Scores (sorted by team) through March 10, 2013 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. More scores give better rankings, Minimum 3 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 24 7 5, 1.5, 7.4, 8.92, 8.84 2,Minnesota State,___________________ 22 11 3, 0.9, 7.4, 8.31, 8.79 3,Quinnipiac,________________________ 24 5 5, 1.3, 7.0, 8.30, 8.11 4,St Cloud State,____________________ 21 14 1, 0.8, 7.5, 8.30, 7.97 5,North Dakota,______________________ 19 10 7, 0.7, 7.6, 8.29, 8.87 6,Denver,____________________________ 19 11 5, 0.6, 7.7, 8.28, 8.16 7,Miami,_____________________________ 22 9 5, 0.9, 7.2, 8.07, 7.23 8,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 9 7, 0.9, 7.2, 8.05, 7.31 9,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 12 3, 0.7, 7.3, 7.96, 8.44 10,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 12 7, 0.3, 7.4, 7.77, 8.19 11,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 22 10 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.76, 8.91 12,Boston College,____________________ 20 10 4, 0.7, 7.0, 7.71, 7.00 13,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 16 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.64, 5.47 14,Rensselaer,________________________ 17 12 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 8.54 15,Union,_____________________________ 17 12 5, 0.6, 6.9, 7.55, 7.92 16,Providence,________________________ 15 12 7, 0.4, 7.2, 7.52, 8.19 17,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 9 8, 0.4, 7.1, 7.51, 7.10 18,Colorado College,__________________ 14 17 5, -0.3, 7.7, 7.46, 6.96 19,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 18 4, -0.1, 7.5, 7.43, 7.77 20,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 12 5, 0.4, 7.0, 7.39, 7.12 21,Ferris State,______________________ 15 14 5, 0.2, 7.2, 7.37, 5.79 22,Boston University,_________________ 18 15 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.26, 8.03 23,Ohio State,________________________ 14 15 7, 0.0, 7.3, 7.26, 7.31 24,Yale,______________________________ 16 10 3, 0.1, 7.1, 7.24, 6.68 25,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 17 5, -0.2, 7.4, 7.24, 8.79 26,Cornell,___________________________ 14 14 3, 0.1, 7.2, 7.22, 8.97 27,Brown,_____________________________ 13 12 6, 0.2, 7.0, 7.16, 8.04 28,Niagara,___________________________ 21 7 5, 0.9, 6.2, 7.09, 5.95 29,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 19 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.06, 7.49 30,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 4, -0.1, 7.2, 7.04, 7.33 31,Air Force,_________________________ 17 11 7, 0.7, 6.3, 6.99, 8.38 32,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 14 4, 0.1, 6.8, 6.97, 6.64 33,Michigan,__________________________ 15 18 3, -0.2, 7.2, 6.96, 9.37 34,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.93, 7.49 35,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 4, -0.4, 7.4, 6.92, 5.33 36,Merrimack,_________________________ 15 15 6, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 5.13 37,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 21 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.83, 6.21 38,Colgate,___________________________ 13 18 4, -0.2, 7.0, 6.82, 4.99 39,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 12 4, 0.5, 6.2, 6.75, 7.49 40,Bemidji State,_____________________ 6 20 8, -0.9, 7.7, 6.71, 6.93 41,Michigan State,____________________ 13 23 3, -0.6, 7.3, 6.65, 6.63 42,Vermont,___________________________ 11 17 6, -0.6, 7.2, 6.60, 7.00 43,Maine,_____________________________ 11 17 8, -0.6, 7.1, 6.55, 7.02 44,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 15 5, 0.3, 6.3, 6.52, 6.68 45,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 5, -0.5, 7.0, 6.45, 5.87 46,Holy Cross,________________________ 19 12 3, 0.3, 6.2, 6.45, 6.99 47,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 20 7, -0.7, 7.1, 6.44, 3.95 48,Canisius,__________________________ 15 18 5, 0.1, 6.4, 6.44, 7.14 49,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 4 23 7, -1.5, 7.8, 6.34, 5.26 50,Connecticut,_______________________ 17 13 4, 0.1, 6.2, 6.33, 7.04 51,Harvard,___________________________ 10 19 3, -0.9, 7.2, 6.29, 6.39 52,RIT,_______________________________ 15 16 5, -0.1, 6.3, 6.13, 6.80 53,Penn State,________________________ 13 14 0, -0.1, 6.2, 6.08, 6.79 54,Northeastern,______________________ 9 21 4, -1.0, 7.0, 6.02, 5.23 55,Bentley,___________________________ 12 20 3, -0.3, 6.1, 5.83, 3.80 56,American International,____________ 12 17 6, -0.5, 6.1, 5.57, 5.77 57,Army,______________________________ 7 22 5, -1.3, 6.2, 4.90, 3.70 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 21 1, -2.2, 6.6, 4.38, 4.00 59,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 30 4, -2.4, 6.3, 3.98, 3.92 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Quinnipiac,________________________ 24 5 5, 0.6, 7.0, 7.56, 7.40 2,Minnesota,_________________________ 24 7 5, 0.5, 7.1, 7.53, 7.42 3,Miami,_____________________________ 22 9 5, 0.4, 7.1, 7.42, 7.27 4,Massachusetts-Lowell,______________ 22 10 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.37, 7.76 5,North Dakota,______________________ 19 10 7, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.50 6,Denver,____________________________ 19 11 5, 0.2, 7.1, 7.37, 7.34 7,Minnesota State,___________________ 22 11 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.36, 7.35 8,New Hampshire,_____________________ 18 9 7, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 6.91 9,Notre Dame,________________________ 21 12 3, 0.3, 7.1, 7.34, 7.80 10,Boston College,____________________ 20 10 4, 0.3, 7.0, 7.34, 7.12 11,Western Michigan,__________________ 19 9 8, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31, 6.90 12,St Cloud State,____________________ 21 14 1, 0.2, 7.1, 7.29, 7.26 13,Yale,______________________________ 16 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.26, 7.31 14,Rensselaer,________________________ 17 12 5, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 7.61 15,Wisconsin,_________________________ 17 12 7, 0.1, 7.1, 7.20, 7.30 16,Providence,________________________ 15 12 7, 0.1, 7.1, 7.19, 7.42 17,Niagara,___________________________ 21 7 5, 0.4, 6.7, 7.17, 6.71 18,Boston University,_________________ 18 15 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.46 19,Union,_____________________________ 17 12 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.16, 7.17 20,Dartmouth,_________________________ 15 12 5, 0.1, 7.0, 7.13, 6.96 21,Ferris State,______________________ 15 14 5, 0.0, 7.1, 7.10, 6.58 22,Ohio State,________________________ 14 15 7, -0.0, 7.1, 7.09, 7.02 23,St Lawrence,_______________________ 18 14 4, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 6.85 24,Nebraska-Omaha,____________________ 18 16 2, 0.1, 7.0, 7.08, 6.39 25,Alaska,____________________________ 17 16 4, 0.0, 7.0, 7.08, 6.97 26,Colorado College,__________________ 14 17 5, -0.1, 7.2, 7.07, 6.96 27,Cornell,___________________________ 14 14 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.06, 7.62 28,Brown,_____________________________ 13 12 6, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 7.41 29,Merrimack,_________________________ 15 15 6, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 6.54 30,Robert Morris,_____________________ 20 12 4, 0.2, 6.8, 7.01, 7.09 31,Northern Michigan,_________________ 15 19 4, -0.1, 7.1, 7.00, 6.36 32,Michigan,__________________________ 15 18 3, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 7.86 33,Bowling Green,_____________________ 15 19 5, -0.1, 7.1, 6.98, 6.89 34,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 14 17 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.96, 7.60 35,Air Force,_________________________ 17 11 7, 0.2, 6.8, 6.96, 7.52 36,Holy Cross,________________________ 19 12 3, 0.2, 6.7, 6.95, 7.18 37,Vermont,___________________________ 11 17 6, -0.2, 7.1, 6.94, 7.07 38,Lake Superior,_____________________ 17 21 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 6.79 39,Maine,_____________________________ 11 17 8, -0.2, 7.1, 6.92, 7.19 40,Michigan Tech,_____________________ 12 18 4, -0.2, 7.1, 6.90, 7.01 41,Massachusetts,_____________________ 12 19 3, -0.2, 7.1, 6.89, 7.13 42,Colgate,___________________________ 13 18 4, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 6.14 43,Connecticut,_______________________ 17 13 4, 0.1, 6.8, 6.87, 7.14 44,Michigan State,____________________ 13 23 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.86, 7.37 45,Princeton,_________________________ 10 16 5, -0.2, 7.0, 6.83, 6.66 46,Mercyhurst,________________________ 16 15 5, 0.0, 6.8, 6.82, 6.97 47,Harvard,___________________________ 10 19 3, -0.3, 7.1, 6.80, 6.95 48,Penn State,________________________ 13 14 0, -0.0, 6.8, 6.77, 7.31 49,Clarkson,__________________________ 9 20 7, -0.3, 7.1, 6.76, 6.05 50,RIT,_______________________________ 15 16 5, -0.0, 6.8, 6.76, 6.93 51,Canisius,__________________________ 15 18 5, -0.1, 6.8, 6.74, 7.31 52,Bemidji State,_____________________ 6 20 8, -0.4, 7.1, 6.71, 6.75 53,Northeastern,______________________ 9 21 4, -0.4, 7.1, 6.70, 6.27 54,Alaska-Anchorage,__________________ 4 23 7, -0.6, 7.2, 6.62, 6.19 55,American International,____________ 12 17 6, -0.1, 6.7, 6.60, 6.78 56,Bentley,___________________________ 12 20 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.51, 5.54 57,Army,______________________________ 7 22 5, -0.4, 6.8, 6.33, 5.83 58,Alabama-Huntsville,________________ 3 21 1, -0.7, 6.9, 6.14, 5.92 59,Sacred Heart,______________________ 2 30 4, -0.8, 6.8, 6.04, 6.14 Link to the 2007-2008 Final Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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