Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 18, 2015. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 3 1, 2.5, 9.2, 11.70, 12.63 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 21 4 1, 2.2, 9.0, 11.13, 10.72 3,Ohio,_____________________________________ 22 5 1, 2.7, 8.2, 10.93, 10.98 4,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 9 12 3, 0.1, 10.6, 10.72, 10.29 5,Minot State,______________________________ 22 8 1, 1.8, 8.8, 10.66, 12.80 6,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 21 3 3, 2.8, 7.7, 10.49, 11.63 7,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 16 7 2, 1.1, 9.3, 10.46, 10.09 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 20 4 0, 2.4, 7.9, 10.28, 10.28 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 11 13 3, 0.5, 9.7, 10.22, 10.43 10,Adrian,___________________________________ 21 4 1, 2.1, 8.0, 10.11, 9.65 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 15 8 4, 1.3, 8.6, 9.94, 10.27 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 14 13 2, 0.5, 8.9, 9.40, 7.50 13,Davenport,________________________________ 14 10 5, 0.8, 8.2, 9.02, 10.59 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 25 4 2, 1.9, 6.8, 8.73, 7.38 15,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.9, 7.8, 8.68, 9.22 16,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 9 1, 0.6, 7.9, 8.51, 7.55 17,Colorado,_________________________________ 10 11 0, 0.9, 7.6, 8.47, 8.24 18,Buffalo,__________________________________ 20 5 0, 2.2, 6.1, 8.28, 8.84 19,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 16 2, -0.6, 8.8, 8.25, 8.31 20,Niagara,__________________________________ 14 6 0, 2.1, 6.1, 8.23, 7.17 21,Syracuse,_________________________________ 16 8 1, 1.4, 6.4, 7.86, 7.53 22,Oakland,__________________________________ 12 15 3, 0.1, 7.7, 7.76, 6.29 23,Colorado State,___________________________ 13 14 0, -0.3, 8.0, 7.64, 8.05 24,Rochester College,________________________ 8 13 6, -0.3, 7.8, 7.43, 8.09 25,Navy,_____________________________________ 10 9 3, 0.6, 6.6, 7.19, 9.16 26,Western Michigan,_________________________ 10 16 6, -0.3, 7.3, 6.95, 5.37 27,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 10 3, 0.6, 6.2, 6.88, 6.67 28,West Virginia,____________________________ 15 11 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.75, 6.81 29,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 5 4, 0.7, 6.0, 6.70, 5.58 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 9 1, 1.0, 5.7, 6.69, 8.38 31,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 9 3, 0.2, 6.4, 6.63, 6.74 32,Kent State,_______________________________ 11 13 2, -0.7, 7.1, 6.36, 5.96 33,Villanova,________________________________ 16 6 0, 1.8, 4.4, 6.16, 6.77 34,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 14 0, -2.1, 8.0, 5.96, 6.30 35,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 11 3, -0.4, 6.1, 5.76, 6.23 36,John Carroll,_____________________________ 11 15 1, -0.8, 6.4, 5.53, 4.33 37,Canisius,_________________________________ 10 14 1, 0.2, 5.4, 5.52, 3.82 38,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 20 1, -2.0, 7.5, 5.50, 5.42 39,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 7 1, 0.6, 4.8, 5.38, 5.52 40,Towson,___________________________________ 10 9 0, 0.4, 4.6, 4.97, 5.58 41,West Chester,_____________________________ 4 20 0, -3.0, 8.0, 4.95, 4.71 42,Duquesne,_________________________________ 4 11 4, -1.0, 5.9, 4.90, 4.72 43,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 6 20 1, -2.1, 6.9, 4.75, 5.61 44,Midland,__________________________________ 6 20 1, -2.2, 6.7, 4.44, 4.78 45,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 13 0, 0.4, 3.8, 4.20, 4.21 46,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 6 16 1, -1.9, 5.7, 3.86, 4.32 47,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 6 0, 0.3, 3.2, 3.48, 4.13 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 7 11 0, -1.5, 4.8, 3.32, 2.09 49,Cornell,__________________________________ 5 8 0, -0.2, 3.4, 3.14, 2.96 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 6 15 0, -2.2, 4.3, 2.12, 3.29 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 15 1, -1.8, 3.8, 2.04, 2.25 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 10 0, -3.2, 3.4, 0.29, -0.87 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 1 9 0, -3.4, 3.5, 0.09, -0.19 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 1 14 0, -5.3, 4.4, -0.96, -0.10 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 3 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.28, 8.31 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 21 4 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.12, 7.91 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 20 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 7.93, 8.01 4,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 16 7 2, 0.4, 7.5, 7.91, 8.17 5,Minot State,______________________________ 22 8 1, 0.5, 7.4, 7.88, 8.49 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 22 5 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.83, 7.73 7,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 21 3 3, 0.7, 7.0, 7.71, 7.98 8,Adrian,___________________________________ 21 4 1, 0.7, 7.1, 7.71, 7.47 9,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 25 4 2, 0.7, 7.0, 7.70, 7.81 10,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 9 12 3, -0.1, 7.8, 7.70, 7.55 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 15 8 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.52, 7.42 12,Iowa State,_______________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 7.6, 7.50, 7.44 13,Buffalo,__________________________________ 20 5 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.44, 7.59 14,Illinois,_________________________________ 14 13 2, 0.0, 7.4, 7.41, 6.69 15,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 9 1, 0.1, 7.3, 7.34, 7.19 16,Niagara,__________________________________ 14 6 0, 0.4, 6.9, 7.29, 6.97 17,Syracuse,_________________________________ 16 8 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 7.51 18,Davenport,________________________________ 14 10 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 7.62 19,Colorado State,___________________________ 13 14 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.20, 7.09 20,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 16 2, -0.3, 7.4, 7.17, 7.06 21,Colorado,_________________________________ 10 11 0, -0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 6.86 22,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 7.18 23,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 12 5 4, 0.3, 6.8, 7.11, 6.60 24,West Virginia,____________________________ 15 11 1, 0.1, 6.9, 7.06, 7.16 25,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.05, 7.49 26,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 6.82 27,Navy,_____________________________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 7.56 28,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 9 1, 0.2, 6.8, 6.96, 7.14 29,Villanova,________________________________ 16 6 0, 0.4, 6.5, 6.92, 7.06 30,Oakland,__________________________________ 12 15 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 6.84 31,Rochester College,________________________ 8 13 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 7.30 32,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 14 0, -0.6, 7.3, 6.76, 6.74 33,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 11 3, -0.1, 6.8, 6.76, 6.72 34,Kent State,_______________________________ 11 13 2, -0.1, 6.8, 6.76, 6.41 35,West Chester,_____________________________ 4 20 0, -0.7, 7.3, 6.67, 6.58 36,Western Michigan,_________________________ 10 16 6, -0.2, 6.8, 6.65, 6.10 37,Oswego State,_____________________________ 8 7 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.65, 6.61 38,John Carroll,_____________________________ 11 15 1, -0.2, 6.9, 6.62, 6.54 39,Towson,___________________________________ 10 9 0, 0.1, 6.5, 6.58, 6.82 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 6.7, 6.55, 6.43 41,Duquesne,_________________________________ 4 11 4, -0.3, 6.8, 6.44, 6.26 42,Midland,__________________________________ 6 20 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.43, 6.71 43,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 20 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 6.22 44,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 6 16 1, -0.4, 6.8, 6.42, 6.26 45,Cortland State,___________________________ 7 6 0, 0.1, 6.3, 6.39, 6.48 46,Lehigh,___________________________________ 7 11 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.38, 6.23 47,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 6 20 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.34, 6.48 48,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 13 0, -0.1, 6.4, 6.27, 6.29 49,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 6 15 0, -0.4, 6.5, 6.13, 6.44 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 5 8 0, -0.2, 6.3, 6.06, 5.90 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 15 1, -0.4, 6.3, 5.91, 5.75 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 10 0, -0.4, 6.2, 5.85, 5.76 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 1 14 0, -1.0, 6.5, 5.50, 5.39 54,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 1 9 0, -0.8, 6.3, 5.47, 5.46 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
Over 4000 registered members, HS message boards for over 30 states + midget, junior, college, and pro hockey forums! Receive email when this page changes