Scores (sorted by team) through January 10, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 14 4 1, 1.7, 7.7, 9.44, 10.23 2,Denver,____________________________ 15 6 2, 1.4, 7.6, 8.99, 7.46 3,Notre Dame,________________________ 18 3 2, 2.0, 7.0, 8.99, 9.46 4,Michigan,__________________________ 14 7 0, 1.2, 7.5, 8.65, 10.87 5,Miami,_____________________________ 12 6 3, 1.2, 7.3, 8.50, 6.19 6,Northeastern,______________________ 14 4 2, 1.0, 7.4, 8.46, 8.02 7,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 9 1, 1.0, 7.4, 8.40, 8.18 8,Vermont,___________________________ 12 4 3, 0.6, 7.8, 8.40, 8.98 9,Boston College,____________________ 9 6 3, 0.4, 7.8, 8.23, 8.00 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 12 9 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.19, 7.46 11,Cornell,___________________________ 11 1 3, 1.1, 7.1, 8.16, 8.80 12,Minnesota,_________________________ 10 5 5, 0.5, 7.6, 8.14, 6.46 13,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 7 6, 0.4, 7.7, 8.07, 6.76 14,Air Force,_________________________ 15 4 1, 2.3, 5.7, 8.00, 5.41 15,Ohio State,________________________ 15 6 1, 0.9, 7.0, 7.93, 8.25 16,North Dakota,______________________ 13 10 1, 0.5, 7.5, 7.93, 8.85 17,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 11 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 6.37 18,Alaska,____________________________ 10 8 4, 0.5, 7.4, 7.90, 6.48 19,Princeton,_________________________ 13 5 0, 1.1, 6.8, 7.86, 6.34 20,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 6 4, 0.2, 7.6, 7.80, 8.88 21,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 7 3, 1.0, 6.8, 7.78, 7.22 22,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 9 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.76, 6.44 23,Maine,_____________________________ 10 8 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.68, 7.62 24,Quinnipiac,________________________ 11 7 2, 1.0, 6.6, 7.61, 8.38 25,St Lawrence,_______________________ 9 9 1, 0.1, 7.3, 7.42, 7.72 26,Colorado College,__________________ 12 7 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.41, 8.34 27,Minnesota State,___________________ 10 10 3, -0.0, 7.5, 7.41, 6.69 28,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 9 7, 0.2, 7.2, 7.34, 8.32 29,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 6 0, 0.7, 6.6, 7.33, 7.30 30,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 9 2, -0.3, 7.4, 7.05, 5.83 31,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 11 3, -0.4, 7.4, 7.02, 7.17 32,Ferris State,______________________ 10 10 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 7.02 33,Yale,______________________________ 11 4 0, 0.9, 6.0, 6.98, 7.58 34,Northern Michigan,_________________ 6 13 3, -0.5, 7.5, 6.93, 7.81 35,Union,_____________________________ 11 8 1, 0.2, 6.7, 6.84, 7.61 36,Colgate,___________________________ 6 9 5, -0.7, 7.3, 6.61, 6.45 37,Niagara,___________________________ 9 8 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.60, 6.85 38,Michigan State,____________________ 6 13 3, -1.3, 7.9, 6.58, 7.00 39,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.9, 7.5, 6.57, 7.22 40,Bemidji State,_____________________ 8 10 0, -0.6, 7.0, 6.45, 7.30 41,Western Michigan,__________________ 4 13 5, -1.3, 7.6, 6.26, 6.59 42,RIT,_______________________________ 12 9 1, 0.4, 5.8, 6.15, 7.15 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 17 2, -1.7, 7.8, 6.09, 7.10 44,Providence,________________________ 4 12 1, -1.8, 7.4, 5.68, 6.06 45,Clarkson,__________________________ 3 12 4, -1.2, 6.8, 5.63, 5.60 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 7 12 2, -0.5, 6.1, 5.58, 3.96 47,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 10 2, -0.9, 6.4, 5.56, 5.79 48,Canisius,__________________________ 7 8 4, 0.0, 5.5, 5.45, 4.30 49,Bentley,___________________________ 8 10 1, -0.7, 6.1, 5.45, 6.63 50,Harvard,___________________________ 4 11 3, -1.3, 6.7, 5.40, 3.72 51,Rensselaer,________________________ 4 15 2, -1.7, 7.0, 5.33, 6.34 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 11 2, -0.6, 5.9, 5.29, 6.70 53,Robert Morris,_____________________ 4 11 4, -1.3, 6.5, 5.17, 4.42 54,Army,______________________________ 7 12 1, -0.9, 5.9, 5.02, 6.07 55,Sacred Heart,______________________ 5 12 3, -1.5, 6.4, 4.88, 5.33 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 16 1, -1.7, 6.3, 4.64, 3.64 57,Brown,_____________________________ 1 10 4, -1.9, 6.5, 4.59, 4.76 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 16 1, -2.2, 5.9, 3.70, 2.73 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 14 4 1, 0.5, 7.2, 7.76, 8.16 2,Cornell,___________________________ 11 1 3, 0.7, 7.1, 7.72, 7.84 3,Vermont,___________________________ 12 4 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.64 4,Northeastern,______________________ 14 4 2, 0.5, 7.2, 7.65, 7.62 5,Notre Dame,________________________ 18 3 2, 0.7, 7.0, 7.61, 8.10 6,Denver,____________________________ 15 6 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.54, 7.36 7,Boston College,____________________ 9 6 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.44, 7.42 8,Michigan,__________________________ 14 7 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.44, 7.93 9,Minnesota,_________________________ 10 5 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.43, 6.95 10,Princeton,_________________________ 13 5 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.43, 6.73 11,Miami,_____________________________ 12 6 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 6.50 12,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 6 4, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 7.78 13,Ohio State,________________________ 15 6 1, 0.4, 7.0, 7.36, 7.67 14,Maine,_____________________________ 10 8 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 6.89 15,North Dakota,______________________ 13 10 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.27, 7.65 16,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 9 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 7.34 17,Wisconsin,_________________________ 12 9 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 6.87 18,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 6 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.24, 7.19 19,Air Force,_________________________ 15 4 1, 0.6, 6.7, 7.21, 6.30 20,Colorado College,__________________ 12 7 5, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 7.33 21,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 7 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 6.76 22,Yale,______________________________ 11 4 0, 0.5, 6.7, 7.19, 7.67 23,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 7 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.17, 6.86 24,St Lawrence,_______________________ 9 9 1, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 7.51 25,Alaska,____________________________ 10 8 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 6.54 26,Minnesota State,___________________ 10 10 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.15, 7.04 27,Quinnipiac,________________________ 11 7 2, 0.2, 6.9, 7.15, 7.34 28,Union,_____________________________ 11 8 1, 0.2, 6.9, 7.09, 7.49 29,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 9 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 6.74 30,Colgate,___________________________ 6 9 5, -0.2, 7.1, 6.99, 7.01 31,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 8 11 0, -0.2, 7.1, 6.99, 6.22 32,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 9 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.23 33,Niagara,___________________________ 9 8 1, 0.1, 6.9, 6.96, 7.16 34,Ferris State,______________________ 10 10 4, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.82 35,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 6.89 36,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 9 7, -0.1, 7.0, 6.88, 7.00 37,Michigan State,____________________ 6 13 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 7.09 38,Bemidji State,_____________________ 8 10 0, -0.1, 7.0, 6.84, 6.86 39,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 11 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.84, 6.59 40,Northern Michigan,_________________ 6 13 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 7.30 41,RIT,_______________________________ 12 9 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.76, 7.44 42,Western Michigan,__________________ 4 13 5, -0.4, 7.1, 6.73, 6.99 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 17 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.67, 7.11 44,Providence,________________________ 4 12 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.65, 6.76 45,Bentley,___________________________ 8 10 1, -0.1, 6.7, 6.64, 6.57 46,Harvard,___________________________ 4 11 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.59, 6.11 47,Rensselaer,________________________ 4 15 2, -0.5, 7.1, 6.55, 6.85 48,Clarkson,__________________________ 3 12 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.55, 6.53 49,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 11 2, -0.1, 6.7, 6.54, 7.13 50,Canisius,__________________________ 7 8 4, -0.1, 6.5, 6.49, 6.11 51,Mercyhurst,________________________ 7 12 2, -0.2, 6.7, 6.48, 5.76 52,Sacred Heart,______________________ 5 12 3, -0.4, 6.8, 6.47, 6.51 53,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 10 2, -0.4, 6.8, 6.47, 6.72 54,Robert Morris,_____________________ 4 11 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.43, 6.22 55,Army,______________________________ 7 12 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.40, 7.15 56,Brown,_____________________________ 1 10 4, -0.6, 6.9, 6.32, 6.33 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 16 1, -0.6, 6.8, 6.22, 5.81 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 16 1, -0.6, 6.7, 6.11, 5.80 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
Over 4000 registered members, HS message boards for over 30 states + midget, junior, college, and pro hockey forums! Receive email when this page changes