Scores that ratings are based upon, sorted by team. Scores through February 21, 2010. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Lindenwood,DA,______________________ 38 3 2, 3.7, 9.4, 13.06, 12.43 2,Liberty,DA,_________________________ 27 3 1, 4.0, 7.7, 11.67, 11.43 3,Iowa State,DA,______________________ 25 11 4, 2.0, 9.1, 11.12, 11.34 4,Oklahoma,DA,________________________ 20 10 4, 1.4, 9.6, 10.96, 12.19 5,Ohio,DA,____________________________ 31 9 2, 2.1, 8.8, 10.89, 10.53 6,Illinois,DA,________________________ 21 11 3, 1.6, 9.2, 10.80, 10.42 7,Penn State,DA,______________________ 26 4 4, 2.6, 8.0, 10.63, 10.88 8,Minot State,DA,_____________________ 22 6 1, 2.1, 8.5, 10.59, 10.39 9,Oakland,DA,_________________________ 25 10 2, 1.9, 8.5, 10.44, 10.53 10,Adrian,DA,__________________________ 24 11 1, 2.1, 8.1, 10.19, 10.29 11,Arizona State,DA,___________________ 21 11 2, 1.3, 8.7, 10.07, 10.05 12,Central Oklahoma,DA,________________ 22 12 4, 0.8, 9.1, 9.88, 10.12 13,Rhode Island,DA,____________________ 20 12 3, 1.2, 8.4, 9.58, 8.65 14,Delaware,DA,________________________ 22 9 3, 1.3, 8.0, 9.31, 9.59 15,Michigan-Dearborn,DA,_______________ 19 13 5, 0.8, 8.4, 9.22, 8.70 16,Kent State,DA,______________________ 20 14 4, 0.3, 8.5, 8.77, 9.05 17,Western Michigan,DA,________________ 13 20 3, -0.3, 9.0, 8.65, 8.11 18,Stony Brook,DA,_____________________ 18 11 1, 1.6, 6.8, 8.41, 9.93 19,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,DA,______ 24 9 1, 1.3, 6.8, 8.09, 8.76 20,Canton,DA,__________________________ 18 11 0, 2.0, 5.9, 7.94, 6.66 21,Robert Morris Illinois,DA,__________ 12 24 0, -1.5, 9.4, 7.92, 8.46 22,West Chester,DA,____________________ 14 16 3, 0.0, 7.8, 7.84, 7.33 23,West Virginia,DA,___________________ 19 11 4, 0.9, 6.4, 7.33, 5.85 24,Indiana,DA,_________________________ 15 20 1, -0.8, 8.0, 7.27, 8.00 25,Indiana Pennsylvania,DA,____________ 18 12 1, 0.8, 6.3, 7.07, 7.52 26,Arizona,DA,_________________________ 11 16 1, -1.1, 7.8, 6.72, 5.71 27,Washington & Jefferson,DA,__________ 12 13 5, -0.2, 6.8, 6.61, 5.99 28,Slippery Rock,DA,___________________ 19 7 1, 1.5, 5.0, 6.50, 4.40 29,Niagara,DA,_________________________ 18 14 2, 0.7, 5.6, 6.33, 6.69 30,Mercyhurst,DA,______________________ 12 20 2, -0.6, 6.8, 6.14, 5.90 31,Eastern Michigan,DA,________________ 6 28 1, -3.3, 9.4, 6.14, 7.02 32,Pittsburgh,DA,______________________ 9 22 4, -0.9, 6.8, 5.96, 6.59 33,Buffalo,DA,_________________________ 16 12 3, 0.4, 5.5, 5.89, 5.89 34,Youngstown State,DA,________________ 9 24 3, -1.3, 7.1, 5.74, 6.62 35,Drexel,DA,__________________________ 9 21 1, -1.7, 7.4, 5.70, 6.36 36,Duquesne,DA,________________________ 10 19 1, -1.4, 6.9, 5.52, 5.85 37,Navy,DA,____________________________ 10 22 2, -1.5, 6.9, 5.44, 5.15 38,Rutgers,DA,_________________________ 15 15 2, 0.1, 5.3, 5.37, 4.33 39,Binghamton,DA,______________________ 18 4 1, 2.5, 2.7, 5.26, 5.74 40,Towson,DA,__________________________ 11 22 0, -1.5, 6.8, 5.22, 5.46 41,North Dakota State,DA,______________ 6 19 2, -2.7, 7.2, 4.49, 6.19 42,Syracuse,DA,________________________ 12 18 2, -0.4, 4.9, 4.48, 6.91 43,Scranton,DA,________________________ 9 11 2, -0.5, 4.8, 4.29, 4.45 44,Lehigh,DA,__________________________ 8 14 2, -0.8, 4.9, 4.13, 3.60 45,Villanova,DA,_______________________ 11 10 2, -0.3, 4.5, 4.11, 4.72 46,John Carroll,DA,____________________ 8 24 0, -3.0, 6.7, 3.69, 4.93 47,Cornell,DA,_________________________ 11 11 1, 0.2, 3.3, 3.55, 3.03 48,Cortland State,DA,__________________ 11 10 2, 0.2, 3.0, 3.24, 2.53 49,Oswego State,DA,____________________ 10 12 1, -0.1, 3.1, 3.02, 4.09 50,Maryland,DA,________________________ 8 15 0, -1.3, 4.0, 2.71, 3.22 51,Penn State Berks,DA,________________ 4 15 3, -2.1, 4.3, 2.20, 2.63 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,DA,__________ 9 26 1, -2.2, 4.2, 1.93, 2.85 53,Rochester,DA,_______________________ 5 20 1, -3.5, 4.1, 0.63, -0.54 54,Ithaca,DA,__________________________ 6 15 2, -2.7, 3.2, 0.54, -0.74 55,Saint Bonaventure,DA,_______________ 5 14 2, -2.4, 2.9, 0.47, 0.59 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Lindenwood,DA,______________________ 38 3 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.30, 8.43 2,Ohio,DA,____________________________ 31 9 2, 0.5, 7.4, 7.92, 7.83 3,Liberty,DA,_________________________ 27 3 1, 0.8, 7.1, 7.92, 7.94 4,Minot State,DA,_____________________ 22 6 1, 0.6, 7.4, 7.91, 7.97 5,Penn State,DA,______________________ 26 4 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.90, 8.15 6,Oklahoma,DA,________________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 7.6, 7.87, 8.11 7,Iowa State,DA,______________________ 25 11 4, 0.3, 7.5, 7.84, 7.62 8,Illinois,DA,________________________ 21 11 3, 0.3, 7.5, 7.74, 7.50 9,Central Oklahoma,DA,________________ 22 12 4, 0.3, 7.5, 7.73, 7.97 10,Oakland,DA,_________________________ 25 10 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.67, 7.57 11,Arizona State,DA,___________________ 21 11 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.65, 7.32 12,Adrian,DA,__________________________ 24 11 1, 0.4, 7.2, 7.61, 7.77 13,Delaware,DA,________________________ 22 9 3, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 7.61 14,Rhode Island,DA,____________________ 20 12 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.57, 7.03 15,Kent State,DA,______________________ 20 14 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.44, 7.38 16,Michigan-Dearborn,DA,_______________ 19 13 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.42, 7.79 17,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,DA,______ 24 9 1, 0.4, 6.9, 7.37, 7.44 18,Stony Brook,DA,_____________________ 18 11 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 7.69 19,Western Michigan,DA,________________ 13 20 3, -0.2, 7.4, 7.20, 6.62 20,Robert Morris Illinois,DA,__________ 12 24 0, -0.3, 7.5, 7.15, 7.18 21,West Chester,DA,____________________ 14 16 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.14, 7.11 22,West Virginia,DA,___________________ 19 11 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.11, 6.65 23,Indiana,DA,_________________________ 15 20 1, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 7.16 24,Canton,DA,__________________________ 18 11 0, 0.2, 6.8, 7.06, 6.95 25,Indiana Pennsylvania,DA,____________ 18 12 1, 0.2, 6.8, 7.02, 7.02 26,Slippery Rock,DA,___________________ 19 7 1, 0.4, 6.6, 7.00, 6.39 27,Washington & Jefferson,DA,__________ 12 13 5, -0.0, 7.0, 6.92, 6.99 28,Arizona,DA,_________________________ 11 16 1, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.75 29,Niagara,DA,_________________________ 18 14 2, 0.1, 6.7, 6.81, 6.69 30,Eastern Michigan,DA,________________ 6 28 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.80, 6.51 31,Buffalo,DA,_________________________ 16 12 3, 0.1, 6.7, 6.79, 6.59 32,Mercyhurst,DA,______________________ 12 20 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.73, 6.69 33,Drexel,DA,__________________________ 9 21 1, -0.4, 7.1, 6.72, 6.44 34,North Dakota State,DA,______________ 6 19 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.69, 6.78 35,Duquesne,DA,________________________ 10 19 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 7.22 36,Binghamton,DA,______________________ 18 4 1, 0.6, 6.1, 6.68, 7.09 37,Rutgers,DA,_________________________ 15 15 2, 0.0, 6.6, 6.64, 6.55 38,Towson,DA,__________________________ 11 22 0, -0.3, 6.9, 6.60, 6.77 39,Pittsburgh,DA,______________________ 9 22 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.59, 6.63 40,Navy,DA,____________________________ 10 22 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.59, 6.54 41,Youngstown State,DA,________________ 9 24 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.57, 6.63 42,Villanova,DA,_______________________ 11 10 2, 0.0, 6.5, 6.50, 6.69 43,Cornell,DA,_________________________ 11 11 1, 0.2, 6.2, 6.45, 6.36 44,Scranton,DA,________________________ 9 11 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.43, 6.66 45,Syracuse,DA,________________________ 12 18 2, -0.2, 6.6, 6.40, 6.77 46,John Carroll,DA,____________________ 8 24 0, -0.5, 6.9, 6.33, 6.68 47,Lehigh,DA,__________________________ 8 14 2, -0.3, 6.5, 6.29, 6.34 48,Cortland State,DA,__________________ 11 10 2, 0.0, 6.2, 6.24, 5.83 49,Oswego State,DA,____________________ 10 12 1, -0.1, 6.2, 6.15, 6.06 50,Maryland,DA,________________________ 8 15 0, -0.3, 6.4, 6.07, 5.68 51,Penn State Berks,DA,________________ 4 15 3, -0.5, 6.5, 5.98, 5.91 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,DA,__________ 9 26 1, -0.5, 6.4, 5.95, 6.51 53,Rochester,DA,_______________________ 5 20 1, -0.6, 6.4, 5.79, 5.57 54,Saint Bonaventure,DA,_______________ 5 14 2, -0.4, 6.1, 5.71, 5.99 55,Ithaca,DA,__________________________ 6 15 2, -0.5, 6.2, 5.70, 5.65 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be.Please send any missing scores or corrections to iascores@yahoo.com using the score submission spreadsheet.
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