Scores (sorted by team) through March 14, 2010 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Miami,_____________________________ 26 6 7, 1.5, 7.5, 8.97, 9.10 2,Wisconsin,_________________________ 24 9 4, 1.3, 7.7, 8.93, 8.50 3,North Dakota,______________________ 22 12 5, 1.0, 7.8, 8.76, 9.28 4,Denver,____________________________ 27 7 4, 0.9, 7.6, 8.54, 8.65 5,Boston College,____________________ 23 10 3, 1.0, 7.2, 8.22, 8.56 6,Michigan,__________________________ 23 17 1, 0.8, 7.4, 8.16, 9.47 7,St Cloud State,____________________ 22 12 5, 0.5, 7.7, 8.14, 7.43 8,Bemidji State,_____________________ 23 9 4, 1.1, 7.0, 8.11, 6.61 9,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 22 16 1, 0.4, 7.7, 8.02, 8.42 10,Northern Michigan,_________________ 19 11 8, 0.5, 7.5, 7.98, 9.15 11,Cornell,___________________________ 19 8 4, 1.2, 6.8, 7.93, 8.27 12,Colorado College,__________________ 19 17 3, 0.2, 7.7, 7.92, 7.03 13,Alaska,____________________________ 18 11 9, 0.5, 7.4, 7.91, 7.85 14,Ferris State,______________________ 21 11 6, 0.7, 7.2, 7.89, 7.72 15,Minnesota,_________________________ 18 19 2, -0.0, 7.9, 7.88, 8.43 16,New Hampshire,_____________________ 17 13 7, 0.2, 7.5, 7.77, 7.82 17,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 19 16 4, 0.6, 7.2, 7.76, 7.77 18,Michigan State,____________________ 19 13 6, 0.3, 7.4, 7.70, 6.85 19,Yale,______________________________ 20 9 3, 1.1, 6.6, 7.65, 6.67 20,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 20 3, -0.1, 7.7, 7.63, 8.34 21,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 20 16 6, 0.2, 7.4, 7.63, 8.38 22,Maine,_____________________________ 18 16 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.59, 7.09 23,Vermont,___________________________ 17 13 7, 0.1, 7.4, 7.55, 6.96 24,Ohio State,________________________ 15 18 6, -0.3, 7.8, 7.50, 8.65 25,Boston University,_________________ 18 16 3, 0.1, 7.4, 7.44, 8.20 26,Union,_____________________________ 20 11 6, 0.7, 6.6, 7.32, 6.19 27,Merrimack,_________________________ 16 19 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.21, 7.19 28,Northeastern,______________________ 16 16 2, -0.1, 7.3, 7.17, 6.12 29,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 17 8, -0.3, 7.4, 7.17, 5.86 30,Massachusetts,_____________________ 18 18 0, -0.3, 7.3, 7.09, 7.77 31,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 18 5, -0.5, 7.4, 6.89, 5.04 32,Niagara,___________________________ 12 20 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.83, 7.45 33,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 14 7, 0.2, 6.7, 6.83, 6.80 34,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 20 8, -0.8, 7.6, 6.82, 6.42 35,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 18 2, 0.2, 6.6, 6.79, 6.05 36,Rensselaer,________________________ 18 17 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.74, 6.20 37,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 11 23 2, -1.3, 7.9, 6.68, 6.36 38,Colgate,___________________________ 15 15 6, -0.1, 6.7, 6.65, 7.56 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 19 6, -0.7, 7.3, 6.57, 6.36 40,RIT,_______________________________ 24 11 1, 1.1, 5.4, 6.54, 7.47 41,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 12 17 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.51, 7.69 42,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 30 1, -1.7, 8.1, 6.38, 6.51 43,Providence,________________________ 10 20 4, -0.9, 7.3, 6.32, 5.68 44,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 19 3, -0.5, 6.7, 6.16, 7.02 45,Princeton,_________________________ 12 16 3, -0.6, 6.7, 6.14, 6.46 46,Harvard,___________________________ 9 21 3, -0.9, 6.9, 6.06, 6.40 47,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 25 6, -1.6, 7.6, 6.01, 5.37 48,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 12 4, 0.4, 5.5, 5.93, 5.40 49,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 24 4, -1.0, 6.9, 5.91, 6.54 50,Brown,_____________________________ 12 19 4, -0.9, 6.7, 5.80, 6.69 51,Air Force,_________________________ 16 14 6, 0.1, 5.6, 5.78, 7.57 52,Canisius,__________________________ 17 14 5, 0.2, 5.4, 5.62, 6.04 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 20 3, 0.0, 5.6, 5.60, 4.96 54,Army,______________________________ 11 18 7, -0.4, 5.7, 5.22, 4.00 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 19 6, -0.4, 5.6, 5.15, 5.05 56,Bentley,___________________________ 12 19 4, -0.8, 5.5, 4.75, 3.55 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 27 3, -1.6, 5.8, 4.15, 4.61 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 24 4, -1.7, 5.6, 3.92, 4.17 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Denver,____________________________ 27 7 4, 0.5, 7.2, 7.74, 7.66 2,Miami,_____________________________ 26 6 7, 0.5, 7.2, 7.68, 7.59 3,Wisconsin,_________________________ 24 9 4, 0.4, 7.3, 7.66, 7.67 4,North Dakota,______________________ 22 12 5, 0.3, 7.3, 7.54, 7.67 5,St Cloud State,____________________ 22 12 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.50, 7.18 6,Boston College,____________________ 23 10 3, 0.4, 7.1, 7.49, 8.03 7,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 22 16 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.38, 7.40 8,Northern Michigan,_________________ 19 11 8, 0.2, 7.2, 7.36, 7.81 9,New Hampshire,_____________________ 17 13 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.34, 6.99 10,Ferris State,______________________ 21 11 6, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 7.30 11,Colorado College,__________________ 19 17 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.34, 7.33 12,Bemidji State,_____________________ 23 9 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.33, 6.65 13,Alaska,____________________________ 18 11 9, 0.2, 7.1, 7.32, 7.29 14,Vermont,___________________________ 17 13 7, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.28 15,Minnesota,_________________________ 18 19 2, -0.0, 7.3, 7.30, 7.39 16,Michigan,__________________________ 23 17 1, 0.1, 7.2, 7.30, 7.74 17,Michigan State,____________________ 19 13 6, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.04 18,Cornell,___________________________ 19 8 4, 0.4, 6.9, 7.26, 7.16 19,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 20 16 6, 0.1, 7.2, 7.25, 7.26 20,Maine,_____________________________ 18 16 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 6.98 21,Boston University,_________________ 18 16 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.23, 7.72 22,Yale,______________________________ 20 9 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.20, 6.53 23,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 19 16 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 7.27 24,Ohio State,________________________ 15 18 6, -0.1, 7.3, 7.19, 7.63 25,Minnesota State,___________________ 16 20 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.18, 7.50 26,Northeastern,______________________ 16 16 2, 0.0, 7.2, 7.16, 6.53 27,Massachusetts,_____________________ 18 18 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.15, 7.19 28,Union,_____________________________ 20 11 6, 0.2, 6.9, 7.10, 6.77 29,Merrimack,_________________________ 16 19 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.09, 7.07 30,Lake Superior,_____________________ 15 18 5, -0.1, 7.1, 7.05, 6.33 31,Notre Dame,________________________ 13 17 8, -0.1, 7.1, 7.04, 6.72 32,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 11 23 2, -0.3, 7.3, 7.00, 6.88 33,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 14 7, 0.1, 6.8, 6.97, 7.28 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 20 18 2, 0.1, 6.9, 6.90, 6.70 35,Rensselaer,________________________ 18 17 4, 0.0, 6.9, 6.89, 6.43 36,Colgate,___________________________ 15 15 6, 0.0, 6.9, 6.87, 7.11 37,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 20 8, -0.3, 7.2, 6.86, 6.90 38,Providence,________________________ 10 20 4, -0.3, 7.1, 6.84, 6.56 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 19 6, -0.3, 7.0, 6.78, 6.46 40,RIT,_______________________________ 24 11 1, 0.4, 6.4, 6.78, 7.32 41,Niagara,___________________________ 12 20 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.75, 7.07 42,Princeton,_________________________ 12 16 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.75, 6.60 43,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 12 17 3, -0.2, 6.9, 6.74, 7.39 44,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 5 30 1, -0.7, 7.4, 6.72, 6.65 45,Brown,_____________________________ 12 19 4, -0.2, 6.9, 6.67, 7.28 46,Sacred Heart,______________________ 20 12 4, 0.2, 6.4, 6.67, 6.60 47,Bowling Green,_____________________ 5 25 6, -0.6, 7.2, 6.64, 6.62 48,Harvard,___________________________ 9 21 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.61, 6.80 49,Dartmouth,_________________________ 10 19 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.61, 6.85 50,Air Force,_________________________ 16 14 6, 0.1, 6.5, 6.56, 7.15 51,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 24 4, -0.4, 7.0, 6.55, 6.83 52,Canisius,__________________________ 17 14 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.50, 6.64 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 15 20 3, -0.1, 6.5, 6.36, 6.07 54,Army,______________________________ 11 18 7, -0.2, 6.5, 6.32, 5.85 55,Holy Cross,________________________ 12 19 6, -0.2, 6.5, 6.30, 6.35 56,Bentley,___________________________ 12 19 4, -0.2, 6.5, 6.26, 5.72 57,Connecticut,_______________________ 7 27 3, -0.5, 6.5, 6.01, 6.31 58,American Int'l,____________________ 5 24 4, -0.6, 6.5, 5.90, 5.79 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #58 is about 1.7 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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