Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 12, 2014. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 1 0, 3.8, 8.5, 12.39, 12.98 2,Minot State,______________________________ 15 7 0, 2.4, 8.3, 10.69, 9.90 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 22 4 0, 2.3, 8.3, 10.60, 11.18 4,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 17 8 0, 1.9, 8.6, 10.53, 10.12 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 21 7 0, 2.4, 8.1, 10.50, 12.12 6,Adrian,___________________________________ 21 4 0, 2.8, 7.6, 10.43, 9.48 7,Liberty,__________________________________ 21 4 0, 2.0, 8.2, 10.21, 10.11 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 15 7 0, 1.5, 8.5, 9.94, 9.33 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 25 9 0, 1.7, 8.2, 9.90, 9.31 10,Delaware,_________________________________ 17 8 0, 1.0, 8.7, 9.61, 9.47 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 12 0, 1.5, 8.1, 9.61, 9.34 12,Davenport,________________________________ 17 9 0, 1.6, 7.5, 9.15, 9.41 13,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 8 15 0, -0.4, 9.5, 9.02, 9.32 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 14 11 0, 1.3, 7.6, 8.87, 8.12 15,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 9 0, 1.2, 7.5, 8.80, 10.00 16,Navy,_____________________________________ 16 7 0, 1.7, 7.1, 8.73, 9.14 17,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 15 0, -0.8, 9.4, 8.61, 9.19 18,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 18 8 0, 1.0, 7.5, 8.51, 10.62 19,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 7 0, 2.2, 6.0, 8.19, 8.83 20,Rutgers,__________________________________ 6 13 0, -0.5, 8.7, 8.18, 8.84 21,John Carroll,_____________________________ 14 12 0, 0.7, 7.1, 7.77, 6.50 22,Colorado State,___________________________ 8 16 0, -1.0, 8.7, 7.75, 7.73 23,West Virginia,____________________________ 11 12 0, -0.0, 7.8, 7.72, 8.48 24,Syracuse,_________________________________ 14 4 0, 2.6, 5.1, 7.68, 8.73 25,Illinois,_________________________________ 12 14 0, -0.3, 8.0, 7.65, 6.92 26,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 11 0, 0.5, 6.9, 7.42, 6.25 27,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 13 0, -0.7, 7.8, 7.05, 5.46 28,Duquesne,_________________________________ 11 8 0, 1.2, 5.8, 6.94, 9.01 29,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 6 0, 2.4, 4.6, 6.94, 8.80 30,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 6 15 0, -1.6, 8.4, 6.86, 8.11 31,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 13 17 0, -1.0, 7.9, 6.86, 6.25 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 8 12 0, 0.2, 6.6, 6.84, 7.40 33,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 6 0, 0.4, 6.4, 6.83, 6.24 34,Villanova,________________________________ 12 7 0, 0.8, 6.0, 6.77, 8.46 35,Niagara,__________________________________ 10 9 0, 0.5, 6.2, 6.70, 6.21 36,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 10 0, 0.4, 6.2, 6.62, 6.90 37,Rochester College,________________________ 10 13 0, -0.8, 7.2, 6.42, 8.50 38,Towson,___________________________________ 9 9 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.24, 6.72 39,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 13 0, -2.4, 8.7, 6.21, 6.29 40,Kent State,_______________________________ 6 18 0, -1.5, 7.7, 6.21, 6.53 41,Colorado,_________________________________ 7 12 0, -1.9, 8.1, 6.16, 6.89 42,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 19 0, -1.4, 7.4, 6.00, 4.11 43,Western Michigan,_________________________ 7 18 0, -1.8, 7.5, 5.79, 7.89 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 11 0, 0.4, 4.9, 5.23, 3.87 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 5 16 0, -1.7, 6.5, 4.88, 4.49 46,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 18 0, -0.5, 5.2, 4.73, 4.18 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 12 0, -1.1, 5.4, 4.37, 4.96 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 15 0, -2.5, 6.4, 3.93, 2.74 49,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 9 0, -1.5, 5.0, 3.52, 3.18 50,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 10 0, -1.1, 3.7, 2.58, 2.74 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 4 10 0, -1.9, 4.2, 2.30, 1.94 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 8 11 0, -1.3, 3.6, 2.25, 0.03 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 6 10 0, -1.4, 3.5, 2.03, 1.99 54,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 12 0, -2.0, 3.9, 1.88, 2.91 55,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 15 0, -3.5, 5.3, 1.87, 2.20 56,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 11 0, -2.6, 3.7, 1.07, 0.36 57,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 6 9 0, -1.0, 1.7, 0.72, 1.26 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 1 0, 0.9, 7.5, 8.39, 8.21 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 22 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.03, 8.63 3,Liberty,__________________________________ 21 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 7.99, 7.95 4,Iowa State,_______________________________ 25 9 0, 0.5, 7.3, 7.81, 7.46 5,Delaware,_________________________________ 17 8 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.77, 7.63 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 17 8 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.74, 7.68 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 21 7 0, 0.5, 7.2, 7.74, 7.95 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 15 7 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.73, 7.65 9,Minot State,______________________________ 15 7 0, 0.4, 7.4, 7.72, 7.49 10,Adrian,___________________________________ 21 4 0, 0.7, 7.0, 7.68, 7.41 11,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 19 12 0, 0.2, 7.3, 7.57, 7.58 12,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 15 0, -0.1, 7.6, 7.50, 7.78 13,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 18 8 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.48, 7.58 14,Navy,_____________________________________ 16 7 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.35 15,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 15 9 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.70 16,Davenport,________________________________ 17 9 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 7.63 17,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 8 15 0, -0.3, 7.6, 7.28, 7.37 18,Illinois,_________________________________ 12 14 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.24, 6.81 19,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 13 6 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.21, 7.12 20,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 7 0, 0.4, 6.7, 7.15, 7.45 21,West Virginia,____________________________ 11 12 0, -0.0, 7.2, 7.15, 7.71 22,Oakland,__________________________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 7.0, 7.14, 7.17 23,Syracuse,_________________________________ 14 4 0, 0.6, 6.5, 7.09, 7.44 24,Villanova,________________________________ 12 7 0, 0.3, 6.8, 7.07, 7.51 25,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 13 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.07, 6.70 26,John Carroll,_____________________________ 14 12 0, 0.1, 7.0, 7.06, 6.71 27,Colorado State,___________________________ 8 16 0, -0.3, 7.4, 7.05, 7.34 28,Rutgers,__________________________________ 6 13 0, -0.4, 7.4, 7.05, 7.05 29,Colorado,_________________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 7.3, 6.99, 7.09 30,Towson,___________________________________ 9 9 0, 0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 6.97 31,Indiana,__________________________________ 5 13 0, -0.4, 7.4, 6.92, 7.07 32,Wayne State,______________________________ 14 11 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.92, 6.00 33,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 13 17 0, -0.1, 7.1, 6.92, 7.10 34,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 6 15 0, -0.4, 7.3, 6.90, 7.84 35,Duquesne,_________________________________ 11 8 0, 0.2, 6.7, 6.87, 7.16 36,Rochester College,________________________ 10 13 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.86, 7.35 37,Niagara,__________________________________ 10 9 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.85, 6.56 38,North Dakota State,_______________________ 8 9 0, -0.1, 6.8, 6.77, 6.66 39,Drexel,___________________________________ 8 12 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.76, 6.88 40,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 19 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.75, 6.20 41,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 10 0, -0.1, 6.8, 6.75, 6.65 42,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 6 0, 0.3, 6.4, 6.72, 6.90 43,Western Michigan,_________________________ 7 18 0, -0.4, 7.0, 6.52, 7.18 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 11 0, -0.0, 6.6, 6.52, 6.39 45,Kent State,_______________________________ 6 18 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.55 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 12 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.44, 6.73 47,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 18 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.42, 6.23 48,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 5 16 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.29, 5.98 49,Lehigh,___________________________________ 4 15 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.28, 6.10 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.2, 6.08, 5.81 51,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 15 0, -0.6, 6.6, 6.05, 6.06 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 10 0, -0.3, 6.3, 6.03, 5.88 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 6 10 0, -0.3, 6.2, 6.00, 6.15 54,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 12 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.92, 6.06 55,Cornell,__________________________________ 4 10 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.92, 5.55 56,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 6 9 0, -0.2, 5.8, 5.59, 5.55 57,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 11 0, -0.7, 6.3, 5.57, 5.83 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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