Men's NCAA Division 1 Hockey Rankings 2005-2006

Scores through April 8, 2006 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Week's Rankings . New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 March 9, 2006 - 2005-2006 National High School Hockey Rankings released (over 1650 teams ranked). RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 30 10 3, 1.5, 7.8, 9.31, 10.83 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 27 9 5, 1.5, 7.6, 9.12, 7.54 3,North Dakota,______________________ 28 17 1, 1.1, 7.8, 8.88, 9.21 4,Boston College,____________________ 26 13 3, 1.2, 7.5, 8.71, 10.54 5,St. Cloud State,___________________ 23 15 4, 0.9, 7.7, 8.63, 9.98 6,Colorado College,__________________ 24 16 2, 0.8, 7.8, 8.63, 7.73 7,Boston University,_________________ 26 10 4, 1.1, 7.4, 8.55, 10.53 8,Miami,_____________________________ 26 9 4, 1.1, 7.3, 8.42, 7.53 9,Maine,_____________________________ 28 12 2, 1.1, 7.3, 8.42, 8.33 10,Michigan State,____________________ 25 12 8, 0.8, 7.5, 8.26, 9.43 11,Denver,____________________________ 21 15 3, 0.4, 7.8, 8.15, 7.03 12,Michigan,__________________________ 21 15 5, 0.5, 7.6, 8.13, 7.38 13,New Hampshire,_____________________ 20 13 7, 0.5, 7.5, 7.91, 8.15 14,Minnesota State,___________________ 17 18 4, 0.1, 7.7, 7.80, 9.25 15,Harvard,___________________________ 21 12 2, 0.5, 7.2, 7.73, 9.83 16,Vermont,___________________________ 18 14 6, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 6.05 17,Northern Michigan,_________________ 22 16 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.66, 8.28 18,Cornell,___________________________ 22 9 4, 0.6, 7.0, 7.64, 7.83 19,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 20 15 6, 0.2, 7.4, 7.64, 6.08 20,Dartmouth,_________________________ 19 12 2, 0.7, 6.9, 7.61, 7.44 21,Providence,________________________ 17 16 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.61, 5.59 22,Ohio State,________________________ 15 19 5, 0.1, 7.5, 7.60, 5.99 23,Ferris State,______________________ 17 15 8, 0.2, 7.4, 7.55, 8.32 24,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 14 7, 0.2, 7.2, 7.41, 5.84 25,Colgate,___________________________ 20 13 6, 0.5, 6.9, 7.40, 7.28 26,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 19 4, -0.3, 7.5, 7.28, 6.96 27,Bemidji State,_____________________ 20 14 3, 0.8, 6.5, 7.26, 8.15 28,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 18 16 5, -0.3, 7.6, 7.26, 7.07 29,St. Lawrence,______________________ 21 17 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 6.81 30,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 17 3, 0.3, 6.8, 7.11, 7.80 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 18 1, 0.5, 6.5, 7.04, 7.08 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 23 2, -0.6, 7.4, 6.77, 6.68 33,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 21 2, -0.7, 7.4, 6.72, 6.81 34,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 14 20 2, -0.8, 7.4, 6.65, 9.18 35,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 11 25 4, -1.3, 7.9, 6.64, 7.84 36,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 17 6, -0.2, 6.8, 6.62, 6.83 37,Niagara,___________________________ 20 15 1, 0.1, 6.4, 6.56, 7.19 38,Princeton,_________________________ 10 18 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 5.47 39,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 19 13 2, 0.1, 6.2, 6.29, 6.18 40,Holy Cross,________________________ 27 10 2, 0.9, 5.4, 6.29, 7.31 41,Union,_____________________________ 16 16 6, -0.3, 6.6, 6.27, 5.88 42,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 27 3, -1.9, 8.1, 6.24, 6.22 43,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 12 2, 1.0, 5.2, 6.14, 6.09 44,Northeastern,______________________ 3 24 7, -1.6, 7.7, 6.10, 6.23 45,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 25 6, -2.0, 8.1, 6.08, 6.20 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 22 13 1, 0.9, 5.1, 6.04, 5.85 47,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 24 6, -1.5, 7.5, 6.01, 8.06 48,Brown,_____________________________ 5 20 7, -1.2, 7.1, 5.94, 7.25 49,Yale,______________________________ 10 20 3, -1.0, 6.9, 5.94, 5.65 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 6 23 5, -1.6, 7.2, 5.63, 6.14 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 12 20 3, -0.7, 6.2, 5.48, 6.49 52,Air Force,_________________________ 11 20 1, -0.7, 6.1, 5.39, 4.92 53,Wayne State,_______________________ 6 23 6, -1.5, 6.6, 5.07, 3.53 54,RIT,_______________________________ 4 21 2, -1.1, 6.1, 5.01, 5.16 55,Army,______________________________ 12 18 6, -0.4, 5.4, 4.99, 4.17 56,Bentley,___________________________ 15 17 5, -0.6, 5.3, 4.72, 5.38 57,Canisius,__________________________ 10 23 2, -0.8, 5.3, 4.51, 4.04 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 11 23 2, -1.1, 5.4, 4.29, 4.48 59,American Int'l,____________________ 6 21 5, -1.9, 5.4, 3.54, 3.86 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Maximum Goal Differential = 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 30 10 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.68, 8.37 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 27 9 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.62, 6.90 3,Miami,_____________________________ 26 9 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.55, 7.38 4,Boston University,_________________ 26 10 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.50, 7.86 5,Michigan State,____________________ 25 12 8, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 7.98 6,North Dakota,______________________ 28 17 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.45, 7.57 7,Maine,_____________________________ 28 12 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.43, 7.57 8,Boston College,____________________ 26 13 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.43, 7.74 9,Colorado College,__________________ 24 16 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.40, 6.96 10,St. Cloud State,___________________ 23 15 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 7.95 11,Michigan,__________________________ 21 15 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.37, 7.52 12,Cornell,___________________________ 22 9 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.35, 7.50 13,Denver,____________________________ 21 15 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.34, 7.10 14,Harvard,___________________________ 21 12 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.31, 7.82 15,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 20 15 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 6.96 16,Northern Michigan,_________________ 22 16 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.52 17,New Hampshire,_____________________ 20 13 7, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.52 18,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 18 16 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.50 19,Ferris State,______________________ 17 15 8, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 7.46 20,Dartmouth,_________________________ 19 12 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.19, 7.57 21,Vermont,___________________________ 18 14 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 6.44 22,Minnesota State,___________________ 17 18 4, -0.0, 7.2, 7.16, 7.74 23,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 14 7, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 6.39 24,Colgate,___________________________ 20 13 6, 0.2, 7.0, 7.13, 6.85 25,Providence,________________________ 17 16 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 6.38 26,Ohio State,________________________ 15 19 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 6.63 27,St. Lawrence,______________________ 21 17 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 6.81 28,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 19 4, -0.2, 7.2, 7.02, 6.79 29,Bemidji State,_____________________ 20 14 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.02, 7.65 30,Holy Cross,________________________ 27 10 2, 0.4, 6.6, 6.99, 7.38 31,Clarkson,__________________________ 18 17 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.97, 6.89 32,Niagara,___________________________ 20 15 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.94, 7.31 33,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 14 20 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 7.52 34,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 11 25 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.90, 7.20 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 18 1, 0.1, 6.8, 6.90, 7.22 36,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 21 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.88 37,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 19 13 2, 0.2, 6.7, 6.88, 6.57 38,Bowling Green,_____________________ 13 23 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.88, 6.54 39,Rensselaer,________________________ 14 17 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.84, 6.63 40,Union,_____________________________ 16 16 6, 0.0, 6.8, 6.84, 6.31 41,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 24 6, -0.4, 7.2, 6.84, 7.54 42,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 7 25 6, -0.5, 7.3, 6.81, 6.73 43,Sacred Heart,______________________ 21 12 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.75, 6.73 44,Mercyhurst,________________________ 22 13 1, 0.3, 6.5, 6.75, 6.48 45,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 27 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.74, 6.58 46,Princeton,_________________________ 10 18 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.40 47,Yale,______________________________ 10 20 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.68, 6.76 48,Northeastern,______________________ 3 24 7, -0.6, 7.2, 6.56, 6.37 49,Brown,_____________________________ 5 20 7, -0.5, 7.0, 6.55, 6.97 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 6 23 5, -0.5, 7.0, 6.53, 6.59 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 12 20 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.51, 6.53 52,Bentley,___________________________ 15 17 5, -0.1, 6.5, 6.49, 6.62 53,Air Force,_________________________ 11 20 1, -0.3, 6.7, 6.41, 6.27 54,Wayne State,_______________________ 6 23 6, -0.5, 6.9, 6.41, 5.69 55,Army,______________________________ 12 18 6, -0.2, 6.6, 6.40, 6.23 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 11 23 2, -0.3, 6.6, 6.23, 6.55 57,Canisius,__________________________ 10 23 2, -0.4, 6.5, 6.17, 6.09 58,RIT,_______________________________ 4 21 2, -0.6, 6.7, 6.10, 5.76 59,American Int'l,____________________ 6 21 5, -0.5, 6.6, 6.09, 6.03 Link to the 2004-2005 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  ME  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W  RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 

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