Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through January 27, 2013. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 6 3, 2.3, 9.5, 11.77, 10.12 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 24 4 1, 3.1, 8.6, 11.74, 12.39 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 4 0, 3.3, 8.4, 11.63, 12.71 4,Minot State,______________________________ 20 4 1, 2.9, 8.4, 11.29, 10.68 5,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 10 1, 0.9, 10.2, 11.10, 12.17 6,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 19 12 3, 1.3, 9.6, 10.92, 11.92 7,Ohio,_____________________________________ 21 7 2, 1.6, 9.0, 10.61, 13.23 8,Liberty,__________________________________ 19 10 3, 1.7, 8.7, 10.37, 10.33 9,Davenport,________________________________ 23 9 2, 1.8, 8.5, 10.34, 10.50 10,Illinois,_________________________________ 19 9 3, 0.8, 9.2, 9.99, 11.27 11,Delaware,_________________________________ 21 9 0, 1.1, 8.5, 9.68, 12.21 12,Iowa State,_______________________________ 17 15 2, 1.1, 8.5, 9.63, 8.37 13,Stony Brook,______________________________ 12 12 1, 0.6, 9.0, 9.61, 8.22 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 14 15 4, 0.5, 9.0, 9.52, 9.99 15,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 18 12 2, 0.3, 8.9, 9.13, 9.00 16,Navy,_____________________________________ 22 5 2, 3.0, 5.9, 8.91, 9.49 17,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 16 3, -0.5, 9.2, 8.73, 9.14 18,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 17 11 2, 0.7, 8.0, 8.70, 8.42 19,Rutgers,__________________________________ 12 8 1, 1.0, 7.5, 8.43, 7.39 20,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 12 1, 0.5, 7.8, 8.29, 6.91 21,Niagara,__________________________________ 18 8 0, 1.9, 6.1, 7.95, 7.25 22,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 21 4, -0.9, 8.6, 7.70, 5.48 23,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 16 6 3, 1.6, 6.0, 7.52, 6.65 24,Buffalo,__________________________________ 21 6 3, 2.9, 4.6, 7.50, 6.18 25,West Virginia,____________________________ 10 13 1, -0.3, 7.7, 7.41, 7.50 26,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 7.4, 7.15, 6.24 27,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 13 4, -0.6, 7.5, 6.98, 6.88 28,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 10 1, 1.1, 5.8, 6.91, 8.76 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 16 12 0, 0.3, 6.5, 6.81, 6.93 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 12 1, 0.4, 6.3, 6.70, 5.57 31,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 13 11 0, 0.9, 5.3, 6.17, 5.06 32,Syracuse,_________________________________ 11 9 4, 0.4, 5.8, 6.17, 5.60 33,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 14 1, 0.3, 5.8, 6.13, 6.17 34,Towson,___________________________________ 17 6 2, 1.0, 5.0, 6.08, 6.62 35,North Dakota State,_______________________ 6 13 0, -1.4, 7.1, 5.76, 6.23 36,Duquesne,_________________________________ 14 12 1, 0.6, 5.1, 5.67, 5.51 37,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 28 1, -3.6, 8.6, 5.01, 5.87 38,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 11 1, 0.2, 4.6, 4.80, 5.65 39,Villanova,________________________________ 9 15 0, -0.8, 5.4, 4.64, 6.41 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 18 11 2, 0.8, 3.6, 4.48, 2.53 41,Ithaca,___________________________________ 10 9 2, 0.5, 3.9, 4.38, 4.25 42,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 7 17 2, -1.7, 6.1, 4.32, 4.18 43,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 25 0, -3.8, 8.1, 4.30, 2.37 44,Oswego State,_____________________________ 9 10 1, -0.3, 4.3, 4.05, 4.64 45,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 6 21 0, -1.7, 5.5, 3.81, 2.48 46,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 17 1, -2.0, 5.6, 3.57, 2.04 47,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 6 3, -0.6, 3.9, 3.34, 2.89 48,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 14 0, -2.8, 5.9, 3.07, 3.37 49,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 8 3, -1.3, 4.2, 2.87, 4.01 50,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 13 1, -1.6, 4.3, 2.71, 2.38 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 12 2, -2.8, 5.2, 2.35, 3.77 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 20 0, -2.6, 4.6, 2.00, -0.28 53,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.6, 1.9, 1.31, 0.67 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 22 0, -4.2, 4.8, 0.60, 2.22 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 7 0, -3.6, 2.9, -0.65, -0.72 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 25 6 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.17, 7.81 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 24 4 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.08, 7.68 3,Adrian,___________________________________ 25 4 0, 0.7, 7.3, 8.07, 8.12 4,Minot State,______________________________ 20 4 1, 0.6, 7.4, 8.05, 7.95 5,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 7.7, 7.92, 8.15 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 21 7 2, 0.5, 7.4, 7.90, 8.72 7,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 13 10 1, 0.1, 7.7, 7.87, 8.05 8,Illinois,_________________________________ 19 9 3, 0.3, 7.5, 7.83, 8.10 9,Davenport,________________________________ 23 9 2, 0.4, 7.4, 7.79, 7.55 10,Delaware,_________________________________ 21 9 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.71, 8.33 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 19 10 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.64, 7.67 12,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 18 12 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.60, 7.80 13,Iowa State,_______________________________ 17 15 2, 0.1, 7.4, 7.50, 7.31 14,Oakland,__________________________________ 14 15 4, -0.0, 7.5, 7.47, 7.46 15,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 17 11 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.47, 7.07 16,Stony Brook,______________________________ 12 12 1, 0.0, 7.4, 7.43, 6.91 17,Arizona,__________________________________ 12 16 3, -0.1, 7.5, 7.39, 7.35 18,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 20 12 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.37, 7.25 19,Rutgers,__________________________________ 12 8 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.15 20,Navy,_____________________________________ 22 5 2, 0.6, 6.7, 7.29, 7.19 21,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 16 6 3, 0.4, 6.8, 7.19, 7.01 22,Niagara,__________________________________ 18 8 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.16, 6.84 23,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 12 21 4, -0.2, 7.4, 7.12, 6.64 24,West Chester,_____________________________ 10 13 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.16 25,John Carroll,_____________________________ 16 12 0, 0.1, 6.8, 6.97, 6.99 26,West Virginia,____________________________ 10 13 1, -0.1, 7.1, 6.96, 7.32 27,Towson,___________________________________ 17 6 2, 0.4, 6.5, 6.95, 7.09 28,Buffalo,__________________________________ 21 6 3, 0.5, 6.4, 6.93, 6.91 29,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 12 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.50 30,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 17 10 1, 0.3, 6.6, 6.88, 7.48 31,Indiana,__________________________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.84, 6.94 32,Syracuse,_________________________________ 11 9 4, 0.1, 6.7, 6.81, 6.56 33,North Dakota State,_______________________ 6 13 0, -0.4, 7.2, 6.81, 6.80 34,Western Michigan,_________________________ 5 28 1, -0.7, 7.4, 6.70, 6.82 35,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 13 11 0, 0.1, 6.5, 6.61, 6.18 36,Lehigh,___________________________________ 14 11 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.60, 6.66 37,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 12 14 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.71 38,Duquesne,_________________________________ 14 12 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.54, 6.36 39,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 25 0, -0.7, 7.3, 6.53, 6.12 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 18 11 2, 0.2, 6.2, 6.43, 5.86 41,Villanova,________________________________ 9 15 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.37, 6.59 42,Binghamton,_______________________________ 7 6 3, 0.1, 6.3, 6.37, 6.25 43,Ithaca,___________________________________ 10 9 2, 0.0, 6.3, 6.34, 6.32 44,Oswego State,_____________________________ 9 10 1, -0.1, 6.4, 6.33, 6.63 45,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 7 17 2, -0.4, 6.7, 6.33, 6.04 46,Scranton,_________________________________ 4 14 0, -0.6, 6.8, 6.20, 6.21 47,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 5 8 3, -0.2, 6.4, 6.17, 6.29 48,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 17 1, -0.5, 6.6, 6.12, 5.87 49,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 12 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.07, 6.52 50,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 6 21 0, -0.6, 6.6, 6.06, 6.01 51,Cortland State,___________________________ 5 13 1, -0.4, 6.4, 5.98, 5.90 52,Rochester,________________________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.0, 5.81, 5.63 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 4 20 0, -0.7, 6.4, 5.78, 5.14 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 2 22 0, -0.8, 6.4, 5.59, 5.79 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 2 7 0, -0.6, 6.1, 5.54, 5.70 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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