Scores through January 28, 2006 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Week's Rankings . New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 18 6 2, 1.7, 8.0, 9.68, 8.95 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 18 6 4, 1.4, 8.0, 9.33, 9.87 3,Miami,_____________________________ 19 4 4, 1.5, 7.5, 9.03, 9.79 4,Colorado College,__________________ 17 10 1, 0.9, 7.8, 8.70, 7.62 5,North Dakota,______________________ 17 12 1, 0.7, 7.8, 8.57, 9.40 6,St. Cloud State,___________________ 14 9 3, 1.0, 7.6, 8.56, 8.59 7,Michigan,__________________________ 14 9 3, 0.8, 7.8, 8.52, 7.73 8,Boston College,____________________ 17 5 2, 1.4, 7.1, 8.48, 9.13 9,Maine,_____________________________ 17 9 0, 1.3, 7.1, 8.33, 7.65 10,Denver,____________________________ 16 10 2, 0.5, 7.7, 8.21, 9.96 11,Providence,________________________ 14 9 1, 1.0, 7.2, 8.20, 7.63 12,Ohio State,________________________ 13 11 4, 0.6, 7.5, 8.17, 7.71 13,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 7 5, 0.9, 7.3, 8.16, 8.95 14,Michigan State,____________________ 14 10 7, 0.5, 7.5, 8.09, 7.85 15,Boston University,_________________ 14 8 2, 0.7, 7.4, 8.02, 8.97 16,Vermont,___________________________ 16 8 2, 1.0, 6.9, 7.90, 6.11 17,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 11 3, 0.2, 7.6, 7.80, 8.45 18,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 13 4, 0.2, 7.6, 7.79, 8.83 19,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 12 2, 0.3, 7.5, 7.78, 7.15 20,Cornell,___________________________ 14 4 3, 1.0, 6.7, 7.67, 7.38 21,Colgate,___________________________ 15 6 5, 0.8, 6.8, 7.67, 8.57 22,Ferris State,______________________ 12 10 6, 0.1, 7.5, 7.63, 7.69 23,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 10 1, 0.6, 7.0, 7.53, 7.94 24,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 9 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.59 25,St. Lawrence,______________________ 15 10 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.47, 6.98 26,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 10 12 4, -0.5, 7.9, 7.44, 7.00 27,Harvard,___________________________ 11 8 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 6.64 28,Notre Dame,________________________ 9 14 3, -0.5, 7.9, 7.42, 7.58 29,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 8 3, 0.8, 6.5, 7.38, 6.76 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 12 16 1, -0.4, 7.6, 7.18, 6.20 31,Clarkson,__________________________ 13 11 2, 0.3, 6.9, 7.17, 6.38 32,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 8 16 4, -0.9, 7.7, 6.80, 4.94 33,Princeton,_________________________ 7 12 1, -0.4, 7.2, 6.78, 6.46 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 14 0, 0.4, 6.4, 6.74, 7.28 35,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 13 3, -0.2, 6.8, 6.61, 5.52 36,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 10 14 1, -0.8, 7.3, 6.51, 7.37 37,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 12 8 2, 0.2, 6.3, 6.48, 7.84 38,Niagara,___________________________ 13 12 1, -0.2, 6.6, 6.46, 6.94 39,Yale,______________________________ 7 11 3, -0.6, 7.1, 6.46, 7.83 40,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 19 3, -1.5, 8.0, 6.45, 5.65 41,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 15 0, -0.8, 7.2, 6.37, 5.61 42,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 9 1, 1.0, 5.2, 6.23, 6.80 43,Union,_____________________________ 12 11 5, -0.4, 6.6, 6.21, 5.58 44,Holy Cross,________________________ 17 6 1, 1.0, 5.2, 6.17, 6.62 45,Western Michigan,__________________ 6 16 4, -1.6, 7.7, 6.13, 6.76 46,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 17 3, -1.7, 7.7, 6.02, 7.40 47,Brown,_____________________________ 3 13 5, -1.2, 7.2, 6.00, 5.72 48,Northeastern,______________________ 1 18 5, -1.7, 7.6, 5.90, 5.91 49,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 10 0, 0.7, 5.1, 5.83, 6.20 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 18 2, -1.7, 7.0, 5.33, 5.86 51,Air Force,_________________________ 5 14 1, -1.0, 6.3, 5.26, 4.43 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 5 14 5, -1.5, 6.7, 5.15, 5.07 53,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 15 2, -1.4, 6.4, 5.00, 3.93 54,Army,______________________________ 9 13 5, -0.4, 5.4, 4.97, 4.78 55,RIT,_______________________________ 4 16 2, -1.1, 6.0, 4.89, 4.52 56,Canisius,__________________________ 8 17 1, -0.7, 5.2, 4.43, 5.84 57,Bentley,___________________________ 9 10 4, -0.8, 5.2, 4.39, 4.74 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 17 1, -1.3, 5.3, 4.02, 2.61 59,American Int'l,____________________ 4 16 2, -2.1, 5.4, 3.27, 2.19 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below Maximum Goal Differential = 1 RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 18 6 2, 0.5, 7.3, 7.74, 6.90 2,Miami,_____________________________ 19 4 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.73, 8.07 3,Minnesota,_________________________ 18 6 4, 0.4, 7.2, 7.68, 8.15 4,Boston College,____________________ 17 5 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 7.65 5,Colorado College,__________________ 17 10 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.45, 7.03 6,Michigan,__________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 7.03 7,Lake Superior,_____________________ 14 7 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.51 8,North Dakota,______________________ 17 12 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.36, 7.49 9,Denver,____________________________ 16 10 2, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 8.27 10,Cornell,___________________________ 14 4 3, 0.5, 6.9, 7.35, 7.30 11,St. Cloud State,___________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.33, 7.76 12,Michigan State,____________________ 14 10 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 7.15 13,Boston University,_________________ 14 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.33, 7.91 14,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 11 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.47 15,Maine,_____________________________ 17 9 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 7.16 16,Ohio State,________________________ 13 11 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.28, 7.18 17,Providence,________________________ 14 9 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.03 18,Colgate,___________________________ 15 6 5, 0.3, 6.9, 7.27, 7.89 19,Ferris State,______________________ 12 10 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.27, 7.51 20,Vermont,___________________________ 16 8 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.26, 6.69 21,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 12 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.26, 7.03 22,St. Lawrence,______________________ 15 10 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 6.93 23,Alaska-Fairbanks,__________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 7.3, 7.20, 6.90 24,Harvard,___________________________ 11 8 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.18, 6.59 25,New Hampshire,_____________________ 13 9 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 7.15 26,Notre Dame,________________________ 9 14 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.09, 7.16 27,Bowling Green,_____________________ 12 16 1, -0.1, 7.2, 7.07, 6.78 28,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 13 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.07, 7.25 29,Clarkson,__________________________ 13 11 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 6.58 30,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 8 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.04, 6.82 31,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 10 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01, 7.14 32,Holy Cross,________________________ 17 6 1, 0.5, 6.5, 6.96, 7.29 33,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 12 8 2, 0.2, 6.7, 6.92, 7.06 34,Niagara,___________________________ 13 12 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.95 35,Mass.-Lowell,______________________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 7.30 36,Union,_____________________________ 12 11 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.91, 6.56 37,Rensselaer,________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.87, 6.73 38,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 8 16 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.86, 6.11 39,Western Michigan,__________________ 6 16 4, -0.4, 7.2, 6.86, 7.01 40,Yale,______________________________ 7 11 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.83, 7.20 41,Princeton,_________________________ 7 12 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 7.11 42,Massachusetts,_____________________ 9 15 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.50 43,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 19 3, -0.5, 7.2, 6.78, 6.45 44,Quinnipiac,________________________ 13 14 0, -0.0, 6.8, 6.78, 6.89 45,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 9 1, 0.3, 6.5, 6.78, 7.21 46,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 17 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.75, 7.14 47,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 10 0, 0.2, 6.5, 6.72, 6.56 48,Brown,_____________________________ 3 13 5, -0.5, 7.1, 6.58, 6.45 49,Wayne State,_______________________ 5 14 5, -0.4, 6.9, 6.54, 6.52 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 5 18 2, -0.5, 7.0, 6.48, 6.74 51,Northeastern,______________________ 1 18 5, -0.7, 7.2, 6.46, 6.33 52,Army,______________________________ 9 13 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.44, 6.45 53,Bentley,___________________________ 9 10 4, -0.0, 6.5, 6.44, 6.15 54,Robert Morris,_____________________ 5 15 2, -0.5, 6.8, 6.36, 6.39 55,Air Force,_________________________ 5 14 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.34, 6.37 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 17 1, -0.4, 6.6, 6.17, 5.59 57,Canisius,__________________________ 8 17 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.17, 6.60 58,RIT,_______________________________ 4 16 2, -0.5, 6.7, 6.16, 6.06 59,American Int'l,____________________ 4 16 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.04, 5.76 Link to the 2004-2005 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed below. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA ME MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W RI VA VT WI wWI USA New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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