Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 22, 2012. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Penn State,_______________________________ 19 3 1, 3.5, 9.5, 12.99, 13.27 2,Arizona State,____________________________ 21 5 3, 2.4, 9.4, 11.81, 10.88 3,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 20 4 1, 1.7, 9.8, 11.48, 12.89 4,Delaware,_________________________________ 23 3 1, 2.7, 8.5, 11.25, 11.44 5,Liberty,__________________________________ 18 7 3, 1.8, 9.0, 10.81, 11.04 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 20 9 2, 1.6, 9.1, 10.70, 10.70 7,Minot State,______________________________ 15 6 1, 2.6, 7.9, 10.54, 10.15 8,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 9 2, 1.5, 9.0, 10.51, 12.80 9,Iowa State,_______________________________ 22 6 5, 2.0, 8.1, 10.12, 10.35 10,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 18 5 3, 2.2, 7.5, 9.68, 9.71 11,Davenport,________________________________ 16 14 0, 0.5, 9.1, 9.60, 9.13 12,Adrian,___________________________________ 15 11 2, 1.7, 7.8, 9.59, 9.69 13,Illinois,_________________________________ 10 12 1, 0.3, 8.9, 9.20, 7.39 14,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 12 14 2, 0.1, 9.0, 9.18, 9.09 15,Canton,___________________________________ 21 2 3, 3.7, 5.4, 9.14, 7.08 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 11 12 2, 0.9, 8.2, 9.11, 8.45 17,Stony Brook,______________________________ 11 12 1, 0.4, 8.6, 9.00, 8.07 18,Oakland,__________________________________ 17 10 2, 1.2, 7.8, 8.94, 8.73 19,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 16 15 0, 0.5, 8.3, 8.81, 9.00 20,West Chester,_____________________________ 17 8 0, 1.0, 7.5, 8.52, 8.88 21,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 14 1, 0.4, 7.7, 8.11, 8.57 22,Navy,_____________________________________ 18 6 3, 2.4, 5.4, 7.73, 8.74 23,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 17 6 1, 1.9, 5.8, 7.66, 7.60 24,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 11 0, 0.7, 6.8, 7.49, 8.32 25,Rutgers,__________________________________ 14 6 2, 1.7, 5.6, 7.31, 6.44 26,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 12 9 3, 0.5, 6.6, 7.18, 9.09 27,Niagara,__________________________________ 14 7 2, 1.9, 5.3, 7.14, 8.06 28,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 11 15 0, -1.0, 8.0, 7.02, 7.69 29,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 14 3, -1.0, 7.7, 6.69, 7.99 30,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 14 2, -1.2, 7.5, 6.35, 4.64 31,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 13 5 1, 1.8, 4.3, 6.10, 4.64 32,John Carroll,_____________________________ 17 11 1, 0.8, 5.2, 6.05, 6.45 33,North Dakota State,_______________________ 10 11 1, 0.2, 5.7, 5.92, 5.19 34,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 11 19 0, -1.6, 7.4, 5.79, 5.36 35,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 10 1, 0.1, 5.7, 5.77, 6.39 36,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 10 12 2, -0.2, 5.9, 5.75, 4.87 37,Buffalo,__________________________________ 9 12 3, -0.3, 5.5, 5.29, 4.75 38,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 5 23 1, -3.1, 8.3, 5.26, 6.86 39,Syracuse,_________________________________ 10 9 5, -0.6, 5.8, 5.16, 5.39 40,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 6 13 4, -1.7, 6.7, 5.00, 4.84 41,Lehigh,___________________________________ 9 12 0, -0.6, 5.6, 4.95, 2.70 42,Western Michigan,_________________________ 4 24 0, -3.2, 8.1, 4.80, 3.43 43,Duquesne,_________________________________ 7 14 1, -0.4, 5.1, 4.79, 3.72 44,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 13 1, 0.3, 3.7, 4.07, 2.90 45,Cornell,__________________________________ 8 10 2, -0.3, 4.2, 3.99, 2.76 46,Youngstown State,_________________________ 5 17 0, -1.9, 5.8, 3.94, 3.38 47,Towson,___________________________________ 5 19 0, -3.0, 6.8, 3.77, 4.51 48,Villanova,________________________________ 7 19 0, -2.2, 5.9, 3.72, 5.46 49,Scranton,_________________________________ 6 10 2, -1.4, 5.2, 3.71, 5.56 50,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 11 1, -1.4, 5.0, 3.61, 3.81 51,Oswego State,_____________________________ 10 10 1, -0.2, 3.7, 3.50, 4.13 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 10 0, -1.5, 4.6, 3.10, 2.63 53,Ithaca,___________________________________ 8 9 0, -1.9, 4.6, 2.73, 2.19 54,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 3 19 1, -2.4, 4.9, 2.46, 1.40 55,Binghamton,_______________________________ 0 14 1, -3.7, 4.9, 1.15, 0.76 56,Rochester,________________________________ 1 14 0, -4.1, 4.5, 0.40, 2.75 57,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 20 0, -6.0, 6.4, 0.39, 0.22 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 20 4 1, 0.6, 7.6, 8.27, 8.65 2,Penn State,_______________________________ 19 3 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.23, 8.37 3,Arizona State,____________________________ 21 5 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.11, 7.83 4,Delaware,_________________________________ 23 3 1, 0.7, 7.3, 8.07, 7.75 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 20 9 2, 0.4, 7.5, 7.88, 7.85 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 20 9 2, 0.4, 7.5, 7.86, 8.47 7,Liberty,__________________________________ 18 7 3, 0.4, 7.4, 7.84, 7.99 8,Iowa State,_______________________________ 22 6 5, 0.5, 7.3, 7.80, 8.02 9,Minot State,______________________________ 15 6 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.69, 7.93 10,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 18 5 3, 0.5, 7.1, 7.63, 7.65 11,Davenport,________________________________ 16 14 0, 0.1, 7.4, 7.50, 7.53 12,West Chester,_____________________________ 17 8 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.48, 7.36 13,Illinois,_________________________________ 10 12 1, -0.1, 7.5, 7.44, 6.84 14,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 12 14 2, -0.1, 7.5, 7.44, 7.30 15,Oakland,__________________________________ 17 10 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.37, 7.55 16,Stony Brook,______________________________ 11 12 1, -0.0, 7.4, 7.36, 7.19 17,Canton,___________________________________ 21 2 3, 0.7, 6.6, 7.34, 6.59 18,Adrian,___________________________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.32, 7.44 19,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 16 15 0, 0.0, 7.3, 7.32, 7.42 20,Arizona,__________________________________ 11 12 2, -0.0, 7.3, 7.28, 6.96 21,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 17 6 1, 0.5, 6.8, 7.22, 7.35 22,West Virginia,____________________________ 14 14 1, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 7.26 23,Drexel,___________________________________ 15 11 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.16, 7.18 24,Kent State,_______________________________ 15 14 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 6.63 25,Rutgers,__________________________________ 14 6 2, 0.4, 6.7, 7.09, 6.85 26,Navy,_____________________________________ 18 6 3, 0.4, 6.6, 7.04, 7.14 27,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 14 3, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 7.12 28,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 11 15 0, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 7.00 29,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 12 9 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.94, 7.38 30,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 11 19 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.88, 6.86 31,Niagara,__________________________________ 14 7 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.86, 6.95 32,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 13 5 1, 0.4, 6.4, 6.83, 6.59 33,John Carroll,_____________________________ 17 11 1, 0.2, 6.6, 6.80, 7.13 34,Syracuse,_________________________________ 10 9 5, 0.0, 6.7, 6.77, 6.88 35,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 10 12 2, -0.1, 6.8, 6.72, 6.39 36,North Dakota State,_______________________ 10 11 1, -0.0, 6.8, 6.71, 6.32 37,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 8 10 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.63, 6.80 38,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 6 13 4, -0.3, 6.9, 6.62, 6.42 39,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 5 23 1, -0.6, 7.2, 6.56, 6.74 40,Buffalo,__________________________________ 9 12 3, -0.1, 6.7, 6.54, 6.36 41,Lehigh,___________________________________ 9 12 0, -0.1, 6.7, 6.53, 6.34 42,Western Michigan,_________________________ 4 24 0, -0.7, 7.2, 6.48, 6.41 43,Ithaca,___________________________________ 8 9 0, -0.1, 6.5, 6.46, 6.17 44,Scranton,_________________________________ 6 10 2, -0.2, 6.6, 6.35, 6.67 45,Towson,___________________________________ 5 19 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.35, 6.47 46,Cornell,__________________________________ 8 10 2, -0.1, 6.4, 6.33, 6.17 47,Duquesne,_________________________________ 7 14 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.31, 6.17 48,Oswego State,_____________________________ 10 10 1, 0.0, 6.3, 6.30, 6.33 49,Villanova,________________________________ 7 19 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.30, 6.83 50,Canisius,_________________________________ 13 13 1, 0.0, 6.2, 6.22, 6.34 51,Youngstown State,_________________________ 5 17 0, -0.5, 6.7, 6.18, 6.01 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 10 0, -0.3, 6.5, 6.12, 6.25 53,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 11 1, -0.5, 6.6, 6.06, 6.30 54,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 20 0, -1.0, 6.8, 5.85, 5.82 55,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 3 19 1, -0.7, 6.5, 5.80, 5.53 56,Binghamton,_______________________________ 0 14 1, -0.9, 6.6, 5.63, 5.59 57,Rochester,________________________________ 1 14 0, -0.9, 6.4, 5.49, 5.77 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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