Scores (sorted by team) through February 9, 2008 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Miami,_____________________________ 25 4 1, 2.5, 7.1, 9.64, 9.80 2,North Dakota,______________________ 17 8 2, 1.2, 8.3, 9.48, 9.26 3,Michigan,__________________________ 23 3 4, 1.9, 7.5, 9.46, 8.79 4,Colorado College,__________________ 21 8 1, 1.2, 8.1, 9.27, 8.96 5,Denver,____________________________ 19 8 1, 0.9, 8.0, 8.85, 7.89 6,Boston College,____________________ 14 6 7, 1.4, 7.3, 8.70, 8.35 7,Wisconsin,_________________________ 13 11 6, 0.5, 8.2, 8.69, 8.76 8,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 7 1, 1.0, 7.6, 8.62, 9.60 9,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 13 3, 0.5, 8.1, 8.55, 7.80 10,Notre Dame,________________________ 20 10 2, 1.0, 7.4, 8.40, 8.02 11,Minnesota State,___________________ 15 10 4, 0.4, 7.9, 8.27, 10.49 12,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 11 9 6, 0.0, 8.2, 8.20, 8.52 13,Michigan State,____________________ 18 8 5, 0.7, 7.4, 8.15, 6.88 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 13 7, -0.2, 8.1, 7.91, 8.27 15,Boston University,_________________ 9 14 4, 0.1, 7.7, 7.81, 8.45 16,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 10 13 5, -0.4, 8.1, 7.75, 7.58 17,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 10 6, 0.2, 7.6, 7.72, 6.69 18,Providence,________________________ 13 10 3, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 8.06 19,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 12 10 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.66, 5.96 20,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 14 7, -0.6, 8.2, 7.61, 7.90 21,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 9 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.47, 7.05 22,Northeastern,______________________ 13 9 3, 0.0, 7.4, 7.37, 6.13 23,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 15 3, -0.3, 7.6, 7.26, 10.06 24,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 14 0, 0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 6.42 25,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 7 4, 0.9, 6.4, 7.25, 6.46 26,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 13 4, -0.2, 7.4, 7.22, 7.81 27,Cornell,___________________________ 11 9 3, 0.3, 6.8, 7.19, 6.55 28,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 12 3, 0.6, 6.5, 7.10, 6.85 29,Ferris State,______________________ 11 12 5, 0.3, 6.8, 7.08, 7.26 30,Princeton,_________________________ 14 9 0, 0.1, 6.9, 7.06, 8.10 31,Harvard,___________________________ 9 10 3, -0.0, 7.0, 6.95, 6.90 32,Alaska,____________________________ 8 16 4, -0.7, 7.6, 6.93, 6.83 33,Colgate,___________________________ 11 12 5, 0.3, 6.6, 6.89, 7.42 34,Vermont,___________________________ 8 11 7, -0.8, 7.7, 6.81, 7.27 35,Maine,_____________________________ 8 15 3, -0.8, 7.5, 6.77, 6.46 36,Yale,______________________________ 10 9 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.77, 7.38 37,Niagara,___________________________ 16 8 3, 0.6, 6.2, 6.75, 8.30 38,St Lawrence,_______________________ 10 14 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.75, 5.97 39,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 13 3, -0.6, 7.2, 6.64, 6.68 40,Union,_____________________________ 12 10 5, -0.1, 6.8, 6.62, 6.85 41,Dartmouth,_________________________ 8 11 4, -0.3, 6.8, 6.53, 5.13 42,Ohio State,________________________ 9 20 3, -1.0, 7.4, 6.41, 6.04 43,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 17 4, -0.7, 7.0, 6.38, 6.01 44,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 16 6, -1.3, 7.6, 6.25, 7.11 45,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 11 3, -0.1, 6.3, 6.20, 5.67 46,Air Force,_________________________ 14 11 5, 0.5, 5.6, 6.11, 6.10 47,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 20 3, -0.9, 6.9, 6.00, 6.09 48,RIT,_______________________________ 14 10 4, 0.1, 5.5, 5.57, 4.53 49,Brown,_____________________________ 3 15 4, -1.5, 7.0, 5.52, 5.72 50,Wayne State,_______________________ 8 20 2, -1.2, 6.7, 5.51, 5.85 51,Army,______________________________ 12 12 4, 0.3, 5.2, 5.47, 6.94 52,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 13 3, -0.1, 5.4, 5.27, 5.76 53,Canisius,__________________________ 8 15 5, -0.7, 5.7, 5.02, 3.64 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 10 15 5, -0.8, 5.7, 4.98, 5.09 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 13 7, -0.6, 5.4, 4.84, 4.43 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 17 3, -2.1, 6.8, 4.64, 4.88 57,Bentley,___________________________ 6 16 6, -0.9, 5.4, 4.53, 3.98 58,American Int'l,____________________ 8 16 4, -1.0, 5.3, 4.35, 5.95 59,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 17 3, -1.6, 5.6, 3.95, 2.61 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Michigan,__________________________ 23 3 4, 0.7, 7.1, 7.77, 7.59 2,Colorado College,__________________ 21 8 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.74, 7.48 3,North Dakota,______________________ 17 8 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.72, 8.04 4,Miami,_____________________________ 25 4 1, 0.7, 7.0, 7.72, 7.61 5,Denver,____________________________ 19 8 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.27 6,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 7 1, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 8.00 7,Minnesota State,___________________ 15 10 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.43, 8.37 8,Wisconsin,_________________________ 13 11 6, 0.1, 7.4, 7.42, 7.51 9,Michigan State,____________________ 18 8 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 6.81 10,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 11 9 6, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.50 11,Notre Dame,________________________ 20 10 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 7.11 12,Boston College,____________________ 14 6 7, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.47 13,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 13 3, -0.0, 7.3, 7.30, 7.13 14,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 13 7, -0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 7.24 15,Northeastern,______________________ 13 9 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 6.91 16,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 9 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 7.29 17,Providence,________________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 7.55 18,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 10 13 5, -0.1, 7.3, 7.22, 7.16 19,Princeton,_________________________ 14 9 0, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 7.41 20,Massachusetts,_____________________ 10 10 6, 0.0, 7.2, 7.20, 6.75 21,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 7 4, 0.3, 6.9, 7.18, 6.95 22,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 12 10 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 6.57 23,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 14 7, -0.3, 7.3, 7.10, 7.01 24,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 13 13 4, 0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 7.43 25,Vermont,___________________________ 8 11 7, -0.1, 7.2, 7.07, 7.29 26,Cornell,___________________________ 11 9 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 6.96 27,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 15 3, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 8.05 28,Boston University,_________________ 9 14 4, -0.2, 7.2, 7.03, 7.14 29,Niagara,___________________________ 16 8 3, 0.3, 6.7, 7.03, 7.39 30,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 14 0, 0.0, 7.0, 7.02, 6.71 31,Union,_____________________________ 12 10 5, 0.1, 6.9, 7.01, 6.90 32,Harvard,___________________________ 9 10 3, -0.0, 7.0, 6.96, 7.18 33,Maine,_____________________________ 8 15 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.94, 6.39 34,Yale,______________________________ 10 9 4, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 7.03 35,Merrimack,_________________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 6.88 36,Bemidji State,_____________________ 13 12 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.87 37,Colgate,___________________________ 11 12 5, -0.0, 6.9, 6.88, 6.94 38,Ferris State,______________________ 11 12 5, -0.0, 6.9, 6.86, 6.98 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 6.8, 6.86, 6.79 40,Alaska,____________________________ 8 16 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.85, 7.15 41,Dartmouth,_________________________ 8 11 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.84, 6.28 42,St Lawrence,_______________________ 10 14 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.83, 6.55 43,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 16 6, -0.4, 7.1, 6.79, 7.29 44,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 17 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.76, 6.67 45,Ohio State,________________________ 9 20 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.73, 6.60 46,Air Force,_________________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 6.6, 6.71, 6.36 47,RIT,_______________________________ 14 10 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.69, 6.28 48,Sacred Heart,______________________ 12 13 3, -0.0, 6.5, 6.51, 6.53 49,Army,______________________________ 12 12 4, 0.0, 6.5, 6.50, 7.20 50,Western Michigan,__________________ 7 20 3, -0.4, 6.9, 6.50, 6.23 51,Wayne State,_______________________ 8 20 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.49, 6.58 52,Mercyhurst,________________________ 10 15 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.47, 6.88 53,Brown,_____________________________ 3 15 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.47, 6.79 54,Canisius,__________________________ 8 15 5, -0.3, 6.6, 6.39, 6.03 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 8 13 7, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.09 56,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 4 17 3, -0.5, 6.9, 6.38, 6.45 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 17 3, -0.3, 6.6, 6.25, 5.74 58,American Int'l,____________________ 8 16 4, -0.3, 6.5, 6.24, 6.92 59,Bentley,___________________________ 6 16 6, -0.4, 6.5, 6.19, 5.88 Link to the 2006-2007 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 2.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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