Scores that ratings are based upon, sorted by team. Last Updated February 8, 2010. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Lindenwood,_________________________ 33 3 2, 3.7, 9.4, 13.13, 12.08 2,Liberty,____________________________ 25 3 0, 4.2, 7.5, 11.63, 12.34 3,Iowa State,_________________________ 23 9 4, 2.0, 9.0, 11.01, 10.80 4,Ohio,_______________________________ 28 7 2, 2.3, 8.7, 10.98, 12.47 5,Illinois,___________________________ 20 8 3, 1.9, 9.0, 10.96, 10.45 6,Minot State,________________________ 21 5 1, 2.4, 8.4, 10.87, 11.03 7,Oklahoma,___________________________ 18 10 4, 1.2, 9.6, 10.84, 11.66 8,Penn State,_________________________ 22 4 4, 2.5, 8.3, 10.84, 9.68 9,Oakland,____________________________ 23 9 1, 1.9, 8.5, 10.42, 10.66 10,Adrian,_____________________________ 21 11 1, 2.1, 8.1, 10.19, 9.76 11,Arizona State,______________________ 21 11 2, 1.3, 8.7, 10.05, 10.05 12,Central Oklahoma,___________________ 20 10 4, 1.0, 8.8, 9.85, 10.53 13,Rhode Island,_______________________ 19 8 3, 1.5, 8.3, 9.83, 8.43 14,Delaware,___________________________ 19 8 3, 1.1, 8.2, 9.35, 9.90 15,Michigan-Dearborn,__________________ 16 12 5, 0.8, 8.5, 9.29, 8.16 16,Kent State,_________________________ 19 11 4, 0.5, 8.2, 8.72, 7.83 17,Western Michigan,___________________ 13 16 3, -0.1, 8.8, 8.69, 9.45 18,Canton,_____________________________ 15 10 0, 2.0, 6.2, 8.29, 10.78 19,West Chester,_______________________ 13 13 3, 0.2, 7.8, 8.02, 8.78 20,Stony Brook,________________________ 14 11 1, 1.3, 6.7, 8.00, 7.43 21,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_________ 19 9 1, 0.8, 7.2, 7.93, 5.35 22,Robert Morris Illinois,_____________ 11 21 0, -1.3, 9.2, 7.81, 7.95 23,West Virginia,______________________ 18 9 4, 1.1, 6.5, 7.52, 8.23 24,Indiana,____________________________ 11 19 1, -1.4, 8.5, 7.10, 6.57 25,Indiana Pennsylvania,_______________ 17 11 1, 0.8, 6.2, 7.01, 6.48 26,Slippery Rock,______________________ 18 4 1, 2.0, 5.0, 7.00, 8.32 27,Arizona,____________________________ 11 14 1, -0.9, 7.6, 6.70, 6.76 28,Washington & Jefferson,_____________ 9 12 5, -0.3, 7.0, 6.68, 5.71 29,Mercyhurst,_________________________ 12 18 2, -0.4, 6.8, 6.31, 7.09 30,Niagara,____________________________ 17 13 2, 0.7, 5.5, 6.20, 6.95 31,Eastern Michigan,___________________ 6 26 1, -3.4, 9.4, 6.05, 5.43 32,Buffalo,____________________________ 16 9 3, 0.7, 5.2, 5.89, 4.61 33,Pittsburgh,_________________________ 8 19 3, -0.9, 6.8, 5.87, 5.84 34,Navy,_______________________________ 9 20 2, -1.5, 7.3, 5.82, 6.88 35,Youngstown State,___________________ 9 21 2, -1.3, 7.0, 5.71, 7.19 36,Drexel,_____________________________ 9 18 1, -1.6, 7.3, 5.71, 6.09 37,Rutgers,____________________________ 13 13 2, 0.3, 5.3, 5.54, 3.69 38,Duquesne,___________________________ 8 18 1, -1.4, 6.9, 5.47, 7.55 39,Towson,_____________________________ 8 21 0, -2.0, 7.2, 5.21, 5.38 40,Binghamton,_________________________ 13 5 1, 2.3, 2.5, 4.86, 5.99 41,Cornell,____________________________ 14 5 0, 1.3, 3.1, 4.36, 3.17 42,Lehigh,_____________________________ 7 13 2, -0.8, 4.9, 4.16, 2.03 43,North Dakota State,_________________ 6 18 1, -2.9, 7.0, 4.16, 3.84 44,Scranton,___________________________ 8 9 2, -0.4, 4.5, 4.11, 4.02 45,Villanova,__________________________ 10 9 2, -0.2, 4.1, 3.95, 4.35 46,Syracuse,___________________________ 8 16 2, -1.1, 5.0, 3.85, 7.04 47,Cortland State,_____________________ 10 5 2, 0.8, 2.7, 3.50, 3.08 48,John Carroll,_______________________ 5 25 0, -3.5, 6.7, 3.20, 1.82 49,Oswego State,_______________________ 10 11 1, -0.0, 3.2, 3.11, 3.90 50,Maryland,___________________________ 7 13 0, -1.5, 4.0, 2.52, 2.44 51,Penn State Berks,___________________ 3 14 3, -2.6, 4.6, 2.01, 2.22 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,_____________ 8 24 1, -2.2, 4.1, 1.89, 2.97 53,Rochester,__________________________ 5 16 1, -3.2, 4.1, 0.83, -1.26 54,Ithaca,_____________________________ 3 15 2, -2.6, 3.3, 0.64, 1.18 55,Saint Bonaventure,__________________ 4 14 2, -2.5, 3.0, 0.50, 0.45 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Lindenwood,_________________________ 33 3 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.29, 8.04 2,Ohio,_______________________________ 28 7 2, 0.6, 7.4, 7.96, 8.62 3,Penn State,_________________________ 22 4 4, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 7.57 4,Minot State,________________________ 21 5 1, 0.6, 7.3, 7.91, 8.01 5,Liberty,____________________________ 25 3 0, 0.8, 7.1, 7.88, 7.95 6,Iowa State,_________________________ 23 9 4, 0.4, 7.5, 7.87, 7.49 7,Illinois,___________________________ 20 8 3, 0.4, 7.4, 7.84, 7.67 8,Oklahoma,___________________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 7.6, 7.82, 8.12 9,Central Oklahoma,___________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 7.4, 7.72, 7.92 10,Rhode Island,_______________________ 19 8 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.39 11,Oakland,____________________________ 23 9 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.50 12,Delaware,___________________________ 19 8 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.64, 7.75 13,Arizona State,______________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.63, 7.31 14,Adrian,_____________________________ 21 11 1, 0.3, 7.3, 7.57, 7.25 15,Kent State,_________________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.46, 7.68 16,Michigan-Dearborn,__________________ 16 12 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.32 17,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_________ 19 9 1, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 6.81 18,Western Michigan,___________________ 13 16 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.28, 7.59 19,West Chester,_______________________ 13 13 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.20, 7.61 20,West Virginia,______________________ 18 9 4, 0.3, 6.9, 7.18, 7.28 21,Slippery Rock,______________________ 18 4 1, 0.6, 6.5, 7.15, 7.69 22,Robert Morris Illinois,_____________ 11 21 0, -0.3, 7.4, 7.13, 6.86 23,Indiana,____________________________ 11 19 1, -0.3, 7.3, 7.08, 7.06 24,Canton,_____________________________ 15 10 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.07, 7.69 25,Stony Brook,________________________ 14 11 1, 0.1, 6.9, 7.06, 6.67 26,Indiana Pennsylvania,_______________ 17 11 1, 0.2, 6.8, 7.02, 7.01 27,Arizona,____________________________ 11 14 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 7.03 28,Washington & Jefferson,_____________ 9 12 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.86, 6.39 29,Eastern Michigan,___________________ 6 26 1, -0.6, 7.5, 6.85, 6.59 30,Buffalo,____________________________ 16 9 3, 0.3, 6.6, 6.82, 6.59 31,Niagara,____________________________ 17 13 2, 0.1, 6.7, 6.78, 6.73 32,Mercyhurst,_________________________ 12 18 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.86 33,Drexel,_____________________________ 9 18 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.76, 6.57 34,Navy,_______________________________ 9 20 2, -0.4, 7.0, 6.66, 6.77 35,North Dakota State,_________________ 6 18 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.64, 6.44 36,Cornell,____________________________ 14 5 0, 0.5, 6.2, 6.64, 6.62 37,Rutgers,____________________________ 13 13 2, 0.0, 6.6, 6.62, 6.33 38,Duquesne,___________________________ 8 18 1, -0.4, 7.0, 6.62, 6.97 39,Pittsburgh,_________________________ 8 19 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.59, 6.73 40,Youngstown State,___________________ 9 21 2, -0.4, 7.0, 6.59, 6.75 41,Towson,_____________________________ 8 21 0, -0.4, 7.0, 6.57, 6.64 42,Binghamton,_________________________ 13 5 1, 0.4, 6.1, 6.50, 6.90 43,Villanova,__________________________ 10 9 2, 0.0, 6.4, 6.44, 6.70 44,Scranton,___________________________ 8 9 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.40, 6.59 45,Cortland State,_____________________ 10 5 2, 0.3, 6.1, 6.38, 6.08 46,Syracuse,___________________________ 8 16 2, -0.3, 6.6, 6.29, 6.98 47,Lehigh,_____________________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 6.5, 6.27, 5.92 48,John Carroll,_______________________ 5 25 0, -0.7, 6.9, 6.21, 5.91 49,Oswego State,_______________________ 10 11 1, -0.0, 6.2, 6.17, 6.02 50,Maryland,___________________________ 7 13 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.10, 5.69 51,Penn State Berks,___________________ 3 14 3, -0.6, 6.5, 5.95, 5.76 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,_____________ 8 24 1, -0.5, 6.4, 5.90, 6.40 53,Rochester,__________________________ 5 16 1, -0.5, 6.3, 5.83, 5.44 54,Saint Bonaventure,__________________ 4 14 2, -0.5, 6.2, 5.65, 5.83 55,Ithaca,_____________________________ 3 15 2, -0.6, 6.2, 5.65, 5.62 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be.Please send any missing scores or corrections to iascores@yahoo.com using the score submission spreadsheet.
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