Scores (sorted by team) through March 18, 2012 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston College,____________________ 29 10 1, 1.2, 7.6, 8.75, 9.33 2,Michigan,__________________________ 24 12 4, 1.0, 7.6, 8.58, 8.50 3,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 13 1, 1.1, 7.3, 8.36, 7.23 4,Miami,_____________________________ 24 14 2, 0.8, 7.5, 8.32, 9.62 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 24 9 6, 1.1, 7.2, 8.31, 7.65 6,North Dakota,______________________ 25 12 3, 0.7, 7.6, 8.30, 10.57 7,Union,_____________________________ 24 7 7, 1.5, 6.7, 8.28, 8.94 8,Boston University,_________________ 23 14 1, 0.7, 7.5, 8.21, 7.33 9,Western Michigan,__________________ 21 13 6, 0.5, 7.6, 8.11, 10.48 10,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 23 12 1, 0.9, 7.2, 8.11, 7.80 11,Denver,____________________________ 25 13 4, 0.6, 7.4, 8.02, 8.00 12,Ferris State,______________________ 23 11 5, 0.7, 7.3, 8.02, 6.75 13,Michigan State,____________________ 19 15 4, 0.3, 7.7, 8.01, 7.06 14,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 17 5, 0.4, 7.6, 8.00, 8.66 15,Maine,_____________________________ 23 13 3, 0.5, 7.5, 7.93, 7.66 16,Northern Michigan,_________________ 17 14 6, 0.2, 7.7, 7.83, 7.40 17,Merrimack,_________________________ 18 12 7, 0.5, 7.3, 7.79, 7.52 18,Colorado College,__________________ 18 16 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.71, 7.18 19,Notre Dame,________________________ 19 18 3, -0.1, 7.7, 7.67, 7.82 20,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 18 2, 0.1, 7.5, 7.63, 8.16 21,Northeastern,______________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 7.6, 7.53, 7.06 22,Cornell,___________________________ 18 8 7, 0.7, 6.8, 7.49, 6.88 23,Ohio State,________________________ 15 15 5, -0.1, 7.6, 7.48, 6.02 24,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 18 5, -0.1, 7.6, 7.41, 8.49 25,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 19 3, -0.2, 7.6, 7.39, 6.99 26,Alaska,____________________________ 12 20 4, -0.2, 7.5, 7.29, 6.02 27,Lake Superior,_____________________ 18 17 5, -0.1, 7.4, 7.24, 6.93 28,Harvard,___________________________ 13 10 11, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 8.62 29,Bemidji State,_____________________ 17 18 3, -0.2, 7.5, 7.23, 6.57 30,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 18 6, -0.2, 7.4, 7.20, 5.88 31,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 16 19 4, -0.2, 7.4, 7.15, 7.17 32,Yale,______________________________ 16 16 3, 0.4, 6.7, 7.11, 6.62 33,Colgate,___________________________ 19 17 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 6.79 34,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 14 6, 0.5, 6.5, 7.06, 6.85 35,Providence,________________________ 14 20 4, -0.6, 7.6, 7.00, 7.84 36,Air Force,_________________________ 21 10 7, 0.9, 5.8, 6.67, 7.34 37,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 24 2, -0.7, 7.3, 6.61, 6.70 38,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 25 5, -1.0, 7.5, 6.51, 7.19 39,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 16 4, -0.2, 6.7, 6.46, 6.89 40,Niagara,___________________________ 17 11 9, 0.5, 5.9, 6.43, 7.17 41,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 17 6, -0.1, 6.5, 6.41, 4.62 42,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 9 25 2, -1.2, 7.6, 6.30, 5.89 43,Princeton,_________________________ 9 17 7, -0.7, 6.9, 6.19, 5.29 44,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 19 3, -0.8, 6.9, 6.16, 5.22 45,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 24 3, -0.8, 6.9, 6.14, 7.76 46,RIT,_______________________________ 20 13 6, 0.2, 5.9, 6.13, 5.72 47,Brown,_____________________________ 9 18 5, -0.7, 6.7, 6.01, 5.88 48,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 15 4, 0.3, 5.6, 5.95, 5.77 49,Connecticut,_______________________ 16 19 4, 0.2, 5.8, 5.94, 6.91 50,Vermont,___________________________ 6 27 1, -1.8, 7.7, 5.88, 5.26 51,Bentley,___________________________ 16 16 8, 0.1, 5.7, 5.84, 5.52 52,Robert Morris,_____________________ 17 17 5, -0.1, 5.8, 5.74, 4.64 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 20 16 4, -0.1, 5.9, 5.73, 6.26 54,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 28 1, -2.4, 7.4, 4.97, 5.96 55,Canisius,__________________________ 10 22 4, -1.2, 5.9, 4.77, 3.96 56,American International,____________ 8 26 3, -1.4, 5.8, 4.44, 5.22 57,Army,______________________________ 4 23 7, -1.5, 5.8, 4.32, 3.11 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 28 3, -1.8, 5.9, 4.11, 5.23 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Boston College,____________________ 29 10 1, 0.5, 7.2, 7.66, 8.04 2,Michigan,__________________________ 24 12 4, 0.3, 7.2, 7.54, 7.80 3,North Dakota,______________________ 25 12 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 8.24 4,Miami,_____________________________ 24 14 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.47, 7.88 5,Ferris State,______________________ 23 11 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.45, 6.75 6,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 24 9 6, 0.4, 7.1, 7.43, 7.07 7,Western Michigan,__________________ 21 13 6, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 8.37 8,Boston University,_________________ 23 14 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 6.96 9,Maine,_____________________________ 23 13 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.42, 7.59 10,Denver,____________________________ 25 13 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40, 7.85 11,Minnesota,_________________________ 26 13 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.24 12,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 23 12 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.24 13,Michigan State,____________________ 19 15 4, 0.1, 7.3, 7.39, 7.12 14,Northern Michigan,_________________ 17 14 6, 0.1, 7.3, 7.35, 7.26 15,Union,_____________________________ 24 7 7, 0.4, 6.9, 7.34, 7.86 16,Notre Dame,________________________ 19 18 3, 0.0, 7.3, 7.32, 7.19 17,Merrimack,_________________________ 18 12 7, 0.2, 7.1, 7.28, 7.08 18,Ohio State,________________________ 15 15 5, 0.0, 7.2, 7.24, 6.80 19,Cornell,___________________________ 18 8 7, 0.3, 6.9, 7.20, 7.05 20,Lake Superior,_____________________ 18 17 5, 0.0, 7.2, 7.20, 7.05 21,St Cloud State,____________________ 17 17 5, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 7.67 22,Colorado College,__________________ 18 16 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 6.90 23,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 18 2, -0.0, 7.2, 7.15, 7.20 24,Northeastern,______________________ 13 16 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.15, 7.35 25,Bemidji State,_____________________ 17 18 3, -0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 6.91 26,New Hampshire,_____________________ 15 19 3, -0.1, 7.2, 7.08, 6.75 27,Harvard,___________________________ 13 10 11, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 7.22 28,Massachusetts,_____________________ 13 18 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.06, 7.19 29,Providence,________________________ 14 20 4, -0.2, 7.2, 7.04, 7.24 30,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 16 19 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 7.02 31,Alaska,____________________________ 12 20 4, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 6.44 32,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 14 18 6, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 6.31 33,Quinnipiac,________________________ 21 14 6, 0.2, 6.8, 6.98, 7.02 34,Colgate,___________________________ 19 17 3, 0.1, 6.9, 6.98, 6.90 35,Bowling Green,_____________________ 14 25 5, -0.3, 7.2, 6.96, 7.27 36,Air Force,_________________________ 21 10 7, 0.3, 6.6, 6.89, 7.22 37,Yale,______________________________ 16 16 3, 0.0, 6.9, 6.86, 6.71 38,RIT,_______________________________ 20 13 6, 0.2, 6.6, 6.82, 6.88 39,Niagara,___________________________ 17 11 9, 0.2, 6.7, 6.81, 7.14 40,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 19 3, -0.1, 6.9, 6.80, 6.32 41,Clarkson,__________________________ 16 17 6, -0.0, 6.8, 6.79, 6.15 42,Minnesota State,___________________ 12 24 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.78, 6.66 43,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 16 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.77, 6.76 44,Mercyhurst,________________________ 20 16 4, 0.1, 6.6, 6.72, 6.85 45,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 9 25 2, -0.4, 7.1, 6.70, 6.21 46,Holy Cross,________________________ 20 15 4, 0.1, 6.5, 6.67, 6.64 47,Princeton,_________________________ 9 17 7, -0.2, 6.9, 6.66, 6.40 48,Rensselaer,________________________ 12 24 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.64, 6.81 49,Vermont,___________________________ 6 27 1, -0.6, 7.2, 6.63, 6.45 50,Robert Morris,_____________________ 17 17 5, 0.0, 6.6, 6.62, 6.19 51,Brown,_____________________________ 9 18 5, -0.3, 6.9, 6.58, 6.52 52,Bentley,___________________________ 16 16 8, 0.0, 6.6, 6.56, 6.30 53,Connecticut,_______________________ 16 19 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.52, 6.87 54,Canisius,__________________________ 10 22 4, -0.3, 6.7, 6.33, 6.06 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 28 1, -0.8, 7.2, 6.32, 6.44 56,American International,____________ 8 26 3, -0.5, 6.6, 6.10, 6.18 57,Army,______________________________ 4 23 7, -0.6, 6.6, 6.04, 5.30 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 6 28 3, -0.6, 6.6, 6.02, 6.55 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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