Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 1, 2015. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 28 3 1, 2.7, 9.2, 11.87, 13.14 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 25 5 1, 2.1, 8.9, 11.05, 10.86 3,Ohio,_____________________________________ 24 7 1, 2.4, 8.5, 10.88, 10.89 4,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 10 13 3, 0.2, 10.5, 10.70, 10.65 5,Minot State,______________________________ 25 8 1, 2.1, 8.6, 10.66, 10.98 6,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 24 4 3, 2.5, 8.1, 10.65, 10.99 7,Stony Brook,______________________________ 24 5 0, 2.2, 8.1, 10.34, 10.51 8,Iowa State,_______________________________ 14 14 3, 0.7, 9.6, 10.31, 10.12 9,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 18 9 3, 0.9, 9.2, 10.16, 8.76 10,Adrian,___________________________________ 23 4 1, 2.1, 8.1, 10.16, 9.66 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 17 10 4, 1.2, 8.7, 9.92, 10.11 12,Illinois,_________________________________ 17 14 2, 0.6, 9.2, 9.79, 11.06 13,Davenport,________________________________ 17 11 5, 0.8, 8.5, 9.30, 10.50 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 27 6 2, 1.8, 7.0, 8.85, 8.63 15,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 16 3, 0.5, 8.0, 8.56, 5.99 16,Colorado,_________________________________ 11 14 0, 0.4, 7.9, 8.39, 8.41 17,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 7 0, 1.9, 6.4, 8.30, 7.81 18,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 12 3, 0.2, 7.9, 8.19, 6.66 19,Buffalo,__________________________________ 22 6 1, 1.9, 6.3, 8.17, 7.57 20,Oakland,__________________________________ 14 17 3, 0.2, 7.8, 7.99, 8.28 21,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 20 2, -1.1, 9.1, 7.98, 7.18 22,Colorado State,___________________________ 14 17 1, -0.3, 8.2, 7.91, 8.80 23,Syracuse,_________________________________ 18 9 1, 1.6, 6.3, 7.90, 8.74 24,Rochester College,________________________ 10 15 6, -0.3, 7.7, 7.42, 6.46 25,Navy,_____________________________________ 13 9 3, 0.9, 6.4, 7.30, 8.46 26,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 13 9 4, 0.5, 6.6, 7.12, 9.12 27,Western Michigan,_________________________ 13 17 6, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 6.94 28,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 12 3, 0.6, 6.3, 6.88, 6.18 29,Kent State,_______________________________ 13 16 2, -0.6, 7.3, 6.72, 7.94 30,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 11 2, 0.2, 6.5, 6.71, 5.90 31,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 14 5 5, 0.8, 5.9, 6.67, 5.52 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 13 1, 0.7, 5.9, 6.55, 6.44 33,Villanova,________________________________ 19 7 0, 1.6, 4.3, 5.98, 5.76 34,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 23 1, -1.9, 7.6, 5.71, 5.80 35,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 18 0, -2.4, 8.1, 5.68, 5.63 36,John Carroll,_____________________________ 12 17 2, -0.8, 6.4, 5.65, 6.52 37,Canisius,_________________________________ 12 15 2, 0.3, 5.3, 5.62, 5.47 38,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 13 5, -0.5, 6.1, 5.59, 4.87 39,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 9 1, 0.7, 4.7, 5.45, 5.76 40,Towson,___________________________________ 11 9 2, 0.7, 4.7, 5.41, 7.81 41,West Chester,_____________________________ 5 20 2, -2.5, 7.7, 5.19, 5.55 42,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 23 1, -2.0, 7.0, 5.06, 6.60 43,Duquesne,_________________________________ 5 13 4, -1.0, 5.9, 4.96, 4.76 44,Midland,__________________________________ 7 23 1, -2.5, 7.1, 4.59, 4.46 45,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 17 2, -1.7, 5.8, 4.17, 5.86 46,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 15 1, 0.0, 4.1, 4.11, 3.95 47,Cortland State,___________________________ 11 6 0, 1.0, 2.5, 3.47, 3.21 48,Lehigh,___________________________________ 8 14 0, -1.7, 5.1, 3.36, 2.64 49,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 10 0, -0.1, 2.6, 2.59, 1.21 50,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 19 1, -2.1, 4.3, 2.21, 2.83 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 7 18 0, -2.1, 4.2, 2.09, 2.29 52,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 12 0, -3.2, 3.1, -0.09, -0.39 53,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 12 0, -3.2, 3.1, -0.14, -2.61 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 4 16 0, -3.4, 3.1, -0.27, 1.07 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 28 3 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.27, 8.31 2,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 25 5 1, 0.6, 7.4, 8.05, 7.90 3,Stony Brook,______________________________ 24 5 0, 0.7, 7.3, 7.95, 8.17 4,Minot State,______________________________ 25 8 1, 0.5, 7.3, 7.84, 8.04 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 24 7 1, 0.5, 7.3, 7.82, 7.84 6,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 24 4 3, 0.6, 7.2, 7.81, 8.05 7,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 18 9 3, 0.3, 7.5, 7.79, 7.31 8,Adrian,___________________________________ 23 4 1, 0.7, 7.1, 7.76, 7.61 9,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 7.8, 7.67, 7.82 10,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 27 6 2, 0.6, 7.1, 7.66, 7.47 11,Illinois,_________________________________ 17 14 2, 0.1, 7.5, 7.54, 8.01 12,Iowa State,_______________________________ 14 14 3, 0.0, 7.5, 7.53, 7.60 13,Liberty,__________________________________ 17 10 4, 0.2, 7.4, 7.52, 7.58 14,Buffalo,__________________________________ 22 6 1, 0.6, 6.9, 7.42, 7.40 15,Davenport,________________________________ 17 11 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.90 16,Niagara,__________________________________ 16 7 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.32, 7.13 17,Syracuse,_________________________________ 18 9 1, 0.3, 6.9, 7.26, 7.52 18,Delaware,_________________________________ 10 12 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.19, 6.58 19,Colorado State,___________________________ 14 17 1, -0.1, 7.3, 7.16, 6.98 20,Colorado,_________________________________ 11 14 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.14, 7.24 21,Arizona,__________________________________ 9 20 2, -0.4, 7.5, 7.13, 7.11 22,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 16 16 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 6.31 23,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 14 5 5, 0.4, 6.7, 7.11, 6.71 24,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.10, 7.48 25,West Virginia,____________________________ 17 11 2, 0.2, 6.9, 7.06, 6.96 26,Navy,_____________________________________ 13 9 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.06, 7.55 27,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.05, 6.98 28,Oakland,__________________________________ 14 17 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.94, 6.76 29,Villanova,________________________________ 19 7 0, 0.4, 6.5, 6.94, 7.07 30,Rochester College,________________________ 10 15 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 6.69 31,Kent State,_______________________________ 13 16 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.85, 7.05 32,Drexel,___________________________________ 13 13 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.84, 6.43 33,Western Michigan,_________________________ 13 17 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.75, 6.92 34,Rutgers,__________________________________ 4 18 0, -0.6, 7.3, 6.69, 6.64 35,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 9 13 5, -0.1, 6.8, 6.68, 6.17 36,Oswego State,_____________________________ 11 9 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.67, 6.70 37,West Chester,_____________________________ 5 20 2, -0.6, 7.2, 6.67, 6.81 38,John Carroll,_____________________________ 12 17 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.64, 6.96 39,Towson,___________________________________ 11 9 2, 0.1, 6.5, 6.64, 7.21 40,Canisius,_________________________________ 12 15 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.61, 6.85 41,Midland,__________________________________ 7 23 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.54, 6.91 42,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 8 23 1, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.65 43,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 17 2, -0.3, 6.8, 6.47, 6.66 44,Duquesne,_________________________________ 5 13 4, -0.3, 6.8, 6.45, 6.35 45,Cortland State,___________________________ 11 6 0, 0.3, 6.1, 6.43, 6.62 46,Indiana Tech,_____________________________ 7 23 1, -0.5, 6.9, 6.41, 6.55 47,Lehigh,___________________________________ 8 14 0, -0.3, 6.6, 6.37, 6.28 48,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 10 15 1, -0.2, 6.4, 6.25, 6.22 49,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 7 18 0, -0.4, 6.5, 6.09, 6.11 50,Cornell,__________________________________ 7 10 0, -0.2, 6.2, 6.00, 5.69 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 6 19 1, -0.5, 6.4, 5.94, 5.92 52,Binghamton,_______________________________ 4 12 0, -0.5, 6.2, 5.72, 5.12 53,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 12 0, -0.6, 6.2, 5.62, 5.91 54,Ithaca,___________________________________ 4 16 0, -0.6, 6.3, 5.61, 5.80 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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