Scores (sorted by team) through January 24, 2009 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 18 5 1, 1.8, 7.6, 9.42, 9.50 2,Notre Dame,________________________ 19 3 3, 1.8, 7.2, 8.99, 9.42 3,Denver,____________________________ 15 7 3, 1.1, 7.6, 8.72, 6.62 4,Michigan,__________________________ 18 8 0, 1.3, 7.4, 8.72, 8.68 5,Miami,_____________________________ 14 8 4, 1.1, 7.4, 8.47, 8.08 6,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 5 5, 0.7, 7.7, 8.42, 8.12 7,Northeastern,______________________ 17 5 2, 1.1, 7.3, 8.41, 8.35 8,St Cloud State,____________________ 13 11 2, 0.8, 7.6, 8.38, 8.30 9,Vermont,___________________________ 14 5 4, 0.5, 7.8, 8.33, 8.68 10,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 7 6, 0.7, 7.6, 8.30, 8.61 11,Wisconsin,_________________________ 13 10 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.29, 8.45 12,North Dakota,______________________ 15 10 3, 0.8, 7.5, 8.22, 10.62 13,Boston College,____________________ 10 8 3, 0.3, 7.8, 8.12, 7.65 14,Cornell,___________________________ 14 2 3, 1.3, 6.8, 8.08, 8.08 15,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 11 12 0, 0.6, 7.3, 7.91, 7.14 16,Alaska,____________________________ 11 9 6, 0.5, 7.4, 7.88, 7.13 17,Ohio State,________________________ 16 7 3, 0.8, 7.1, 7.87, 7.24 18,Princeton,_________________________ 13 5 0, 1.1, 6.6, 7.75, 6.23 19,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 11 3, 0.6, 7.1, 7.72, 7.27 20,New Hampshire,_____________________ 11 8 4, -0.1, 7.8, 7.70, 7.47 21,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 9 5, 0.6, 7.1, 7.68, 6.37 22,Air Force,_________________________ 17 6 1, 2.0, 5.6, 7.57, 5.93 23,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 11 8, 0.2, 7.3, 7.52, 8.94 24,St Lawrence,_______________________ 12 10 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 7.51 25,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 7.5, 7.32, 7.30 26,Maine,_____________________________ 10 10 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.27, 5.57 27,Colorado College,__________________ 13 9 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 5.93 28,Northern Michigan,_________________ 7 13 4, -0.4, 7.6, 7.15, 8.49 29,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 9 2, 0.7, 6.4, 7.10, 4.96 30,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 7 1, 0.5, 6.6, 7.09, 7.50 31,Ferris State,______________________ 10 11 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.43 32,Yale,______________________________ 13 5 1, 0.8, 6.2, 6.95, 7.56 33,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 14 3, -0.5, 7.4, 6.90, 7.01 34,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 10 4, -0.5, 7.3, 6.85, 5.64 35,Bowling Green,_____________________ 9 14 3, -0.8, 7.6, 6.82, 7.67 36,Niagara,___________________________ 11 10 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 7.06 37,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 13 6, -0.8, 7.5, 6.66, 7.93 38,Michigan State,____________________ 7 16 3, -1.4, 8.1, 6.65, 6.45 39,Union,_____________________________ 12 11 1, -0.0, 6.6, 6.55, 6.51 40,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 13 0, -0.5, 7.1, 6.51, 7.05 41,RIT,_______________________________ 15 9 1, 0.7, 5.6, 6.35, 7.35 42,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 12 2, 0.4, 5.8, 6.20, 8.22 43,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 18 5, -1.6, 7.7, 6.13, 6.37 44,Colgate,___________________________ 6 13 5, -0.9, 7.0, 6.10, 3.64 45,Providence,________________________ 6 14 2, -1.5, 7.5, 6.09, 7.85 46,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 13 4, -0.8, 6.7, 5.85, 6.81 47,Canisius,__________________________ 9 9 4, 0.0, 5.7, 5.73, 5.30 48,Bentley,___________________________ 11 12 1, -0.4, 5.9, 5.51, 5.51 49,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 17 2, -1.5, 7.0, 5.45, 7.44 50,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 12 2, -1.1, 6.5, 5.45, 6.11 51,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 12 4, -1.1, 6.5, 5.42, 5.55 52,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 11 5, -0.5, 5.9, 5.39, 6.52 53,Harvard,___________________________ 4 11 3, -1.3, 6.7, 5.37, 3.59 54,Army,______________________________ 7 14 3, -0.9, 6.0, 5.11, 5.62 55,Brown,_____________________________ 2 13 4, -1.8, 6.6, 4.72, 4.70 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 15 3, -1.6, 6.2, 4.63, 4.95 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 5 18 1, -1.9, 6.2, 4.36, 3.12 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 19 1, -2.3, 6.0, 3.65, 2.39 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston University,_________________ 18 5 1, 0.5, 7.2, 7.74, 7.72 2,Northeastern,______________________ 17 5 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 7.73 3,Vermont,___________________________ 14 5 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.63, 7.74 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 19 3 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.62, 7.89 5,Cornell,___________________________ 14 2 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.59, 7.43 6,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 5 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.55 7,Michigan,__________________________ 18 8 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 7.61 8,Denver,____________________________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.48, 7.16 9,Princeton,_________________________ 13 5 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.40, 6.69 10,New Hampshire,_____________________ 11 8 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.36, 7.34 11,Miami,_____________________________ 14 8 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.36, 7.12 12,Boston College,____________________ 10 8 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.34, 7.04 13,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 13 7 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 7.59 14,Ohio State,________________________ 16 7 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 7.11 15,North Dakota,______________________ 15 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 7.78 16,Wisconsin,_________________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 7.23 17,St Cloud State,____________________ 13 11 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 7.34 18,Yale,______________________________ 13 5 1, 0.4, 6.8, 7.21, 7.36 19,Colorado College,__________________ 13 9 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.17, 6.81 20,St Lawrence,_______________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 7.18 21,Alaska,____________________________ 11 9 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.15, 6.93 22,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 9 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.14, 6.58 23,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 7 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.13, 6.98 24,Maine,_____________________________ 10 10 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 6.38 25,Air Force,_________________________ 17 6 1, 0.5, 6.6, 7.08, 6.45 26,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 11 12 0, -0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 7.13 27,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 6.96 28,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 9 2, 0.2, 6.9, 7.05, 6.55 29,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 11 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.03, 6.90 30,Union,_____________________________ 12 11 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.98, 6.86 31,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 8 10 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.97, 6.76 32,Bowling Green,_____________________ 9 14 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 7.02 33,Niagara,___________________________ 11 10 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.94, 6.85 34,Ferris State,______________________ 10 11 5, -0.0, 7.0, 6.93, 6.83 35,Michigan State,____________________ 7 16 3, -0.3, 7.3, 6.91, 6.77 36,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 11 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 7.18 37,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 13 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 7.27 38,Northern Michigan,_________________ 7 13 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.86, 7.57 39,RIT,_______________________________ 15 9 1, 0.2, 6.6, 6.83, 7.24 40,Providence,________________________ 6 14 2, -0.4, 7.2, 6.82, 7.44 41,Bemidji State,_____________________ 9 13 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.77, 6.57 42,Colgate,___________________________ 6 13 5, -0.3, 7.1, 6.76, 5.82 43,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 14 3, -0.4, 7.1, 6.73, 6.44 44,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 13 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 7.47 45,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 18 5, -0.5, 7.2, 6.71, 6.81 46,Bentley,___________________________ 11 12 1, -0.0, 6.7, 6.66, 6.64 47,Mercyhurst,________________________ 11 12 2, -0.0, 6.7, 6.63, 6.93 48,Canisius,__________________________ 9 9 4, 0.0, 6.6, 6.63, 6.66 49,Rensselaer,________________________ 6 17 2, -0.4, 7.1, 6.62, 7.33 50,Harvard,___________________________ 4 11 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.57, 6.09 51,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 11 5, -0.1, 6.7, 6.57, 6.81 52,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 12 4, -0.3, 6.8, 6.46, 6.39 53,Army,______________________________ 7 14 3, -0.3, 6.7, 6.40, 6.58 54,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 15 3, -0.4, 6.8, 6.40, 6.36 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 12 2, -0.4, 6.8, 6.39, 6.65 56,Brown,_____________________________ 2 13 4, -0.6, 7.0, 6.39, 6.48 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 5 18 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.23, 6.12 58,American Int'l,____________________ 4 19 1, -0.6, 6.7, 6.07, 5.69 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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