Scores (sorted by team) through January 22, 2011 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Yale,______________________________ 18 2 0, 2.5, 6.8, 9.30, 8.68 2,North Dakota,______________________ 18 7 2, 0.9, 7.7, 8.66, 7.79 3,Boston College,____________________ 17 6 0, 1.4, 7.1, 8.51, 7.74 4,Michigan,__________________________ 17 6 4, 1.1, 7.3, 8.41, 9.83 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 17 5 3, 1.0, 7.3, 8.37, 8.97 6,Miami,_____________________________ 14 9 3, 1.1, 7.3, 8.37, 7.67 7,Denver,____________________________ 16 5 5, 0.9, 7.5, 8.35, 8.33 8,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 8 3, 1.1, 7.2, 8.29, 7.75 9,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 9 2, 0.7, 7.4, 8.09, 7.70 10,Notre Dame,________________________ 16 9 3, 0.7, 7.4, 8.06, 7.35 11,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 5 4, 1.0, 7.0, 8.00, 7.55 12,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 6 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.83, 8.40 13,Union,_____________________________ 16 7 3, 1.0, 6.7, 7.77, 8.13 14,Maine,_____________________________ 11 6 5, 0.5, 7.2, 7.74, 7.48 15,Colorado College,__________________ 14 11 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.07 16,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 6 3, 0.8, 6.8, 7.66, 7.45 17,Alaska,____________________________ 10 10 4, 0.0, 7.6, 7.65, 7.47 18,Ohio State,________________________ 13 10 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.63, 8.27 19,Minnesota,_________________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 7.6, 7.61, 7.56 20,Princeton,_________________________ 11 6 1, 0.9, 6.7, 7.58, 7.26 21,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 5 4, 0.9, 6.7, 7.53, 7.86 22,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 6 8, 0.3, 7.2, 7.42, 8.01 23,St Cloud State,____________________ 11 11 2, -0.0, 7.4, 7.36, 9.46 24,Ferris State,______________________ 11 12 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.33, 6.27 25,Boston University,_________________ 11 7 6, -0.0, 7.3, 7.28, 8.05 26,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 13 2, -0.4, 7.6, 7.27, 6.25 27,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 11 4, -0.2, 7.4, 7.20, 7.22 28,Michigan State,____________________ 10 12 4, -0.3, 7.5, 7.20, 7.45 29,Minnesota State,___________________ 10 11 5, -0.2, 7.3, 7.12, 7.67 30,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 12 3, -0.7, 7.8, 7.10, 7.88 31,Brown,_____________________________ 7 8 4, -0.4, 7.4, 7.03, 6.97 32,Cornell,___________________________ 8 9 2, 0.1, 6.9, 7.00, 7.61 33,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 9 2, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.82 34,Northeastern,______________________ 7 10 5, 0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 7.35 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 12 10 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.62, 7.43 36,RIT,_______________________________ 13 8 5, 0.5, 6.1, 6.61, 7.51 37,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 8 3, 0.6, 5.9, 6.57, 6.29 38,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 11 7, -0.8, 7.4, 6.56, 5.93 39,Providence,________________________ 7 10 5, -0.5, 7.1, 6.55, 7.08 40,Massachusetts,_____________________ 6 12 3, -0.4, 6.9, 6.55, 7.33 41,St Lawrence,_______________________ 7 12 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.53, 6.67 42,Niagara,___________________________ 15 7 2, 0.5, 5.9, 6.43, 5.85 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 12 2, 0.4, 6.0, 6.40, 7.55 44,Vermont,___________________________ 6 13 4, -0.9, 7.1, 6.28, 5.79 45,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 17 2, -1.2, 7.3, 6.15, 5.42 46,Air Force,_________________________ 10 9 4, 0.0, 6.1, 6.14, 5.59 47,Colgate,___________________________ 3 19 2, -0.9, 6.9, 6.00, 6.20 48,Harvard,___________________________ 3 15 0, -1.3, 7.2, 5.91, 5.76 49,Canisius,__________________________ 6 11 5, -0.5, 6.2, 5.78, 5.17 50,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 14 3, -0.7, 6.4, 5.71, 5.89 51,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 3 18 3, -1.9, 7.6, 5.69, 4.43 52,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 3 19 2, -1.7, 7.3, 5.56, 5.98 53,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 13 4, -0.8, 6.4, 5.54, 4.85 54,Bentley,___________________________ 6 12 4, -0.8, 6.2, 5.39, 5.02 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 23 2, -1.7, 7.1, 5.36, 5.34 56,Army,______________________________ 7 14 3, -0.9, 6.2, 5.34, 5.60 57,American International,____________ 4 13 1, -1.2, 6.2, 5.08, 5.10 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 3 15 5, -2.2, 6.4, 4.18, 4.93 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,North Dakota,______________________ 18 7 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.71, 7.42 2,Yale,______________________________ 18 2 0, 0.8, 6.9, 7.70, 7.48 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 17 5 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.66, 7.64 4,Denver,____________________________ 16 5 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.64, 7.71 5,Boston College,____________________ 17 6 0, 0.5, 7.0, 7.51, 7.54 6,Michigan,__________________________ 17 6 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 8.11 7,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 8 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.43, 7.81 8,Notre Dame,________________________ 16 9 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.41, 7.37 9,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 9 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 6.92 10,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 5 4, 0.4, 7.0, 7.34, 7.10 11,Maine,_____________________________ 11 6 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 7.45 12,Miami,_____________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 7.13 13,Rensselaer,________________________ 15 6 3, 0.4, 6.9, 7.27, 7.32 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.27, 7.28 15,Boston University,_________________ 11 7 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.26, 7.25 16,Dartmouth,_________________________ 11 6 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.26, 7.69 17,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 6 8, 0.2, 7.0, 7.26, 7.47 18,Union,_____________________________ 16 7 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.25, 7.38 19,Colorado College,__________________ 14 11 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 6.66 20,Merrimack,_________________________ 13 5 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.23, 7.31 21,Alaska,____________________________ 10 10 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 6.82 22,St Cloud State,____________________ 11 11 2, 0.0, 7.2, 7.15, 7.95 23,Ohio State,________________________ 13 10 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.15, 7.32 24,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 11 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 7.30 25,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 12 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.11, 7.48 26,Princeton,_________________________ 11 6 1, 0.3, 6.8, 7.11, 7.07 27,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 13 2, -0.2, 7.3, 7.10, 6.67 28,Minnesota State,___________________ 10 11 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 6.88 29,Clarkson,__________________________ 12 9 2, 0.1, 6.9, 7.08, 7.19 30,Michigan State,____________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 7.18 31,Brown,_____________________________ 7 8 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 7.10 32,Ferris State,______________________ 11 12 4, -0.0, 7.1, 7.04, 6.60 33,Quinnipiac,________________________ 12 10 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 6.87 34,Niagara,___________________________ 15 7 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.92, 6.90 35,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 11 7, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.78 36,Providence,________________________ 7 10 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 6.73 37,RIT,_______________________________ 13 8 5, 0.2, 6.7, 6.87, 7.06 38,Cornell,___________________________ 8 9 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.86, 7.22 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 14 8 3, 0.2, 6.6, 6.84, 6.71 40,Northeastern,______________________ 7 10 5, -0.1, 6.9, 6.79, 7.12 41,St Lawrence,_______________________ 7 12 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.66 42,Air Force,_________________________ 10 9 4, 0.0, 6.7, 6.76, 6.42 43,Vermont,___________________________ 6 13 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.64 44,Massachusetts,_____________________ 6 12 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.69, 6.93 45,Bowling Green,_____________________ 7 17 2, -0.4, 7.1, 6.68, 6.43 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 12 2, -0.0, 6.7, 6.64, 7.09 47,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 3 18 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.63, 6.40 48,Canisius,__________________________ 6 11 5, -0.2, 6.8, 6.55, 6.44 49,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 13 4, -0.3, 6.8, 6.53, 6.09 50,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 14 3, -0.3, 6.8, 6.49, 6.38 51,Bentley,___________________________ 6 12 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.47, 6.45 52,Harvard,___________________________ 3 15 0, -0.7, 7.1, 6.42, 6.25 53,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 3 19 2, -0.7, 7.1, 6.42, 6.38 54,Army,______________________________ 7 14 3, -0.3, 6.7, 6.39, 6.82 55,Colgate,___________________________ 3 19 2, -0.7, 7.0, 6.29, 6.27 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 23 2, -0.7, 7.0, 6.29, 6.61 57,American International,____________ 4 13 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.26, 6.10 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 3 15 5, -0.5, 6.8, 6.24, 6.43 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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