Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through February 24, 2013. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Minot State,DA,___________________________ 25 4 2, 2.9, 8.7, 11.62, 11.45 2,Robert Morris Illinois,DA,________________ 28 7 1, 2.6, 9.0, 11.62, 10.08 3,Arizona State,DA,_________________________ 29 7 5, 2.0, 9.5, 11.54, 9.99 4,Adrian,DA,________________________________ 29 7 0, 3.0, 8.5, 11.47, 10.31 5,Oklahoma,DA,______________________________ 21 15 3, 1.1, 9.8, 10.87, 10.97 6,Ohio,DA,__________________________________ 26 9 2, 1.8, 9.1, 10.87, 12.55 7,Lindenwood,DA,____________________________ 13 15 1, 0.4, 10.3, 10.71, 8.67 8,Davenport,DA,_____________________________ 29 9 2, 2.0, 8.4, 10.42, 11.97 9,Illinois,DA,______________________________ 23 10 3, 0.9, 9.3, 10.19, 10.94 10,Iowa State,DA,____________________________ 24 17 2, 1.3, 8.9, 10.12, 10.98 11,Delaware,DA,______________________________ 25 11 0, 1.5, 8.5, 10.03, 12.93 12,Stony Brook,DA,___________________________ 15 13 1, 0.8, 9.2, 10.00, 10.16 13,Liberty,DA,_______________________________ 21 13 4, 1.2, 8.8, 9.96, 6.60 14,Oakland,DA,_______________________________ 20 17 4, 0.8, 8.7, 9.55, 10.51 15,Central Oklahoma,DA,______________________ 21 14 2, 0.3, 8.8, 9.11, 9.55 16,Rhode Island,DA,__________________________ 19 12 3, 0.9, 7.8, 8.72, 8.91 17,Navy,DA,__________________________________ 27 6 2, 2.8, 5.9, 8.71, 8.05 18,Arizona,DA,_______________________________ 12 23 3, -0.9, 9.5, 8.61, 7.96 19,Rutgers,DA,_______________________________ 14 10 1, 0.9, 7.6, 8.52, 8.44 20,Michigan-Dearborn,DA,_____________________ 22 17 1, 0.1, 7.8, 7.87, 6.68 21,Niagara,DA,_______________________________ 24 9 0, 2.3, 5.5, 7.86, 6.95 22,Eastern Michigan,DA,______________________ 14 26 5, -0.8, 8.5, 7.66, 8.12 23,Buffalo,DA,_______________________________ 26 6 4, 3.0, 4.5, 7.51, 8.60 24,West Virginia,DA,_________________________ 14 15 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.42, 7.12 25,Lebanon Valley,DA,________________________ 18 9 3, 1.4, 5.8, 7.16, 5.59 26,Indiana,DA,_______________________________ 13 15 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 6.63 27,Mercyhurst,DA,____________________________ 25 14 2, 0.9, 6.0, 6.97, 7.81 28,John Carroll,DA,__________________________ 20 14 0, 0.8, 6.2, 6.95, 7.55 29,West Chester,DA,__________________________ 13 16 4, -0.8, 7.7, 6.90, 5.72 30,Towson,DA,________________________________ 22 8 2, 1.1, 5.5, 6.57, 8.58 31,Drexel,DA,________________________________ 16 16 1, 0.3, 6.1, 6.41, 4.73 32,Pittsburgh,DA,____________________________ 14 17 1, 0.3, 5.8, 6.19, 6.25 33,Indiana Pennsylvania,DA,__________________ 15 13 0, 0.8, 5.1, 5.94, 4.51 34,North Dakota State,DA,____________________ 8 15 0, -1.4, 7.4, 5.93, 6.04 35,Syracuse,DA,______________________________ 13 11 5, 0.4, 5.4, 5.85, 4.47 36,Duquesne,DA,______________________________ 19 14 1, 0.7, 5.1, 5.78, 6.58 37,Western Michigan,DA,______________________ 5 33 1, -3.8, 8.5, 4.76, 3.70 38,Lehigh,DA,________________________________ 14 13 1, -0.1, 4.8, 4.73, 5.22 39,Canisius,DA,______________________________ 22 14 2, 0.8, 3.7, 4.51, 4.35 40,Kent State,DA,____________________________ 4 30 0, -3.9, 8.3, 4.39, 5.45 41,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,DA,____________ 9 20 2, -1.6, 5.9, 4.29, 4.26 42,Ithaca,DA,________________________________ 14 12 4, 0.5, 3.8, 4.25, 4.22 43,Villanova,DA,_____________________________ 9 20 0, -1.5, 5.7, 4.14, 2.43 44,Oswego State,DA,__________________________ 11 14 3, -0.6, 4.7, 4.03, 3.69 45,Penn State Berks,DA,______________________ 8 22 0, -1.4, 5.4, 3.98, 5.47 46,Slippery Rock,DA,_________________________ 9 19 1, -1.6, 5.5, 3.89, 3.46 47,Binghamton,DA,____________________________ 9 11 3, -1.0, 4.3, 3.37, 4.38 48,Cortland State,DA,________________________ 7 13 2, -1.0, 4.1, 3.10, 4.25 49,Scranton,DA,______________________________ 4 17 0, -3.0, 5.6, 2.62, 2.24 50,Cornell,DA,_______________________________ 3 17 3, -2.7, 5.2, 2.47, 2.74 51,Saint Bonaventure,DA,_____________________ 5 12 3, -2.5, 4.5, 2.03, -0.22 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,DA,________________ 5 23 0, -2.5, 4.4, 1.84, 1.23 53,Rochester,DA,_____________________________ 8 11 0, -0.6, 2.0, 1.32, 0.68 54,Youngstown State,DA,______________________ 3 27 0, -4.2, 4.9, 0.75, 1.10 55,Washington & Jefferson,DA,________________ 2 11 0, -4.2, 3.0, -1.26, -2.25 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,DA,_________________________ 29 7 5, 0.5, 7.6, 8.16, 7.93 2,Minot State,DA,___________________________ 25 4 2, 0.7, 7.5, 8.16, 8.38 3,Robert Morris Illinois,DA,________________ 28 7 1, 0.6, 7.5, 8.06, 7.67 4,Adrian,DA,________________________________ 29 7 0, 0.6, 7.4, 7.96, 7.51 5,Ohio,DA,__________________________________ 26 9 2, 0.5, 7.5, 7.92, 8.07 6,Illinois,DA,______________________________ 23 10 3, 0.4, 7.5, 7.89, 8.18 7,Oklahoma,DA,______________________________ 21 15 3, 0.2, 7.7, 7.88, 7.83 8,Davenport,DA,_____________________________ 29 9 2, 0.5, 7.3, 7.82, 8.34 9,Lindenwood,DA,____________________________ 13 15 1, -0.1, 7.8, 7.71, 6.87 10,Delaware,DA,______________________________ 25 11 0, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.84 11,Iowa State,DA,____________________________ 24 17 2, 0.2, 7.5, 7.67, 8.04 12,Central Oklahoma,DA,______________________ 21 14 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 7.63 13,Liberty,DA,_______________________________ 21 13 4, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 6.93 14,Stony Brook,DA,___________________________ 15 13 1, 0.1, 7.5, 7.54, 7.66 15,Oakland,DA,_______________________________ 20 17 4, 0.1, 7.4, 7.49, 7.69 16,Rhode Island,DA,__________________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.39, 7.14 17,Arizona,DA,_______________________________ 12 23 3, -0.3, 7.6, 7.33, 7.07 18,Navy,DA,__________________________________ 27 6 2, 0.6, 6.7, 7.28, 7.39 19,Rutgers,DA,_______________________________ 14 10 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.18 20,Michigan-Dearborn,DA,_____________________ 22 17 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 6.79 21,Niagara,DA,_______________________________ 24 9 0, 0.5, 6.7, 7.13, 7.00 22,Eastern Michigan,DA,______________________ 14 26 5, -0.3, 7.3, 7.07, 7.04 23,West Chester,DA,__________________________ 13 16 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.09 24,Lebanon Valley,DA,________________________ 18 9 3, 0.3, 6.7, 7.02, 6.42 25,Towson,DA,________________________________ 22 8 2, 0.4, 6.6, 7.01, 7.44 26,West Virginia,DA,_________________________ 14 15 2, -0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 6.97 27,Buffalo,DA,_______________________________ 26 6 4, 0.6, 6.4, 6.99, 7.43 28,Mercyhurst,DA,____________________________ 25 14 2, 0.3, 6.7, 6.98, 7.40 29,John Carroll,DA,__________________________ 20 14 0, 0.2, 6.8, 6.96, 6.78 30,Indiana,DA,_______________________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 7.0, 6.94, 7.12 31,North Dakota State,DA,____________________ 8 15 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 7.02 32,Drexel,DA,________________________________ 16 16 1, 0.0, 6.8, 6.78, 6.35 33,Syracuse,DA,______________________________ 13 11 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.27 34,Duquesne,DA,______________________________ 19 14 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.65, 7.04 35,Western Michigan,DA,______________________ 5 33 1, -0.7, 7.3, 6.62, 6.38 36,Pittsburgh,DA,____________________________ 14 17 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.62, 6.47 37,Indiana Pennsylvania,DA,__________________ 15 13 0, 0.1, 6.5, 6.60, 6.25 38,Lehigh,DA,________________________________ 14 13 1, 0.0, 6.5, 6.53, 6.59 39,Kent State,DA,____________________________ 4 30 0, -0.8, 7.3, 6.52, 6.73 40,Canisius,DA,______________________________ 22 14 2, 0.2, 6.3, 6.48, 6.26 41,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,DA,____________ 9 20 2, -0.4, 6.7, 6.37, 6.43 42,Ithaca,DA,________________________________ 14 12 4, 0.1, 6.3, 6.35, 6.29 43,Oswego State,DA,__________________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.35, 6.43 44,Binghamton,DA,____________________________ 9 11 3, -0.1, 6.4, 6.33, 6.54 45,Villanova,DA,_____________________________ 9 20 0, -0.4, 6.7, 6.30, 6.12 46,Slippery Rock,DA,_________________________ 9 19 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.29, 6.49 47,Penn State Berks,DA,______________________ 8 22 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.11, 6.53 48,Cortland State,DA,________________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 6.4, 6.09, 6.29 49,Saint Bonaventure,DA,_____________________ 5 12 3, -0.3, 6.4, 6.07, 5.89 50,Scranton,DA,______________________________ 4 17 0, -0.6, 6.6, 6.03, 5.75 51,Cornell,DA,_______________________________ 3 17 3, -0.6, 6.6, 5.97, 5.72 52,Rochester,DA,_____________________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 6.0, 5.83, 5.66 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,DA,________________ 5 23 0, -0.6, 6.4, 5.76, 5.61 54,Youngstown State,DA,______________________ 3 27 0, -0.8, 6.5, 5.71, 6.08 55,Washington & Jefferson,DA,________________ 2 11 0, -0.7, 6.2, 5.47, 5.25 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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