Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 8, 2015. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 31 3 1, 2.8, 9.1, 11.90, 12.76 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 27 5 1, 2.2, 9.0, 11.14, 10.54 3,Minot State,______________________________ 26 8 1, 2.2, 8.6, 10.83, 11.27 4,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 13 4, 0.3, 10.5, 10.76, 10.88 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 24 9 1, 2.1, 8.6, 10.75, 9.18 6,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 25 4 4, 2.4, 8.2, 10.67, 11.78 7,Adrian,___________________________________ 26 4 1, 2.4, 8.0, 10.43, 11.31 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 26 5 0, 2.5, 7.9, 10.40, 11.44 9,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 9 3, 1.0, 9.4, 10.36, 10.05 10,Iowa State,_______________________________ 14 15 4, 0.6, 9.7, 10.31, 10.19 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 18 11 4, 1.2, 8.7, 9.87, 9.85 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 17 15 3, 0.5, 9.3, 9.80, 10.58 13,Davenport,________________________________ 19 11 5, 1.1, 8.3, 9.44, 10.73 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 28 7 2, 1.7, 7.1, 8.76, 8.52 15,Colorado,_________________________________ 12 16 0, 0.2, 8.3, 8.53, 9.18 16,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 18 3, 0.3, 8.0, 8.31, 4.82 17,Niagara,__________________________________ 17 7 0, 2.1, 6.1, 8.28, 8.22 18,Delaware,_________________________________ 11 13 3, 0.2, 8.0, 8.19, 7.44 19,Colorado State,___________________________ 16 18 1, -0.2, 8.3, 8.15, 9.28 20,Oakland,__________________________________ 15 18 3, 0.2, 7.9, 8.07, 8.00 21,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 6 1, 2.0, 6.0, 8.04, 6.63 22,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 9 1, 1.9, 5.9, 7.88, 8.07 23,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 23 2, -1.2, 9.0, 7.79, 5.73 24,Rochester College,________________________ 11 17 6, -0.4, 7.7, 7.32, 6.21 25,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 15 9 4, 0.9, 6.4, 7.29, 9.98 26,Navy,_____________________________________ 14 10 3, 0.9, 6.3, 7.19, 7.15 27,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 16 2, -0.3, 7.4, 7.08, 9.80 28,Western Michigan,_________________________ 13 19 6, -0.4, 7.4, 7.03, 7.04 29,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 20 12 4, 0.6, 6.3, 6.93, 7.12 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 13 1, 0.8, 5.8, 6.59, 6.08 31,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 15 6 5, 0.7, 5.9, 6.59, 5.79 32,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 13 2, 0.0, 6.5, 6.56, 5.58 33,Villanova,________________________________ 19 8 0, 1.5, 4.5, 5.99, 5.80 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 11 13 5, -0.3, 6.0, 5.66, 5.43 35,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 25 1, -2.1, 7.8, 5.64, 4.60 36,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 16 2, 0.5, 5.1, 5.63, 6.05 37,John Carroll,_____________________________ 13 18 2, -0.7, 6.3, 5.55, 5.10 38,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 9 1, 0.7, 4.8, 5.51, 5.82 39,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 20 0, -2.8, 8.2, 5.43, 3.43 40,Towson,___________________________________ 12 10 2, 0.5, 4.9, 5.39, 6.36 41,Duquesne,_________________________________ 6 13 5, -0.7, 6.0, 5.23, 6.17 42,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 23 1, -2.0, 7.0, 5.08, 6.57 43,West Chester,_____________________________ 5 22 2, -2.7, 7.6, 4.92, 4.76 44,Midland,__________________________________ 8 24 1, -2.5, 7.2, 4.74, 5.47 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 19 2, -1.7, 5.7, 4.07, 4.28 46,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 17 1, -0.2, 4.2, 4.02, 3.24 47,Cortland State,___________________________ 12 7 0, 0.9, 2.8, 3.71, 3.76 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 9 14 0, -1.4, 4.8, 3.41, 3.67 49,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 7 20 1, -2.0, 4.4, 2.39, 2.86 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 8 19 0, -1.8, 4.1, 2.27, 3.44 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.6, 2.8, 2.22, 0.98 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 14 0, -3.6, 3.6, -0.05, -0.74 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 4 18 0, -3.5, 3.4, -0.11, 0.24 54,Binghamton,_______________________________ 5 14 0, -3.3, 3.1, -0.22, -1.24 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 31 3 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.27, 8.17 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 27 5 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.10, 7.96 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 26 5 0, 0.7, 7.2, 7.89, 8.12 4,Minot State,______________________________ 26 8 1, 0.5, 7.4, 7.89, 7.98 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 9 3, 0.3, 7.5, 7.88, 7.77 6,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 25 4 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.82, 8.42 7,Adrian,___________________________________ 26 4 1, 0.7, 7.1, 7.78, 7.86 8,Ohio,_____________________________________ 24 9 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.76, 7.17 9,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.8, 7.70, 7.82 10,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 28 7 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.61, 7.17 11,Iowa State,_______________________________ 14 15 4, -0.0, 7.6, 7.54, 7.67 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 17 15 3, 0.1, 7.5, 7.53, 7.80 13,Liberty,__________________________________ 18 11 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.47, 7.42 14,Buffalo,__________________________________ 24 6 1, 0.6, 6.8, 7.39, 7.28 15,Davenport,________________________________ 19 11 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.39, 7.58 16,Niagara,__________________________________ 17 7 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.28, 7.26 17,Colorado State,___________________________ 16 18 1, -0.1, 7.3, 7.25, 7.37 18,Colorado,_________________________________ 12 16 0, -0.1, 7.4, 7.24, 7.59 19,Syracuse,_________________________________ 20 9 1, 0.4, 6.8, 7.21, 6.99 20,Delaware,_________________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.19, 6.95 21,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 15 9 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.11, 7.75 22,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 15 6 5, 0.3, 6.7, 7.08, 6.93 23,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 18 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 6.13 24,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 20 12 4, 0.2, 6.8, 7.07, 7.22 25,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 23 2, -0.4, 7.5, 7.05, 6.66 26,Navy,_____________________________________ 14 10 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 7.30 27,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 13 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.98, 6.72 28,Oakland,__________________________________ 15 18 3, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.84 29,Villanova,________________________________ 19 8 0, 0.4, 6.6, 6.94, 7.07 30,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 16 2, -0.0, 7.0, 6.94, 7.58 31,Rochester College,________________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.79 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 13 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.84, 6.55 33,Western Michigan,_________________________ 13 19 6, -0.2, 6.9, 6.76, 7.21 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 11 13 5, -0.1, 6.8, 6.73, 6.64 35,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 9 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.68, 6.71 36,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 20 0, -0.7, 7.3, 6.67, 6.53 37,Towson,___________________________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 6.5, 6.62, 6.79 38,Midland,__________________________________ 8 24 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.61, 7.12 39,John Carroll,_____________________________ 13 18 2, -0.2, 6.8, 6.61, 6.46 40,West Chester,_____________________________ 5 22 2, -0.6, 7.2, 6.61, 6.57 41,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 16 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.63 42,Duquesne,_________________________________ 6 13 5, -0.3, 6.8, 6.54, 6.87 43,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 25 1, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 6.46 44,Cortland State,___________________________ 12 7 0, 0.3, 6.2, 6.45, 6.65 45,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 23 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.43, 6.56 46,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 19 2, -0.4, 6.8, 6.38, 6.17 47,Lehigh,___________________________________ 9 14 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.37, 6.46 48,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 17 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.21, 5.98 49,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 8 19 0, -0.4, 6.5, 6.10, 6.03 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.2, 6.2, 6.00, 5.84 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 7 20 1, -0.5, 6.4, 5.98, 6.15 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 5 14 0, -0.4, 6.2, 5.76, 5.50 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 14 0, -0.6, 6.3, 5.66, 5.72 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 4 18 0, -0.7, 6.3, 5.61, 5.51 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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