Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through November 4, 2012. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 12 0 1, 4.1, 8.1, 12.14, 12.87 2,Adrian,___________________________________ 12 2 0, 3.6, 8.1, 11.79, 12.22 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 11 1 1, 2.4, 8.8, 11.21, 11.66 4,Davenport,________________________________ 9 4 2, 1.4, 9.2, 10.64, 10.60 5,Ohio,_____________________________________ 11 2 1, 2.1, 8.5, 10.59, 10.08 6,Minot State,______________________________ 8 3 1, 1.4, 9.1, 10.50, 9.30 7,Illinois,_________________________________ 10 4 1, 1.4, 8.9, 10.30, 11.08 8,Liberty,__________________________________ 6 5 2, 1.5, 8.7, 10.13, 9.33 9,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 8 4 1, 2.4, 7.7, 10.06, 10.31 10,Stony Brook,______________________________ 4 5 0, 1.3, 8.7, 10.00, 10.40 11,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 4 6 2, -0.3, 10.2, 9.99, 10.31 12,Oakland,__________________________________ 8 4 2, 1.4, 8.5, 9.85, 8.85 13,Iowa State,_______________________________ 9 7 0, 1.5, 8.3, 9.77, 8.55 14,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 10 2 2, 1.4, 8.1, 9.55, 9.31 15,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 5 7 1, -0.1, 8.8, 8.69, 7.85 16,Arizona,__________________________________ 5 7 0, -1.2, 9.8, 8.54, 7.58 17,Navy,_____________________________________ 11 3 2, 2.2, 6.3, 8.49, 7.96 18,Buffalo,__________________________________ 10 2 2, 3.8, 4.7, 8.46, 7.93 19,Rutgers,__________________________________ 5 4 0, 0.2, 8.2, 8.44, 8.31 20,Niagara,__________________________________ 9 2 0, 2.6, 5.8, 8.43, 8.69 21,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 8 1, -0.3, 8.3, 8.01, 6.54 22,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 6 1 2, 1.3, 6.6, 7.91, 7.94 23,West Chester,_____________________________ 6 4 3, 0.5, 7.4, 7.90, 7.58 24,Delaware,_________________________________ 4 7 0, -1.5, 9.2, 7.79, 7.49 25,Syracuse,_________________________________ 7 3 2, 0.8, 6.8, 7.64, 6.53 26,Drexel,___________________________________ 3 5 1, 0.1, 7.4, 7.53, 7.92 27,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 8 3 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 8.56 28,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 5 0, 1.4, 5.7, 7.09, 5.85 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 6 8 0, -0.8, 7.8, 7.05, 7.02 30,West Virginia,____________________________ 2 6 0, -1.0, 7.9, 6.95, 6.87 31,Towson,___________________________________ 10 2 2, 1.5, 5.4, 6.89, 6.40 32,North Dakota State,_______________________ 3 6 0, -1.2, 8.1, 6.85, 6.77 33,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 6 6 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.59, 6.65 34,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 5 0, 1.7, 4.7, 6.46, 7.82 35,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 7 7 0, 0.1, 6.3, 6.35, 6.79 36,Duquesne,_________________________________ 6 7 1, -0.1, 6.2, 6.10, 7.25 37,Lehigh,___________________________________ 11 4 1, 1.2, 4.8, 6.04, 7.47 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 1 14 1, -3.4, 9.0, 5.66, 6.98 39,Canisius,_________________________________ 11 5 1, 1.5, 4.1, 5.59, 3.35 40,Oswego State,_____________________________ 6 5 1, 0.8, 4.6, 5.40, 4.19 41,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 3 8 1, -2.1, 6.8, 4.76, 7.61 42,Kent State,_______________________________ 2 12 0, -3.5, 8.2, 4.74, 5.72 43,Binghamton,_______________________________ 5 3 1, 0.6, 4.1, 4.63, 5.01 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 3 10 0, -1.2, 5.7, 4.59, 4.57 45,Ithaca,___________________________________ 5 7 1, -0.4, 4.8, 4.44, 6.07 46,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 7 1, -1.5, 5.8, 4.31, 6.55 47,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 3 2, -1.6, 5.7, 4.13, 4.30 48,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 4 10 1, -1.0, 5.1, 4.10, 1.99 49,Villanova,________________________________ 5 8 0, -0.9, 5.0, 4.10, 4.86 50,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 2 10 0, -2.4, 5.7, 3.28, 3.12 51,Cornell,__________________________________ 1 10 2, -3.5, 6.3, 2.80, 3.61 52,Scranton,_________________________________ 2 6 0, -2.6, 5.4, 2.75, 0.83 53,Rochester,________________________________ 5 4 0, 0.1, 2.6, 2.71, 2.10 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 0 12 0, -5.6, 5.2, -0.38, -0.90 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 3 0, -6.7, 4.5, -2.18 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 12 0 1, 0.9, 7.3, 8.24, 8.30 2,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 11 1 1, 0.8, 7.3, 8.07, 7.91 3,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 10 2 2, 0.6, 7.4, 8.00, 8.17 4,Adrian,___________________________________ 12 2 0, 0.7, 7.2, 7.92, 7.87 5,Minot State,______________________________ 8 3 1, 0.4, 7.5, 7.90, 7.76 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 11 2 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.88, 7.72 7,Illinois,_________________________________ 10 4 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.72, 7.76 8,Davenport,________________________________ 9 4 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.70, 7.81 9,Oakland,__________________________________ 8 4 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.54, 7.23 10,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 8 4 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.52 11,Rutgers,__________________________________ 5 4 0, 0.1, 7.4, 7.49, 7.53 12,Navy,_____________________________________ 11 3 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.47, 7.52 13,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 6 1 2, 0.6, 6.9, 7.45, 7.30 14,Arizona,__________________________________ 5 7 0, -0.2, 7.6, 7.44, 7.13 15,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 4 6 2, -0.2, 7.6, 7.43, 7.78 16,Iowa State,_______________________________ 9 7 0, 0.1, 7.3, 7.42, 7.15 17,West Chester,_____________________________ 6 4 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.42, 7.66 18,Syracuse,_________________________________ 7 3 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.08 19,Niagara,__________________________________ 9 2 0, 0.6, 6.8, 7.39, 7.53 20,Liberty,__________________________________ 6 5 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.36, 7.45 21,Stony Brook,______________________________ 4 5 0, -0.1, 7.4, 7.30, 7.49 22,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 8 3 0, 0.5, 6.8, 7.29, 7.51 23,Delaware,_________________________________ 4 7 0, -0.3, 7.5, 7.22, 7.18 24,Towson,___________________________________ 10 2 2, 0.6, 6.6, 7.22, 7.11 25,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 5 7 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.19, 6.96 26,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 6 8 1, -0.1, 7.3, 7.14, 7.02 27,Buffalo,__________________________________ 10 2 2, 0.6, 6.5, 7.11, 7.03 28,Lehigh,___________________________________ 11 4 1, 0.4, 6.6, 7.04, 7.10 29,John Carroll,_____________________________ 6 8 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.02, 7.04 30,Drexel,___________________________________ 3 5 1, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 7.03 31,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 6 6 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.83 32,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 7 5 0, 0.2, 6.6, 6.73, 6.35 33,Canisius,_________________________________ 11 5 1, 0.4, 6.4, 6.71, 6.33 34,Duquesne,_________________________________ 6 7 1, -0.1, 6.8, 6.71, 6.98 35,West Virginia,____________________________ 2 6 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.69, 6.76 36,Binghamton,_______________________________ 5 3 1, 0.2, 6.5, 6.69, 6.61 37,North Dakota State,_______________________ 3 6 0, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 6.63 38,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 7 7 0, 0.0, 6.7, 6.67, 6.65 39,Oswego State,_____________________________ 6 5 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.64, 5.94 40,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 2 3 2, -0.1, 6.8, 6.64, 6.70 41,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 5 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.63, 7.12 42,Western Michigan,_________________________ 1 14 1, -0.8, 7.3, 6.52, 6.72 43,Kent State,_______________________________ 2 12 0, -0.7, 7.2, 6.48, 6.55 44,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 3 8 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.47, 7.16 45,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 7 1, -0.4, 6.8, 6.45, 7.07 46,Ithaca,___________________________________ 5 7 1, -0.2, 6.6, 6.43, 6.80 47,Villanova,________________________________ 5 8 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.37, 6.82 48,Cornell,__________________________________ 1 10 2, -0.7, 7.0, 6.27, 6.34 49,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 3 10 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.27, 6.61 50,Scranton,_________________________________ 2 6 0, -0.5, 6.7, 6.25, 5.74 51,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 4 10 1, -0.4, 6.6, 6.23, 5.82 52,Rochester,________________________________ 5 4 0, 0.1, 6.1, 6.23, 6.02 53,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 2 10 0, -0.7, 6.8, 6.10, 5.95 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 0 12 0, -1.0, 6.5, 5.55, 5.48 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 3 0, -1.0, 6.4, 5.38 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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