Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 13, 2013. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 22 4 3, 2.5, 9.7, 12.22, 11.07 2,Adrian,___________________________________ 23 4 0, 3.2, 8.5, 11.72, 12.32 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 22 2 1, 3.2, 8.4, 11.66, 12.43 4,Minot State,______________________________ 15 4 1, 2.4, 9.0, 11.37, 12.86 5,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 10 1, 0.7, 10.2, 10.92, 12.76 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 15 12 2, 0.9, 9.8, 10.66, 10.88 7,Davenport,________________________________ 19 9 2, 1.3, 9.0, 10.33, 9.12 8,Liberty,__________________________________ 15 9 3, 1.5, 8.8, 10.33, 11.92 9,Ohio,_____________________________________ 17 7 2, 1.4, 8.6, 10.06, 9.20 10,Stony Brook,______________________________ 11 9 1, 0.9, 9.1, 10.00, 10.35 11,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 9 2, 0.5, 9.1, 9.66, 9.42 12,Iowa State,_______________________________ 15 14 1, 1.1, 8.6, 9.64, 9.86 13,Oakland,__________________________________ 11 13 4, 0.2, 9.4, 9.62, 10.05 14,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 12 12 2, -0.0, 9.1, 9.02, 9.31 15,Delaware,_________________________________ 15 9 0, 0.5, 8.5, 8.96, 7.41 16,Navy,_____________________________________ 19 4 2, 3.0, 5.9, 8.90, 10.77 17,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 8 1, 1.4, 7.4, 8.82, 10.50 18,Arizona,__________________________________ 11 13 2, -0.3, 9.0, 8.68, 8.41 19,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 16 8 2, 1.0, 7.6, 8.66, 9.14 20,Rutgers,__________________________________ 11 6 0, 1.4, 7.2, 8.63, 8.54 21,Niagara,__________________________________ 19 4 0, 2.4, 6.0, 8.39, 9.12 22,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 18 3, -0.6, 8.7, 8.14, 7.78 23,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 14 3 3, 2.0, 5.8, 7.81, 8.30 24,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 5 3, 3.0, 4.5, 7.55, 6.76 25,West Chester,_____________________________ 9 11 3, -0.3, 7.3, 6.93, 7.00 26,West Virginia,____________________________ 6 13 1, -0.5, 7.4, 6.92, 6.67 27,Indiana,__________________________________ 8 13 1, -0.4, 7.3, 6.90, 5.81 28,Drexel,___________________________________ 11 9 1, 0.5, 6.4, 6.90, 6.75 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 13 10 0, 0.3, 6.4, 6.68, 5.90 30,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 14 10 1, 0.7, 5.9, 6.65, 7.70 31,Syracuse,_________________________________ 9 8 3, 0.3, 6.1, 6.32, 5.41 32,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 12 8 0, 1.2, 5.0, 6.21, 5.52 33,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 10 13 1, 0.2, 5.8, 6.00, 6.27 34,Towson,___________________________________ 15 6 2, 0.9, 5.1, 5.99, 5.51 35,Duquesne,_________________________________ 12 11 1, 0.5, 5.3, 5.75, 4.87 36,North Dakota State,_______________________ 6 11 0, -0.9, 6.6, 5.74, 6.33 37,Western Michigan,_________________________ 3 26 1, -3.9, 9.0, 5.07, 3.85 38,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 20 0, -3.5, 8.4, 4.85, 4.70 39,Canisius,_________________________________ 17 9 1, 1.0, 3.8, 4.72, 3.75 40,Lehigh,___________________________________ 12 8 1, 0.4, 4.1, 4.54, 3.01 41,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 7 14 1, -1.5, 5.8, 4.34, 5.58 42,Ithaca,___________________________________ 8 9 2, 0.3, 4.0, 4.24, 4.23 43,Villanova,________________________________ 8 13 0, -0.8, 4.9, 4.13, 5.01 44,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 8 1, 0.0, 4.1, 4.11, 3.40 45,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 6 17 0, -1.2, 5.2, 4.02, 4.23 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 17 1, -2.0, 5.5, 3.48, 1.92 47,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 6 2, -0.7, 3.8, 3.09, 1.96 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 10 1, -2.1, 5.0, 2.94, 3.97 49,Scranton,_________________________________ 3 13 0, -3.2, 6.1, 2.82, 4.42 50,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 7 2, -1.9, 4.5, 2.59, 1.96 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 16 0, -2.6, 5.1, 2.45, 0.68 52,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 11 2, -2.7, 5.1, 2.39, 3.64 53,Rochester,________________________________ 7 9 0, -0.8, 1.7, 0.92, -0.19 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 20 0, -4.3, 4.6, 0.28, 0.95 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 1 6 0, -4.6, 3.7, -0.87, -0.31 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 22 4 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.23, 7.87 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 22 2 1, 0.8, 7.3, 8.09, 8.01 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 23 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.05, 8.05 4,Minot State,______________________________ 15 4 1, 0.6, 7.5, 8.05, 8.66 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 15 12 2, 0.1, 7.7, 7.81, 7.84 6,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 11 10 1, 0.0, 7.7, 7.78, 8.32 7,Davenport,________________________________ 19 9 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.78, 7.31 8,Illinois,_________________________________ 16 9 2, 0.3, 7.5, 7.73, 7.76 9,Ohio,_____________________________________ 17 7 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.69, 7.20 10,Liberty,__________________________________ 15 9 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.62, 8.42 11,Stony Brook,______________________________ 11 9 1, 0.1, 7.5, 7.55, 7.44 12,Delaware,_________________________________ 15 9 0, 0.3, 7.3, 7.55, 7.29 13,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 16 8 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.53, 7.89 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.6, 7.48, 7.82 15,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 8 1, 0.4, 7.0, 7.42, 7.70 16,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 12 12 2, 0.0, 7.4, 7.42, 7.49 17,Iowa State,_______________________________ 15 14 1, 0.0, 7.4, 7.41, 7.44 18,Rutgers,__________________________________ 11 6 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.37 19,Niagara,__________________________________ 19 4 0, 0.7, 6.7, 7.39, 7.55 20,Navy,_____________________________________ 19 4 2, 0.6, 6.8, 7.38, 7.55 21,Arizona,__________________________________ 11 13 2, -0.1, 7.5, 7.38, 6.99 22,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 14 3 3, 0.6, 6.8, 7.31, 7.29 23,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 18 3, -0.2, 7.4, 7.19, 7.37 24,Drexel,___________________________________ 11 9 1, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 7.21 25,West Chester,_____________________________ 9 11 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 6.87 26,Towson,___________________________________ 15 6 2, 0.4, 6.6, 6.98, 6.79 27,Buffalo,__________________________________ 18 5 3, 0.5, 6.4, 6.94, 6.91 28,John Carroll,_____________________________ 13 10 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.93, 6.74 29,Syracuse,_________________________________ 9 8 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.90, 6.65 30,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 14 10 1, 0.2, 6.6, 6.77, 7.16 31,Indiana,__________________________________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.68 32,North Dakota State,_______________________ 6 11 0, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.85 33,West Virginia,____________________________ 6 13 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.68, 6.53 34,Western Michigan,_________________________ 3 26 1, -0.8, 7.4, 6.66, 6.40 35,Lehigh,___________________________________ 12 8 1, 0.2, 6.4, 6.62, 6.18 36,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 12 8 0, 0.2, 6.4, 6.62, 6.46 37,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 20 0, -0.7, 7.3, 6.61, 6.66 38,Duquesne,_________________________________ 12 11 1, 0.0, 6.5, 6.56, 6.19 39,Canisius,_________________________________ 17 9 1, 0.3, 6.2, 6.54, 6.33 40,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 10 13 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.53, 6.53 41,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 8 1, 0.0, 6.4, 6.43, 6.53 42,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 7 14 1, -0.3, 6.7, 6.37, 6.77 43,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 6 2, 0.0, 6.4, 6.36, 6.15 44,Ithaca,___________________________________ 8 9 2, -0.1, 6.4, 6.32, 6.16 45,Villanova,________________________________ 8 13 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.32, 6.37 46,Scranton,_________________________________ 3 13 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.23, 6.72 47,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 7 2, -0.3, 6.5, 6.18, 5.87 48,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 11 2, -0.5, 6.7, 6.16, 6.43 49,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 10 1, -0.5, 6.6, 6.11, 6.26 50,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 17 1, -0.5, 6.6, 6.11, 5.81 51,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 6 17 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.10, 6.23 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 16 0, -0.6, 6.6, 5.99, 5.79 53,Rochester,________________________________ 7 9 0, -0.1, 5.9, 5.82, 5.61 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 20 0, -0.8, 6.4, 5.56, 5.74 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 1 6 0, -0.7, 6.2, 5.47, 5.53 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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