Scores (sorted by team) through February 19, 2012 courtesy of USCHO.com . Disclaimer: The D3 rankings are new and it is unclear to me how well connected the East/West schedules are and therefore still unclear how accurate the relative rankings between regions are. Previous Rankings New ratings will be posted each week, time permitting. Maximum Goal Differential = 4 See Rankings Without Considering Goal Differential Below RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Oswego,____________________________ 21 2 2, 2.4, 7.8, 10.21, 11.08 2,Norwich,___________________________ 20 2 2, 2.4, 7.0, 9.44, 8.11 3,Elmira,____________________________ 15 7 3, 0.9, 8.3, 9.15, 9.43 4,Amherst,___________________________ 20 3 1, 1.7, 7.4, 9.10, 9.87 5,St Norbert,________________________ 15 5 5, 1.2, 7.8, 9.08, 10.00 6,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 17 4 4, 1.2, 7.9, 9.05, 7.49 7,Utica,_____________________________ 15 8 2, 0.9, 8.1, 9.00, 7.48 8,Neumann,___________________________ 13 7 3, 0.7, 8.2, 8.92, 9.13 9,Bowdoin,___________________________ 15 5 3, 1.7, 7.1, 8.89, 9.19 10,Hobart,____________________________ 14 10 1, 0.7, 8.1, 8.76, 10.72 11,Castleton,_________________________ 17 6 2, 1.8, 7.0, 8.75, 7.87 12,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 8 3, 0.7, 8.0, 8.69, 7.81 13,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 16 9 2, 0.7, 7.9, 8.62, 7.78 14,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 13 10 4, 0.5, 8.1, 8.58, 8.54 15,St Scholastica,____________________ 15 7 5, 0.6, 7.9, 8.51, 8.59 16,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 13 11 3, 0.3, 8.1, 8.46, 8.04 17,St Thomas,_________________________ 18 4 2, 1.2, 7.2, 8.35, 8.47 18,Middlebury,________________________ 12 9 3, 0.4, 7.8, 8.13, 9.41 19,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 10 10 7, 0.1, 8.0, 8.08, 7.96 20,Williams,__________________________ 11 8 5, 0.5, 7.5, 8.03, 6.78 21,Fredonia,__________________________ 11 10 3, 0.4, 7.6, 7.96, 7.30 22,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 14 6 5, 0.6, 7.3, 7.95, 8.28 23,St Olaf,___________________________ 11 8 6, 0.6, 7.3, 7.92, 7.07 24,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 19 5 1, 1.8, 6.0, 7.88, 8.04 25,Buffalo State,_____________________ 12 11 2, 0.1, 7.8, 7.88, 6.91 26,Adrian,____________________________ 19 5 1, 1.5, 6.3, 7.82, 7.65 27,Wesleyan,__________________________ 12 10 2, 0.4, 7.2, 7.60, 7.49 28,Geneseo,___________________________ 13 11 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.53, 8.28 29,Brockport,_________________________ 9 13 3, -0.3, 7.8, 7.47, 8.26 30,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 17 2, -0.6, 8.0, 7.40, 7.06 31,St John's,_________________________ 11 12 2, 0.1, 7.2, 7.30, 7.65 32,Wentworth,_________________________ 18 6 1, 1.3, 5.9, 7.25, 7.80 33,Hamline,___________________________ 10 13 2, -0.2, 7.4, 7.24, 8.78 34,Curry,_____________________________ 13 10 2, 0.7, 6.5, 7.21, 5.47 35,Skidmore,__________________________ 11 12 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 8.61 36,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 13 9 3, 0.5, 6.6, 7.13, 7.52 37,Salem State,_______________________ 13 8 3, 0.8, 6.3, 7.02, 7.13 38,Tufts,_____________________________ 12 10 2, -0.2, 7.2, 7.00, 5.83 39,Potsdam,___________________________ 8 15 2, -0.8, 7.8, 6.97, 6.31 40,Hamilton,__________________________ 8 13 3, -0.6, 7.6, 6.96, 6.71 41,Marian,____________________________ 13 8 4, 0.6, 6.4, 6.94, 6.79 42,New England College,_______________ 9 11 5, 0.0, 6.9, 6.93, 5.85 43,Southern Maine,____________________ 9 10 6, -0.2, 7.2, 6.93, 7.13 44,Trinity,___________________________ 9 12 2, -0.4, 7.4, 6.92, 6.19 45,St Anselm,_________________________ 12 8 4, 0.4, 6.5, 6.90, 7.58 46,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 14 8 2, 0.9, 6.0, 6.88, 5.51 47,Augsburg,__________________________ 10 14 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.86, 7.07 48,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 11 4, -0.5, 7.4, 6.86, 6.76 49,Plymouth State,____________________ 15 6 2, 0.7, 6.0, 6.77, 7.36 50,Colby,_____________________________ 7 15 1, -0.6, 7.3, 6.72, 7.42 51,St Mary's,_________________________ 5 18 2, -1.0, 7.6, 6.68, 6.58 52,Babson,____________________________ 9 12 4, -0.7, 7.3, 6.58, 7.44 53,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 19 1, -1.7, 8.2, 6.52, 6.66 54,Lawrence,__________________________ 12 10 3, 0.1, 6.4, 6.49, 6.93 55,Connecticut College,_______________ 6 15 3, -1.2, 7.7, 6.49, 6.93 56,Cortland,__________________________ 6 18 1, -1.7, 8.1, 6.38, 7.08 57,Bethel,____________________________ 8 15 2, -1.0, 7.4, 6.36, 6.73 58,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 13 9 3, 0.8, 5.6, 6.32, 5.78 59,Western New England,_______________ 13 11 1, -0.1, 5.9, 5.81, 5.93 60,Fitchburg State,___________________ 9 12 3, -0.5, 6.2, 5.72, 4.92 61,Nichols,___________________________ 11 12 2, -0.2, 5.8, 5.64, 7.49 62,Worcester State,___________________ 8 12 3, -0.2, 5.8, 5.60, 5.73 63,Northland,_________________________ 6 16 3, -0.9, 6.4, 5.48, 5.20 64,Westfield State,___________________ 6 13 5, -1.0, 6.4, 5.42, 6.22 65,Finlandia,_________________________ 7 17 0, -1.2, 6.6, 5.37, 5.22 66,University of New England,_________ 4 18 2, -1.7, 6.8, 5.10, 5.69 67,Becker,____________________________ 9 14 2, -0.7, 5.7, 5.00, 3.94 68,Lake Forest,_______________________ 4 21 0, -1.6, 6.6, 4.98, 5.72 69,St Michael's,______________________ 6 17 2, -1.6, 6.6, 4.98, 3.26 70,Framingham State,__________________ 5 14 4, -1.2, 6.0, 4.87, 5.90 71,Assumption,________________________ 12 10 1, -0.3, 5.0, 4.69, 4.23 72,Stonehill,_________________________ 9 11 2, -0.1, 4.8, 4.66, 4.58 73,Salve Regina,______________________ 6 19 0, -1.8, 6.2, 4.35, 4.59 74,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 2 20 3, -2.6, 6.8, 4.26, 3.68 75,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 5 12 4, -1.0, 4.9, 3.93, 4.20 76,Suffolk,___________________________ 3 21 0, -2.4, 5.5, 3.13, 4.21 77,So New Hampshire,__________________ 2 19 1, -2.3, 5.3, 2.98, 3.17 Maximum Goal Differential = 1 (i.e. just considers W, L, T and schedule strength) RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1,Oswego,____________________________ 21 2 2, 0.8, 7.3, 8.03, 8.25 2,Amherst,___________________________ 20 3 1, 0.7, 7.1, 7.84, 8.12 3,Plattsburgh,_______________________ 17 4 4, 0.5, 7.3, 7.80, 7.51 4,Norwich,___________________________ 20 2 2, 0.8, 7.0, 7.79, 7.49 5,Elmira,____________________________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.74, 7.59 6,Utica,_____________________________ 15 8 2, 0.3, 7.4, 7.66, 7.23 7,Neumann,___________________________ 13 7 3, 0.3, 7.4, 7.65, 7.63 8,Manhattanville,____________________ 13 8 3, 0.2, 7.4, 7.57, 7.26 9,St Thomas,_________________________ 18 4 2, 0.6, 7.0, 7.57, 7.50 10,St Norbert,________________________ 15 5 5, 0.4, 7.2, 7.56, 8.05 11,Hobart,____________________________ 14 10 1, 0.2, 7.4, 7.55, 8.25 12,Bowdoin,___________________________ 15 5 3, 0.4, 7.1, 7.53, 7.86 13,Castleton,_________________________ 17 6 2, 0.4, 7.0, 7.48, 7.05 14,St Scholastica,____________________ 15 7 5, 0.3, 7.2, 7.45, 7.63 15,Wisconsin-River Falls,_____________ 16 9 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.44, 7.05 16,Middlebury,________________________ 12 9 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.40, 7.90 17,Gustavus Adolphus,_________________ 14 6 5, 0.3, 7.0, 7.35, 7.51 18,Wisconsin-Stevens Point,___________ 13 10 4, 0.1, 7.2, 7.35, 7.22 19,Wisconsin-Eau Claire,______________ 13 11 3, 0.1, 7.3, 7.34, 7.29 20,Williams,__________________________ 11 8 5, 0.1, 7.2, 7.33, 6.77 21,Buffalo State,_____________________ 12 11 2, 0.0, 7.3, 7.30, 7.19 22,Fredonia,__________________________ 11 10 3, 0.0, 7.2, 7.28, 6.80 23,Adrian,____________________________ 19 5 1, 0.6, 6.7, 7.24, 7.21 24,Wisconsin-Superior,________________ 10 10 7, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21, 7.17 25,Geneseo,___________________________ 13 11 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 7.53 26,Wentworth,_________________________ 18 6 1, 0.5, 6.7, 7.21, 7.48 27,Wesleyan,__________________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.21, 7.14 28,Tufts,_____________________________ 12 10 2, 0.1, 7.1, 7.17, 7.01 29,St Olaf,___________________________ 11 8 6, 0.1, 7.0, 7.15, 7.12 30,Milwaukee School of Engineering,___ 19 5 1, 0.6, 6.6, 7.14, 7.20 31,Plymouth State,____________________ 15 6 2, 0.4, 6.7, 7.12, 7.71 32,Brockport,_________________________ 9 13 3, -0.2, 7.3, 7.12, 7.38 33,Massachusetts-Boston,______________ 13 9 3, 0.2, 6.9, 7.06, 7.12 34,Salem State,_______________________ 13 8 3, 0.2, 6.8, 7.05, 6.76 35,Curry,_____________________________ 13 10 2, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 6.53 36,St Anselm,_________________________ 12 8 4, 0.2, 6.9, 7.02, 7.40 37,Trinity,___________________________ 9 12 2, -0.1, 7.1, 7.02, 6.63 38,Skidmore,__________________________ 11 12 2, -0.0, 7.1, 7.01, 7.85 39,Southern Maine,____________________ 9 10 6, -0.0, 7.1, 7.01, 7.07 40,Hamilton,__________________________ 8 13 3, -0.2, 7.2, 7.01, 6.86 41,Concordia (Minn),__________________ 10 11 4, -0.0, 7.0, 7.00, 6.71 42,Massachusetts-Dartmouth,___________ 14 8 2, 0.3, 6.7, 6.99, 6.39 43,Babson,____________________________ 9 12 4, -0.1, 7.1, 6.99, 7.22 44,St John's,_________________________ 11 12 2, -0.0, 7.0, 6.99, 7.09 45,Potsdam,___________________________ 8 15 2, -0.3, 7.3, 6.98, 6.70 46,Hamline,___________________________ 10 13 2, -0.1, 7.1, 6.97, 7.34 47,New England College,_______________ 9 11 5, -0.1, 7.0, 6.93, 6.24 48,Wisconsin-Stout,___________________ 8 17 2, -0.3, 7.2, 6.91, 6.65 49,Augsburg,__________________________ 10 14 1, -0.2, 7.1, 6.91, 6.96 50,Marian,____________________________ 13 8 4, 0.2, 6.7, 6.88, 6.93 51,Connecticut College,_______________ 6 15 3, -0.4, 7.3, 6.88, 6.67 52,Cortland,__________________________ 6 18 1, -0.5, 7.4, 6.87, 6.65 53,Morrisville,_______________________ 5 19 1, -0.6, 7.4, 6.87, 7.16 54,Colby,_____________________________ 7 15 1, -0.3, 7.2, 6.80, 7.22 55,Lawrence,__________________________ 12 10 3, 0.1, 6.7, 6.78, 6.97 56,Western New England,_______________ 13 11 1, 0.1, 6.7, 6.78, 6.92 57,Johnson and Wales,_________________ 13 9 3, 0.2, 6.6, 6.78, 6.43 58,Bethel,____________________________ 8 15 2, -0.3, 7.0, 6.76, 6.87 59,Fitchburg State,___________________ 9 12 3, -0.1, 6.8, 6.68, 6.33 60,Nichols,___________________________ 11 12 2, -0.0, 6.7, 6.65, 7.39 61,St Mary's,_________________________ 5 18 2, -0.5, 7.2, 6.63, 6.74 62,Westfield State,___________________ 6 13 5, -0.3, 6.9, 6.60, 6.93 63,Worcester State,___________________ 8 12 3, -0.2, 6.7, 6.52, 6.56 64,Assumption,________________________ 12 10 1, 0.1, 6.4, 6.50, 6.44 65,Becker,____________________________ 9 14 2, -0.2, 6.7, 6.47, 6.15 66,St Michael's,______________________ 6 17 2, -0.4, 6.9, 6.45, 5.97 67,Framingham State,__________________ 5 14 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.38, 6.76 68,University of New England,_________ 4 18 2, -0.6, 6.9, 6.36, 6.40 69,Finlandia,_________________________ 7 17 0, -0.4, 6.8, 6.35, 6.28 70,Northland,_________________________ 6 16 3, -0.4, 6.7, 6.33, 5.88 71,Stonehill,_________________________ 9 11 2, -0.1, 6.4, 6.32, 6.41 72,Salve Regina,______________________ 6 19 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.26, 6.16 73,Lake Forest,_______________________ 4 21 0, -0.7, 6.8, 6.12, 6.42 74,Concordia (Wis),___________________ 2 20 3, -0.7, 6.8, 6.10, 6.07 75,Franklin Pierce,___________________ 5 12 4, -0.3, 6.4, 6.09, 6.10 76,Suffolk,___________________________ 3 21 0, -0.8, 6.6, 5.87, 6.07 77,So New Hampshire,__________________ 2 19 1, -0.8, 6.5, 5.75, 5.85 Link to the 2005-2006 Final D1 Rankings . The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is reached (convergence). One effect often noticed is that a team's rating can change slightly without playing due to previous opponents playing which affects their rating and their opponent's rating, etc. The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that these rankings are an average performance value for each team for the entire season, all games are equally weighted, so a team's latest game may make up only 1/40th of a teams rating at the end of the season. Games that go to shootouts for decision are considered ties for ratings purposes. Actually, there are two different rankings listed. The first is as described above with the maximum goal differential used per game set at 7. This ordering ends up similar to CCHP, although differences do arise due to CCHP considering home ice advantage and CCHP not using a goal differential limit. The second ranking sets maximum goal differential at 1, thereby just considering whether the game was won, lost, or tied (and strength of opponent). This was done because the NCAA has indicated that it does not want to consider goal differential in the selection process. Note that the Total column in the GD=1 ranking is therefore in win percentage units rather than goal units. A rated .01 ahead of B can be interpreted as saying that if these two teams played exclusively against each other, A's predicted winning percentage is 1 percentage point higher than B's (i.e. A's predicted winning percentage vs. B would be .495, B's against A would be .505). However, since the teams do not play exclusively against the other it is actually a little bit more complex than above as teams can be ranked as high as 1.0 above their average opponent (if they were undefeated and untied) and as low as 1.0 below their average opponent (if they lost all of their games). Not surprisingly, the ordering ends up very similar to KRACH . Links to other ratings: High School Rankings for 25 States High School National Rankings New England Prep Midget Minor AAA Midget Major AAA Men's NCAA D1 USHL NAHL ACHA College Club USHSHO.com High School Ice Hockey Forums
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