Scores that ratings are based upon. Scores through November 18, 2012. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting.
Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 17 0 1, 4.1, 8.5, 12.57, 12.94 2,Adrian,___________________________________ 16 2 0, 3.3, 8.6, 11.83, 11.29 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 15 1 1, 3.1, 8.3, 11.36, 12.16 4,Minot State,______________________________ 10 3 1, 2.2, 8.7, 10.94, 10.47 5,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 7 8 1, 0.2, 10.1, 10.33, 10.85 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 13 3 2, 1.9, 8.4, 10.33, 10.37 7,Davenport,________________________________ 13 4 2, 1.8, 8.5, 10.32, 9.84 8,Stony Brook,______________________________ 7 6 0, 1.0, 9.2, 10.19, 9.78 9,Illinois,_________________________________ 12 5 2, 0.8, 9.2, 9.95, 8.53 10,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 10 7 1, 1.2, 8.5, 9.76, 8.72 11,Liberty,__________________________________ 9 8 2, 1.5, 8.2, 9.68, 9.21 12,Oakland,__________________________________ 8 9 3, 0.5, 9.1, 9.62, 8.16 13,Iowa State,_______________________________ 9 11 0, 0.8, 8.5, 9.30, 7.24 14,Rutgers,__________________________________ 9 4 0, 1.7, 7.5, 9.20, 11.09 15,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 11 5 2, 1.2, 7.9, 9.09, 7.73 16,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 9 8 1, 0.1, 8.9, 8.98, 9.65 17,Navy,_____________________________________ 14 4 2, 2.4, 6.5, 8.89, 9.82 18,Arizona,__________________________________ 7 9 1, -0.9, 9.8, 8.85, 9.40 19,Niagara,__________________________________ 12 2 0, 2.8, 5.9, 8.69, 9.22 20,Delaware,_________________________________ 8 7 0, -0.4, 9.1, 8.68, 10.43 21,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 12 3 0, 1.4, 7.2, 8.57, 10.33 22,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 7 12 1, -0.6, 9.0, 8.47, 9.58 23,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 9 2 2, 1.7, 6.6, 8.34, 8.73 24,Buffalo,__________________________________ 14 4 2, 3.3, 5.0, 8.33, 8.66 25,Drexel,___________________________________ 5 7 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.40, 7.55 26,West Chester,_____________________________ 7 7 3, -0.2, 7.5, 7.36, 6.42 27,Syracuse,_________________________________ 9 5 2, 0.8, 6.4, 7.18, 7.47 28,John Carroll,_____________________________ 10 8 0, 0.2, 6.9, 7.09, 6.93 29,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 8 1, 0.6, 6.4, 7.00, 8.93 30,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 10 6 0, 1.6, 5.1, 6.75, 5.66 31,West Virginia,____________________________ 3 7 0, -0.8, 7.5, 6.71, 6.19 32,Towson,___________________________________ 13 2 2, 1.5, 5.2, 6.69, 6.33 33,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 10 9 0, 0.3, 6.3, 6.59, 7.09 34,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 7 9 1, -0.1, 6.6, 6.44, 5.89 35,Duquesne,_________________________________ 9 8 1, 0.4, 5.9, 6.27, 7.49 36,North Dakota State,_______________________ 3 8 0, -2.3, 8.1, 5.82, 4.17 37,Canisius,_________________________________ 15 5 1, 1.8, 3.6, 5.42, 5.11 38,Western Michigan,_________________________ 1 16 1, -3.7, 8.9, 5.25, 5.42 39,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 7 1, 0.5, 4.7, 5.19, 7.31 40,Lehigh,___________________________________ 11 7 1, 0.4, 4.7, 5.15, 4.12 41,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 14 0, -3.0, 8.0, 5.00, 5.56 42,Oswego State,_____________________________ 7 8 1, -0.1, 4.8, 4.72, 3.30 43,Villanova,________________________________ 7 10 0, -0.5, 5.1, 4.64, 5.54 44,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 5 13 0, -0.9, 5.4, 4.51, 4.32 45,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 4 11 1, -1.8, 6.3, 4.44, 4.85 46,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 5 1, -0.3, 4.3, 4.08, 3.10 47,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 13 1, -1.6, 5.5, 3.90, 3.14 48,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 10 1, -2.1, 5.7, 3.63, 4.49 49,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 5 2, -1.8, 5.2, 3.37, 2.88 50,Scranton,_________________________________ 3 9 0, -2.7, 6.1, 3.30, 3.88 51,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 2 11 0, -2.5, 5.8, 3.22, 2.71 52,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 11 2, -2.7, 5.8, 3.01, 4.33 53,Rochester,________________________________ 6 7 0, -0.5, 2.6, 2.17, 0.98 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 0 16 0, -5.3, 5.5, 0.19, 0.61 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 4 0, -5.3, 5.4, 0.16 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) Division 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,Arizona State,____________________________ 17 0 1, 0.9, 7.4, 8.36, 8.29 2,Adrian,___________________________________ 16 2 0, 0.8, 7.3, 8.09, 8.16 3,Robert Morris Illinois,___________________ 15 1 1, 0.8, 7.3, 8.08, 7.94 4,Minot State,______________________________ 10 3 1, 0.5, 7.4, 7.90, 7.67 5,Illinois,_________________________________ 12 5 2, 0.4, 7.5, 7.82, 7.54 6,Ohio,_____________________________________ 13 3 2, 0.6, 7.2, 7.80, 7.79 7,Davenport,________________________________ 13 4 2, 0.5, 7.3, 7.76, 7.85 8,Lindenwood,_______________________________ 7 8 1, -0.1, 7.7, 7.65, 7.75 9,Oklahoma,_________________________________ 10 7 1, 0.2, 7.4, 7.61, 7.55 10,Rhode Island,_____________________________ 11 5 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.58, 6.86 11,Stony Brook,______________________________ 7 6 0, 0.1, 7.5, 7.57, 7.93 12,Rutgers,__________________________________ 9 4 0, 0.4, 7.2, 7.56, 7.97 13,Arizona,__________________________________ 7 9 1, -0.1, 7.6, 7.50, 7.67 14,Central Oklahoma,_________________________ 9 8 1, 0.1, 7.4, 7.49, 7.86 15,Michigan-Dearborn,________________________ 12 3 0, 0.6, 6.9, 7.48, 7.78 16,Delaware,_________________________________ 8 7 0, 0.1, 7.4, 7.47, 7.89 17,Niagara,__________________________________ 12 2 0, 0.7, 6.8, 7.47, 7.65 18,Navy,_____________________________________ 14 4 2, 0.5, 6.9, 7.44, 7.45 19,Lebanon Valley,___________________________ 9 2 2, 0.5, 6.9, 7.42, 7.40 20,Oakland,__________________________________ 8 9 3, -0.1, 7.4, 7.40, 6.68 21,Liberty,__________________________________ 9 8 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.38 22,Iowa State,_______________________________ 9 11 0, -0.1, 7.4, 7.26, 6.45 23,Towson,___________________________________ 13 2 2, 0.6, 6.6, 7.25, 7.43 24,Eastern Michigan,_________________________ 7 12 1, -0.3, 7.5, 7.21, 7.22 25,West Chester,_____________________________ 7 7 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 7.01 26,Syracuse,_________________________________ 9 5 2, 0.3, 6.9, 7.16, 7.16 27,Buffalo,__________________________________ 14 4 2, 0.5, 6.6, 7.09, 7.35 28,John Carroll,_____________________________ 10 8 0, 0.1, 6.9, 7.05, 7.20 29,Drexel,___________________________________ 5 7 1, -0.2, 7.1, 6.96, 7.16 30,Lehigh,___________________________________ 11 7 1, 0.2, 6.6, 6.83, 6.63 31,Indiana,__________________________________ 7 8 1, -0.1, 6.8, 6.75, 7.40 32,North Dakota State,_______________________ 3 8 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.73, 6.60 33,Duquesne,_________________________________ 9 8 1, 0.1, 6.7, 6.73, 6.92 34,Mercyhurst,_______________________________ 10 9 0, 0.1, 6.7, 6.73, 6.81 35,Indiana Pennsylvania,_____________________ 10 6 0, 0.3, 6.5, 6.72, 6.52 36,Pittsburgh,_______________________________ 7 9 1, -0.1, 6.8, 6.71, 6.16 37,Canisius,_________________________________ 15 5 1, 0.5, 6.2, 6.70, 6.76 38,West Virginia,____________________________ 3 7 0, -0.4, 7.1, 6.67, 6.83 39,Kent State,_______________________________ 4 14 0, -0.6, 7.2, 6.61, 6.78 40,Western Michigan,_________________________ 1 16 1, -0.8, 7.4, 6.58, 6.78 41,Binghamton,_______________________________ 6 5 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.58, 6.24 42,Oswego State,_____________________________ 7 8 1, -0.1, 6.6, 6.54, 6.27 43,Ithaca,___________________________________ 7 7 1, 0.0, 6.5, 6.53, 6.97 44,Saint Bonaventure,________________________ 3 5 2, -0.2, 6.7, 6.50, 6.46 45,Villanova,________________________________ 7 10 0, -0.2, 6.6, 6.45, 6.45 46,Scranton,_________________________________ 3 9 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.34, 6.42 47,Robert Morris Pennsylvania,_______________ 4 11 1, -0.4, 6.8, 6.34, 6.19 48,Cornell,__________________________________ 3 11 2, -0.5, 6.8, 6.34, 6.59 49,Cortland State,___________________________ 3 10 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.27, 6.38 50,Slippery Rock,____________________________ 5 13 1, -0.4, 6.7, 6.25, 6.35 51,Penn State Berks,_________________________ 5 13 0, -0.4, 6.6, 6.20, 6.13 52,Rochester Inst of Tech,___________________ 2 11 0, -0.7, 6.8, 6.07, 5.93 53,Rochester,________________________________ 6 7 0, -0.1, 6.1, 6.02, 5.69 54,Youngstown State,_________________________ 0 16 0, -1.0, 6.6, 5.59, 5.49 55,Washington & Jefferson,___________________ 0 4 0, -1.0, 6.5, 5.50 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Currently, teams with as few as 3 scores are ranked. The more games that go into a team's ranking, the more accurate their ranking will be. Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College ClubUSHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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