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Comparing 2013 Steel Polls

(BestRollerCoasterPoll.com vs. Amusement Today Golden Ticket Awards)

Perhaps the most publicized annual roller coaster poll is the one conducted by Amusement Today for their Golden Ticket Awards. The following analysis started as an attempt to make sense of the The 2013 Golden Ticket Awards Steel Coaster Rankings. The Golden Ticket Awards use a total points method of ranking coasters, most likely by awarding 10 points for a #1 ranking on a ballot... 1 point for a #10 ranking on a ballot and totalling the points. BestRollerCoasterPoll.com uses a pairwise mutual rider comparison method whereby each pair of rollercoasters is judged relative to each other based on which order each person who has ridden them both has placed them. After each pair is analyzed all coasters are ranked by the percentage of the other coasters that each coaster is preferred over by the majority of people. How different are the results of the BestRollerCoasterPoll.com steel poll and the Golden Ticket Awards? As you can see below the results are very different. The following graphic is ordered as the Golden Ticket Awards but shows the BestRollerCoasterPoll.com rankings:
BRCP GT Diff Steel Coaster Park Loc
14 1 -13 Millennium Force Cedar Point OH
4 2 -2 Bizarro SF New England MA
1 3 2 Expedition GeForce Holiday Park DE
24 4 -20 Nitro Six Flags Great Ad NJ
40 5 -35 Apollo's Chariot Busch Gardens Will VA
2 6 4 New Texas Giant Six Flags Over Tex TX
31 7 -24 Goliath Six Flags Over Geo GA
43 8 -35 Intimidator Carowinds NC
82 9 -73 Magnum XL-200 Cedar Point OH
3 10 7 Intimidator 305 Kings Dominion VA
10 11 1 Iron Rattler Six Flags Fiesta T TX
28 12 -16 Top Thrill Dragster Cedar Point OH
27 13 -14 Phantom's Revenge Kennywood Park PA
45 14 -31 Diamondback Kings Island OH
13 15 2 Leviathan Canadas Wonderland ON
21 16 -5 X2 Six Flags Magic Mo CA
33 17 -16 Behemoth Canadas Wonderland ON
16 18 2 Montu Busch Gardens Tamp FL
56 19 -37 Mindbender Six Flags Over Geo GA
9 20 11 Nemesis Alton Towers UK
22 21 -1 Blue Fire Megacoaster Europa Park DE
6 22 16 Maverick Cedar Point OH
79 23 -56 Goliath La Ronde Parc Amus QC
117 24 -93 Wild Eagle Dollywood TN
48 25 -23 Alpengeist Busch Gardens Will VA
5 26 21 Skyrush Hersheypark PA
29 27 -2 Kumba Busch Gardens Tamp FL
108 28 -80 GateKeeper Cedar Point OH
77 29 -48 Shockwave Six Flags Over Tex TX
60 30 -30 Raptor Cedar Point OH
76 31 -45 Raging Bull Six Flags Great Am IL
37 32 -5 SheiKra Busch Gardens Tamp FL
50 33 -17 Griffon Busch Gardens Will VA
34 34 0 Black Mamba Phantasialand DE
41 35 -6 Afterburn Carowinds NC
75 35 -40 Kingda Ka Six Flags Great Ad NJ
132 37 -95 Steel Force Dorney Park PA
63 38 -25 Superman - Ride of St Six Flags America MD
97 39 -58 Volcano: The Blast Co Kings Dominion VA
222 40 -182 Whizzer Six Flags Great Am IL
94 41 -53 Goliath Six Flags Magic Mo CA
92 42 -50 Titan Six Flags Over Tex TX
54 42 -12 Powder Keg Silver Dollar City MO
104 42 -62 Expedition Everest Disney Animal King FL
65 45 -20 Olympia Looping Traveling DE
112 45 -67 X-Flight Six Flags Great Am IL
95 47 -48 Dominator Kings Dominion VA
96 48 -48 Lisebergbanan Liseberg SE
59 48 -11 Kraken SeaWorld Orlando FL
44 50 6 Tatsu Six Flags Magic Mo CA
Is this difference all due to the different methods of analyzing the ballots? Would the results look very similar if the BRCP used the 10 point total points method? As you can see below, the results do look much more alike than they did when the more advanced BestRollerCoasterPoll.com methods were used.
GT Rank TP Pts GT Pts Diff Steel Coaster Park Loc
1 1 1225 1204 0 Millennium Force Cedar Point OH
22 2 1181 173 20 Maverick Cedar Point OH
3 3 747 598 0 Expedition GeForce Holiday Park DE
20 4 715 195 16 Nemesis Alton Towers UK
10 5 666 412 5 Intimidator 305 Kings Dominion VA
12 6 601 351 6 Top Thrill Dragster Cedar Point OH
26 7 600 124 19 Skyrush Hersheypark PA
2 8 580 1011 -6 Bizarro SF New England MA
4 9 512 596 -5 Nitro Six Flags Great Ad NJ
21 10 503 189 11 Blue Fire Megacoaster Europa Park DE
16 12 421 238 4 X2 Six Flags Magic Mo CA
18 13 392 209 5 Montu Busch Gardens Tamp FL
14 14 336 318 0 Diamondback Kings Island OH
9 16 313 416 -7 Magnum XL-200 Cedar Point OH
50 17 307 49 33 Tatsu Six Flags Magic Mo CA
27 18 304 124 9 Kumba Busch Gardens Tamp FL
5 20 302 542 -15 Apollo's Chariot Busch Gardens Will VA
30 21 302 113 9 Raptor Cedar Point OH
34 23 292 99 11 Black Mamba Phantasialand DE
6 24 278 512 -18 New Texas Giant Six Flags Over Tex TX
35 25 263 98 10 Kingda Ka Six Flags Great Ad NJ
13 30 249 332 -17 Phantom's Revenge Kennywood Park PA
28 32 236 116 -4 GateKeeper Cedar Point OH
15 35 208 292 -20 Leviathan Canadas Wonderland ON
31 36 204 111 -5 Raging Bull Six Flags Great Am IL
32 37 199 109 -5 SheiKra Busch Gardens Tamp FL
33 40 188 100 -7 Griffon Busch Gardens Will VA
7 45 164 494 -38 Goliath Six Flags Over Geo GA
11 48 151 374 -37 Iron Rattler Six Flags Fiesta T TX
25 49 150 132 -24 Alpengeist Busch Gardens Will VA
48 52 141 55 -4 Kraken SeaWorld Orlando FL
17 55 130 224 -38 Behemoth Canadas Wonderland ON
42 57 129 77 -15 Expedition Everest Disney Animal King FL
45 60 119 59 -15 X-Flight Six Flags Great Am IL
8 61 117 478 -53 Intimidator Carowinds NC
41 63 109 78 -22 Goliath Six Flags Magic Mo CA
42 68 98 66 -26 Powder Keg Silver Dollar City MO
38 79 81 91 -41 Superman - Ride of St Six Flags America MD
47 80 79 56 -33 Dominator Kings Dominion VA
39 82 78 87 -43 Volcano: The Blast Co Kings Dominion VA
24 89 71 133 -65 Wild Eagle Dollywood TN
35 90 71 94 -55 Afterburn Carowinds NC
42 93 67 74 -51 Titan Six Flags Over Tex TX
19 105 60 196 -86 Mindbender Six Flags Over Geo GA
45 106 59 58 -61 Olympia Looping Traveling DE
29 121 47 115 -92 Shockwave Six Flags Over Tex TX
37 140 41 93 -103 Steel Force Dorney Park PA
48 145 40 50 -97 Lisebergbanan Liseberg SE
40 159 36 80 -119 Whizzer Six Flags Great Am IL
23 173 32 141 -150 Goliath La Ronde Parc Amus QC
Interestingly #1 and #3 match, and the point totals are even similar. However, the rankings are still quite different. There must be a missing 'cosmological constant' of some sort at work here. The chart below is what you get when you solve for that multiplier individually by coaster and then sort the coasters by which ones need the largest points multiplier to get the known result (2013 Amusement Today Golden Ticket Awards Steel Roller Coaster Rankings).
GT Points GT Points Multiplier Steel Coaster Park Loc
23 32 141 4.4 Goliath La Ronde Parc Amus QC
8 117 478 4.1 Intimidator Carowinds NC
19 60 196 3.3 Mindbender Six Flags Over Geo GA
7 164 494 3 Goliath Six Flags Over Geo GA
11 151 374 2.5 Iron Rattler Six Flags Fiesta T TX
29 47 115 2.4 Shockwave Six Flags Over Tex TX
37 41 93 2.3 Steel Force Dorney Park PA
40 36 80 2.2 Whizzer Six Flags Great Am IL
24 71 133 1.9 Wild Eagle Dollywood TN
6 278 512 1.8 New Texas Giant Six Flags Over Tex TX
5 302 542 1.8 Apollo's Chariot Busch Gardens Will VA
2 580 1011 1.7 Bizarro SF New England MA
17 130 224 1.7 Behemoth Canadas Wonderland ON
15 208 292 1.4 Leviathan Canadas Wonderland ON
13 249 332 1.3 Phantom's Revenge Kennywood Park PA
9 313 416 1.3 Magnum XL-200 Cedar Point OH
35 71 94 1.3 Afterburn Carowinds NC
48 40 50 1.3 Lisebergbanan Liseberg SE
4 512 596 1.2 Nitro Six Flags Great Ad NJ
38 81 91 1.1 Superman - Ride of St Six Flags America MD
39 78 87 1.1 Volcano: The Blast Co Kings Dominion VA
42 67 74 1.1 Titan Six Flags Over Tex TX
45 59 58 1 Olympia Looping Traveling DE
1 1225 1204 1 Millennium Force Cedar Point OH
14 336 318 0.9 Diamondback Kings Island OH
25 150 132 0.9 Alpengeist Busch Gardens Will VA
3 747 598 0.8 Expedition GeForce Holiday Park DE
41 109 78 0.7 Goliath Six Flags Magic Mo CA
47 79 56 0.7 Dominator Kings Dominion VA
42 98 66 0.7 Powder Keg Silver Dollar City MO
10 666 412 0.6 Intimidator 305 Kings Dominion VA
42 129 77 0.6 Expedition Everest Disney Animal King FL
12 601 351 0.6 Top Thrill Dragster Cedar Point OH
16 421 238 0.6 X2 Six Flags Magic Mo CA
32 199 109 0.5 SheiKra Busch Gardens Tamp FL
31 204 111 0.5 Raging Bull Six Flags Great Am IL
18 392 209 0.5 Montu Busch Gardens Tamp FL
33 188 100 0.5 Griffon Busch Gardens Will VA
45 119 59 0.5 X-Flight Six Flags Great Am IL
28 236 116 0.5 GateKeeper Cedar Point OH
27 304 124 0.4 Kumba Busch Gardens Tamp FL
48 141 55 0.4 Kraken SeaWorld Orlando FL
21 503 189 0.4 Blue Fire Megacoaster Europa Park DE
30 302 113 0.4 Raptor Cedar Point OH
35 263 98 0.4 Kingda Ka Six Flags Great Ad NJ
34 292 99 0.3 Black Mamba Phantasialand DE
20 715 195 0.3 Nemesis Alton Towers UK
26 600 124 0.2 Skyrush Hersheypark PA
50 307 49 0.2 Tatsu Six Flags Magic Mo CA
22 1181 173 0.1 Maverick Cedar Point OH
Interesting? Sure. Informative? Perhaps. But how to explain e.g. "#22" Maverick being ranked as the 4th best steel coaster at Cedar Point, despite being preferred 172 to 32 over "#8" Magnum by the people who have ridden them both?!? Obviously, there is a lot more research to be done. To that end, I have posted a Spreadsheet, sortable umpteen different ways based on the results of both polls, differences, total points, etc. Enjoy!

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