Men's NCAA Division 3 Hockey Rankings

Scores (sorted by team) through February 12, 2012 courtesy of USCHO.com . Disclaimer: The D3 rankings are new and it is unclear to me how well connected the East/West schedules are and therefore still unclear how accurate the relative rankings between regions are. Previous Rankings  New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Oswego,____________________________ 19 2 2, 2.4, 7.7, 10.11, 10.66 2,Norwich,___________________________ 19 2 1, 2.5, 7.1, 9.62, 8.79 3,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 16 3 4, 1.4, 7.8, 9.21, 7.99 4,St Norbert,________________________ 15 5 5, 1.2, 7.9, 9.12, 10.01 5,Utica,_____________________________ 15 7 2, 1.1, 8.0, 9.10, 8.64 6,Amherst,___________________________ 18 3 1, 1.7, 7.3, 9.04, 10.17 7,Elmira,____________________________ 14 7 2, 0.8, 8.2, 9.02, 9.80 8,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 6 3, 1.0, 7.9, 8.99, 8.73 9,Neumann,___________________________ 13 7 2, 0.8, 8.1, 8.89, 8.61 10,Castleton,_________________________ 16 5 2, 1.8, 7.0, 8.80, 7.10 11,Bowdoin,___________________________ 13 5 3, 1.6, 7.2, 8.79, 8.91 12,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 16 7 2, 0.9, 7.9, 8.77, 8.01 13,St Scholastica,____________________ 14 7 4, 0.6, 8.0, 8.59, 8.65 14,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 12 9 4, 0.4, 8.1, 8.57, 9.20 15,St Thomas,_________________________ 17 3 2, 1.2, 7.3, 8.48, 9.06 16,Hobart,____________________________ 12 10 1, 0.4, 8.0, 8.44, 8.78 17,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 11 11 3, 0.2, 8.1, 8.37, 7.20 18,Middlebury,________________________ 11 8 3, 0.4, 7.7, 8.15, 9.29 19,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 9 9 7, 0.2, 8.0, 8.14, 8.65 20,Fredonia,__________________________ 11 9 3, 0.4, 7.6, 8.01, 7.81 21,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 13 6 4, 0.7, 7.3, 7.98, 7.37 22,St Olaf,___________________________ 11 7 5, 0.7, 7.3, 7.98, 7.40 23,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 17 5 1, 1.8, 6.1, 7.94, 9.05 24,Williams,__________________________ 10 7 5, 0.5, 7.4, 7.94, 5.46 25,Adrian,____________________________ 17 5 1, 1.4, 6.4, 7.88, 7.07 26,Buffalo State,_____________________ 11 11 2, 0.1, 7.7, 7.82, 7.21 27,Wesleyan,__________________________ 11 9 2, 0.5, 7.3, 7.71, 8.13 28,Brockport,_________________________ 9 12 3, -0.3, 7.8, 7.52, 8.22 29,Geneseo,___________________________ 12 11 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.49, 8.22 30,St John's,_________________________ 10 11 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.43, 7.33 31,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 16 1, -0.6, 8.0, 7.39, 7.48 32,Curry,_____________________________ 12 9 2, 0.8, 6.5, 7.27, 5.70 33,Hamline,___________________________ 10 13 2, -0.2, 7.5, 7.27, 8.85 34,Skidmore,__________________________ 10 11 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 8.06 35,Potsdam,___________________________ 8 13 2, -0.6, 7.7, 7.12, 8.21 36,Wentworth,_________________________ 16 6 1, 1.2, 5.9, 7.10, 7.42 37,New England College,_______________ 9 10 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.09, 6.62 38,Hamilton,__________________________ 8 11 3, -0.5, 7.5, 7.06, 6.55 39,Tufts,_____________________________ 11 9 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.78 40,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 12 8 3, 0.5, 6.5, 7.02, 7.46 41,Salem State,_______________________ 12 7 3, 0.7, 6.3, 6.95, 7.07 42,Southern Maine,____________________ 9 10 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.95, 6.94 43,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 9 10 4, -0.6, 7.5, 6.92, 6.59 44,St Anselm,_________________________ 11 8 3, 0.4, 6.6, 6.92, 7.80 45,Marian,____________________________ 11 8 4, 0.3, 6.6, 6.87, 5.56 46,Augsburg,__________________________ 9 13 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.83, 6.66 47,Trinity,___________________________ 8 11 2, -0.5, 7.3, 6.79, 6.12 48,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 13 7 2, 0.9, 5.8, 6.75, 5.75 49,Lawrence,__________________________ 11 9 3, 0.2, 6.6, 6.73, 8.20 50,St Mary's,_________________________ 4 17 2, -1.0, 7.7, 6.71, 6.33 51,Colby,_____________________________ 6 14 1, -0.7, 7.4, 6.70, 8.11 52,Plymouth State,____________________ 13 6 2, 0.7, 5.9, 6.56, 7.27 53,Connecticut College,_______________ 6 13 3, -1.2, 7.7, 6.51, 6.63 54,Morrisville,_______________________ 4 18 1, -1.9, 8.3, 6.44, 5.42 55,Babson,____________________________ 8 12 3, -0.9, 7.3, 6.41, 7.39 56,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 13 7 3, 1.0, 5.4, 6.37, 6.35 57,Bethel,____________________________ 7 14 2, -1.1, 7.4, 6.32, 5.72 58,Cortland,__________________________ 5 17 1, -1.9, 8.1, 6.16, 5.86 59,Western New England,_______________ 12 11 0, -0.1, 6.0, 5.86, 5.52 60,Fitchburg State,___________________ 8 11 3, -0.5, 6.1, 5.65, 4.90 61,Northland,_________________________ 6 14 3, -0.8, 6.3, 5.48, 4.65 62,Worcester State,___________________ 8 11 3, -0.1, 5.6, 5.47, 5.47 63,Nichols,___________________________ 10 12 1, -0.3, 5.7, 5.47, 7.64 64,Finlandia,_________________________ 7 15 0, -1.2, 6.6, 5.38, 6.06 65,St Michael's,______________________ 6 14 2, -1.3, 6.7, 5.35, 5.19 66,Westfield State,___________________ 5 12 5, -1.0, 6.3, 5.31, 5.82 67,Becker,____________________________ 8 13 2, -0.7, 5.8, 5.19, 5.31 68,University of New England,_________ 3 17 2, -1.8, 6.8, 4.95, 4.21 69,Assumption,________________________ 12 8 1, -0.1, 4.9, 4.84, 4.75 70,Lake Forest,_______________________ 3 20 0, -1.8, 6.6, 4.80, 5.41 71,Framingham State,__________________ 4 13 4, -1.3, 6.0, 4.67, 4.35 72,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 2 18 3, -2.4, 6.8, 4.39, 3.49 73,Stonehill,_________________________ 7 11 2, -0.4, 4.8, 4.36, 3.34 74,Salve Regina,______________________ 6 17 0, -1.8, 6.1, 4.31, 4.33 75,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 5 11 4, -1.0, 5.0, 3.95, 4.75 76,So New Hampshire,__________________ 1 19 1, -2.4, 5.3, 2.85, 2.66 77,Suffolk,___________________________ 2 20 0, -2.8, 5.5, 2.77, 2.64 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Oswego,____________________________ 19 2 2, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 8.15 2,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 16 3 4, 0.6, 7.3, 7.83, 7.79 3,Norwich,___________________________ 19 2 1, 0.8, 7.0, 7.82, 7.56 4,Amherst,___________________________ 18 3 1, 0.7, 7.1, 7.79, 8.07 5,Elmira,____________________________ 14 7 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.70, 7.61 6,Utica,_____________________________ 15 7 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.69, 7.61 7,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 6 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.66, 7.73 8,Neumann,___________________________ 13 7 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.64, 7.39 9,St Thomas,_________________________ 17 3 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.64, 7.90 10,St Norbert,________________________ 15 5 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.57, 8.05 11,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 16 7 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.54, 7.45 12,Castleton,_________________________ 16 5 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.52, 6.87 13,Bowdoin,___________________________ 13 5 3, 0.4, 7.1, 7.47, 7.62 14,St Scholastica,____________________ 14 7 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.47, 7.53 15,Hobart,____________________________ 12 10 1, 0.1, 7.4, 7.45, 7.68 16,Middlebury,________________________ 11 8 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 8.00 17,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 12 9 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.37, 7.74 18,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 13 6 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.35, 7.26 19,Fredonia,__________________________ 11 9 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 7.11 20,Williams,__________________________ 10 7 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 6.39 21,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 11 11 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.27, 6.54 22,Buffalo State,_____________________ 11 11 2, 0.0, 7.3, 7.26, 7.11 23,Adrian,____________________________ 17 5 1, 0.5, 6.7, 7.23, 6.90 24,Wesleyan,__________________________ 11 9 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.22, 7.20 25,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 9 9 7, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 7.33 26,St Olaf,___________________________ 11 7 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 7.29 27,Geneseo,___________________________ 12 11 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.17, 7.37 28,Tufts,_____________________________ 11 9 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.10 29,Brockport,_________________________ 9 12 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.16, 7.37 30,Wentworth,_________________________ 16 6 1, 0.4, 6.7, 7.15, 7.39 31,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 17 5 1, 0.5, 6.6, 7.13, 7.32 32,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 9 10 4, -0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 6.74 33,Hamilton,__________________________ 8 11 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.06, 6.72 34,Salem State,_______________________ 12 7 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.05, 6.83 35,Curry,_____________________________ 12 9 2, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 6.48 36,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 12 8 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.04, 7.35 37,Potsdam,___________________________ 8 13 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.03, 7.15 38,St John's,_________________________ 10 11 2, -0.0, 7.1, 7.03, 7.12 39,Plymouth State,____________________ 13 6 2, 0.3, 6.7, 7.03, 7.30 40,St Anselm,_________________________ 11 8 3, 0.1, 6.9, 7.02, 7.40 41,Southern Maine,____________________ 9 10 4, -0.0, 7.1, 7.01, 6.82 42,Trinity,___________________________ 8 11 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 6.75 43,Hamline,___________________________ 10 13 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.37 44,New England College,_______________ 9 10 4, -0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 6.69 45,Skidmore,__________________________ 10 11 2, -0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 7.67 46,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 13 7 2, 0.3, 6.7, 6.97, 6.52 47,Connecticut College,_______________ 6 13 3, -0.3, 7.3, 6.94, 6.90 48,Babson,____________________________ 8 12 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 7.17 49,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 16 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.92, 6.84 50,Marian,____________________________ 11 8 4, 0.1, 6.8, 6.88, 6.37 51,Augsburg,__________________________ 9 13 1, -0.2, 7.0, 6.87, 6.70 52,Lawrence,__________________________ 11 9 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.85, 7.58 53,Morrisville,_______________________ 4 18 1, -0.6, 7.5, 6.85, 6.82 54,Cortland,__________________________ 5 17 1, -0.5, 7.4, 6.84, 6.55 55,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 13 7 3, 0.3, 6.6, 6.83, 6.75 56,Western New England,_______________ 12 11 0, 0.0, 6.7, 6.77, 6.84 57,Colby,_____________________________ 6 14 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.77, 7.47 58,Bethel,____________________________ 7 14 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.76, 6.64 59,Fitchburg State,___________________ 8 11 3, -0.1, 6.8, 6.64, 6.29 60,St Mary's,_________________________ 4 17 2, -0.6, 7.2, 6.62, 6.33 61,Assumption,________________________ 12 8 1, 0.2, 6.4, 6.59, 6.75 62,Nichols,___________________________ 10 12 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.58, 7.25 63,St Michael's,______________________ 6 14 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.55, 6.33 64,Westfield State,___________________ 5 12 5, -0.3, 6.8, 6.53, 6.49 65,Worcester State,___________________ 8 11 3, -0.1, 6.6, 6.49, 6.50 66,Becker,____________________________ 8 13 2, -0.2, 6.7, 6.49, 6.23 67,Finlandia,_________________________ 7 15 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.39, 6.87 68,Northland,_________________________ 6 14 3, -0.3, 6.7, 6.37, 5.68 69,Framingham State,__________________ 4 13 4, -0.4, 6.7, 6.31, 6.33 70,University of New England,_________ 3 17 2, -0.6, 6.9, 6.30, 5.95 71,Salve Regina,______________________ 6 17 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.28, 6.33 72,Stonehill,_________________________ 7 11 2, -0.2, 6.4, 6.19, 5.95 73,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 5 11 4, -0.3, 6.4, 6.13, 6.42 74,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 2 18 3, -0.7, 6.8, 6.12, 5.96 75,Lake Forest,_______________________ 3 20 0, -0.7, 6.8, 6.07, 6.37 76,Suffolk,___________________________ 2 20 0, -0.8, 6.6, 5.79, 5.84 77,So New Hampshire,__________________ 1 19 1, -0.9, 6.5, 5.68, 5.52 Link to the 2005-2006 Final D1 Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States  High School National Rankings  New England Prep  Midget Minor AAA  Midget Major AAA  Men's NCAA D1  USHL  NAHL  ACHA College Club

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