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2002-03 Connecticut Ratings

(Scores through 3/15/03)

  Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score  is listed on the 2002-2003 Connecticut HS Scores page.   Please send missing (through the listed date) CT scores to David Ernst for consolidation. Thanks David!   The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning  in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared  from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate.    * indicates teams with only two game scores used to calculate rating.  Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  OH  PA-E  PA-W1A  PA-W2A  PA-W3A  RI  VT  WI  wWI  USA  Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. High School Hockey Forums More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . Receive email when this page changes RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Fairfield Prep,CT,_________________ 16 7 0, 1.0, 9.0, 9.92, 10.34 2,Notre Dame-West Haven,CT,__________ 16 5 0, 1.6, 8.2, 9.78, 8.58 3,Hamden,CT,_________________________ 15 7 2, 1.2, 7.8, 9.02, 9.59 4,Simsbury,CT,_______________________ 21 2 0, 2.5, 6.4, 8.83, 9.04 5,West Haven,CT,_____________________ 14 6 1, 1.0, 7.6, 8.61, 8.66 6,Stamford,CT,_______________________ 20 4 0, 2.7, 5.7, 8.46, 9.89 7,Newington,CT,______________________ 18 5 1, 2.2, 6.3, 8.43, 7.49 8,Notre Dame-Fairfield,CT,___________ 12 10 0, 0.9, 7.2, 8.04, 7.00 9,Fermi,CT,__________________________ 15 6 0, 2.0, 6.0, 7.94, 8.61 10,New Canaan,CT,_____________________ 15 7 1, 1.3, 6.2, 7.54, 7.52 11,Immaculate,CT,_____________________ 15 7 0, 1.2, 6.3, 7.52, 7.38 12,Darien,CT,_________________________ 14 9 0, 1.0, 6.5, 7.42, 8.04 13,East Haven,CT,_____________________ 11 10 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.36, 7.98 14,Suffield,CT,_______________________ 17 8 0, 0.8, 6.1, 6.97, 8.25 15,Glastonbury,CT,____________________ 19 6 0, 1.8, 5.0, 6.80, 7.97 16,Greenwich,CT,______________________ 11 10 0, 0.3, 6.4, 6.75, 6.20 17,Farmington,CT,_____________________ 16 6 1, 1.0, 5.6, 6.57, 5.29 18,Ridgefield,CT,_____________________ 13 10 0, 0.8, 5.7, 6.54, 6.16 19,Xavier,CT,_________________________ 17 5 0, 1.6, 4.6, 6.22, 6.73 20,Bethel,CT,_________________________ 17 6 0, 1.7, 4.4, 6.05, 6.64 21,North Branford,CT,_________________ 13 9 0, 1.0, 5.0, 6.03, 4.52 22,Lyman Hall,CT,_____________________ 11 11 0, -0.5, 6.5, 6.02, 6.02 23,East Catholic,CT,__________________ 15 7 1, 1.0, 5.1, 6.01, 5.93 24,North Haven,CT,____________________ 13 8 0, 0.6, 5.4, 5.99, 4.95 25,Branford,CT,_______________________ 11 9 0, 0.6, 5.3, 5.94, 6.48 26,Shepaug,CT,________________________ 17 7 0, 1.0, 5.0, 5.94, 7.01 27,Wethersfield,CT,___________________ 12 10 0, 0.2, 5.7, 5.87, 4.82 28,Rocky Hill,CT,_____________________ 14 7 1, 1.4, 4.3, 5.69, 6.31 29,Enfield,CT,________________________ 10 12 0, -0.5, 6.1, 5.67, 6.05 30,Amity,CT,__________________________ 15 7 0, 1.1, 4.5, 5.64, 5.66 31,Rockville,CT,______________________ 12 8 1, 0.7, 4.9, 5.61, 6.12 32,Avon/St Paul,CT,___________________ 10 11 0, -0.2, 5.7, 5.47, 5.19 33,Cheshire,CT,_______________________ 7 13 0, -1.2, 6.6, 5.35, 6.17 34,Trumbull,CT,_______________________ 14 8 1, 0.7, 4.6, 5.28, 4.82 35,Guilford,CT,_______________________ 5 14 0, -1.9, 6.9, 4.99, 5.15 36,Milford,CT,________________________ 8 13 0, -0.7, 5.6, 4.93, 4.68 37,EO Smith,CT,_______________________ 7 12 1, -1.1, 6.0, 4.80, 4.92 38,Watertown,CT,______________________ 12 8 0, 0.8, 3.9, 4.66, 4.54 39,St Bernard,CT,_____________________ 5 15 0, -1.1, 5.8, 4.61, 6.03 40,Wilton,CT,_________________________ 8 11 1, -0.9, 5.5, 4.61, 4.35 41,Westhill,CT,_______________________ 9 13 1, -0.2, 4.8, 4.59, 5.89 42,Trinity Catholic,CT,_______________ 5 15 2, -1.0, 5.4, 4.34, 4.41 43,Masuk,CT,__________________________ 14 9 0, 0.6, 3.7, 4.26, 3.99 44,Conard,CT,_________________________ 4 13 0, -2.2, 6.4, 4.20, 5.78 45,New Milford,CT,____________________ 9 12 0, -0.4, 4.4, 4.07, 2.79 46,Newtown,CT,________________________ 10 11 1, -0.0, 3.9, 3.82, 3.45 47,South Windsor,CT,__________________ 3 17 0, -2.0, 5.8, 3.82, 3.68 48,Staples,CT,________________________ 7 12 1, -0.9, 4.7, 3.79, 4.83 49,New Fairfield,CT,__________________ 6 12 1, -0.4, 4.0, 3.67, 2.38 50,Sheehan,CT,________________________ 5 15 0, -1.7, 5.3, 3.58, 2.24 51,Hall,CT,___________________________ 7 13 0, -0.9, 4.5, 3.56, 2.64 52,Manchester,CT,_____________________ 5 13 0, -1.4, 5.0, 3.54, 3.43 53,Tri-Town,CT,_______________________ 6 13 1, -1.2, 4.7, 3.47, 3.28 54,NFA,CT,____________________________ 8 10 0, -0.9, 3.8, 2.89, 2.93 55,Northwest Catholic,CT,_____________ 3 17 0, -2.2, 5.0, 2.80, 1.80 56,Hand,CT,___________________________ 1 15 0, -2.5, 5.1, 2.58, 2.16 57,Windsor,CT,________________________ 3 14 0, -2.4, 4.5, 2.05, 2.18 58,Fairfield,CT,______________________ 4 17 0, -2.8, 4.6, 1.81, 1.47 59,Norwalk/McMahon,CT,________________ 2 19 0, -2.9, 4.6, 1.70, 2.11 60,Housatonic,CT,_____________________ 1 18 0, -3.0, 4.7, 1.69, 2.35 61,East Lyme,CT,______________________ 0 16 0, -3.5, 4.3, 0.75, 0.23 62,Barlow,CT,_________________________ 0 20 0, -3.5, 4.1, 0.66, 0.55

last updated 3-25-03