Connecticut High School Hockey Rankings

Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the Connecticut HS Scores page (sorted first by team name and then by date) Please send CT scores to Joe Katz for consolidation. Thanks Joe!   The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning  in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared  from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state). The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate. Only teams with at least 3 games against CT teams are listed in the ratings. Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  ME  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W  RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . Receive email when this page changes Here is your chance to Rate the Rankings. Quick and easy EZBoard registration is required, if not already registered.

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2005-2006 New England Rankings - Over 360 teams. March 9, 2006 - 2005-2006 National High School Hockey Rankings released (over 1650 teams ranked). All rankings dated after 12/23/06 do not consider games between teams ranked more than 4 goals apart. Previous Rankings

February 19, 2007

RANK TEAM W L T GAMES GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Fairfield Prep,CT,__________________ 13 1 2, 16 1.8, 10.2, 11.98, 12.19 2,Notre Dame-Fairfield,CT,____________ 14 2 1, 15 1.9, 10.0, 11.90, 12.34 3,Notre Dame-West Haven,CT,___________ 13 4 0, 17 1.9, 9.9, 11.83, 11.55 4,Darien,CT,__________________________ 17 1 1, 15 2.4, 9.1, 11.47, 11.95 5,Tri-Town,CT,________________________ 16 1 0, 11 2.4, 8.7, 11.11, 11.80 6,Glastonbury,CT,_____________________ 10 5 0, 13 1.5, 9.4, 10.91, 9.64 7,South Windsor,CT,___________________ 16 2 0, 14 2.1, 8.4, 10.58, 10.06 8,Hamden,CT,__________________________ 9 5 3, 17 0.6, 9.7, 10.36, 9.48 9,Simsbury,CT,________________________ 10 5 1, 13 0.9, 9.4, 10.34, 10.63 10,Ridgefield,CT,______________________ 14 3 0, 15 1.9, 8.2, 10.18, 10.31 11,North Haven,CT,_____________________ 8 8 0, 16 0.5, 9.3, 9.85, 10.66 12,Conard,CT,__________________________ 15 3 0, 16 1.1, 8.5, 9.64, 9.25 13,West Haven,CT,______________________ 7 8 3, 17 -0.5, 9.9, 9.40, 9.62 14,Stamford,CT,________________________ 12 5 1, 16 0.9, 8.3, 9.28, 9.02 15,East Haven,CT,______________________ 8 9 1, 18 0.4, 8.9, 9.26, 9.48 16,Immaculate,CT,______________________ 7 8 1, 15 -0.4, 9.2, 8.78, 8.93 17,Westhill,CT,________________________ 11 6 1, 17 1.1, 7.6, 8.68, 8.48 18,Avon-St Paul,CT,____________________ 15 3 0, 15 1.7, 7.0, 8.65, 8.62 19,Daniel Hand,CT,_____________________ 10 6 0, 14 0.1, 8.4, 8.59, 9.01 20,Fermi,CT,___________________________ 11 5 1, 16 1.1, 7.4, 8.46, 9.64 21,Amity,CT,___________________________ 14 3 0, 13 1.3, 7.1, 8.42, 7.17 22,Xavier,CT,__________________________ 3 13 1, 17 -1.2, 9.5, 8.34, 7.66 23,New Canaan,CT,______________________ 7 11 1, 18 -1.0, 9.2, 8.21, 8.04 24,Lyman Hall,CT,______________________ 4 12 0, 16 -1.1, 9.3, 8.20, 8.70 25,Greenwich,CT,_______________________ 9 8 2, 19 -0.1, 7.8, 7.66, 7.14 26,Cheshire,CT,________________________ 11 5 1, 16 1.1, 6.5, 7.58, 7.07 27,North Branford,CT,__________________ 9 8 0, 17 0.6, 6.8, 7.49, 8.22 28,Farmington,CT,______________________ 10 7 1, 17 0.5, 6.9, 7.43, 6.85 29,Fairfield Warde/Ludlowe,CT,_________ 8 10 0, 18 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 7.35 30,Trumbull,CT,________________________ 11 7 0, 18 0.1, 7.3, 7.39, 7.29 31,East Catholic,CT,___________________ 12 4 1, 16 1.2, 6.2, 7.34, 6.67 32,Sheehan,CT,_________________________ 13 3 1, 16 2.1, 5.3, 7.32, 7.35 33,Wethersfield,CT,____________________ 6 9 0, 15 -0.3, 7.3, 6.92, 6.75 34,Manchester,CT,______________________ 14 5 0, 17 1.4, 5.4, 6.84, 6.11 35,New Milford,CT,_____________________ 13 7 1, 19 1.2, 5.5, 6.65, 5.73 36,St Bernard-Old Lyme-Bacon,CT,_______ 8 8 1, 15 -0.4, 6.5, 6.09, 6.15 37,Housatonic Regional,CT,_____________ 9 7 1, 17 0.4, 5.6, 6.02, 6.06 38,Norwalk-McMahon,CT,_________________ 6 11 2, 19 -0.3, 6.3, 6.01, 6.19 39,Newington,CT,_______________________ 5 12 0, 17 -1.1, 7.1, 5.99, 6.28 40,Staples-Weston,CT,__________________ 9 8 1, 17 0.0, 5.9, 5.93, 5.49 41,Branford,CT,________________________ 9 8 0, 17 0.4, 5.5, 5.92, 6.25 42,Suffield-Granby-Windsor Locks,CT,___ 8 11 0, 17 -0.5, 5.9, 5.42, 6.15 43,Trinity Catholic,CT,________________ 6 11 0, 16 -1.0, 6.3, 5.34, 5.65 44,Wilton,CT,__________________________ 3 16 1, 17 -1.4, 6.6, 5.29, 4.25 45,Newtown,CT,_________________________ 11 5 1, 15 0.6, 4.7, 5.27, 4.94 46,Hall,CT,____________________________ 11 6 0, 15 0.9, 4.4, 5.25, 7.42 47,Enfield,CT,_________________________ 4 13 0, 15 -1.5, 6.7, 5.20, 5.20 48,Bolton-Coventry-Lyman Memorial,CT,__ 11 5 1, 15 0.7, 4.3, 4.96, 5.30 49,Southington,CT,_____________________ 8 9 0, 15 -0.2, 5.0, 4.85, 4.67 50,New Fairfield,CT,___________________ 8 7 1, 16 -0.2, 4.9, 4.72, 5.12 51,Watertown-Pomperaug,CT,_____________ 5 12 0, 17 -1.4, 5.9, 4.53, 4.90 52,EO Smith-Tolland-Windham,CT,________ 6 12 0, 17 -0.9, 5.4, 4.44, 6.02 53,Rocky Hill,CT,______________________ 6 11 0, 17 -0.9, 5.1, 4.15, 4.46 54,Guilford,CT,________________________ 7 8 0, 15 -0.3, 4.1, 3.78, 3.71 55,Milford Coop,CT,____________________ 5 13 0, 15 -1.3, 4.9, 3.66, 3.57 56,Northwest Catholic,CT,______________ 2 16 0, 16 -2.2, 5.8, 3.58, 3.08 57,Windsor,CT,_________________________ 3 12 0, 12 -1.0, 4.5, 3.52, 3.72 58,Joel Barlow,CT,_____________________ 6 9 1, 16 -0.6, 4.1, 3.51, 4.51 59,Rockville,CT,_______________________ 4 15 0, 16 -1.9, 5.3, 3.37, 3.42 60,Norwich Free Academy,CT,____________ 6 10 0, 16 -0.9, 4.2, 3.30, 3.28 61,Bethel-Brookfield,CT,_______________ 4 15 0, 17 -1.2, 4.4, 3.16, 3.40 62,St Joseph,CT,_______________________ 2 17 0, 13 -3.0, 5.8, 2.75, 3.08 63,Masuk,CT,___________________________ 4 12 0, 16 -1.2, 3.7, 2.43, 1.55 64,Shelton-Wilbur Cross,CT,____________ 4 14 0, 15 -1.7, 3.5, 1.76, 2.77 65,Shepaug-Litchfield-Wamogo,CT,_______ 0 18 0, 12 -3.2, 4.6, 1.46, 1.87 66,Fitch-East Lyme-Ledyard,CT,_________ 0 17 0, 9 -4.0, 3.4, -0.62
Since some "mismatch" games are not used in determining the rankings, the Sched column can be somewhat misleading as it only reflects the average opponent strength of only the opponents ranked within 4 goals of each team. The GAMES Column indicates how many games each team's rating is based upon (i.e. how many of their games were against teams rated within 4 goals of themselves).
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