Scores (sorted by team) through February 13, 2010 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Wisconsin,_________________________ 18 7 4, 1.3, 7.8, 9.10, 8.83 2,Miami,_____________________________ 22 4 6, 1.5, 7.5, 8.97, 9.08 3,North Dakota,______________________ 14 11 5, 0.7, 7.8, 8.44, 8.40 4,Denver,____________________________ 20 6 4, 0.7, 7.7, 8.43, 9.40 5,Colorado College,__________________ 17 10 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.35, 7.72 6,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 9 4, 0.6, 7.6, 8.21, 7.60 7,Bemidji State,_____________________ 19 7 2, 1.2, 7.0, 8.18, 7.37 8,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 18 11 1, 0.5, 7.6, 8.10, 7.64 9,Boston College,____________________ 17 9 2, 0.8, 7.3, 8.08, 8.71 10,Michigan,__________________________ 17 15 1, 0.5, 7.4, 7.95, 7.23 11,Michigan State,____________________ 17 10 5, 0.5, 7.4, 7.91, 6.90 12,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 13 2, 0.6, 7.2, 7.83, 7.24 13,Yale,______________________________ 16 6 3, 1.1, 6.7, 7.82, 7.66 14,Ferris State,______________________ 18 10 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.80, 6.65 15,New Hampshire,_____________________ 14 10 4, 0.2, 7.5, 7.75, 7.00 16,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 10 8, 0.3, 7.4, 7.72, 9.42 17,Cornell,___________________________ 14 7 3, 0.8, 6.9, 7.71, 7.08 18,Maine,_____________________________ 14 11 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.65, 7.23 19,Alaska,____________________________ 12 9 9, 0.2, 7.4, 7.64, 8.43 20,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 7.7, 7.63, 6.37 21,Boston University,_________________ 13 12 3, 0.1, 7.5, 7.57, 9.11 22,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 12 6, 0.2, 7.4, 7.53, 8.38 23,Vermont,___________________________ 13 10 5, 0.1, 7.4, 7.53, 7.55 24,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 16 2, -0.2, 7.7, 7.50, 6.22 25,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 13 7, -0.0, 7.4, 7.41, 5.63 26,Union,_____________________________ 16 8 6, 0.8, 6.6, 7.38, 7.30 27,Northeastern,______________________ 15 12 1, 0.1, 7.3, 7.35, 9.26 28,Ohio State,________________________ 11 15 4, -0.3, 7.6, 7.30, 6.83 29,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 12 5, -0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 6.99 30,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 13 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.23, 5.35 31,Merrimack,_________________________ 11 15 1, -0.3, 7.4, 7.15, 7.20 32,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 11 6, 0.2, 6.7, 6.94, 5.80 33,Rensselaer,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.3, 6.7, 6.92, 7.52 34,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 17 5, -0.6, 7.5, 6.92, 8.05 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 13 2, 0.3, 6.6, 6.92, 6.60 36,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 16 2, -1.0, 7.9, 6.88, 7.01 37,Niagara,___________________________ 7 16 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.74, 5.98 38,Robert Morris,_____________________ 9 15 5, -0.7, 7.4, 6.68, 7.69 39,Colgate,___________________________ 12 12 5, -0.1, 6.7, 6.63, 6.71 40,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 13 2, -0.5, 7.0, 6.44, 6.72 41,RIT,_______________________________ 18 11 1, 0.9, 5.5, 6.41, 6.98 42,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 1, -1.5, 7.9, 6.40, 8.02 43,Providence,________________________ 9 17 2, -0.9, 7.2, 6.39, 5.02 44,Princeton,_________________________ 10 12 3, -0.6, 6.7, 6.14, 6.80 45,Harvard,___________________________ 7 15 3, -0.8, 6.9, 6.12, 6.44 46,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 10 4, 0.4, 5.6, 6.02, 5.54 47,Bowling Green,_____________________ 4 22 4, -1.5, 7.5, 6.00, 6.35 48,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 17 1, -0.8, 6.7, 5.90, 5.99 49,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 20 3, -1.2, 7.0, 5.82, 6.41 50,Mercyhurst,________________________ 13 17 2, 0.0, 5.7, 5.76, 6.23 51,Brown,_____________________________ 7 15 3, -0.9, 6.6, 5.71, 4.95 52,Canisius,__________________________ 14 12 4, 0.2, 5.5, 5.69, 6.11 53,Air Force,_________________________ 12 12 6, -0.1, 5.6, 5.55, 5.78 54,Army,______________________________ 10 15 5, -0.4, 5.8, 5.43, 4.77 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 15 5, -0.4, 5.6, 5.25, 6.17 56,Bentley,___________________________ 11 16 3, -0.7, 5.7, 4.98, 3.56 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 23 3, -1.8, 5.8, 4.01, 4.13 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 21 2, -1.8, 5.7, 3.94, 4.40 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Denver,____________________________ 20 6 4, 0.5, 7.3, 7.74, 7.96 2,Miami,_____________________________ 22 4 6, 0.6, 7.2, 7.72, 7.88 3,Wisconsin,_________________________ 18 7 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.68, 7.87 4,St Cloud State,____________________ 19 9 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.56, 7.32 5,Colorado College,__________________ 17 10 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.51, 7.24 6,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 18 11 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.46, 7.05 7,Boston College,____________________ 17 9 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.42, 7.70 8,North Dakota,______________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.37 9,Bemidji State,_____________________ 19 7 2, 0.4, 6.9, 7.37, 7.20 10,New Hampshire,_____________________ 14 10 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.36, 6.91 11,Michigan State,____________________ 17 10 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 6.80 12,Maine,_____________________________ 14 11 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.32, 7.30 13,Ferris State,______________________ 18 10 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.30, 7.00 14,Vermont,___________________________ 13 10 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.30, 7.01 15,Yale,______________________________ 16 6 3, 0.4, 6.9, 7.29, 7.44 16,Northern Michigan,_________________ 14 10 8, 0.1, 7.1, 7.27, 7.92 17,Alaska,____________________________ 12 9 9, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 7.43 18,Boston University,_________________ 13 12 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.25, 7.90 19,Northeastern,______________________ 15 12 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 7.68 20,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 12 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 7.54 21,Cornell,___________________________ 14 7 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.23, 7.02 22,Massachusetts,_____________________ 16 13 0, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 6.60 23,Minnesota,_________________________ 13 15 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.22, 6.86 24,Michigan,__________________________ 17 15 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 6.86 25,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 6.67 26,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.04 27,Union,_____________________________ 16 8 6, 0.3, 6.9, 7.12, 7.04 28,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 10 16 2, -0.2, 7.3, 7.12, 7.41 29,Notre Dame,________________________ 12 13 7, -0.0, 7.2, 7.12, 6.68 30,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 16 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.11, 6.66 31,Ohio State,________________________ 11 15 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 6.85 32,Merrimack,_________________________ 11 15 1, -0.1, 7.2, 7.03, 7.28 33,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 11 6, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 6.73 34,Rensselaer,________________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 7.19 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 15 13 2, 0.1, 6.8, 6.91, 6.62 36,Robert Morris,_____________________ 9 15 5, -0.2, 7.1, 6.88, 7.23 37,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 17 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.87, 7.10 38,Colgate,___________________________ 12 12 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.85, 6.70 39,Providence,________________________ 9 17 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.85, 6.52 40,Princeton,_________________________ 10 12 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.80, 6.82 41,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 22 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.75, 7.05 42,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 8 13 2, -0.2, 6.9, 6.70, 6.95 43,RIT,_______________________________ 18 11 1, 0.2, 6.4, 6.66, 6.69 44,Sacred Heart,______________________ 16 10 4, 0.2, 6.5, 6.66, 6.82 45,Niagara,___________________________ 7 16 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.66, 6.18 46,Harvard,___________________________ 7 15 3, -0.3, 7.0, 6.65, 6.83 47,Bowling Green,_____________________ 4 22 4, -0.6, 7.2, 6.58, 6.75 48,Clarkson,__________________________ 7 20 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.54, 6.81 49,Brown,_____________________________ 7 15 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.54, 6.27 50,Canisius,__________________________ 14 12 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.53, 6.68 51,Air Force,_________________________ 12 12 6, 0.0, 6.5, 6.50, 6.47 52,Dartmouth,_________________________ 7 17 1, -0.4, 6.9, 6.50, 6.54 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 13 17 2, -0.1, 6.6, 6.43, 6.73 54,Army,______________________________ 10 15 5, -0.2, 6.6, 6.39, 6.10 55,Bentley,___________________________ 11 16 3, -0.2, 6.5, 6.36, 5.63 56,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 15 5, -0.2, 6.5, 6.33, 6.88 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 23 3, -0.6, 6.6, 5.94, 5.54 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 21 2, -0.6, 6.5, 5.93, 6.34 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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