6.77 31,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 12 1, 0.5, 5.7, 6.19, 5.54 32,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 18 2, -1.7, 7.8, 6.14, 4.57 33,John Carroll,_____________________________ 19 12 1, 0.7, 5.3, 5.96, 4.83 34,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 22 0, -1.7, 7.6, 5.87, 6.83 35,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 11 14 2, -0.1, 5.9, 5.78, 5.76 36,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 7 24 2, -2.7, 8.2, 5.52, 7.33 37,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 12 2, -0.2, 5.7, 5.46, 4.71 38,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 11 5, -0.1, 5.3, 5.23, 5.41 39,Buffalo,__________________________________ 10 15 3, -0.4, 5.6, 5.20, 4.47 40,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 7 15 4, -1.6, 6.7, 5.05, 3.81 41,Duquesne,_________________________________ 10 15 1, -0.1, 5.1, 5.03, 5.57 42,Lehigh,___________________________________ 10 14 0, -0.8, 5.7, 4.93, 4.03 43,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 26 2, -3.0, 7.9, 4.91, 5.05 44,Cornell,__________________________________ 10 11 2, 0.0, 4.2, 4.22, 4.11 45,Youngstown State,_________________________ 6 19 1, -1.7, 5.7, 3.96, 4.28 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 15 16 1, 0.1, 3.9, 3.95, 3.38 47,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 12 2, -1.0, 4.9, 3.92, 4.15 48,Scranton,_________________________________ 8 13 2, -1.4, 5.2, 3.79, 4.03 49,Villanova,________________________________ 8 23 0, -2.0, 5.7, 3.71, 3.68 50,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 13 1, -0.4, 3.9, 3.54, 3.54 51,Towson,___________________________________ 5 22 0, -3.1, 6.5, 3.41, 1.75 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 11 1, -1.1, 4.1, 3.08, 2.65 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 21 2, -2.3, 4.8, 2.55, 3.00 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 9 13 2, -2.0, 4.2, 2.20, 0.87 55,Binghamton,_______________________________ 0 17 2, -3.5, 4.7, 1.15, 0.31 56,Rochester,________________________________ 2 16 0, -3.6, 4.6, 0.99, 3.52 57,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 23 0, -5.6, 6.4, 0.77, 2.53 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Penn State,_______________________________ 23 3 1, 0.7, 7.6, 8.33, 8.70 2,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 24 4 1, 0.7, 7.6, 8.29, 8.52 3,Delaware,_________________________________ 27 3 1, 0.8, 7.4, 8.16, 8.18 4,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 5 3, 0.6, 7.5, 8.11, 7.95 5,Minot State,______________________________ 22 6 1, 0.6, 7.4, 7.96, 8.32 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 20 11 2, 0.3, 7.6, 7.86, 7.38 7,Liberty,__________________________________ 20 9 3, 0.3, 7.5, 7.84, 7.91 8,Iowa State,_______________________________ 23 9 5, 0.4, 7.4, 7.79, 7.68 9,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 13 2, 0.2, 7.6, 7.76, 7.54 10,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 20 7 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.66, 7.73 11,Davenport,________________________________ 19 16 0, 0.1, 7.4, 7.51, 7.46 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 13 13 1, 0.0, 7.5, 7.51, 7.62 13,West Chester,_____________________________ 19 10 0, 0.3, 7.2, 7.46, 7.62 14,Stony Brook,______________________________ 13 12 2, 0.0, 7.3, 7.38, 7.56 15,Adrian,___________________________________ 18 11 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.82 16,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 13 17 2, -0.1, 7.5, 7.37, 7.06 17,Oakland,__________________________________ 18 13 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.36, 7.27 18,Canton,___________________________________ 25 2 3, 0.8, 6.6, 7.35, 7.25 19,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 17 19 0, -0.1, 7.4, 7.30, 7.05 20,West Virginia,____________________________ 18 14 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 7.70 21,Arizona,__________________________________ 11 17 2, -0.2, 7.4, 7.21, 6.99 22,Drexel,___________________________________ 18 12 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.15, 7.23 23,Rutgers,__________________________________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 6.8, 7.13, 7.10 24,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 18 8 2, 0.4, 6.7, 7.10, 6.59 25,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 18 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.08, 6.69 26,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 12 18 0, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 7.15 27,Navy,_____________________________________ 21 7 3, 0.5, 6.6, 7.01, 6.99 28,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 16 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.98, 6.80 29,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 9 3, 0.3, 6.7, 6.96, 7.17 30,North Dakota State,_______________________ 12 12 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.55 31,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 16 5 1, 0.5, 6.4, 6.89, 7.12 32,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 22 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.86, 6.84 33,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 9 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.86, 7.04 34,John Carroll,_____________________________ 19 12 1, 0.2, 6.6, 6.81, 6.95 35,Syracuse,_________________________________ 13 11 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.34 36,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 11 14 2, -0.1, 6.8, 6.66, 6.41 37,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 7 24 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.65, 7.20 38,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 7 15 4, -0.3, 6.9, 6.60, 6.03 39,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 9 12 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.57, 6.32 40,Lehigh,___________________________________ 10 14 0, -0.2, 6.7, 6.53, 6.58 41,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 26 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.51, 6.63 42,Buffalo,__________________________________ 10 15 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.48, 6.26 43,Duquesne,_________________________________ 10 15 1, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.95 44,Scranton,_________________________________ 8 13 2, -0.2, 6.6, 6.36, 6.45 45,Cornell,__________________________________ 10 11 2, -0.0, 6.4, 6.35, 6.46 46,Ithaca,___________________________________ 9 13 2, -0.2, 6.4, 6.27, 5.79 47,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 13 1, -0.1, 6.3, 6.25, 6.07 48,Villanova,________________________________ 8 23 0, -0.5, 6.7, 6.23, 5.94 49,Canisius,_________________________________ 15 16 1, -0.0, 6.3, 6.22, 6.14 50,Towson,___________________________________ 5 22 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.22, 5.86 51,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 8 11 1, -0.1, 6.4, 6.21, 6.42 52,Youngstown State,_________________________ 6 19 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.20, 6.14 53,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 12 2, -0.4, 6.6, 6.19, 6.52 54,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 21 2, -0.6, 6.5, 5.87, 6.00 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 23 0, -1.0, 6.8, 5.82, 5.67 56,Rochester,________________________________ 2 16 0, -0.8, 6.4, 5.64, 6.14 57,Binghamton,_______________________________ 0 17 2, -0.9, 6.5, 5.63, 5.40 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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