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2002-03 Wisconsin Ratings

(Scores through 3/09/03)

Link to last year's (2001-2002) final ratings   Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score  is listed on the 2002-2003 Wisconsin HS Scores page.   Wisconsin scores provided by WisconsinPrepHockey.Net   The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then  adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative  error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is  reached (convergence).      The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between  any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a  neutral site between those two teams.  It should be noted that due to goal differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other. The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list. The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed). Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely that ranking is to be accurate.    * indicates teams with only two game scores used to calculate rating.  Links to other ratings: CT  IA  IL  IN  MA  MI  MN  MN-WI-ND  MO  ND  Northeast  NH  NJ  NY  OH  PA-E  PA-W1A  PA-W2A  PA-W3A  RI  VT  WI  wWI  USA  Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1  Back to US HS Hockey Online main page. High School Hockey Forums The 2002-2003 Wisconsin ratings again performed quite well in the sectional and state tournaments. The Feb 2 ratings, frozen at the time of the coaches' seedings, correctly picked two more winners than the coaches' seedings in the 64 sectional games (despite the disadvantage of having home ice awarded based on the seedings) and the March 2 ratings correctly picked all 7 state tournament game winning teams. More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past accuracy can be found here . As of 12/18/02 the Minnesota, Wisconsin, and North Dakota rankings and a regional ranking that includes teams from all three states are all calculated simultaneously from the same scores file. This allows games between interstate opponents from these states to affect each others ratings based on their rating in the adjacent state. Receive email when this page changes RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Hudson,WI,_________________________ 20 2 1, 2.7, 8.7, 11.33, 10.58 2,Superior,WI,_______________________ 23 3 0, 2.5, 8.7, 11.20, 10.74 3,New Richmond,WI,___________________ 23 3 0, 2.7, 8.0, 10.65, 11.47 4,Northland Pines,WI,________________ 20 3 0, 2.4, 7.7, 10.18, 10.77 5,Wisconsin Rapids,WI,_______________ 23 1 1, 2.6, 7.6, 10.13, 9.70 6,Verona,WI,_________________________ 20 3 1, 2.3, 7.5, 9.81, 10.20 7,Mosinee,WI,________________________ 17 4 0, 2.0, 7.6, 9.58, 7.91 8,Wausau West,WI,____________________ 18 4 3, 1.6, 7.9, 9.49, 11.19 9,Hayward,WI,________________________ 15 9 0, 0.8, 8.7, 9.45, 9.43 10,Arrowhead,WI,______________________ 20 1 1, 2.5, 7.0, 9.42, 8.84 11,Rice Lake,WI,______________________ 13 9 0, 1.0, 8.3, 9.31, 9.60 12,Madison Memorial,WI,_______________ 17 5 2, 1.9, 7.3, 9.16, 9.32 13,Stevens Point,WI,__________________ 14 7 1, 1.3, 7.8, 9.12, 9.29 14,Eau Claire Memorial,WI,____________ 12 10 0, 0.4, 8.5, 8.96, 9.20 15,Menomonie,WI,______________________ 13 8 1, 0.9, 8.0, 8.90, 10.23 16,Marquette,WI,______________________ 15 4 3, 1.9, 7.0, 8.85, 8.30 17,Stoughton,WI,______________________ 14 8 0, 1.9, 6.9, 8.81, 8.08 18,Janesville,WI,_____________________ 17 5 1, 1.8, 7.0, 8.76, 8.70 19,University School,WI,______________ 14 9 1, 0.9, 7.8, 8.72, 9.14 20,Fond du Lac,WI,____________________ 15 8 0, 0.7, 8.0, 8.62, 9.14 21,Lakeland,WI,_______________________ 12 7 3, 0.5, 8.1, 8.57, 8.76 22,Sparta/West Salem,WI,______________ 21 2 0, 2.5, 6.1, 8.55, 8.12 23,Neenah,WI,_________________________ 14 6 1, 1.0, 7.4, 8.42, 8.73 24,Homestead,WI,______________________ 18 4 1, 1.9, 6.4, 8.31, 8.53 25,Waupaca,WI,________________________ 13 7 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.19, 7.07 26,Beaver Dam,WI,_____________________ 13 8 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.16, 7.69 27,Rhinelander,WI,____________________ 10 10 2, 0.3, 7.8, 8.10, 8.41 28,Middleton,WI,______________________ 13 10 1, 0.6, 7.3, 7.91, 9.02 29,Antigo,WI,_________________________ 9 9 3, 0.3, 7.5, 7.85, 7.09 30,Medford,WI,________________________ 10 10 1, 0.3, 7.6, 7.85, 7.54 31,Appleton,WI,_______________________ 11 11 1, 0.1, 7.5, 7.59, 8.03 32,McFarland-Oregon,WI,_______________ 13 9 0, 0.5, 7.1, 7.58, 8.53 33,Onalaska,WI,_______________________ 12 8 1, 1.0, 6.5, 7.53, 7.47 34,Eau Claire North,WI,_______________ 7 12 1, -0.9, 8.5, 7.51, 6.31 35,Madison Edgewood,WI,_______________ 10 9 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.47, 7.06 36,DC Everest,WI,_____________________ 7 13 1, -0.6, 7.8, 7.20, 6.43 37,Chippewa Falls,WI,_________________ 7 14 1, -1.6, 8.8, 7.18, 7.10 38,Catholic Memorial,WI,______________ 8 12 1, -0.5, 7.6, 7.17, 6.65 39,Madison West,WI,___________________ 11 8 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.16, 7.27 40,Viroqua,WI,________________________ 11 9 1, 0.8, 6.3, 7.15, 7.19 41,Tomahawk,WI,_______________________ 10 12 0, -0.5, 7.6, 7.12, 6.81 42,Sun Prairie,WI,____________________ 10 10 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.07, 7.76 43,Brookfield,WI,_____________________ 11 10 1, -0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 6.90 44,Black River Falls,WI,______________ 13 4 2, 0.6, 6.3, 6.86, 7.05 45,Sauk Prairie,WI,___________________ 13 8 1, 1.0, 5.8, 6.84, 6.10 46,Ashland,WI,________________________ 6 16 0, -0.7, 7.5, 6.75, 6.57 47,Kettle Moraine/Mukwonago,WI,_______ 12 8 0, 0.8, 5.8, 6.66, 7.39 48,Tomah,WI,__________________________ 10 9 2, 0.1, 6.4, 6.57, 5.66 49,Altoona,WI,________________________ 12 8 1, 0.7, 5.8, 6.43, 4.68 50,Marshfield,WI,_____________________ 7 14 1, -1.2, 7.6, 6.41, 6.35 51,Waukesha,WI,_______________________ 10 12 0, 0.3, 5.9, 6.19, 6.83 52,McDonell Central,WI,_______________ 11 8 0, 0.1, 6.1, 6.16, 7.11 53,Somerset,WI,_______________________ 6 12 0, -1.7, 7.8, 6.12, 7.75 54,Beloit,WI,_________________________ 8 12 1, -0.7, 6.8, 6.11, 4.54 55,River Falls,WI,____________________ 4 16 1, -1.9, 7.8, 5.99, 6.56 56,Baldwin-Woodville,WI,______________ 9 11 1, -0.0, 6.0, 5.92, 5.86 57,Waupun,WI,_________________________ 4 17 0, -1.3, 7.2, 5.85, 6.92 58,Madison LaFollette,WI,_____________ 5 16 0, -1.9, 7.5, 5.62, 5.57 59,Spooner,WI,________________________ 4 17 1, -1.6, 7.1, 5.50, 5.17 60,Kenosha,WI,________________________ 9 11 1, -0.5, 5.8, 5.28, 7.02 61,Baraboo,WI,________________________ 7 14 0, -1.2, 6.3, 5.11, 6.24 62,Reedsburg,WI,______________________ 8 12 1, -0.6, 5.7, 5.06, 4.21 63,Cedarburg,WI,______________________ 9 8 0, 0.4, 4.6, 4.97, 5.09 64,Monona Grove,WI,___________________ 2 19 1, -2.5, 7.4, 4.94, 5.14 65,Wausau East,WI,____________________ 2 18 0, -2.9, 7.8, 4.93, 3.99 66,LaCrosse,WI,_______________________ 5 14 2, -1.8, 6.6, 4.83, 4.58 67,Merrill,WI,________________________ 2 18 0, -2.7, 7.5, 4.75, 5.17 68,Park Falls,WI,_____________________ 3 17 0, -2.3, 7.0, 4.74, 4.56 69,DeForest-Poynette,WI,______________ 9 12 1, -0.9, 5.5, 4.68, 5.18 70,Madison East,WI,___________________ 2 18 1, -2.4, 7.1, 4.66, 5.15 71,Wauwatosa,WI,______________________ 10 7 1, 0.4, 4.2, 4.58, 5.05 72,Waunakee,WI,_______________________ 4 17 0, -2.1, 6.6, 4.52, 4.66 73,Milwaukee Pius XI,WI,______________ 4 16 1, -2.0, 6.5, 4.51, 4.65 74,Whitefish Bay,WI,__________________ 10 11 0, -0.4, 4.9, 4.43, 4.18 75,Grafton,WI,________________________ 12 9 0, 0.7, 3.6, 4.33, 4.41 76,Amery,WI,__________________________ 2 18 0, -2.8, 6.9, 4.14, 4.69 77,Sheboygan,WI,______________________ 1 20 0, -3.0, 7.1, 4.07, 4.78 78,Fond du Lac Springs,WI,____________ 6 15 0, -1.8, 5.0, 3.25, 1.88 79,Oconomowoc/Pewaukee,WI,____________ 2 15 1, -2.2, 5.4, 3.16, 1.87 80,Holmen/Aquinas,WI,_________________ 0 19 0, -3.8, 6.4, 2.65, 3.27 81,Barron Chetek,WI,__________________ 0 13 0, -3.2, 5.5, 2.24, 2.15 82,Menomonee Falls/Hamilton,WI,_______ 2 13 0, -3.0, 4.0, 0.97, 1.94

last updated 3-25-03