Scores (sorted by team) through January 27, 2007 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 4 1, 2.1, 7.4, 9.47, 8.36 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 21 5 3, 1.7, 7.8, 9.41, 7.40 3,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 5 4, 1.3, 7.9, 9.24, 8.69 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 5 2, 2.0, 7.1, 9.08, 9.01 5,North Dakota,______________________ 15 11 2, 0.6, 8.0, 8.61, 10.76 6,Michigan,__________________________ 19 9 0, 1.2, 7.3, 8.52, 9.58 7,Maine,_____________________________ 16 7 2, 1.2, 7.3, 8.51, 5.61 8,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 6 4, 1.3, 7.2, 8.50, 8.57 9,Michigan State,____________________ 16 8 1, 0.8, 7.6, 8.43, 9.21 10,Colorado College,__________________ 14 10 2, 0.5, 7.8, 8.35, 7.60 11,Denver,____________________________ 19 9 2, 0.6, 7.7, 8.29, 9.66 12,Vermont,___________________________ 14 8 4, 0.7, 7.6, 8.24, 8.05 13,Wisconsin,_________________________ 11 13 2, 0.1, 8.1, 8.20, 9.44 14,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 13 3, 0.1, 8.0, 8.03, 8.48 15,Miami,_____________________________ 18 9 3, 0.8, 7.2, 8.02, 7.20 16,Boston University,_________________ 13 5 7, 0.8, 7.2, 7.99, 7.62 17,Boston College,____________________ 14 9 1, 0.5, 7.4, 7.91, 7.37 18,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 11 6, 0.9, 6.9, 7.85, 8.02 19,Quinnipiac,________________________ 11 8 4, 0.7, 7.0, 7.69, 7.20 20,Northeastern,______________________ 9 12 4, 0.0, 7.7, 7.67, 8.79 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 9 15 4, -0.7, 8.3, 7.55, 8.95 22,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 8 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 9.13 23,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.37 24,Ohio State,________________________ 10 11 5, 0.0, 7.5, 7.51, 7.47 25,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 11 12 3, -0.4, 7.9, 7.47, 6.70 26,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 11 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 6.59 27,Cornell,___________________________ 10 8 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.17, 6.32 28,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 9 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17, 7.20 29,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 16 3, -0.7, 7.9, 7.17, 7.45 30,Harvard,___________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 7.5, 7.15, 8.01 31,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 17 2, -0.4, 7.5, 7.05, 5.85 32,Colgate,___________________________ 11 13 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.02, 6.78 33,Niagara,___________________________ 17 8 3, 0.5, 6.5, 7.01, 7.65 34,Princeton,_________________________ 9 9 2, 0.2, 6.7, 6.90, 7.40 35,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 13 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.86, 8.39 36,Union,_____________________________ 13 11 2, -0.0, 6.9, 6.85, 7.45 37,Bemidji State,_____________________ 12 9 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.75, 6.52 38,RIT,_______________________________ 16 8 2, 1.3, 5.4, 6.71, 6.22 39,Alaska,____________________________ 8 13 5, -0.5, 7.2, 6.70, 6.17 40,Brown,_____________________________ 8 9 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.59, 6.63 41,Yale,______________________________ 8 10 3, -0.5, 7.0, 6.47, 5.18 42,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 3 19 5, -1.2, 7.6, 6.36, 5.42 43,Providence,________________________ 6 17 1, -1.3, 7.6, 6.36, 7.95 44,Ferris State,______________________ 7 18 3, -1.0, 7.3, 6.22, 5.72 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 8 11 7, -1.0, 7.2, 6.19, 7.18 46,Air Force,_________________________ 13 10 5, 0.4, 5.5, 5.86, 5.17 47,Sacred Heart,______________________ 15 7 4, 0.4, 5.4, 5.78, 5.56 48,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 18 4, -2.0, 7.4, 5.38, 6.27 49,Army,______________________________ 12 9 4, 0.2, 5.2, 5.36, 5.72 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 13 1, -1.0, 6.3, 5.34, 5.45 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 7 19 0, -1.5, 6.8, 5.30, 5.58 52,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 16 1, -1.1, 6.4, 5.28, 5.98 53,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 22 2, -2.2, 7.4, 5.19, 3.87 54,Holy Cross,________________________ 9 13 4, -0.2, 5.4, 5.13, 4.24 55,Mercyhurst,________________________ 6 16 5, -0.6, 5.5, 4.84, 5.16 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 16 1, -1.0, 5.5, 4.51, 5.05 57,Bentley,___________________________ 10 14 1, -1.1, 5.6, 4.49, 4.21 58,Canisius,__________________________ 6 19 2, -1.5, 5.6, 4.10, 3.41 59,American Int'l,____________________ 4 20 0, -1.9, 5.6, 3.65, 4.43 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 21 5 3, 0.6, 7.2, 7.79, 7.28 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 5 4, 0.5, 7.3, 7.77, 7.68 3,New Hampshire,_____________________ 19 4 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.70, 7.69 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 5 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.57, 7.54 5,Denver,____________________________ 19 9 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.56, 7.87 6,North Dakota,______________________ 15 11 2, 0.1, 7.3, 7.49, 8.43 7,Michigan State,____________________ 16 8 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.46, 8.02 8,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 6 4, 0.4, 7.1, 7.46, 7.43 9,Colorado College,__________________ 14 10 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.43, 6.83 10,Maine,_____________________________ 16 7 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.41, 6.76 11,Michigan,__________________________ 19 9 0, 0.4, 7.1, 7.41, 7.37 12,Vermont,___________________________ 14 8 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.37, 7.53 13,Boston University,_________________ 13 5 7, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.35 14,Miami,_____________________________ 18 9 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.33, 7.07 15,Wisconsin,_________________________ 11 13 2, -0.1, 7.4, 7.29, 7.71 16,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 13 3, -0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 7.69 17,Boston College,____________________ 14 9 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 6.99 18,Niagara,___________________________ 17 8 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.23, 7.60 19,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.22, 7.48 20,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 11 12 3, -0.0, 7.3, 7.22, 7.07 21,Minnesota State,___________________ 9 15 4, -0.2, 7.4, 7.20, 7.83 22,Bemidji State,_____________________ 12 9 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.18, 6.63 23,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 8 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 7.57 24,Quinnipiac,________________________ 11 8 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.16, 6.81 25,Ohio State,________________________ 10 11 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 7.12 26,Cornell,___________________________ 10 8 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 6.82 27,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 11 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 6.74 28,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 9 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.05, 7.19 29,Northeastern,______________________ 9 12 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.05, 7.27 30,Union,_____________________________ 13 11 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 7.26 31,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 9 16 3, -0.3, 7.3, 7.04, 7.26 32,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 11 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 7.06 33,Western Michigan,__________________ 12 13 1, -0.0, 7.0, 6.98, 7.57 34,Colgate,___________________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 7.01 35,Rensselaer,________________________ 8 11 7, -0.1, 7.1, 6.95, 7.48 36,Princeton,_________________________ 9 9 2, 0.0, 6.9, 6.94, 7.24 37,Harvard,___________________________ 7 12 0, -0.3, 7.2, 6.89, 7.39 38,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 17 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 6.61 39,Yale,______________________________ 8 10 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.88, 6.24 40,Alaska,____________________________ 8 13 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.83, 6.64 41,RIT,_______________________________ 16 8 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.82, 6.84 42,Sacred Heart,______________________ 15 7 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.81, 6.39 43,Brown,_____________________________ 8 9 4, -0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 6.60 44,Providence,________________________ 6 17 1, -0.5, 7.1, 6.68, 7.07 45,Air Force,_________________________ 13 10 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.66, 6.45 46,Ferris State,______________________ 7 18 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.65, 6.57 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 8 13 1, -0.2, 6.9, 6.64, 6.55 48,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 3 19 5, -0.6, 7.2, 6.57, 6.05 49,Wayne State,_______________________ 7 19 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.57, 6.68 50,Army,______________________________ 12 9 4, 0.1, 6.4, 6.56, 6.81 51,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 16 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.53, 6.68 52,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 18 4, -0.6, 7.1, 6.52, 6.74 53,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 22 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.47, 6.09 54,Bentley,___________________________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 6.5, 6.38, 6.11 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 9 13 4, -0.2, 6.5, 6.35, 6.23 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 16 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.29, 6.58 57,Mercyhurst,________________________ 6 16 5, -0.4, 6.5, 6.17, 6.40 58,Canisius,__________________________ 6 19 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.12, 5.83 59,American Int'l,____________________ 4 20 0, -0.7, 6.6, 5.89, 5.95 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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