Scores (sorted by team) through February 1, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 21 5 1, 1.6, 7.3, 8.83, 9.42 2,Boston University,_________________ 16 4 4, 1.3, 7.2, 8.54, 8.71 3,Harvard,___________________________ 12 5 2, 1.3, 7.2, 8.49, 7.66 4,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 20 7 1, 1.3, 7.2, 8.49, 8.72 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 10 1, 0.5, 7.9, 8.46, 7.15 6,Miami,_____________________________ 15 9 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.28, 7.51 7,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 7 3, 0.6, 7.6, 8.20, 7.85 8,North Dakota,______________________ 19 6 2, 1.1, 7.1, 8.18, 7.86 9,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 6 5, 0.7, 7.4, 8.10, 6.84 10,Denver,____________________________ 15 9 1, 0.6, 7.5, 8.06, 8.47 11,Michigan,__________________________ 15 8 0, 0.9, 7.1, 8.03, 9.13 12,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 16 8 3, 0.8, 7.2, 8.01, 6.59 13,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 9 3, 0.6, 7.4, 8.00, 7.46 14,Boston College,____________________ 16 8 2, 0.7, 7.2, 7.93, 8.03 15,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 12 4, 0.3, 7.6, 7.93, 9.28 16,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 13 1, 0.1, 7.8, 7.85, 8.66 17,Providence,________________________ 16 9 1, 0.7, 7.2, 7.84, 7.90 18,Yale,______________________________ 12 6 3, 0.9, 6.9, 7.82, 7.79 19,Vermont,___________________________ 15 9 2, 0.6, 7.2, 7.77, 6.19 20,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 2, 0.7, 7.1, 7.76, 9.21 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 11 10 4, 0.2, 7.5, 7.72, 7.98 22,Union,_____________________________ 13 11 2, 0.7, 6.9, 7.59, 7.20 23,Penn State,________________________ 13 7 4, 0.6, 7.0, 7.58, 8.46 24,Colgate,___________________________ 14 9 3, 0.5, 7.0, 7.54, 6.85 25,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 8 2, 0.5, 7.0, 7.49, 7.11 26,Cornell,___________________________ 9 9 3, 0.0, 7.4, 7.41, 6.63 27,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 8 4, 0.2, 7.1, 7.37, 7.74 28,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 9 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 6.03 29,Alaska,____________________________ 12 13 1, 0.0, 7.3, 7.29, 6.82 30,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 9 6, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 7.04 31,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 15 2, -0.1, 7.2, 7.17, 6.26 32,Northeastern,______________________ 10 11 4, -0.4, 7.5, 7.13, 8.25 33,Michigan State,____________________ 10 11 2, -0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 7.88 34,Ferris State,______________________ 11 15 1, -0.2, 7.3, 7.05, 6.37 35,Robert Morris,_____________________ 19 5 4, 1.3, 5.7, 6.99, 7.56 36,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 8.17 37,Notre Dame,________________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 7.06 38,Maine,_____________________________ 10 16 2, -0.4, 7.2, 6.72, 8.53 39,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 12 6, -0.5, 7.1, 6.68, 6.23 40,Ohio State,________________________ 7 13 2, -0.8, 7.4, 6.61, 5.26 41,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 13 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.52, 6.81 42,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 18 1, -1.2, 7.4, 6.19, 7.65 43,RIT,_______________________________ 10 12 4, 0.2, 5.9, 6.14, 6.25 44,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 17 1, -1.1, 7.2, 6.09, 7.12 45,Bentley,___________________________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 5.9, 6.04, 5.58 46,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 12 5, 0.3, 5.7, 6.00, 6.40 47,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 16 4, -1.7, 7.7, 6.00, 5.61 48,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 18 3, -1.4, 7.3, 5.98, 5.86 49,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 20 1, -1.6, 7.5, 5.92, 8.38 50,Colorado College,__________________ 5 18 1, -1.7, 7.6, 5.91, 5.25 51,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 10 4, -0.1, 5.9, 5.87, 4.69 52,Canisius,__________________________ 12 8 6, 0.2, 5.7, 5.87, 7.22 53,Air Force,_________________________ 11 15 3, -0.6, 6.1, 5.52, 6.19 54,Brown,_____________________________ 4 16 1, -1.8, 7.2, 5.40, 4.48 55,Princeton,_________________________ 3 15 2, -1.9, 7.2, 5.35, 4.90 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 15 6, -0.9, 6.0, 5.19, 5.87 57,American International,____________ 3 18 7, -1.4, 6.1, 4.73, 3.88 58,Army,______________________________ 6 18 2, -1.3, 5.8, 4.50, 4.34 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 21 2, -2.0, 6.1, 4.07, 3.19 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota State,___________________ 21 5 1, 0.6, 7.1, 7.70, 7.64 2,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 16 7 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.58, 7.39 3,Boston University,_________________ 16 4 4, 0.5, 7.1, 7.57, 7.80 4,North Dakota,______________________ 19 6 2, 0.5, 7.1, 7.55, 7.51 5,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 20 7 1, 0.5, 7.1, 7.53, 7.62 6,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 15 10 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.53, 7.10 7,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 6 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.47, 7.06 8,Miami,_____________________________ 15 9 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.46, 6.92 9,Denver,____________________________ 15 9 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.45, 7.64 10,Harvard,___________________________ 12 5 2, 0.4, 7.1, 7.42, 6.90 11,Boston College,____________________ 16 8 2, 0.3, 7.1, 7.38, 7.78 12,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 16 8 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 6.75 13,Providence,________________________ 16 9 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.35, 6.89 14,Quinnipiac,________________________ 16 8 2, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32, 7.05 15,Michigan,__________________________ 15 8 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 7.46 16,Vermont,___________________________ 15 9 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.27, 6.52 17,St Cloud State,____________________ 12 13 1, -0.0, 7.3, 7.24, 7.26 18,Merrimack,_________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.24, 6.71 19,Yale,______________________________ 12 6 3, 0.3, 6.9, 7.23, 6.87 20,Minnesota,_________________________ 12 9 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.23, 7.01 21,Western Michigan,__________________ 11 10 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.22, 7.60 22,Penn State,________________________ 13 7 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.22, 7.68 23,Colgate,___________________________ 14 9 3, 0.2, 7.0, 7.21, 6.96 24,Bemidji State,_____________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.17, 7.78 25,St Lawrence,_______________________ 14 10 2, 0.2, 7.0, 7.17, 8.03 26,Cornell,___________________________ 9 9 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.14, 7.14 27,Northeastern,______________________ 10 11 4, -0.0, 7.2, 7.13, 7.54 28,Northern Michigan,_________________ 11 9 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.10, 6.93 29,Dartmouth,_________________________ 9 8 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.07, 7.42 30,Alaska,____________________________ 12 13 1, -0.0, 7.1, 7.07, 6.40 31,Robert Morris,_____________________ 19 5 4, 0.5, 6.5, 7.05, 7.45 32,Union,_____________________________ 13 11 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.04, 6.92 33,Michigan State,____________________ 10 11 2, -0.0, 7.0, 6.96, 7.50 34,Clarkson,__________________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.95, 7.27 35,Ferris State,______________________ 11 15 1, -0.1, 7.1, 6.94, 6.90 36,Connecticut,_______________________ 8 12 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.75 37,Ohio State,________________________ 7 13 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.89, 6.54 38,Notre Dame,________________________ 11 14 3, -0.1, 7.0, 6.88, 6.77 39,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 15 2, -0.2, 7.1, 6.85, 6.61 40,Maine,_____________________________ 10 16 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.80, 7.38 41,Rensselaer,________________________ 9 18 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79, 7.18 42,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 7 18 3, -0.4, 7.1, 6.74, 7.09 43,Mercyhurst,________________________ 12 10 4, 0.1, 6.7, 6.73, 6.13 44,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 7 13 4, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73, 6.86 45,Lake Superior,_____________________ 7 20 1, -0.5, 7.2, 6.72, 7.59 46,Colorado College,__________________ 5 18 1, -0.5, 7.3, 6.72, 6.43 47,Massachusetts,_____________________ 8 17 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.71, 7.15 48,Bentley,___________________________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 6.6, 6.70, 6.84 49,Canisius,__________________________ 12 8 6, 0.2, 6.5, 6.67, 7.21 50,Wisconsin,_________________________ 2 16 4, -0.6, 7.2, 6.60, 6.46 51,Air Force,_________________________ 11 15 3, -0.1, 6.7, 6.55, 6.70 52,RIT,_______________________________ 10 12 4, -0.1, 6.6, 6.54, 6.60 53,Holy Cross,________________________ 10 12 5, -0.1, 6.6, 6.50, 6.35 54,Brown,_____________________________ 4 16 1, -0.6, 7.1, 6.49, 6.22 55,Princeton,_________________________ 3 15 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.46, 6.33 56,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 15 6, -0.3, 6.6, 6.36, 6.45 57,American International,____________ 3 18 7, -0.5, 6.7, 6.13, 5.97 58,Army,______________________________ 6 18 2, -0.5, 6.6, 6.12, 5.93 59,Niagara,___________________________ 3 21 2, -0.7, 6.7, 5.97, 5.78 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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