2004-05 Connecticut High School Hockey Rankings

(Scores through 3/12/05)

Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the 2004-2005 Connecticut HS Scores page (sorted first by team name and then by date) Please send 2005-2006 CT scores to Joe Katz for consolidation. Thanks Joe!   The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning  in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared  from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state). The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate. Only teams with at least 3 games against CT teams are listed in the ratings. As of 1/8/05 games between teams that are ranked more than 5 goals apart are not used in calculating either team's ranking. Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  ME  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W  RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . Receive email when this page changes Here is your chance to Rate the Rankings. Quick and easy EZBoard registration is required, if not already registered.

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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Fairfield Prep,CT,__________________ 20 3 1, 2.1, 10.3, 12.41, 12.94 2,Hamden,CT,__________________________ 12 6 4, 0.9, 9.8, 10.67, 11.57 3,Simsbury,CT,________________________ 20 2 0, 2.3, 8.3, 10.60, 10.38 4,Notre Dame-West Haven,CT,___________ 15 9 0, 0.8, 9.7, 10.54, 10.67 5,West Haven,CT,______________________ 9 10 1, 0.6, 9.5, 10.07, 10.27 6,New Canaan,CT,______________________ 20 6 0, 1.4, 8.5, 9.88, 11.74 7,Notre Dame-Fairfield,CT,____________ 15 9 1, 0.3, 9.5, 9.78, 9.92 8,Lyman Hall,CT,______________________ 14 6 0, 1.1, 8.6, 9.69, 8.94 9,Fermi,CT,___________________________ 20 3 0, 1.9, 7.5, 9.40, 9.35 10,Darien,CT,__________________________ 16 5 1, 1.1, 8.1, 9.16, 7.99 11,Farmington,CT,______________________ 21 4 0, 2.0, 7.1, 9.05, 10.52 12,Immaculate,CT,______________________ 10 10 0, 0.1, 8.3, 8.41, 7.97 13,East Haven,CT,______________________ 11 9 2, -0.1, 8.2, 8.10, 7.54 14,Wethersfield,CT,____________________ 14 9 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.03, 7.91 15,Westhill,CT,________________________ 14 7 0, 0.6, 7.4, 7.94, 7.47 16,Ridgefield,CT,______________________ 12 10 0, 0.5, 7.4, 7.92, 8.50 17,North Branford,CT,__________________ 18 6 0, 1.3, 6.5, 7.85, 6.78 18,Enfield,CT,_________________________ 15 6 0, 0.9, 6.8, 7.77, 7.60 19,Trumbull,CT,________________________ 15 10 0, 0.6, 6.9, 7.47, 7.86 20,Wilton,CT,__________________________ 14 10 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.43, 7.98 21,Xavier,CT,__________________________ 16 7 0, 1.1, 6.2, 7.33, 7.67 22,East Catholic,CT,___________________ 11 9 0, 0.8, 6.2, 7.10, 6.56 23,Daniel Hand,CT,_____________________ 10 10 1, 0.3, 6.8, 7.08, 6.58 24,Greenwich,CT,_______________________ 9 13 1, -0.7, 7.8, 7.06, 8.76 25,Branford,CT,________________________ 13 5 3, 1.2, 5.8, 6.97, 7.20 26,Newington,CT,_______________________ 8 10 2, -0.5, 7.4, 6.88, 6.53 27,South Windsor,CT,___________________ 14 8 0, 0.5, 6.4, 6.82, 5.32 28,Glastonbury,CT,_____________________ 9 11 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.75, 7.01 29,Rockville,CT,_______________________ 11 8 3, 0.4, 6.1, 6.53, 6.76 30,North Haven,CT,_____________________ 8 9 3, -0.7, 7.1, 6.46, 5.31 31,Stamford,CT,________________________ 5 15 0, -1.2, 7.3, 6.10, 4.96 32,Conard,CT,__________________________ 7 13 0, -0.2, 6.2, 5.96, 7.33 33,Tri-Town,CT,________________________ 10 10 0, 0.7, 5.3, 5.95, 7.10 34,St Bernard,CT,______________________ 10 9 0, -0.4, 6.2, 5.86, 6.01 35,Avon-St Paul,CT,____________________ 11 11 1, 0.1, 5.7, 5.80, 5.95 36,Trinity Catholic,CT,________________ 8 10 1, -0.4, 6.1, 5.76, 4.25 37,Fairfield Warde/Ludlowe,CT,_________ 10 10 0, -0.1, 5.5, 5.39, 4.29 38,Watertown-Pomperaug,CT,_____________ 13 6 1, 0.6, 4.8, 5.34, 5.37 39,Cheshire,CT,________________________ 4 14 1, -0.7, 6.0, 5.32, 4.65 40,New Milford,CT,_____________________ 14 8 1, 0.5, 4.7, 5.18, 4.79 41,Manchester,CT,______________________ 9 11 0, -0.1, 5.2, 5.14, 6.04 42,Sheehan,CT,_________________________ 11 8 2, 0.5, 4.4, 4.96, 4.10 43,Shepaug-Litchfield-Wamogo,CT,_______ 7 13 0, -0.6, 5.2, 4.58, 4.42 44,Norwalk-McMahon,CT,_________________ 8 10 1, -0.1, 4.6, 4.57, 5.27 45,Rocky Hill,CT,______________________ 11 10 0, 0.2, 4.3, 4.50, 4.08 46,Amity,CT,___________________________ 7 12 1, -0.7, 5.1, 4.41, 4.72 47,Northwest Catholic,CT,______________ 7 11 0, -0.8, 5.2, 4.37, 4.88 48,Milford Coop,CT,____________________ 11 10 1, -0.3, 4.3, 4.08, 6.22 49,EO Smith-Tolland-Windham,CT,________ 4 16 0, -1.9, 5.6, 3.69, 4.07 50,Windsor,CT,_________________________ 8 11 0, -0.5, 4.1, 3.63, 3.37 51,Suffield-Granby-Windsor Locks,CT,___ 1 15 1, -2.5, 6.0, 3.50, 3.21 52,Staples-Weston,CT,__________________ 2 16 0, -2.0, 5.4, 3.38, 2.96 53,Guilford,CT,________________________ 2 17 0, -2.6, 5.8, 3.20, 2.32 54,Bethel-Brookfield,CT,_______________ 9 9 2, -0.3, 3.5, 3.14, 4.32 55,Newtown,CT,_________________________ 7 13 0, -0.7, 3.5, 2.81, 2.39 56,Hall,CT,____________________________ 4 16 0, -1.8, 4.5, 2.66, 2.86 57,Fitch,CT,___________________________ 6 11 0, -0.8, 3.3, 2.54, 3.93 58,Housatonic Regional,CT,_____________ 3 15 1, -1.8, 4.1, 2.32, 2.19 59,New Fairfield,CT,___________________ 5 14 2, -1.5, 3.7, 2.16, 1.91 60,Shelton-Wilbur Cross,CT,____________ 5 12 1, -1.3, 3.4, 2.07, 2.71 61,Masuk,CT,___________________________ 7 12 1, -0.3, 2.3, 2.00, 1.24 62,Bolton-Coventry-Lyman Memorial,CT,__ 5 13 0, -1.4, 3.2, 1.82, 1.72 63,Joel Barlow,CT,_____________________ 0 19 0, -2.4, 2.8, 0.49, 0.58 64,Norwich Free Academy,CT,____________ 0 16 1, -2.8, 2.8, 0.01, -0.82

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