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2002-03 Western Pennsylvania AAA High School Hockey Ratings

Western Pennsylvania HS Scores -these scores are what the ratings are based upon. Scores from the PA Hockey site. New scores and ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. MESSAGE BOARD - Discuss United States High School Hockey Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  OH  PA-E  PA-W1A  PA-W2A  PA-W3A  RI  VT  WI  wWI  USA  Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. High School Hockey Forums The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared from one week to the next or between different ratings lists). A teams listed W-L-T record reflects only those games that have been reported and are in the scores database. Apologies in advance for not being able to accept scores that are not reported in the proper format as described above. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . Receive email when this page changes RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Meadville,_________________________ 15 2 2, 2.2, 6.3, 8.53 2,Bethel Park,_______________________ 14 1 3, 2.1, 6.3, 8.44 3,Cathedral Prep,____________________ 15 3 0, 2.2, 6.0, 8.15 4,Mt. Lebanon,_______________________ 11 4 3, 1.6, 6.5, 8.03 5,Franklin Regional,_________________ 13 5 1, 1.7, 6.1, 7.79 6,Central Catholic,__________________ 14 4 1, 1.6, 6.0, 7.60 7,McDowell,__________________________ 13 5 2, 1.5, 5.8, 7.34, 7.71 8,Plum,______________________________ 10 8 1, 0.9, 6.4, 7.26 9,Gateway,___________________________ 13 6 0, 1.2, 6.0, 7.18 10,Baldwin,___________________________ 12 7 1, 0.8, 6.1, 6.89, 6.20 11,Upper St. Clair,___________________ 9 8 3, 0.8, 6.1, 6.88, 7.55 12,Fox Chapel,________________________ 12 8 0, 1.0, 5.9, 6.85, 6.96 13,North Allegheny,___________________ 8 11 1, 0.1, 6.7, 6.80, 6.88 14,Latrobe,___________________________ 11 7 1, 0.6, 5.6, 6.21 15,North Hills,_______________________ 10 10 0, -0.1, 6.2, 6.15, 6.04 16,Shaler,____________________________ 8 11 1, -0.4, 6.1, 5.79, 6.20 17,Penn Trafford,_____________________ 9 11 0, -0.5, 5.5, 4.97, 5.02 18,Penn Hills,________________________ 4 14 1, -2.0, 6.2, 4.15 19,Hempfield,_________________________ 4 16 0, -1.9, 5.8, 3.94, 4.06 20,Butler,____________________________ 5 15 0, -1.8, 5.7, 3.92, 4.03 21,Norwin,____________________________ 5 13 1, -1.7, 5.5, 3.77 22,Allderdice,________________________ 4 15 0, -2.7, 6.0, 3.36 23,Connellsville,_____________________ 2 17 0, -3.2, 5.6, 2.42 24,Woodland Hills,____________________ 0 20 0, -3.7, 5.8, 2.17, 2.48 189 predicted correctly 32 predicted incorrectly Ties 11 Predict Pct 0.85520 The Goal Diff Limit is set at 4

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last updated 2-4-03