Based on Scores (sorted by team) through February 22, 2015 courtesy of USCHO.com . Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Minimum 5 Scores vs. D1 Competition to be Ranked Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 29 2 4, 2.4, 7.9, 10.34, 10.74 2,Boston College,____________________ 30 1 2, 3.0, 7.0, 9.93, 9.45 3,Wisconsin,_________________________ 24 6 4, 1.9, 7.9, 9.70, 9.23 4,Harvard,___________________________ 21 5 3, 1.8, 7.2, 9.07, 9.42 5,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 3, 0.9, 7.9, 8.74, 9.05 6,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 19 10 5, 0.6, 8.0, 8.60, 8.36 7,Quinnipiac,________________________ 24 7 3, 1.4, 7.0, 8.40, 6.53 8,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 1, 0.5, 7.9, 8.38, 8.40 9,Clarkson,__________________________ 22 9 3, 1.0, 7.2, 8.27, 8.76 10,Ohio State,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.2, 8.0, 8.21, 8.10 11,Cornell,___________________________ 16 10 3, 0.7, 7.4, 8.12, 7.44 12,Boston University,_________________ 21 8 3, 0.9, 7.2, 8.10, 8.76 13,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 10 5, 0.6, 7.5, 8.07, 8.48 14,Princeton,_________________________ 15 12 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.67, 8.21 15,Mercyhurst,________________________ 23 8 3, 1.2, 6.3, 7.53, 8.20 16,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 13 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.47, 6.91 17,Yale,______________________________ 15 13 1, 0.3, 7.1, 7.41, 9.71 18,Northeastern,______________________ 12 15 5, 0.0, 7.0, 6.97, 7.52 19,St Cloud State,____________________ 8 26 1, -1.7, 8.2, 6.55, 7.16 20,Penn State,________________________ 15 15 4, -0.4, 6.6, 6.29, 3.83 21,Syracuse,__________________________ 10 14 10, -0.4, 6.7, 6.27, 7.10 22,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 17 8, -0.7, 6.9, 6.25, 7.18 23,Vermont,___________________________ 15 17 2, -0.6, 6.7, 6.16, 5.99 24,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 17 5, -0.6, 6.7, 6.16, 6.93 25,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 21 3, -1.2, 7.2, 6.00, 5.70 26,Maine,_____________________________ 10 18 3, -0.8, 6.8, 5.99, 5.10 27,Minnesota State,___________________ 3 30 1, -2.4, 8.3, 5.90, 5.56 28,RIT,_______________________________ 11 18 5, -0.5, 6.4, 5.90, 5.48 29,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 23 4, -1.2, 7.0, 5.81, 5.90 30,Lindenwood,________________________ 10 19 2, -1.1, 6.9, 5.77, 6.38 31,Colgate,___________________________ 7 25 2, -1.3, 7.0, 5.70, 4.99 32,Providence,________________________ 6 23 4, -1.4, 6.9, 5.48, 4.90 33,Holy Cross,________________________ 15 7 3, 1.2, 4.2, 5.43, 5.43 34,Union,_____________________________ 4 22 8, -1.7, 6.9, 5.20, 4.94 35,Brown,_____________________________ 5 23 1, -1.8, 7.0, 5.19, 5.43 36,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 14 3, -0.9, 4.3, 3.41, 3.57 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Minnesota,_________________________ 29 2 4, 0.8, 7.3, 8.04, 8.46 2,Boston College,____________________ 30 1 2, 0.9, 7.0, 7.84, 7.56 3,Wisconsin,_________________________ 24 6 4, 0.5, 7.3, 7.78, 7.40 4,Harvard,___________________________ 21 5 3, 0.6, 7.0, 7.58, 7.68 5,Minnesota-Duluth,__________________ 19 10 5, 0.3, 7.3, 7.54, 7.52 6,North Dakota,______________________ 20 11 3, 0.3, 7.2, 7.51, 7.59 7,Quinnipiac,________________________ 24 7 3, 0.5, 7.0, 7.47, 7.13 8,Boston University,_________________ 21 8 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.43, 7.49 9,Clarkson,__________________________ 22 9 3, 0.4, 7.0, 7.42, 7.74 10,Ohio State,________________________ 17 14 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.38, 7.25 11,St Lawrence,_______________________ 19 10 5, 0.3, 7.1, 7.37, 7.55 12,Bemidji State,_____________________ 18 15 1, 0.1, 7.3, 7.35, 7.43 13,Cornell,___________________________ 16 10 3, 0.2, 7.1, 7.31, 6.74 14,Mercyhurst,________________________ 23 8 3, 0.4, 6.8, 7.22, 7.35 15,Princeton,_________________________ 15 12 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.30 16,Yale,______________________________ 15 13 1, 0.1, 7.0, 7.05, 7.92 17,Dartmouth,_________________________ 13 13 2, 0.0, 7.0, 7.04, 6.92 18,Penn State,________________________ 15 15 4, 0.0, 6.9, 6.89, 5.92 19,Northeastern,______________________ 12 15 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.89, 7.24 20,St Cloud State,____________________ 8 26 1, -0.5, 7.4, 6.84, 7.24 21,Vermont,___________________________ 15 17 2, -0.1, 6.9, 6.81, 6.98 22,Holy Cross,________________________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 6.5, 6.80, 6.79 23,Syracuse,__________________________ 10 14 10, -0.1, 6.9, 6.79, 7.07 24,Robert Morris,_____________________ 11 17 5, -0.2, 6.9, 6.75, 6.96 25,Connecticut,_______________________ 9 17 8, -0.2, 6.9, 6.71, 6.96 26,New Hampshire,_____________________ 9 21 3, -0.4, 7.0, 6.68, 6.62 27,Lindenwood,________________________ 10 19 2, -0.3, 7.0, 6.68, 6.98 28,Maine,_____________________________ 10 18 3, -0.3, 6.9, 6.67, 6.18 29,RIT,_______________________________ 11 18 5, -0.2, 6.8, 6.63, 6.66 30,Minnesota State,___________________ 3 30 1, -0.8, 7.4, 6.61, 6.31 31,Rensselaer,________________________ 7 23 4, -0.5, 7.0, 6.51, 6.70 32,Colgate,___________________________ 7 25 2, -0.5, 7.0, 6.45, 6.20 33,Providence,________________________ 6 23 4, -0.5, 6.9, 6.43, 6.07 34,Union,_____________________________ 4 22 8, -0.5, 6.9, 6.42, 6.31 35,Brown,_____________________________ 5 23 1, -0.6, 7.0, 6.34, 6.23 36,Sacred Heart,______________________ 7 14 3, -0.3, 6.3, 6.05, 6.07 The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 4. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Women's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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