Scores (sorted by team) through March 16, 2014 courtesy of USCHO.com . Disclaimer: The D3 rankings are new and it is unclear to me how well connected the East/West schedules are and therefore still unclear how accurate the relative rankings between regions are. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 2013 National Champions: Wisconsin-Eau Claire See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,St Norbert,________________________ 26 3 1, 2.3, 8.2, 10.53, 11.80 2,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 21 5 2, 2.1, 8.4, 10.48, 10.24 3,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 19 8 1, 1.4, 8.5, 9.84, 9.52 4,Adrian,____________________________ 22 3 4, 1.8, 7.9, 9.66, 8.85 5,St Thomas,_________________________ 21 5 2, 1.3, 8.2, 9.55, 8.95 6,St Scholastica,____________________ 16 9 4, 0.8, 8.2, 8.99, 9.68 7,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 16 7 4, 0.7, 8.2, 8.90, 8.48 8,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 15 9 3, 0.4, 8.5, 8.90, 8.03 9,Norwich,___________________________ 20 7 3, 1.7, 7.0, 8.72, 8.53 10,Marian,____________________________ 12 13 2, 0.4, 8.2, 8.61, 8.82 11,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 19 5 2, 1.5, 7.0, 8.58, 8.67 12,St John's,_________________________ 16 10 0, 0.4, 8.1, 8.49, 9.16 13,Oswego,____________________________ 22 6 2, 1.5, 7.0, 8.45, 9.11 14,St Olaf,___________________________ 12 11 4, 0.1, 8.3, 8.41, 8.67 15,Lake Forest,_______________________ 15 12 1, 0.1, 8.2, 8.35, 8.01 16,Trinity,___________________________ 21 5 0, 1.7, 6.6, 8.31, 8.93 17,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 12 9 5, 0.4, 7.8, 8.26, 6.98 18,Augsburg,__________________________ 13 9 3, 0.3, 7.9, 8.13, 8.21 19,Geneseo,___________________________ 23 6 0, 1.1, 7.0, 8.08, 8.61 20,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 11 15 3, -0.4, 8.5, 8.07, 9.76 21,Utica,_____________________________ 16 7 4, 1.0, 7.1, 8.06, 7.55 22,Elmira,____________________________ 16 10 1, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 8.94 23,Babson,____________________________ 22 5 2, 1.2, 6.8, 7.96, 8.13 24,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 17 6 4, 1.4, 6.6, 7.93, 7.06 25,Amherst,___________________________ 16 8 3, 0.8, 7.1, 7.91, 8.44 26,Williams,__________________________ 15 8 3, 0.8, 7.1, 7.83, 7.14 27,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 10 13 4, -0.3, 8.1, 7.81, 6.82 28,Hobart,____________________________ 14 9 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.78, 6.93 29,Bowdoin,___________________________ 17 9 2, 0.9, 6.8, 7.70, 8.12 30,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 18 0, -1.1, 8.8, 7.69, 7.15 31,Middlebury,________________________ 11 11 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 7.87 32,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 12 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.34, 7.62 33,St Mary's,_________________________ 10 14 1, -0.8, 8.1, 7.32, 8.91 34,Buffalo State,_____________________ 10 12 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.27, 7.13 35,New England College,_______________ 14 10 1, 0.4, 6.8, 7.20, 5.68 36,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 7 19 1, -1.1, 8.3, 7.19, 7.46 37,Castleton,_________________________ 13 11 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 8.76 38,Lawrence,__________________________ 6 19 2, -1.6, 8.6, 7.00, 7.31 39,Neumann,___________________________ 9 12 5, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 7.67 40,Bethel,____________________________ 3 20 2, -1.4, 8.3, 6.91, 6.27 41,Wesleyan,__________________________ 11 12 2, 0.0, 6.9, 6.87, 6.39 42,St Anselm,_________________________ 10 12 4, 0.2, 6.6, 6.75, 6.47 43,Nazareth,__________________________ 8 16 2, -0.8, 7.6, 6.72, 7.21 44,Brockport,_________________________ 10 13 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.62, 7.63 45,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 18 8 1, 1.0, 5.5, 6.56, 5.37 46,Skidmore,__________________________ 7 12 7, -0.3, 6.9, 6.55, 4.81 47,Finlandia,_________________________ 3 20 1, -2.0, 8.4, 6.43, 5.48 48,Connecticut College,_______________ 9 14 2, -0.6, 7.0, 6.39, 7.39 49,Nichols,___________________________ 18 7 3, 0.9, 5.5, 6.37, 6.78 50,Colby,_____________________________ 11 11 3, -0.5, 6.8, 6.34, 4.98 51,Plymouth State,____________________ 14 11 2, 0.7, 5.5, 6.25, 6.69 52,Fredonia,__________________________ 7 13 6, -0.7, 7.0, 6.25, 5.90 53,Stonehill,_________________________ 16 10 0, 0.7, 5.4, 6.13, 6.69 54,Potsdam,___________________________ 9 14 2, -0.6, 6.7, 6.11, 6.57 55,Hamilton,__________________________ 5 15 3, -1.1, 7.2, 6.10, 5.29 56,So New Hampshire,__________________ 17 8 1, 0.7, 5.4, 6.04, 6.71 57,University of New England,_________ 10 15 1, -0.9, 6.9, 6.01, 6.75 58,Salem State,_______________________ 16 10 2, 0.4, 5.6, 5.99, 7.00 59,Southern Maine,____________________ 6 15 5, -1.0, 7.0, 5.97, 5.76 60,Hamline,___________________________ 2 22 1, -2.3, 8.3, 5.95, 5.48 61,Cortland,__________________________ 5 16 3, -1.2, 7.1, 5.94, 5.97 62,Northland,_________________________ 4 21 0, -2.5, 8.2, 5.75, 6.33 63,Curry,_____________________________ 11 14 2, -0.2, 5.8, 5.62, 6.56 64,Wentworth,_________________________ 12 13 2, -0.1, 5.7, 5.60, 5.84 65,St Michael's,______________________ 7 17 3, -1.1, 6.7, 5.60, 6.03 66,Tufts,_____________________________ 4 19 1, -1.3, 6.8, 5.49, 5.69 67,Salve Regina,______________________ 11 15 0, -0.6, 6.1, 5.44, 5.88 68,Westfield State,___________________ 12 14 1, 0.2, 5.1, 5.25, 5.35 69,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 17 2, -1.6, 6.7, 5.10, 4.47 70,Fitchburg State,___________________ 11 14 1, -0.2, 5.3, 5.06, 4.06 71,Western New England,_______________ 10 14 1, -0.6, 5.7, 5.02, 4.61 72,Framingham State,__________________ 11 11 4, -0.2, 5.2, 5.00, 5.27 73,Suffolk,___________________________ 9 15 1, -0.7, 5.6, 4.83, 5.52 74,Canton,____________________________ 6 14 3, -1.2, 5.6, 4.34, 4.56 75,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 5 18 2, -1.4, 5.7, 4.31, 3.11 76,Assumption,________________________ 4 19 2, -1.4, 5.4, 4.06, 3.77 77,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 4 17 3, -1.5, 5.5, 4.02, 3.89 78,Worcester State,___________________ 9 15 1, -1.2, 5.2, 3.98, 3.76 79,Becker,____________________________ 3 18 3, -1.6, 5.4, 3.82, 3.30 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,St Norbert,________________________ 26 3 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.24, 8.51 2,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 21 5 2, 0.6, 7.5, 8.12, 8.04 3,St Thomas,_________________________ 21 5 2, 0.6, 7.5, 8.09, 8.00 4,Adrian,____________________________ 22 3 4, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 7.73 5,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 19 8 1, 0.4, 7.6, 7.96, 7.94 6,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 16 7 4, 0.3, 7.5, 7.86, 7.74 7,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 15 9 3, 0.2, 7.5, 7.77, 7.44 8,St Scholastica,____________________ 16 9 4, 0.2, 7.5, 7.72, 8.26 9,St John's,_________________________ 16 10 0, 0.2, 7.5, 7.71, 7.77 10,St Olaf,___________________________ 12 11 4, 0.0, 7.6, 7.60, 7.67 11,Augsburg,__________________________ 13 9 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.58, 7.41 12,Lake Forest,_______________________ 15 12 1, 0.1, 7.5, 7.57, 7.22 13,Geneseo,___________________________ 23 6 0, 0.6, 7.0, 7.55, 7.71 14,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 12 9 5, 0.1, 7.4, 7.54, 7.09 15,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 19 5 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.54, 7.28 16,Oswego,____________________________ 22 6 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.53, 8.30 17,Babson,____________________________ 22 5 2, 0.6, 6.9, 7.45, 7.46 18,Marian,____________________________ 12 13 2, -0.0, 7.5, 7.44, 7.68 19,Trinity,___________________________ 21 5 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.42, 7.53 20,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 11 15 3, -0.1, 7.6, 7.41, 7.98 21,Norwich,___________________________ 20 7 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.41, 7.27 22,St Mary's,_________________________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 7.5, 7.34, 7.84 23,Utica,_____________________________ 16 7 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 7.23 24,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 10 13 4, -0.1, 7.4, 7.32, 7.07 25,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 18 0, -0.4, 7.7, 7.28, 7.07 26,Amherst,___________________________ 16 8 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.27, 7.28 27,Elmira,____________________________ 16 10 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.27, 7.40 28,Williams,__________________________ 15 8 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.24, 6.81 29,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 17 6 4, 0.4, 6.8, 7.23, 6.97 30,Hobart,____________________________ 14 9 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.22, 7.31 31,Bowdoin,___________________________ 17 9 2, 0.3, 6.9, 7.17, 7.30 32,Lawrence,__________________________ 6 19 2, -0.5, 7.6, 7.12, 7.02 33,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 7 19 1, -0.4, 7.5, 7.07, 7.04 34,New England College,_______________ 14 10 1, 0.2, 6.9, 7.03, 6.12 35,Middlebury,________________________ 11 11 3, 0.0, 7.0, 7.02, 7.50 36,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 12 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 7.03 37,Buffalo State,_____________________ 10 12 5, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 6.73 38,Castleton,_________________________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.99, 7.41 39,Bethel,____________________________ 3 20 2, -0.7, 7.6, 6.90, 6.84 40,Neumann,___________________________ 9 12 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 7.03 41,Brockport,_________________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 7.57 42,Colby,_____________________________ 11 11 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.88, 6.31 43,Wesleyan,__________________________ 11 12 2, -0.0, 6.9, 6.87, 6.66 44,Nichols,___________________________ 18 7 3, 0.4, 6.5, 6.86, 7.15 45,Nazareth,__________________________ 8 16 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.85, 7.07 46,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 18 8 1, 0.4, 6.5, 6.84, 6.32 47,Finlandia,_________________________ 3 20 1, -0.7, 7.5, 6.82, 6.64 48,Northland,_________________________ 4 21 0, -0.7, 7.5, 6.80, 7.17 49,Hamline,___________________________ 2 22 1, -0.8, 7.6, 6.77, 6.51 50,Fredonia,__________________________ 7 13 6, -0.2, 7.0, 6.76, 6.53 51,Connecticut College,_______________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.75, 7.04 52,St Anselm,_________________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 6.8, 6.74, 6.55 53,University of New England,_________ 10 15 1, -0.2, 6.9, 6.74, 6.94 54,So New Hampshire,__________________ 17 8 1, 0.3, 6.4, 6.73, 6.93 55,Skidmore,__________________________ 7 12 7, -0.2, 6.9, 6.72, 6.15 56,Potsdam,___________________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.71, 6.74 57,Salem State,_______________________ 16 10 2, 0.2, 6.4, 6.65, 7.11 58,Stonehill,_________________________ 16 10 0, 0.2, 6.4, 6.64, 6.95 59,Southern Maine,____________________ 6 15 5, -0.3, 7.0, 6.62, 6.58 60,Hamilton,__________________________ 5 15 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.59, 6.23 61,Cortland,__________________________ 5 16 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.57, 6.64 62,Plymouth State,____________________ 14 11 2, 0.1, 6.4, 6.55, 6.89 63,Wentworth,_________________________ 12 13 2, -0.0, 6.6, 6.51, 6.65 64,Salve Regina,______________________ 11 15 0, -0.2, 6.7, 6.50, 6.67 65,St Michael's,______________________ 7 17 3, -0.4, 6.9, 6.49, 6.81 66,Curry,_____________________________ 11 14 2, -0.1, 6.6, 6.48, 6.71 67,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 17 2, -0.5, 6.9, 6.41, 6.05 68,Western New England,_______________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 6.5, 6.36, 6.05 69,Framingham State,__________________ 11 11 4, 0.0, 6.3, 6.32, 6.26 70,Tufts,_____________________________ 4 19 1, -0.6, 6.9, 6.27, 6.53 71,Suffolk,___________________________ 9 15 1, -0.2, 6.5, 6.24, 6.60 72,Fitchburg State,___________________ 11 14 1, -0.1, 6.3, 6.22, 6.07 73,Westfield State,___________________ 12 14 1, -0.1, 6.3, 6.21, 6.44 74,Canton,____________________________ 6 14 3, -0.3, 6.5, 6.13, 6.41 75,Worcester State,___________________ 9 15 1, -0.2, 6.3, 6.05, 5.77 76,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 5 18 2, -0.5, 6.5, 5.99, 5.39 77,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 4 17 3, -0.5, 6.5, 5.93, 5.62 78,Assumption,________________________ 4 19 2, -0.6, 6.4, 5.85, 5.74 79,Becker,____________________________ 3 18 3, -0.6, 6.5, 5.83, 5.82 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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