2004-05 Western Pennsylvania High School Hockey Rankings

  Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score  is listed on the 2004-2005 Western Pennsylvania High School Hockey Scores page.   Scores from the PA Hockey site.   The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list. The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate. As of 1/8/05 games between teams that are ranked more than 5 goals apart are not used in calculating either team's ranking. Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MD  MD-VA  ME  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  WNY Club  OH  PA-E  PA-W  RI  VA  VT  WI  wWI  USA  New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . Receive email when this page changes Note: Teams Totals can only be compared relative to others in their own class. KEY: WPAA=AAA WPAB=AA WPAC=A WPAO=Open

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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,North Allegheny,WPAA,_______________ 28 2 0, 2.6, 8.7, 11.38, 11.80 2,Bethel Park,WPAA,___________________ 32 3 0, 2.4, 8.7, 11.05, 11.70 3,Mt. Lebanon,WPAA,___________________ 26 6 0, 1.7, 8.1, 9.80, 9.71 4,Upper St. Clair,WPAA,_______________ 19 6 0, 1.3, 7.9, 9.20, 9.02 5,Plum,WPAA,__________________________ 20 5 1, 1.6, 7.0, 8.62, 8.64 6,McDowell,WPAA,______________________ 23 8 2, 1.1, 7.3, 8.46, 7.87 7,Penn-Trafford,WPAA,_________________ 16 7 1, 1.2, 7.0, 8.17, 7.59 8,Meadville,WPAA,_____________________ 17 11 2, 0.5, 7.7, 8.15, 10.18 9,Central Catholic,WPAA,______________ 14 14 1, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 7.69 10,Fox Chapel,WPAA,____________________ 14 11 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.32, 7.82 11,Franklin Regional,WPAA,_____________ 11 13 1, -0.2, 6.6, 6.47, 6.91 12,North Hills,WPAA,___________________ 13 12 0, -0.4, 6.6, 6.22, 6.67 13,Seneca Valley,WPAA,_________________ 10 15 0, -0.5, 6.5, 5.94, 6.36 14,Butler,WPAA,________________________ 6 18 0, -1.0, 6.7, 5.69, 5.40 15,Erie Cathedral Prep,WPAA,___________ 8 21 2, -1.1, 6.8, 5.66, 4.59 16,Gateway,WPAA,_______________________ 8 16 1, -1.0, 6.6, 5.62, 6.20 17,Baldwin,WPAA,_______________________ 6 17 2, -1.4, 6.7, 5.31, 5.94 18,Norwin,WPAA,________________________ 7 17 0, -1.1, 6.2, 5.06, 4.86 19,Shaler,WPAA,________________________ 2 19 3, -1.9, 5.9, 4.00, 4.72 20,State College,WPAA,_________________ 3 19 3, -2.2, 5.9, 3.68, 2.63 21,Kiski Area,WPAA,____________________ 1 21 2, -2.1, 5.5, 3.38, 3.21 22,Hempfield,WPAA,_____________________ 2 22 0, -2.2, 5.3, 3.15, 2.71 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Canon McMillan,WPAB,________________ 20 2 1, 1.9, 7.7, 9.58, 9.05 2,Montour,WPAB,_______________________ 16 6 1, 1.5, 8.0, 9.47, 10.23 3,Peters Township,WPAB,_______________ 18 7 0, 1.3, 7.7, 9.05, 10.17 4,West Allegheny,WPAB,________________ 15 7 0, 1.6, 7.2, 8.82, 7.34 5,Pine-Richland,WPAB,_________________ 17 4 0, 1.6, 7.1, 8.67, 10.22 6,Indiana,WPAB,_______________________ 17 4 2, 1.4, 7.3, 8.63, 7.60 7,Greensburg CC,WPAB,_________________ 16 7 1, 1.3, 7.2, 8.53, 9.68 8,Thomas Jefferson,WPAB,______________ 12 11 1, 0.4, 7.7, 8.05, 8.85 9,Kittanning,WPAB,____________________ 12 9 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.59, 8.94 10,Canevin,WPAB,_______________________ 9 12 2, 0.3, 6.9, 7.20, 6.39 11,Moon,WPAB,__________________________ 8 13 2, -0.2, 7.2, 6.97, 7.57 12,South Park,WPAB,____________________ 10 11 1, -0.3, 7.3, 6.96, 7.33 13,Elizabeth Forward,WPAB,_____________ 10 13 0, -0.7, 7.4, 6.67, 7.90 14,Somerset,WPAB,______________________ 7 15 0, -1.0, 7.2, 6.27, 5.88 15,Mercyhurst Prep,WPAB,_______________ 4 2 1, 0.4, 5.8, 6.27 16,Blackhawk,WPAB,_____________________ 4 16 1, -1.9, 7.4, 5.51, 6.05 17,Latrobe,WPAB,_______________________ 5 15 1, -1.7, 6.8, 5.07, 4.52 18,Hampton,WPAB,_______________________ 5 16 0, -2.1, 6.9, 4.84, 4.18 19,Ambridge,WPAB,______________________ 3 19 0, -2.3, 7.0, 4.74, 3.70 20,Harborcreek,WPAB,___________________ 0 3 2, -2.4, 6.2, 3.84 21,Johnstown,WPAB,_____________________ 0 22 0, -3.5, 6.0, 2.51, 2.62 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Serra Catholic,WPAC,________________ 21 2 0, 2.8, 4.1, 6.85, 6.33 2,Bishop McCort,WPAC,_________________ 21 4 0, 2.3, 4.2, 6.50, 6.69 3,Quaker Valley,WPAC,_________________ 19 3 1, 1.7, 4.3, 6.02, 6.79 4,Sewickley Academy,WPAC,_____________ 17 6 0, 1.6, 3.7, 5.26, 5.14 5,Westmont Hilltop,WPAC,______________ 15 9 0, 0.4, 3.1, 3.49, 2.70 6,Mars,WPAC,__________________________ 14 8 2, 0.5, 2.9, 3.46, 4.05 7,Freeport,WPAC,______________________ 14 9 1, 0.5, 2.3, 2.85, 1.87 8,Quigley,WPAC,_______________________ 10 11 2, 0.2, 2.6, 2.81, 1.74 9,Richland Cambria,WPAC,______________ 7 13 1, -0.8, 3.2, 2.41, 3.44 10,Forest Hills,WPAC,__________________ 7 15 0, -1.1, 3.3, 2.17, 1.38 11,North Catholic,WPAC,________________ 5 17 1, -1.1, 2.1, 0.98, 3.43 12,Deer Lakes,WPAC,____________________ 7 16 0, -1.1, 2.0, 0.92, 0.85 13,Steel Valley,WPAC,__________________ 5 16 1, -1.5, 2.1, 0.60, 0.01 14,South Fayette,WPAC,_________________ 2 20 0, -2.4, 1.8, -0.59, -0.93 15,Ferndale,WPAC,______________________ 2 20 0, -3.0, 1.5, -1.48, -2.00 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Chartiers Valley,WPAO,______________ 20 1 0, 3.0, 8.4, 11.41 2,Penn Hills,WPAO,____________________ 16 3 1, 1.8, 8.3, 10.12, 9.77 3,Wheeling Park,WPAO,_________________ 16 4 1, 2.1, 7.3, 9.35, 9.97 4,Wheeling CC,WPAO,___________________ 16 5 0, 2.0, 7.1, 9.06, 9.57 5,Carrick,WPAO,_______________________ 16 5 0, 1.7, 7.3, 8.94, 9.50 6,Linsly,WPAO,________________________ 12 8 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.90, 7.22 7,Ringgold,WPAO,______________________ 10 10 0, -0.3, 6.9, 6.61, 7.30 8,Connellsville,WPAO,_________________ 6 14 1, -1.4, 7.1, 5.67, 6.03 9,Woodland Hills,WPAO,________________ 6 15 0, -1.5, 7.1, 5.54, 4.21 10,West Mifflin,WPAO,__________________ 4 16 1, -1.3, 6.7, 5.46, 5.60 11,Allderdice,WPAO,____________________ 5 16 0, -1.4, 6.2, 4.88, 5.98 12,Trinity,WPAO,_______________________ 4 17 0, -1.7, 6.5, 4.81, 4.51 13,Valley,WPAO,________________________ 2 19 0, -2.4, 5.7, 3.32, 2.18

last updated 4-1-05


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