WEEK 05: Girls HS Hockey Computerized Ratings

Discussion of Minnesota Girls High School Hockey

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LSQRANK
Posts: 415
Joined: Fri Nov 21, 2014 6:05 pm

WEEK 05: Girls HS Hockey Computerized Ratings

Post by LSQRANK » Wed Dec 15, 2021 12:05 am

Back from a trip to SoCal (San Clemente). Nice place but wouldn't want to live there 8)
Games included thru Tues Dec 14th, except for a couple of stragglers ..

Code: Select all

WEEK 05: Dec 14, 2021
Girls HS Hockey Computerized Ratings

*All games are weighted equally

LSQRANK  State  Score                         Team      LG SECCLS  GP  (WW-LL-TT)
=================================================================================  
     1   MN 1000.0000                   Minnetonka   MSHSL   2  AA  9  ( 8- 1- 0) 
     2   MN  999.9364                      Andover   MSHSL   7  AA  8  ( 8- 0- 0) 
     3   MN  999.7954                        Edina   MSHSL   6  AA  6  ( 6- 0- 0) 
     4   MN  998.2210                GentryAcademy   MSHSL   4  AA  8  ( 6- 2- 0) 
     5   MN  998.0440    Centennial/SpringLakePark   MSHSL   5  AA  9  ( 8- 0- 1) 
     6   MN  997.9718        Benilde-St.Margaret's   MSHSL   6  AA  5  ( 1- 3- 1) 
     7   MN  997.9045                      Warroad   MSHSL   8   A 11  ( 8- 2- 1) 
     8   MN  997.8372                      Wayzata   MSHSL   6  AA 12  ( 8- 3- 1) 
     9   MN  997.6332                        Orono   MSHSL   5   A 11  (10- 1- 0) 
    10   MN  997.2650                   HolyFamily   MSHSL   2  AA  8  ( 5- 2- 1) 
	
    11   MN  997.1358                  Hill-Murray   MSHSL   4  AA  9  ( 6- 3- 0) 
    12   MN  997.1076                   MapleGrove   MSHSL   5  AA  9  ( 6- 2- 1) 
    13   MN  996.7561               LakevilleSouth   MSHSL   1  AA  7  ( 6- 1- 0) 
    14   MN  996.7043                        Blake   MSHSL   6  AA  7  ( 5- 2- 0) 
    15   MN  996.6208           ElkRiver/Zimmerman   MSHSL   7  AA  8  ( 4- 3- 1) 
    16   MN  996.6129                       Rogers   MSHSL   5  AA 10  ( 7- 2- 1) 
    17   MN  996.5179                    Rosemount   MSHSL   3  AA 11  (10- 1- 0) 
    18   MN  996.3852                   Stillwater   MSHSL   4  AA  9  ( 5- 2- 2) 
    19   MN  996.0242            NorthWrightCounty   MSHSL   5  AA 10  ( 6- 3- 1) 
    20   MN  995.4199            Cretin-DerhamHall   MSHSL   3  AA 10  ( 7- 2- 1) 
	
    21   MN  995.3807           Proctor/Hermantown   MSHSL   7   A  9  ( 4- 3- 2) 
    22   MN  995.3800                   Burnsville   MSHSL   3  AA  8  ( 4- 3- 1) 
    23   MN  995.3639                   HolyAngels   MSHSL   5   A  8  ( 6- 1- 1) 
    24   MN  995.3504                    Roseville   MSHSL   4  AA 11  ( 7- 3- 1) 
    25   MN  995.3241                       Blaine   MSHSL   7  AA 11  ( 5- 5- 1) 
    26   MN  995.0316                  EdenPrairie   MSHSL   2  AA  7  ( 2- 5- 0) 
    27   MN  994.8090               DuluthMarshall   MSHSL   7   A  6  ( 5- 1- 0) 
    28   MN  994.5903         GrandRapids-Greenway   MSHSL   7  AA 10  ( 7- 3- 0) 
    29   MN  994.5308                   Farmington   MSHSL   1  AA  8  ( 4- 4- 0) 
    30   MN  994.4540                     Eastview   MSHSL   3  AA  9  ( 4- 4- 1) 
	
    31   MN  994.4359                   Northfield   MSHSL   1  AA 10  ( 8- 2- 0) 
    32   MN  994.4000               LakevilleNorth   MSHSL   1  AA  8  ( 4- 4- 0) 
    33   MN  994.3743                     Moorhead   MSHSL   8  AA 11  ( 6- 5- 0) 
    34   MN  994.3260                       Simley   MSHSL   4   A  9  ( 5- 3- 1) 
    35   MN  994.1995                  AppleValley   MSHSL   3  AA  9  ( 4- 5- 0) 
    36   MN  994.0428                   MoundsView   MSHSL   5  AA 10  ( 5- 5- 0) 
    37   MN  994.0414         Brainerd/LittleFalls   MSHSL   8  AA 11  ( 6- 5- 0) 
    38   MN  993.8941                   ForestLake   MSHSL   7  AA  9  ( 4- 5- 0) 
    39   MN  993.8843                     Shakopee   MSHSL   2  AA  8  ( 2- 6- 0) 
    40   MN  993.8409                MoundWestonka   MSHSL   5   A 10  ( 7- 3- 0) 
	
    41   MN  993.8300                       Roseau   MSHSL   8  AA  8  ( 6- 2- 0) 
    42   MN  993.7969            Chaska/Chanhassen   MSHSL   2  AA 10  ( 4- 6- 0) 
    43   MN  993.7842                        Anoka   MSHSL   7  AA  8  ( 1- 7- 0) 
    44   MN  993.7144                  SouthStPaul   MSHSL   4   A  8  ( 2- 5- 1) 
    45   MN  993.6801                    EastRidge   MSHSL   4  AA 10  ( 6- 4- 0) 
    46   MN  993.5940                   Alexandria   MSHSL   8  AA  8  ( 3- 4- 1) 
    47   MN  993.5098             Osseo/ParkCenter   MSHSL   5  AA  9  ( 5- 4- 0) 
    48   MN  993.5037      ChamplinPark/CoonRapids   MSHSL   5  AA  9  ( 4- 5- 0) 
    49   MN  993.2343                       NewUlm   MSHSL   3   A  7  ( 7- 0- 0) 
    50   MN  993.0803                MooseLakeArea   MSHSL   7   A  8  ( 7- 1- 0) 
	
    51   MN  992.9827                      Luverne   MSHSL   3   A  9  ( 8- 1- 0) 
    52   MN  992.9463         BloomingtonJefferson   MSHSL   2  AA  8  ( 6- 2- 0) 
    53   MN  992.8925                        Eagan   MSHSL   3  AA 10  ( 1- 8- 1) 
    54   MN  992.6651                 ChisagoLakes   MSHSL   4   A 11  ( 5- 6- 0) 
    55   MN  992.6196         Cloquet-Esko-Carlton   MSHSL   7   A  9  ( 4- 4- 1) 
    56   MN  992.3362                    PriorLake   MSHSL   2  AA  7  ( 2- 4- 1) 
    57   MN  992.3063                  FergusFalls   MSHSL   6   A  8  ( 7- 1- 0) 
    58   MN  992.1105                     Woodbury   MSHSL   4  AA 10  ( 5- 5- 0) 
    59   MN  992.0418                  DodgeCounty   MSHSL   1  AA  9  ( 3- 6- 0) 
    60   MN  992.0148          NorthSt.Paul/Tartan   MSHSL   4  AA  7  ( 4- 3- 0) 
	
    61   MN  991.9472                     St.Cloud   MSHSL   8  AA 10  ( 6- 4- 0) 
    62   WI  991.9194             CentralWisconsin    WIAA   1   A  5  ( 5- 0- 0) 
    63   MN  991.8904                  Minneapolis   MSHSL   5   A  8  ( 2- 5- 1) 
    64   MN  991.8474             Hibbing/Chisholm   MSHSL   7   A 10  ( 5- 4- 1) 
    65   MN  991.5874           ParkofCottageGrove   MSHSL   3  AA  9  ( 5- 4- 0) 
    66   MN  991.4623                     Owatonna   MSHSL   1  AA  7  ( 6- 1- 0) 
    67   MN  991.2184            TwoRivers/St.Paul   MSHSL   4   A  8  ( 3- 5- 0) 
    68   MN  991.2109                WhiteBearLake   MSHSL   4  AA 10  ( 2- 8- 0) 
    69   MN  991.1606                      Buffalo   MSHSL   8  AA 10  ( 2- 7- 1) 
    70   MN  991.1030             Armstrong/Cooper   MSHSL   6  AA  8  ( 3- 5- 0)
	 
    71   MN  990.9779                       Duluth   MSHSL   7  AA  9  ( 1- 8- 0) 
    72   MN  990.8746                     Hastings   MSHSL   3  AA 10  ( 4- 5- 1) 
    73   MN  990.8484              MinnehahaUnited   MSHSL   6  AA 11  ( 8- 3- 0) 
    74   MN  990.7975                   RiverLakes   MSHSL   6   A  9  ( 4- 5- 0) 
    75   WI  990.7636                      BayArea    WIAA   2   A  8  ( 6- 2- 0) 
    76   MN  990.7462                        Breck   MSHSL   5   A  7  ( 0- 7- 0) 
    77   MN  990.7264                    NewPrague   MSHSL   2  AA  7  ( 5- 1- 1) 
    78   MN  990.6231                 Hopkins/Park   MSHSL   6  AA  9  ( 3- 6- 0) 
    79   WI  990.1993             WesternWisconsin    WIAA   1   A  7  ( 6- 1- 0) 
    80   WI  990.0421               FoxCitiesStars    WIAA   2   A  5  ( 4- 1- 0) 
	
    81   WI  989.9885                    MetroLynx    WIAA   2   A  7  ( 7- 0- 0) 
    82   ND  989.9532                  FargoDavies   NDHSL   0   A  6  ( 6- 0- 0) 
    83   MN  989.9320                    Crookston   MSHSL   8   A 10  ( 6- 3- 1) 
    84   MN  989.8921              Delano/Rockford   MSHSL   5   A 10  ( 4- 5- 1) 
    85   MN  989.6856                  MankatoEast   MSHSL   2   A  7  ( 4- 3- 0) 
    86   ND  989.5057                       Mandan   NDHSL   0   A  6  ( 4- 2- 0) 
    87   MN  989.3597                      Willmar   MSHSL   6   A  9  ( 4- 5- 0) 
    88   MN  989.3488           Sartell/SaukRapids   MSHSL   8  AA 10  ( 3- 7- 0) 
    89   ND  989.2174                        Minot   NDHSL   0   A  6  ( 4- 2- 0) 
    90   WI  989.1303                 HaywardCo-Op    WIAA   1   A  5  ( 3- 2- 0) 
	
    91   MN  988.9220          Irondale/St.Anthony   MSHSL   5  AA 10  ( 2- 8- 0) 
    92   ND  988.9083                     Bismarck   NDHSL   0   A  6  ( 4- 1- 1) 
    93   MN  988.8179               EastGrandForks   MSHSL   8   A  6  ( 2- 4- 0) 
    94   MN  988.7841                    Mahtomedi   MSHSL   4  AA  7  ( 2- 5- 0) 
    95   ND  988.7153             FargoNorth/South   NDHSL   0   A  4  ( 1- 3- 0) 
    96   MN  988.6150                   Hutchinson   MSHSL   2   A  8  ( 1- 7- 0) 
    97   ND  988.4939              WestFargoUnited   NDHSL   0   A  8  ( 4- 2- 2) 
    98   WI  988.4882                     Onalaska    WIAA   2   A  8  ( 4- 4- 0) 
    99   MN  988.4149     Litchfield/Dassel-Cokato   MSHSL   2   A  9  ( 5- 4- 0) 
   100   MN  988.3979                     Marshall   MSHSL   3   A 10  ( 5- 4- 1)
    
   101   MN  988.3273                      Bemidji   MSHSL   8  AA  7  ( 0- 6- 1) 
   102   WI  988.1255                       Hudson    WIAA   1   A  4  ( 2- 2- 0) 
   103   WI  988.0704               St.CroixValley    WIAA   1   A  6  ( 4- 2- 0) 
   104   MN  988.0558              ThiefRiverFalls   MSHSL   8   A  9  ( 2- 5- 2) 
   105   MN  987.8364                 NorthernTier   MSHSL   7  AA  8  ( 1- 7- 0) 
   106   MN  987.5412                NorthernLakes   MSHSL   6   A 10  ( 5- 5- 0) 
   107   MN  987.3810                      Waconia   MSHSL   2   A  9  ( 2- 6- 1) 
   108   WI  987.3005                    CFMSabers    WIAA   1   A  6  ( 3- 3- 0) 
   109   WI  987.1851               NorthlandPines    WIAA   1   A  5  ( 3- 2- 0) 
   110   MN  987.1187                 PineCityArea   MSHSL   5   A  7  ( 4- 3- 0) 
   
   111   MN  987.1108                   Visitation   MSHSL   4   A  8  ( 4- 4- 0) 
   112   MN  987.1087                    AlbertLea   MSHSL   1   A 10  ( 4- 5- 1) 
   113   WI  987.0298                  USMWildcats    WIAA   2   A  6  ( 2- 3- 1) 
   114   WI  987.0265             SuperiorSpartans    WIAA   1   A  6  ( 3- 3- 0) 
   115   WI  986.9926                     Warbirds    WIAA   2   A  4  ( 1- 2- 1) 
   116   WI  986.9620                    Lightning    WIAA   2   A  7  ( 4- 3- 0) 
   117   WI  986.9364                     Icebergs    WIAA   2   A  6  ( 4- 2- 0) 
   118   WI  986.8756              BlackRiverFalls    WIAA   1   A  9  ( 4- 5- 0) 
   119   MN  986.7532                       Austin   MSHSL   1   A  8  ( 3- 5- 0) 
   120   WI  986.6924               CapCityCougars    WIAA   2   A  9  ( 5- 4- 0) 
   
   121   MN  986.6589               MinnesotaRiver   MSHSL   2   A 11  ( 4- 7- 0) 
   122   WI  986.5437                EauClaireArea    WIAA   1   A  7  ( 2- 5- 0) 
   123   MN  986.4455                   NorthShore   MSHSL   7   A  8  ( 2- 6- 0) 
   124   MN  985.9522                    RockRidge   MSHSL   7   A  9  ( 2- 7- 0) 
   125   MN  985.8590                RochesterMayo   MSHSL   1  AA  8  ( 3- 5- 0) 
   126   WI  985.6989                      Viroqua    WIAA   2   A  6  ( 3- 3- 0) 
   127   ND  985.6472                   GrandForks   NDHSL   0   A  6  ( 3- 3- 0) 
   128   ND  985.5644                    Jamestown   NDHSL   0   A  5  ( 2- 3- 0) 
   129   MN  985.1849             RochesterCentury   MSHSL   1  AA  9  ( 2- 7- 0) 
   130   WI  985.1400                   RockCounty    WIAA   2   A  9  ( 4- 4- 1) 
   
   131   MN  984.6906                       Windom   MSHSL   3   A  9  ( 2- 7- 0) 
   132   MN  984.0787                     Fairmont   MSHSL   3   A  9  ( 2- 5- 2) 
   133   WI  983.7673                   Brookfield    WIAA   2   A  7  ( 1- 5- 1) 
   134   WI  983.2375              BadgerLightning    WIAA   2   A  5  ( 2- 3- 0) 
   135   WI  983.1851                 NorthernEdge    WIAA   1   A  1  ( 0- 1- 0) 
   136   MN  982.4438                      RedWing   MSHSL   4   A 11  ( 2- 9- 0) 
   137   MN  982.2540                       Winona   MSHSL   1   A  6  ( 0- 6- 0) 
   138   WI  982.1543                    Arrowhead    WIAA   2   A  5  ( 0- 5- 0) 
   139   ND  981.9756                    Dickinson   NDHSL   0   A  6  ( 2- 4- 0) 
   140   ND  981.9371                    Williston   NDHSL   0   A  6  ( 2- 4- 0) 
   
   141   WI  981.9000               WisValleyUnion    WIAA   1   A  3  ( 0- 3- 0) 
   142   MN  981.7983                  Worthington   MSHSL   3   A  9  ( 1- 8- 0) 
   143   MN  981.7968                  MankatoWest   MSHSL   2   A  7  ( 3- 4- 0) 
   144   MN  981.6089                       Waseca   MSHSL   1   A 10  ( 2- 7- 1) 
   145   MN  981.5498                    Princeton   MSHSL   7  AA  8  ( 1- 7- 0) 
   146   MN  981.4793        Breckenridge-Wahpeton   MSHSL   6   A  5  ( 2- 3- 0) 
   147   SD  981.3144                     Mitchell   SDAHA   0   A  4  ( 4- 0- 0) 
   148   SD  980.4457                   SiouxFalls   SDAHA   0   A  4  ( 4- 0- 0) 
   149   MN  980.1357                PrairieCentre   MSHSL   6   A  8  ( 1- 7- 0) 
   150   SD  979.3363                     Aberdeen   SDAHA   0   A  8  ( 8- 0- 0) 
   
   151   MN  979.1652                 DetroitLakes   MSHSL   8   A  9  ( 3- 6- 0) 
   152   ND  978.9756               WatfordCity19U   NDAHA   0   B  1  ( 0- 1- 0) 
   153   MN  978.5975           InternationalFalls   MSHSL   8   A  4  ( 0- 4- 0) 
   154   ND  978.2271                   Langdon19U   NDAHA   0   B  2  ( 2- 0- 0) 
   155   ND  977.2940                   DevilsLake   NDHSL   0   A  7  ( 1- 6- 0) 
   156   ND  976.3363                    Mandan19U   NDAHA   0   B  8  ( 5- 2- 1) 
   157   WI  976.0881                      Medford    WIAA   1   A  2  ( 0- 2- 0) 
   158   ND  975.8652                     Minot19U   NDAHA   0   B  4  ( 4- 0- 0) 
   159   WI  975.7560                    BeaverDam    WIAA   2   A  5  ( 0- 5- 0) 
   160   ND  975.2652                 Bottineau19U   NDAHA   0   B  7  ( 2- 5- 0) 
   
   161   SD  974.4064                         Oahe   SDAHA   0   A  5  ( 2- 3- 0) 
   162   SD  974.4042                    Brookings   SDAHA   0   A  8  ( 4- 4- 0) 
   163   ND  974.1814                    Crosby19U   NDAHA   0   B  4  ( 1- 2- 1) 
   164   MN  974.1379            Morris/BensonArea   MSHSL   6   A  5  ( 0- 5- 0) 
   165   ND  974.1180                  Bismarck19U   NDAHA   0   B  5  ( 2- 3- 0) 
   166   SD  973.2438                    Watertown   SDAHA   0   A  7  ( 3- 4- 0) 
   167   SD  972.5979                  SiouxCenter   SDAHA   0   A  6  ( 1- 5- 0) 
   168   SD  972.5723                     Rushmore   SDAHA   0   A  7  ( 2- 5- 0) 
   169   SD  972.3658                        Huron   SDAHA   0   A 11  ( 4- 7- 0) 
   170   ND  972.2588                 Williston19U   NDAHA   0   B  2  ( 0- 2- 0) 
   
   171   SD  971.5650                      Yankton   SDAHA   0   A  5  ( 1- 4- 0) 
   172   ND  971.3363                  Richland19U   NDAHA   0   B  1  ( 0- 1- 0) 
   173   ND  970.8962                 Northwood19U   NDAHA   0   B  4  ( 0- 4- 0) 
   174   MN  970.3363                    Duluth19U    MAHA   0   B  1  ( 0- 1- 0) 


j4241
Posts: 533
Joined: Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:38 pm

Re: WEEK 05: Girls HS Hockey Computerized Ratings

Post by j4241 » Wed Dec 15, 2021 7:32 am

To my point about parity after the top 3, the gap in your score metric between 3 and 4 is roughly the same as the gap between 4 and 16 - that's a pretty tight grouping between that large a nubmer of teams. What does your score metric mean, though? Can it be used to predict game outcomes? The myhockeyrankings.com site's scores predict goal differential - if one team has a 95 and another has a 93, that implies the first team wins by 2. Any similar implied heuristic with yours?

Also, we will have a lot more useful info in the next two weeks. Two tourneys with top end fields - Edina's and Blake/Brecks. The former has Edina, Minnetonka, Andover, Maple Grove, Wayzata and a few others. The other has Blake, Centennial, Stillwater, Hill Murray, Gentry and Holy Family (among others). Those games should provide some good insight into separating the pack.

girlshockey4ever
Posts: 147
Joined: Mon Oct 12, 2020 9:53 am

Re: WEEK 05: Girls HS Hockey Computerized Ratings

Post by girlshockey4ever » Wed Dec 15, 2021 7:48 am

What teams will be missing players due to u-18 team USA? Always interesting at this time of year. A teams depth really shows.

j4241
Posts: 533
Joined: Fri Feb 20, 2015 2:38 pm

Re: WEEK 05: Girls HS Hockey Computerized Ratings

Post by j4241 » Wed Dec 15, 2021 8:26 am

I haven’t heard confirmation, but someone said they are leaving on the 30th. The Edina tourney is over on the 29th, so Lindsay wouldn’t miss any games for Tonka. In the Blake tourney, Gazdik at Gentry, St Martin at Stillwater, Burgen at Chisago and Blair and Kaiser at Holy Family would miss the third games of that tourney. Not sure what tourney Enright at LVS or Peschel at BSM are playing in.

Tonka will miss Lindsay a bit (2 points/game, but only has points on 1/3 of their goals), Stillwater will miss St Martin a bit (1ppg and 1/3), Gentry will miss Gazdik at D (although if I have the names right the twin playing for the US only has 4 points so far), LVS will miss Enright, but Chisago, BSM and particularly Holy Family will be decimated without their losses. The tourney doesn’t end until January 15 and I’m not sure what quarantine requirements there might be returning. Safe to say some game outcomes (and therefore rankings) will be affected by those absences.

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