Scores (sorted by team) through December 19, 2010 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Yale,______________________________ 11 1 0, 2.7, 6.8, 9.50, 9.41 2,Boston College,____________________ 11 5 0, 1.5, 7.4, 8.87, 9.75 3,Miami,_____________________________ 10 5 3, 1.3, 7.3, 8.68, 8.67 4,North Dakota,______________________ 13 5 2, 0.8, 7.7, 8.50, 8.76 5,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 2 4, 1.1, 7.2, 8.35, 8.70 6,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 3 3, 0.9, 7.4, 8.31, 7.97 7,Denver,____________________________ 12 5 3, 0.7, 7.5, 8.24, 8.15 8,Wisconsin,_________________________ 10 7 3, 1.0, 7.2, 8.23, 8.42 9,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 12 5 1, 0.9, 7.3, 8.21, 7.61 10,Michigan,__________________________ 10 5 4, 0.8, 7.4, 8.21, 7.86 11,Notre Dame,________________________ 11 6 2, 0.7, 7.5, 8.18, 8.12 12,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 4 3, 0.9, 7.1, 8.04, 8.62 13,Maine,_____________________________ 8 4 4, 0.8, 7.2, 8.02, 7.99 14,Colorado College,__________________ 11 8 1, 0.4, 7.4, 7.76, 9.18 15,Union,_____________________________ 10 5 3, 1.1, 6.7, 7.74, 7.08 16,Alaska,____________________________ 9 6 3, 0.2, 7.5, 7.73, 7.56 17,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 4 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.69, 7.33 18,Minnesota,_________________________ 9 7 2, 0.2, 7.4, 7.58, 7.83 19,Princeton,_________________________ 8 5 0, 0.8, 6.7, 7.55, 8.41 20,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 4 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.55, 7.87 21,Ferris State,______________________ 9 7 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.44, 8.08 22,Boston University,_________________ 8 4 5, -0.1, 7.4, 7.38, 6.09 23,Northern Michigan,_________________ 9 8 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 8.22 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 10 6 4, 0.1, 7.1, 7.29, 7.84 25,Ohio State,________________________ 8 8 1, 0.4, 6.9, 7.26, 7.39 26,Bemidji State,_____________________ 5 10 1, -0.6, 7.8, 7.23, 9.05 27,Brown,_____________________________ 3 4 4, -0.4, 7.4, 7.00, 6.61 28,Michigan State,____________________ 6 9 3, -0.4, 7.4, 6.98, 6.98 29,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 5 2, 0.6, 6.3, 6.93, 7.74 30,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 5 10 3, -0.8, 7.6, 6.81, 7.14 31,Robert Morris,_____________________ 12 4 2, 1.1, 5.7, 6.80, 7.33 32,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 10 4, -0.8, 7.4, 6.67, 6.66 33,Northeastern,______________________ 3 9 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.66, 7.70 34,St Cloud State,____________________ 5 11 2, -0.8, 7.5, 6.66, 5.67 35,Minnesota State,___________________ 6 8 4, -0.6, 7.2, 6.66, 7.53 36,Massachusetts,_____________________ 3 7 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.61, 8.06 37,Providence,________________________ 7 6 5, -0.2, 6.8, 6.56, 7.00 38,Cornell,___________________________ 4 6 1, -0.2, 6.7, 6.56, 6.54 39,Niagara,___________________________ 10 6 2, 0.3, 6.2, 6.51, 5.37 40,Air Force,_________________________ 6 7 2, -0.3, 6.7, 6.47, 7.34 41,Vermont,___________________________ 2 9 4, -1.3, 7.7, 6.45, 5.72 42,RIT,_______________________________ 9 7 2, 0.3, 6.2, 6.43, 7.11 43,Bowling Green,_____________________ 6 12 2, -0.9, 7.3, 6.38, 6.38 44,St Lawrence,_______________________ 4 8 3, -0.7, 6.8, 6.17, 5.72 45,Mercyhurst,________________________ 7 9 1, 0.2, 5.9, 6.15, 5.45 46,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 3 11 2, -1.5, 7.6, 6.14, 4.47 47,Canisius,__________________________ 6 7 4, 0.1, 5.9, 6.02, 5.79 48,Holy Cross,________________________ 6 7 2, -0.3, 6.3, 6.01, 5.63 49,Quinnipiac,________________________ 8 9 1, -0.8, 6.7, 5.97, 4.82 50,Harvard,___________________________ 2 8 0, -1.3, 7.1, 5.83, 4.57 51,Connecticut,_______________________ 5 7 3, -0.5, 6.3, 5.83, 6.26 52,Colgate,___________________________ 3 12 1, -0.7, 6.5, 5.82, 5.97 53,Bentley,___________________________ 5 8 2, -0.7, 6.3, 5.61, 4.96 54,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 2 14 2, -1.8, 7.3, 5.50, 4.54 55,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 16 2, -1.6, 6.8, 5.20, 5.09 56,Army,______________________________ 5 9 1, -0.8, 6.0, 5.19, 5.44 57,American International,____________ 4 9 0, -1.1, 6.2, 5.11, 6.98 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 12 4, -2.4, 6.5, 4.01, 4.10 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Yale,______________________________ 11 1 0, 0.8, 6.9, 7.73, 7.80 2,North Dakota,______________________ 13 5 2, 0.4, 7.3, 7.70, 7.85 3,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 12 3 3, 0.5, 7.2, 7.69, 7.41 4,Denver,____________________________ 12 5 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.59, 7.64 5,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 11 4 1, 0.4, 7.1, 7.57, 7.29 6,Boston College,____________________ 11 5 0, 0.4, 7.2, 7.55, 7.82 7,New Hampshire,_____________________ 10 2 4, 0.5, 7.0, 7.54, 7.77 8,Notre Dame,________________________ 11 6 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.42, 7.34 9,Miami,_____________________________ 10 5 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.34 10,Michigan,__________________________ 10 5 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.39, 7.08 11,Boston University,_________________ 8 4 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.36, 6.83 12,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 4 3, 0.3, 7.0, 7.35, 7.70 13,Maine,_____________________________ 8 4 4, 0.3, 7.1, 7.33, 7.16 14,Colorado College,__________________ 10 7 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.32, 7.89 15,Union,_____________________________ 10 3 3, 0.4, 6.9, 7.31, 7.15 16,Wisconsin,_________________________ 10 7 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.31, 7.60 17,Alaska,____________________________ 9 6 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.30, 7.03 18,Minnesota,_________________________ 9 7 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.29, 7.37 19,Merrimack,_________________________ 7 4 4, 0.2, 7.0, 7.20, 7.19 20,Dartmouth,_________________________ 6 4 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.14, 6.91 21,Northern Michigan,_________________ 8 8 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 7.20 22,Ferris State,______________________ 9 7 3, 0.1, 7.0, 7.07, 7.28 23,Princeton,_________________________ 8 5 0, 0.2, 6.8, 7.06, 7.26 24,Western Michigan,__________________ 8 6 4, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 6.68 25,Bemidji State,_____________________ 5 10 1, -0.3, 7.4, 7.04, 7.57 26,Minnesota State,___________________ 6 8 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.03, 7.49 27,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 5 2, 0.3, 6.7, 7.03, 7.35 28,Brown,_____________________________ 3 4 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.01, 6.91 29,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 5 10 3, -0.3, 7.3, 7.00, 7.02 30,Providence,________________________ 7 6 5, 0.1, 6.9, 6.97, 7.23 31,Ohio State,________________________ 8 8 1, 0.0, 6.9, 6.94, 7.32 32,Michigan State,____________________ 6 9 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 7.03 33,Lake Superior,_____________________ 6 10 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.73 34,Robert Morris,_____________________ 10 4 2, 0.4, 6.5, 6.90, 6.85 35,Niagara,___________________________ 10 6 2, 0.2, 6.7, 6.90, 6.64 36,St Cloud State,____________________ 5 11 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.89, 6.81 37,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 3 10 2, -0.5, 7.3, 6.84, 6.42 38,Air Force,_________________________ 6 7 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.84, 7.38 39,Vermont,___________________________ 2 8 4, -0.4, 7.3, 6.83, 6.93 40,Quinnipiac,________________________ 8 9 1, -0.1, 6.8, 6.78, 6.15 41,Massachusetts,_____________________ 3 7 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.77, 7.39 42,RIT,_______________________________ 8 7 2, 0.1, 6.7, 6.76, 6.72 43,Bowling Green,_____________________ 6 12 2, -0.3, 7.1, 6.75, 6.41 44,Northeastern,______________________ 3 9 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.70, 7.11 45,Holy Cross,________________________ 6 7 2, -0.1, 6.8, 6.69, 6.28 46,Cornell,___________________________ 4 6 1, -0.2, 6.8, 6.66, 6.71 47,Connecticut,_______________________ 5 7 3, -0.1, 6.8, 6.63, 6.52 48,Canisius,__________________________ 6 6 4, 0.0, 6.6, 6.62, 6.71 49,Bentley,___________________________ 5 8 2, -0.2, 6.8, 6.57, 6.28 50,St Lawrence,_______________________ 3 8 3, -0.4, 6.9, 6.55, 6.29 51,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 2 14 2, -0.7, 7.1, 6.46, 6.09 52,Harvard,___________________________ 2 8 0, -0.6, 7.0, 6.43, 6.01 53,Mercyhurst,________________________ 5 9 1, -0.3, 6.7, 6.39, 5.84 54,Army,______________________________ 5 9 1, -0.3, 6.6, 6.33, 6.60 55,Colgate,___________________________ 3 10 1, -0.5, 6.8, 6.31, 6.30 56,American International,____________ 4 9 0, -0.4, 6.7, 6.30, 6.92 57,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 2 14 2, -0.7, 6.9, 6.25, 6.35 58,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 12 4, -0.6, 6.8, 6.20, 6.24 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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