Men's NCAA Division 1 College Hockey Rankings

Scores (sorted by team) through January 29, 2012 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings  New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Michigan,__________________________ 15 9 4, 0.9, 7.6, 8.53, 9.09 2,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 17 5 4, 1.3, 7.2, 8.51, 5.51 3,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 9 1, 1.3, 7.2, 8.48, 9.00 4,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 16 7 0, 1.1, 7.2, 8.30, 9.26 5,Boston College,____________________ 16 10 1, 0.5, 7.8, 8.30, 7.48 6,Miami,_____________________________ 15 11 2, 0.5, 7.6, 8.17, 9.46 7,Boston University,_________________ 15 8 1, 0.6, 7.5, 8.15, 8.39 8,Notre Dame,________________________ 15 10 3, 0.3, 7.8, 8.07, 7.58 9,Michigan State,____________________ 13 11 4, 0.4, 7.7, 8.06, 7.92 10,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 9 5, 0.2, 7.9, 8.06, 7.74 11,Union,_____________________________ 15 6 6, 1.3, 6.7, 8.00, 8.70 12,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 5 5, 1.0, 7.0, 7.98, 8.72 13,Maine,_____________________________ 14 8 3, 0.4, 7.5, 7.95, 9.78 14,Ohio State,________________________ 14 8 5, 0.4, 7.5, 7.94, 6.82 15,Colorado College,__________________ 14 9 1, 0.7, 7.3, 7.93, 8.17 16,Western Michigan,__________________ 13 10 5, 0.3, 7.6, 7.89, 6.99 17,Denver,____________________________ 15 8 3, 0.7, 7.2, 7.88, 8.76 18,Ferris State,______________________ 17 8 3, 0.5, 7.3, 7.86, 8.69 19,Northeastern,______________________ 10 11 3, 0.2, 7.6, 7.86, 7.38 20,North Dakota,______________________ 15 10 2, 0.3, 7.5, 7.78, 7.58 21,St Cloud State,____________________ 10 14 4, 0.0, 7.6, 7.68, 8.09 22,Cornell,___________________________ 11 6 4, 0.7, 6.9, 7.55, 6.46 23,Wisconsin,_________________________ 12 12 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.53, 6.53 24,Alaska,____________________________ 9 13 4, -0.1, 7.6, 7.47, 7.51 25,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 7.4, 7.42, 8.03 26,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 8 5, 0.9, 6.5, 7.39, 7.26 27,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 14 2, -0.3, 7.6, 7.32, 7.98 28,Colgate,___________________________ 14 9 3, 0.5, 6.8, 7.29, 6.76 29,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 12 10 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.71 30,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 10 5, -0.1, 7.4, 7.26, 7.58 31,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 7.2, 7.25, 8.92 32,Bemidji State,_____________________ 12 12 2, -0.2, 7.3, 7.19, 6.03 33,Providence,________________________ 10 12 2, -0.3, 7.3, 7.05, 6.52 34,Harvard,___________________________ 6 6 8, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 7.63 35,Yale,______________________________ 9 10 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.90, 5.94 36,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 11 5, 0.2, 6.4, 6.58, 6.58 37,Minnesota State,___________________ 9 18 1, -0.6, 7.2, 6.56, 8.29 38,RIT,_______________________________ 15 8 3, 0.5, 5.9, 6.42, 7.41 39,Princeton,_________________________ 6 11 5, -0.6, 7.0, 6.40, 7.06 40,Connecticut,_______________________ 12 12 2, 0.3, 6.0, 6.36, 6.48 41,Air Force,_________________________ 12 7 5, 0.6, 5.7, 6.35, 5.98 42,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 9 2, -0.3, 6.6, 6.34, 7.07 43,Niagara,___________________________ 11 8 7, 0.3, 6.0, 6.30, 7.53 44,Brown,_____________________________ 8 10 3, -0.3, 6.6, 6.28, 5.61 45,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 16 2, -1.2, 7.5, 6.26, 5.21 46,Bowling Green,_____________________ 8 15 5, -1.0, 7.3, 6.26, 7.13 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 12 11 3, 0.0, 6.0, 6.04, 6.00 48,Vermont,___________________________ 5 19 1, -1.6, 7.6, 6.00, 5.87 49,St Lawrence,_______________________ 8 15 3, -1.0, 7.0, 5.93, 4.31 50,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 10 4, 0.0, 5.9, 5.85, 5.93 51,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 18 1, -1.1, 6.9, 5.81, 7.34 52,Bentley,___________________________ 8 12 6, -0.3, 6.1, 5.77, 5.38 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 13 3, -0.5, 6.1, 5.68, 4.84 54,Canisius,__________________________ 8 14 3, -1.0, 5.9, 4.97, 4.34 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 24 1, -2.4, 7.3, 4.89, 6.72 56,Army,______________________________ 3 15 7, -1.4, 6.0, 4.69, 4.71 57,American International,____________ 5 19 2, -1.5, 5.9, 4.45, 2.82 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 23 1, -2.3, 6.1, 3.83, 4.05 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 17 5 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.51, 6.76 2,Boston University,_________________ 15 8 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 7.39 3,Boston College,____________________ 16 10 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.48, 7.41 4,Michigan,__________________________ 15 9 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.46, 7.81 5,Ferris State,______________________ 17 8 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.46, 8.13 6,Notre Dame,________________________ 15 10 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.45, 7.09 7,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 16 7 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.44, 7.72 8,Ohio State,________________________ 14 8 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 6.79 9,Maine,_____________________________ 14 8 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 8.27 10,Miami,_____________________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.54 11,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 9 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 7.31 12,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 5 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.58 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 19 9 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.35, 7.77 14,Michigan State,____________________ 13 11 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.34, 7.37 15,Western Michigan,__________________ 13 10 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.01 16,North Dakota,______________________ 15 10 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.33 17,Denver,____________________________ 15 8 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.30, 7.79 18,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 7.59 19,Colorado College,__________________ 14 9 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 7.19 20,Union,_____________________________ 15 6 6, 0.3, 6.9, 7.19, 7.30 21,Cornell,___________________________ 11 6 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 6.77 22,Northeastern,______________________ 10 11 3, -0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 6.93 23,Colgate,___________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.13, 7.06 24,Alaska,____________________________ 9 13 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.11, 7.02 25,Bemidji State,_____________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 6.78 26,Wisconsin,_________________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 6.75 27,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 12 10 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 7.30 28,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 10 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 7.33 29,Quinnipiac,________________________ 14 8 5, 0.2, 6.8, 7.07, 6.98 30,Providence,________________________ 10 12 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 7.09 31,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.05, 7.57 32,St Cloud State,____________________ 10 14 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.04, 7.11 33,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 7.11 34,Harvard,___________________________ 6 6 8, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 7.26 35,RIT,_______________________________ 15 8 3, 0.3, 6.6, 6.90, 7.30 36,Bowling Green,_____________________ 8 15 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.88, 7.26 37,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 9 2, 0.0, 6.8, 6.83, 6.77 38,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 11 5, 0.0, 6.8, 6.81, 7.18 39,Yale,______________________________ 9 10 2, -0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 6.27 40,Air Force,_________________________ 12 7 5, 0.2, 6.6, 6.79, 6.59 41,Niagara,___________________________ 11 8 7, 0.1, 6.7, 6.78, 7.37 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 14 10 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.76, 6.83 43,Princeton,_________________________ 6 11 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.74, 7.12 44,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 16 2, -0.4, 7.1, 6.72, 6.17 45,Brown,_____________________________ 8 10 3, -0.1, 6.8, 6.71, 6.64 46,Minnesota State,___________________ 9 18 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.71, 7.31 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 12 11 3, 0.0, 6.7, 6.71, 6.52 48,Connecticut,_______________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 6.7, 6.70, 6.81 49,St Lawrence,_______________________ 8 15 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 6.00 50,Vermont,___________________________ 5 19 1, -0.6, 7.2, 6.66, 6.59 51,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 6.7, 6.61, 6.09 52,Bentley,___________________________ 8 12 6, -0.2, 6.7, 6.54, 6.17 53,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 18 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.51, 7.04 54,Canisius,__________________________ 8 14 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.42, 6.19 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 24 1, -0.8, 7.1, 6.31, 6.68 56,Army,______________________________ 3 15 7, -0.5, 6.7, 6.21, 6.29 57,American International,____________ 5 19 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.10, 5.82 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 23 1, -0.8, 6.7, 5.89, 5.79 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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