Scores (sorted by team) through January 17, 2010 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 13 6 3, 1.5, 7.8, 9.23, 9.06 2,Miami,_____________________________ 15 4 5, 1.2, 7.7, 8.93, 8.17 3,North Dakota,______________________ 12 7 5, 0.8, 7.7, 8.57, 7.77 4,Colorado College,__________________ 13 8 3, 0.6, 7.8, 8.37, 6.54 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 7 1, 0.8, 7.6, 8.34, 8.93 6,St Cloud State,____________________ 14 7 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.22, 8.69 7,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 5 2, 1.3, 6.9, 8.21, 7.16 8,Denver,____________________________ 14 5 3, 0.4, 7.8, 8.17, 8.05 9,Ferris State,______________________ 16 6 2, 1.1, 7.0, 8.13, 8.80 10,Yale,______________________________ 10 4 3, 1.4, 6.7, 8.06, 8.49 11,Michigan,__________________________ 13 10 1, 0.7, 7.4, 8.06, 9.15 12,Michigan State,____________________ 15 7 4, 0.7, 7.3, 8.00, 8.00 13,Boston College,____________________ 12 6 2, 0.8, 7.1, 7.93, 7.67 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 10 2, 0.2, 7.7, 7.91, 8.61 15,Union,_____________________________ 13 4 5, 1.1, 6.7, 7.81, 8.32 16,Cornell,___________________________ 9 4 3, 1.1, 6.7, 7.79, 7.33 17,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 7 4, 0.1, 7.6, 7.76, 8.08 18,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 13 2, 0.1, 7.6, 7.72, 7.40 19,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 12 9 2, 0.8, 6.9, 7.67, 6.91 20,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 8 0, 0.4, 7.2, 7.65, 6.77 21,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 10 6, 0.1, 7.5, 7.60, 7.77 22,Northern Michigan,_________________ 10 8 6, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 8.35 23,Maine,_____________________________ 11 9 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.56, 6.75 24,Vermont,___________________________ 11 7 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.49, 8.13 25,Alaska,____________________________ 10 7 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 6.44 26,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 8 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.39, 7.73 27,Ohio State,________________________ 9 12 1, -0.3, 7.7, 7.34, 7.17 28,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 9 1, 0.6, 6.5, 7.14, 5.82 29,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 10 11 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.03, 6.73 30,Boston University,_________________ 7 10 3, -0.4, 7.4, 7.02, 7.84 31,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 11 1, 0.1, 6.9, 7.02, 7.57 32,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 13 1, -0.9, 7.8, 6.98, 7.97 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.93, 5.52 34,St Lawrence,_______________________ 11 8 4, 0.3, 6.6, 6.91, 8.30 35,Western Michigan,__________________ 6 12 4, -0.7, 7.5, 6.83, 6.34 36,Northeastern,______________________ 9 11 1, -0.6, 7.3, 6.74, 6.59 37,Niagara,___________________________ 6 13 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.71, 7.70 38,Providence,________________________ 9 10 1, -0.4, 7.0, 6.69, 7.04 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.7, 7.3, 6.62, 8.34 40,Colgate,___________________________ 8 9 4, -0.4, 6.7, 6.25, 4.95 41,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 13 2, -0.8, 7.0, 6.23, 5.72 42,RIT,_______________________________ 12 9 1, 0.5, 5.6, 6.15, 6.17 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 3 20 1, -1.9, 8.1, 6.14, 5.40 44,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 9 3, 0.1, 5.9, 6.05, 8.04 45,Bowling Green,_____________________ 3 18 3, -1.5, 7.5, 5.95, 5.53 46,Brown,_____________________________ 5 11 1, -0.7, 6.6, 5.86, 4.80 47,Princeton,_________________________ 6 10 2, -1.2, 7.0, 5.81, 6.46 48,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 13 2, 0.2, 5.6, 5.79, 5.03 49,Clarkson,__________________________ 5 14 3, -1.2, 7.0, 5.79, 5.49 50,Canisius,__________________________ 11 10 3, 0.1, 5.7, 5.76, 6.41 51,Harvard,___________________________ 3 10 2, -1.2, 6.8, 5.65, 7.19 52,Air Force,_________________________ 11 8 5, 0.1, 5.5, 5.64, 5.63 53,Dartmouth,_________________________ 4 12 0, -0.9, 6.5, 5.60, 5.28 54,Army,______________________________ 7 11 4, -0.5, 6.0, 5.49, 4.69 55,Bentley,___________________________ 9 10 3, -0.5, 5.9, 5.42, 5.49 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 5 13 5, -0.8, 5.8, 4.95, 4.34 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 3 16 3, -1.8, 5.9, 4.12, 4.68 58,American Int'l,____________________ 3 16 2, -1.8, 5.7, 3.90, 4.12 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Denver,____________________________ 14 5 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.74, 7.66 2,Miami,_____________________________ 15 4 5, 0.5, 7.3, 7.71, 7.33 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 16 7 1, 0.4, 7.2, 7.61, 7.96 4,Wisconsin,_________________________ 13 6 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 7.72 5,St Cloud State,____________________ 14 7 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.54, 7.78 6,Colorado College,__________________ 13 8 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.53, 6.94 7,North Dakota,______________________ 12 7 5, 0.2, 7.3, 7.48, 7.43 8,Michigan State,____________________ 15 7 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.37 9,Boston College,____________________ 12 6 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 6.99 10,Ferris State,______________________ 16 6 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.41, 7.52 11,Vermont,___________________________ 11 7 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.53 12,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 8 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.34 13,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 7 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.37, 7.41 14,Bemidji State,_____________________ 15 5 2, 0.5, 6.9, 7.36, 6.88 15,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 7.42 16,Union,_____________________________ 13 4 5, 0.4, 6.9, 7.32, 7.63 17,Maine,_____________________________ 11 9 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 7.10 18,Michigan,__________________________ 13 10 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 7.77 19,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 8 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.57 20,Yale,______________________________ 10 4 3, 0.4, 6.9, 7.24, 7.26 21,Northern Michigan,_________________ 10 8 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.22, 7.34 22,Cornell,___________________________ 9 4 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.20, 7.03 23,Alaska,____________________________ 10 7 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 6.75 24,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 13 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.17, 6.76 25,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 10 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 7.23 26,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 12 9 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.15, 6.84 27,Ohio State,________________________ 9 12 1, -0.1, 7.2, 7.10, 6.96 28,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.10, 7.28 29,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 10 11 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 6.78 30,Northeastern,______________________ 9 11 1, -0.1, 7.2, 7.06, 7.09 31,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 9 1, 0.2, 6.8, 7.01, 6.22 32,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 11 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 7.35 33,Boston University,_________________ 7 10 3, -0.2, 7.1, 7.00, 7.33 34,Providence,________________________ 9 10 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.99, 7.10 35,St Lawrence,_______________________ 11 8 4, 0.1, 6.8, 6.96, 7.10 36,Western Michigan,__________________ 6 12 4, -0.3, 7.2, 6.89, 6.53 37,Robert Morris,_____________________ 7 12 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.86, 7.76 38,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 6.33 39,Colgate,___________________________ 8 9 4, -0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 6.20 40,Niagara,___________________________ 6 13 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.72, 7.29 41,Princeton,_________________________ 6 10 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.72, 7.16 42,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 3 20 1, -0.7, 7.4, 6.68, 6.50 43,RIT,_______________________________ 12 9 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.59, 6.50 44,Canisius,__________________________ 11 10 3, 0.0, 6.5, 6.58, 6.96 45,Bentley,___________________________ 9 10 3, -0.0, 6.6, 6.57, 6.53 46,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 9 3, 0.0, 6.6, 6.57, 7.25 47,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 5 13 2, -0.4, 7.0, 6.57, 6.25 48,Clarkson,__________________________ 5 14 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.57, 6.34 49,Bowling Green,_____________________ 3 18 3, -0.6, 7.2, 6.56, 6.64 50,Air Force,_________________________ 11 8 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.56, 6.74 51,Brown,_____________________________ 5 11 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.50, 6.30 52,Harvard,___________________________ 3 10 2, -0.5, 6.9, 6.45, 7.06 53,Army,______________________________ 7 11 4, -0.2, 6.6, 6.43, 6.12 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 13 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.41, 6.08 55,Dartmouth,_________________________ 4 12 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.34, 6.26 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 5 13 5, -0.3, 6.5, 6.15, 5.84 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 3 16 3, -0.6, 6.6, 6.00, 6.32 58,American Int'l,____________________ 3 16 2, -0.6, 6.5, 5.85, 6.03 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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