Scores (sorted by team) through February 17, 2007 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 25 5 3, 1.7, 7.8, 9.51, 8.98 2,New Hampshire,_____________________ 22 6 2, 1.7, 7.5, 9.21, 8.06 3,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 6 6, 1.2, 7.9, 9.06, 7.93 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 26 5 3, 1.8, 7.1, 8.89, 7.93 5,Maine,_____________________________ 19 10 2, 1.0, 7.6, 8.63, 8.26 6,North Dakota,______________________ 17 11 4, 0.7, 7.9, 8.59, 9.56 7,Michigan,__________________________ 21 11 1, 1.1, 7.4, 8.46, 7.68 8,Clarkson,__________________________ 20 7 5, 1.3, 7.2, 8.40, 8.82 9,Colorado College,__________________ 16 13 3, 0.4, 8.0, 8.37, 8.70 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 15 3, 0.2, 8.1, 8.36, 9.42 11,Boston University,_________________ 17 5 9, 0.9, 7.4, 8.32, 9.91 12,Michigan State,____________________ 18 11 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.27, 6.63 13,Denver,____________________________ 20 11 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.18, 8.27 14,Miami,_____________________________ 22 10 4, 0.9, 7.2, 8.08, 8.74 15,Boston College,____________________ 18 11 1, 0.5, 7.5, 8.06, 9.07 16,Vermont,___________________________ 16 12 4, 0.4, 7.6, 7.98, 6.59 17,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 14 5, 0.1, 7.9, 7.93, 8.12 18,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 14 8, 0.6, 7.2, 7.77, 7.78 19,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 11 5, 1.0, 6.7, 7.74, 7.98 20,Cornell,___________________________ 14 9 4, 0.7, 7.0, 7.73, 8.92 21,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 11 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 8.96 22,Northeastern,______________________ 12 14 5, 0.0, 7.5, 7.55, 7.07 23,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 11 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 6.71 24,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 17 6, -0.7, 8.2, 7.43, 6.94 25,Ohio State,________________________ 13 14 5, -0.1, 7.5, 7.42, 7.25 26,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 14 3, 0.2, 7.2, 7.34, 7.13 27,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 17 3, -0.7, 8.0, 7.30, 7.21 28,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 10 18 4, -0.7, 7.9, 7.22, 8.11 29,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.36 30,Western Michigan,__________________ 16 15 1, -0.3, 7.4, 7.15, 8.53 31,Harvard,___________________________ 10 15 2, -0.3, 7.3, 7.08, 5.94 32,Colgate,___________________________ 13 17 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.06, 6.68 33,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 20 2, -0.5, 7.5, 7.02, 5.65 34,Brown,_____________________________ 9 12 6, 0.0, 6.8, 6.84, 7.40 35,Alaska,____________________________ 9 17 6, -0.5, 7.3, 6.82, 7.03 36,Ferris State,______________________ 12 19 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.70, 8.58 37,Providence,________________________ 7 20 3, -1.1, 7.7, 6.66, 7.53 38,Princeton,_________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 6.8, 6.64, 6.14 39,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 7 19 6, -0.8, 7.5, 6.64, 8.08 40,Yale,______________________________ 10 13 3, -0.5, 7.1, 6.61, 7.09 41,Union,_____________________________ 13 16 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.58, 5.60 42,Niagara,___________________________ 17 11 4, 0.0, 6.5, 6.49, 3.24 43,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 12 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.47, 5.13 44,RIT,_______________________________ 20 10 2, 1.1, 5.2, 6.37, 5.89 45,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 15 1, -0.4, 6.5, 6.10, 7.52 46,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 15 8, -1.2, 7.2, 6.04, 5.77 47,Sacred Heart,______________________ 19 9 4, 0.5, 5.2, 5.71, 5.98 48,Wayne State,_______________________ 9 20 1, -1.1, 6.8, 5.66, 7.09 49,Air Force,_________________________ 14 15 5, 0.3, 5.4, 5.65, 5.25 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 23 4, -2.0, 7.6, 5.52, 5.85 51,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 9 19 2, -1.0, 6.5, 5.48, 5.55 52,Bowling Green,_____________________ 6 26 2, -2.0, 7.5, 5.48, 6.93 53,Army,______________________________ 14 10 5, 0.2, 5.0, 5.16, 5.07 54,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 19 5, -0.6, 5.5, 4.93, 5.16 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 17 5, -0.6, 5.3, 4.74, 3.84 56,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 17 2, -0.7, 5.3, 4.59, 5.10 57,Canisius,__________________________ 9 22 2, -1.2, 5.5, 4.30, 4.83 58,Bentley,___________________________ 11 20 1, -1.3, 5.4, 4.14, 3.25 59,American Int'l,____________________ 7 22 1, -1.6, 5.4, 3.76, 4.04 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 25 5 3, 0.6, 7.2, 7.85, 7.91 2,St Cloud State,____________________ 18 6 6, 0.4, 7.3, 7.69, 7.19 3,New Hampshire,_____________________ 22 6 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.65, 7.47 4,Notre Dame,________________________ 26 5 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.59, 7.64 5,North Dakota,______________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 7.3, 7.49, 7.87 6,Boston University,_________________ 17 5 9, 0.4, 7.1, 7.47, 8.17 7,Denver,____________________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.47, 7.26 8,Maine,_____________________________ 19 10 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.45, 7.17 9,Clarkson,__________________________ 20 7 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.45, 7.68 10,Colorado College,__________________ 16 13 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.28 11,Michigan,__________________________ 21 11 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.03 12,Michigan State,____________________ 18 11 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.36, 6.66 13,Miami,_____________________________ 22 10 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.36, 7.73 14,Boston College,____________________ 18 11 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.35, 7.81 15,Wisconsin,_________________________ 14 15 3, -0.0, 7.4, 7.34, 7.81 16,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 11 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.29, 7.93 17,Vermont,___________________________ 16 12 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.27, 6.59 18,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 13 14 5, -0.0, 7.3, 7.26, 7.55 19,Minnesota State,___________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 7.4, 7.20, 7.29 20,Cornell,___________________________ 14 9 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.18, 7.40 21,Massachusetts,_____________________ 14 11 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.16, 6.70 22,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 10 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 7.50 23,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 12 17 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.12, 6.78 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 16 15 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11, 7.75 25,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 11 5, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 6.90 26,Ohio State,________________________ 13 14 5, -0.0, 7.1, 7.08, 7.13 27,Niagara,___________________________ 17 11 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 6.33 28,Lake Superior,_____________________ 16 14 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 6.97 29,Bemidji State,_____________________ 14 12 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 6.50 30,Northeastern,______________________ 12 14 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 6.93 31,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 10 18 4, -0.3, 7.3, 7.04, 7.36 32,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 14 8, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 7.14 33,Harvard,___________________________ 10 15 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 6.59 34,Colgate,___________________________ 13 17 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.91, 6.43 35,Union,_____________________________ 13 16 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 6.39 36,Yale,______________________________ 10 13 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 6.92 37,Northern Michigan,_________________ 12 20 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.47 38,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 15 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.87, 6.75 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 13 15 1, -0.1, 6.9, 6.85, 7.38 40,Princeton,_________________________ 11 13 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.85, 6.81 41,Ferris State,______________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.0, 6.84, 7.57 42,Alaska,____________________________ 9 17 6, -0.3, 7.1, 6.82, 6.55 43,Brown,_____________________________ 9 12 6, -0.1, 6.9, 6.81, 6.77 44,RIT,_______________________________ 20 10 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.80, 6.95 45,Sacred Heart,______________________ 19 9 4, 0.3, 6.5, 6.79, 6.91 46,Providence,________________________ 7 20 3, -0.4, 7.2, 6.76, 6.97 47,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 7 19 6, -0.4, 7.1, 6.75, 7.73 48,Wayne State,_______________________ 9 20 1, -0.4, 7.0, 6.65, 6.88 49,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 9 19 2, -0.3, 6.9, 6.60, 6.69 50,Army,______________________________ 14 10 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.56, 6.64 51,Bowling Green,_____________________ 6 26 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.51, 6.65 52,Air Force,_________________________ 14 15 5, -0.0, 6.5, 6.51, 5.85 53,Merrimack,_________________________ 3 23 4, -0.7, 7.1, 6.48, 6.17 54,Connecticut,_______________________ 13 17 2, -0.1, 6.5, 6.39, 6.67 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 17 5, -0.2, 6.5, 6.31, 6.11 56,Mercyhurst,________________________ 9 19 5, -0.3, 6.6, 6.27, 6.54 57,Bentley,___________________________ 11 20 1, -0.3, 6.5, 6.23, 5.59 58,Canisius,__________________________ 9 22 2, -0.4, 6.6, 6.20, 6.29 59,American Int'l,____________________ 7 22 1, -0.5, 6.5, 6.04, 6.46 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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