Scores (sorted by team) through November 26, 2006 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Week's Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 7 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 1 2, 2.5, 7.9, 10.37, 10.54 2,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 2 1, 2.3, 7.9, 10.19, 11.44 3,St Cloud State,____________________ 6 3 3, 1.3, 8.4, 9.65, 11.57 4,Maine,_____________________________ 8 3 1, 1.5, 7.8, 9.34, 7.42 5,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 4 2, 0.8, 8.3, 9.09, 8.51 6,Vermont,___________________________ 7 4 1, 1.3, 7.7, 8.98, 9.33 7,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 3 1, 2.2, 6.8, 8.97, 8.60 8,Colorado College,__________________ 8 5 1, 0.6, 8.1, 8.66, 9.37 9,Michigan,__________________________ 11 4 0, 1.1, 7.5, 8.59, 8.11 10,North Dakota,______________________ 7 6 1, 0.2, 8.3, 8.54, 7.80 11,Denver,____________________________ 9 4 1, 0.6, 7.8, 8.42, 8.81 12,Miami,_____________________________ 11 5 0, 1.1, 7.2, 8.22, 8.78 13,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 5 1, 1.0, 7.2, 8.21, 7.14 14,Michigan State,____________________ 6 6 1, 0.5, 7.7, 8.19, 8.01 15,Wisconsin,_________________________ 5 9 2, -0.3, 8.4, 8.13, 8.59 16,Alaska,____________________________ 6 2 4, 0.9, 7.2, 8.09, 7.85 17,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 3 7 3, -0.7, 8.7, 8.04, 7.68 18,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 4 2, 0.2, 7.8, 8.01, 9.18 19,Massachusetts,_____________________ 6 3 1, 0.7, 7.3, 8.01, 7.69 20,Boston University,_________________ 5 2 4, 0.5, 7.5, 7.96, 8.30 21,Northern Michigan,_________________ 7 6 2, 0.1, 7.8, 7.91, 7.97 22,Boston College,____________________ 7 4 1, 0.2, 7.7, 7.86, 6.99 23,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 4 7 4, -0.1, 7.9, 7.80, 7.04 24,Northeastern,______________________ 2 8 2, -0.7, 8.4, 7.75, 7.32 25,Quinnipiac,________________________ 7 4 3, 0.9, 6.8, 7.66, 7.40 26,Dartmouth,_________________________ 5 3 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.49, 6.83 27,Yale,______________________________ 6 2 1, 0.6, 6.7, 7.28 28,St Lawrence,_______________________ 7 4 0, 0.6, 6.6, 7.27, 7.95 29,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 3 6 3, -0.7, 7.8, 7.13, 6.82 30,Ohio State,________________________ 4 7 3, -0.4, 7.4, 7.01, 7.33 31,Cornell,___________________________ 7 3 0, 0.8, 6.2, 6.97, 5.74 32,Minnesota State,___________________ 3 9 1, -1.4, 8.2, 6.84, 6.63 33,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 5 1, 0.6, 6.2, 6.81, 6.96 34,Rensselaer,________________________ 4 3 4, -0.1, 6.8, 6.73, 6.27 35,Harvard,___________________________ 3 8 0, -0.5, 7.2, 6.69, 6.03 36,Colgate,___________________________ 5 8 2, -0.2, 6.8, 6.60, 6.14 37,Ferris State,______________________ 4 8 1, -0.5, 7.0, 6.44, 6.58 38,Providence,________________________ 4 9 1, -1.0, 7.4, 6.38, 7.38 39,Western Michigan,__________________ 5 6 1, -0.8, 7.2, 6.32, 6.26 40,RIT,_______________________________ 4 5 2, 0.8, 5.4, 6.25, 5.33 41,Niagara,___________________________ 8 5 3, 0.1, 6.0, 6.17, 7.21 42,Union,_____________________________ 5 3 2, -0.6, 6.8, 6.17, 6.01 43,Princeton,_________________________ 2 6 2, -0.4, 6.6, 6.16, 7.19 44,Brown,_____________________________ 4 3 2, 0.4, 5.7, 6.10 45,Air Force,_________________________ 8 7 1, 0.4, 5.7, 6.10, 5.51 46,Bemidji State,_____________________ 3 4 3, -0.9, 6.6, 5.74, 6.30 47,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 6 1, 0.6, 5.1, 5.67, 5.98 48,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 4 2, 0.3, 5.2, 5.52, 5.06 49,Bowling Green,_____________________ 3 10 1, -2.1, 7.2, 5.01, 3.29 50,Merrimack,_________________________ 1 9 1, -2.5, 7.5, 4.98, 4.81 51,Mercyhurst,________________________ 3 7 3, -0.7, 5.5, 4.82, 5.41 52,Bentley,___________________________ 5 5 1, -0.8, 5.5, 4.73, 4.15 53,Canisius,__________________________ 3 9 1, -1.3, 6.0, 4.71, 5.50 54,Wayne State,_______________________ 3 10 0, -2.1, 6.8, 4.70, 4.73 55,Robert Morris,_____________________ 4 8 0, -1.5, 6.2, 4.65, 3.35 56,Army,______________________________ 6 6 2, -0.2, 4.8, 4.55, 3.55 57,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 8 1, -1.6, 5.8, 4.26, 4.84 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 10 0, -1.3, 5.4, 4.16, 4.40 59,American Int'l,____________________ 0 12 0, -3.3, 5.6, 2.40, 2.80 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 1 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.93, 8.12 2,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 2 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.81, 8.17 3,Maine,_____________________________ 8 3 1, 0.4, 7.3, 7.69, 6.98 4,St Cloud State,____________________ 6 3 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.60, 8.13 5,Denver,____________________________ 9 4 1, 0.4, 7.2, 7.54, 7.90 6,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 6 4 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.53, 7.16 7,Michigan,__________________________ 11 4 0, 0.5, 7.0, 7.50, 7.75 8,Colorado College,__________________ 8 5 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.48, 7.82 9,Vermont,___________________________ 7 4 1, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 8.12 10,Miami,_____________________________ 11 5 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.41, 7.70 11,North Dakota,______________________ 7 6 1, 0.1, 7.3, 7.41, 7.05 12,Notre Dame,________________________ 10 3 1, 0.5, 6.9, 7.38, 7.21 13,Massachusetts,_____________________ 6 3 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.08 14,Boston University,_________________ 5 2 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.59 15,Alaska,____________________________ 6 2 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.35, 7.31 16,Yale,______________________________ 6 2 1, 0.4, 6.9, 7.34 17,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 6 4 2, 0.2, 7.2, 7.34, 7.74 18,Boston College,____________________ 7 4 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.32, 7.10 19,Clarkson,__________________________ 8 5 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 6.94 20,Northern Michigan,_________________ 7 6 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.24, 7.11 21,Quinnipiac,________________________ 7 4 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 6.99 22,Dartmouth,_________________________ 5 3 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.23, 7.20 23,Michigan State,____________________ 6 6 1, 0.0, 7.2, 7.19, 6.87 24,Cornell,___________________________ 7 3 0, 0.4, 6.8, 7.18, 6.59 25,Wisconsin,_________________________ 5 9 2, -0.3, 7.4, 7.16, 7.02 26,St Lawrence,_______________________ 7 4 0, 0.3, 6.9, 7.14, 7.47 27,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 3 7 3, -0.3, 7.4, 7.13, 7.10 28,Rensselaer,________________________ 4 3 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.11, 6.68 29,Union,_____________________________ 5 3 2, 0.2, 6.9, 7.08, 7.16 30,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 4 7 4, -0.2, 7.3, 7.07, 6.89 31,Niagara,___________________________ 8 5 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.02, 7.43 32,Lake Superior,_____________________ 8 5 1, 0.2, 6.8, 7.01, 7.01 33,Mass-Lowell,_______________________ 3 6 3, -0.3, 7.2, 6.95, 6.69 34,Bemidji State,_____________________ 3 4 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 7.01 35,Northeastern,______________________ 2 8 2, -0.5, 7.4, 6.92, 6.61 36,Ohio State,________________________ 4 7 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 6.97 37,Western Michigan,__________________ 5 6 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.87, 7.01 38,Minnesota State,___________________ 3 9 1, -0.5, 7.3, 6.87, 6.94 39,Sacred Heart,______________________ 9 4 2, 0.3, 6.5, 6.82, 6.91 40,Colgate,___________________________ 5 8 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.67 41,Brown,_____________________________ 4 3 2, 0.1, 6.6, 6.73 42,Ferris State,______________________ 4 8 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.85 43,Providence,________________________ 4 9 1, -0.4, 7.1, 6.72, 6.88 44,Air Force,_________________________ 8 7 1, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.52 45,Harvard,___________________________ 3 8 0, -0.5, 7.1, 6.65, 6.44 46,Holy Cross,________________________ 7 6 1, 0.1, 6.5, 6.59, 6.73 47,Robert Morris,_____________________ 4 8 0, -0.3, 6.9, 6.57, 6.18 48,Princeton,_________________________ 2 6 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.54, 7.02 49,Bowling Green,_____________________ 3 10 1, -0.5, 7.0, 6.53, 6.12 50,Bentley,___________________________ 5 5 1, 0.0, 6.5, 6.51, 6.22 51,RIT,_______________________________ 4 5 2, -0.1, 6.6, 6.51, 6.32 52,Wayne State,_______________________ 3 10 0, -0.5, 7.0, 6.48, 6.42 53,Merrimack,_________________________ 1 9 1, -0.7, 7.2, 6.43, 6.30 54,Army,______________________________ 6 6 2, 0.0, 6.4, 6.43, 5.92 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 8 1, -0.4, 6.8, 6.37, 6.52 56,Mercyhurst,________________________ 3 7 3, -0.3, 6.6, 6.29, 6.61 57,Canisius,__________________________ 3 9 1, -0.5, 6.7, 6.27, 6.51 58,Connecticut,_______________________ 4 10 0, -0.4, 6.6, 6.22, 6.39 59,American Int'l,____________________ 0 12 0, -1.0, 6.6, 5.62, 5.63 Link to the 2005-2006 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Note that the current spread between #1 and #59 is about 1.9 . Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA ME MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W RI VA VT WI wWI USA New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
Over 4000 registered members, HS message boards for over 30 states + midget, junior, college, and pro hockey forums! Receive email when this page changes