AA End of Regular Season Rankings (2/22)
Posted: Sun Feb 22, 2009 1:05 am
The Edina-Minnetonka game tonight was a great warm-up for the greatest three weeks in high school sports, which are about to get under way.
In fact, there were 3 play-ins tonight; congrats to Princeton, Anoka, and River Lakes, in what will probably be the only mention ever for any of these teams in these rankings.
I decided to go overboard this week; it's playoff time, and the bracket's quite a bit more fun to fill out with more matchups to ranked teams.
So, here are the pre-playoff top 25. After the team name are each team's section and seed (I will add the seeds and opponents as they come in). Disclaimer: A difference between the seedings and the rankings does not necessarily mean I think the coaches got things wrong; they're using different criteria than I am. For the abbreviations, QF=quarterfinal, SF=semifinal. I am assuming each team is winning its first game in the schedule part; this will probably not happen in every case, but I figured this was the best way to do it.
1. Edina (#2,2AA)
-A dramatic win over Minnetonka keeps them in the top spot. It hasn't always been easy, but they've been proving themselves from start to finish and are worthy of the top spot. Not the sort of team you want to deal with late in close games, as they've been through this before and know what they're doing. Seeding may be key.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Prior Lake, SF Sat vs. #7 Holy Angels/Bloomington Kennedy (BIG)
2. Eden Prairie (#1,6AA)
-Finished off their Lake season with ease. That ease will come to an end this week, when they enter the brutal 6AA bracket. Did an excellent job all season of avoiding playing down to their competition, with the only 3 losses coming to others in the top 3.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Minneapolis East or West, SF Sat vs. #8 Benilde/#12 Hopkins(Braemar/BIG)
3. Bloomington Jefferson (#1,2AA)
-Like EP, rounded out their Lake schedule without much fanfare, and now will have to beat two good to great teams to make it back to the promised land. Time to put that one-loss record on the line and see how good they really are.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Shakopee, SF Sat vs. #17 Burnsville/Chaska(Braemar)
4. Blaine (#1,5AA)
-Unlike their competition in the NWSC, they rounded out the season on a high note. Despite the 2 late-season losses, I am giving them the bump over East for their win against the Hounds earlier this year. Time will show us if they deserve this or not.
This week: QF Sat vs. Irondale (Champlin Park)
5. Duluth East (#1,7AA)
-Looked very strong closing out the season and now launch into the playoffs as the team with easiest route to state on paper. They have a lot of demons to exorcise from the last 3 years in the 7AA playoffs, though.
This week: QF vs. Princeton Tues, SF vs. Andover/Forest Lake Sat (DECC)
6. Minnetonka (#2,6AA)
-Showed just how good they were with their first two periods against Edina, though the fade at the end had to be discouraging. Still a very, very dangerous team with a very strong defense. Have to win the close ones, though, which has been a struggle at times this year.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Robbinsdale Cooper, SF Sat vs. #9 Wayzata/Robbinsdale Armstrong (BIG/Braemar)
7. Holy Angels (#3,2AA)
-Secured their 9th 20-win season of the decade with little fanfare, and now get to look ahead as a team with a serious shot to play spoiler in 2AA. They could easily ruin the dream Edina-Jefferson final and do have enough talent to get by both if enough things go right, though it won't be easy. Trying to erase the some less-than-memorable runs through sections in recent years from their minds.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Bloomington Kennedy, SF Sat vs. #1 Edina/Prior Lake (BIG/Braemar)
8. Benilde-St. Margaret's (#4,6AA)
-A week after I wrote them off a bit, here they are again. They also quietly had a very good year, and it would be a bad idea to look past the defending 6AA champs. Solid goalie play could help them through sections. Have to beat 3 top-15 teams to get through, though.
This week: QF Thurs vs. #12 Hopkins, SF Sat vs. #2 Eden Prairie/Minneapolis East or West (BIG/Braemar)
9. Wayzata (#3,6AA)
-Yikes, there are way too many teams from one section up here. They're on a somewhat lower tier than the top teams, but they have beaten Benilde this year and are dangerous when they're on. There's a very good chance that they'll be the first top-10 team to lose.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Robbinsdale Armstrong, SF Sat vs. #6 Minnetonka/Robbinsdale Cooper (BIG/Braemar)
10. Maple Grove (#2,5AA)
-Did not stick with Blaine very well, but unlike Centennial they at least have beaten the teams they should have down the stretch. No matter what happens, this year has been a big step forward for this program. Seeding may be key to their chances for success.
This week: QF Sat vs. Coon Rapids (Champlin Park)
11. Centennial (#3,5AA)
-After the way their season ended, I feel this is generous. An ugly tie and loss to round out the NWSC schedule are very bad signs going into sections. They're still up here because we know there's a lot of talent on this team, and if they turn things on again, they can beat anyone. But there's little room for error in a difficult section.
This week: QF Sat vs. North Metro (Champlin Park)
12. Hopkins (#5,6AA)
-Yes, 5 of the top 12 are in 6AA. Should make for one of the best quarterfinal matchups in state history this Thursday. They've shown they can hang with and even beat anyone if enough things go right. Too bad they're not even going to get a home game in the section.
This week: QF Thurs at #8 Benilde-St. Margaret's, SF Sat vs. #2 Eden Prairie/Minneapolis East or West(BIG/Braemar)
13. Moorhead (#1, 8AA)
-A win over Hill proves they belong up here, and have a very good shot at a state tourney. It will likely come down to another grudge match with Roseau, which has quickly become one of the best playoff rivalries in the state. The Spuds are looking to avenge some ugly ones in recent years.
This week: QF vs. River Lakes Tues, SF vs. Brainerd/Buffalo Sat (SCSU)
14. Woodbury (#1,3AA)
-A close but good win over WBL wins them the SEC and has them in good, though not great, shape going in to sections. It was a fairly pedestrian regular season; we'll see if they show any flashes in what does not appear to be that strong a section.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Rosemount/Henry Sibley, SF Sat vs. Apple Valley/Eastview (Coliseum)
15. Cretin-Derham Hall (#2,3AA)
-Have not completely closed the gap on Woodbury, but have made some headway and closed out the season on an upswing, winning 9 of 10. Could make some noise down the stretch; a bit strange to think they're only 3 years removed from a state title.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Park (CG), SF Sat vs. #18 Eagan/Hastings(Coliseum)
16. Elk River (#2, 7AA)
-Wow, what an awful way to end the season. I really have no idea what to make of this team right now. They're capable of beating Blaine and Centennial, but they can't win two games against lower-level conference competition in the last week of the season. They could win 7AA, but they could also easily get upset early on.
This week: QF vs. Anoka Thurs, SF vs. Grand Rapids/Cloquet Sat (DECC)
17. Burnsville (#4,2AA)
-A team that should not be taken for granted, considering their recent near-upset of EP and obvious improvement since those ugly losses early in the year. Could be a potential road bump to the #1 seed, or could roll over for them. Have done a pretty good job at making a run of things the past few years, though.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Chaska, SF Sat vs. #3 Bloomington Jefferson/Shakopee (BIG/Braemar)
18. Eagan (#3,3AA)
-Wrapped up a strong year in the Lake and are in good position to make some noise in 3AA. They could definitely win the section and have shown occasional flashes.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Hastings, SF Sat vs. #15 Cretin-Derham Hall/Park (CG) (Coliseum)
19. Tartan (#1, 4AA)
-Have yet to really be tested by a top-flight AA team, but certainly ended the season on a high note. And also, they have the good fortune of being in a section in which there are no real top-flight teams, and drawing the 1 seed eases things up a little bit. Time to see just how real they are.
This week: QF vs. St. Paul Johnson/St. Paul Saints Sat (Aldrich)
20. White Bear Lake (#3, 4AA)
-Closed the season with 2 losses, but at least they were losses to 2 pretty decent teams. Possibly the most talented team in 4AA; time to see if they can finally seize a golden opportunity and make a run.
This week: QF vs. Mounds View Sat (Aldrich)
21. Hill-Murray (#2, 4AA)
-Not exactly rolling into the playoffs, but a well-coached team that still has some talent around. A Tourney berth is well within reach.
This week: QF vs. North St. Paul/St. Paul Como Park Sat (Aldrich)
22. Roseau (#2, 8AA)
-Overall season in pretty week, but they've come on a bit at the end, and are very capable of defending their section title and earning another trip to the X, though it would certainly be under very different circumstances from last year.
This week: QF vs. Monticello Tues, SF vs. St. Cloud Tech/Northern Lakes Sat (SCSU)
23. Osseo (#5,5AA)
-After a pair of big upsets this week, I suppose they have to be considered a dangerous team in sections. A .500 season as an NWSC team is not all that bad this year.
This week: QF Sat vs. Osseo (Andover)
24. Roseville (#4, 4AA)
-#4 in the SEC and #4 4AA, but that gives you a shot at state this year. Unfortunately for them, they have to play 3 decent teams instead of 2, like the the teams above them.
This week: QF Sat vs. Stillwater (Aldrich)
25. Rochester Mayo (#1,1AA)
-More for the novelty of having a 1AA team ranked than anything else. Andover or Grand Rapids is probably more deserving, but hey, they are going to be the #1 seed, and Lorne Grosso deserves a shout out for career win #600.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Rochester John Marshall/Dodge County, SF Sat vs. Rochester Century/Winona (Rochester)
Enjoy the first week of playoff hockey!
In fact, there were 3 play-ins tonight; congrats to Princeton, Anoka, and River Lakes, in what will probably be the only mention ever for any of these teams in these rankings.
I decided to go overboard this week; it's playoff time, and the bracket's quite a bit more fun to fill out with more matchups to ranked teams.
So, here are the pre-playoff top 25. After the team name are each team's section and seed (I will add the seeds and opponents as they come in). Disclaimer: A difference between the seedings and the rankings does not necessarily mean I think the coaches got things wrong; they're using different criteria than I am. For the abbreviations, QF=quarterfinal, SF=semifinal. I am assuming each team is winning its first game in the schedule part; this will probably not happen in every case, but I figured this was the best way to do it.
1. Edina (#2,2AA)
-A dramatic win over Minnetonka keeps them in the top spot. It hasn't always been easy, but they've been proving themselves from start to finish and are worthy of the top spot. Not the sort of team you want to deal with late in close games, as they've been through this before and know what they're doing. Seeding may be key.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Prior Lake, SF Sat vs. #7 Holy Angels/Bloomington Kennedy (BIG)
2. Eden Prairie (#1,6AA)
-Finished off their Lake season with ease. That ease will come to an end this week, when they enter the brutal 6AA bracket. Did an excellent job all season of avoiding playing down to their competition, with the only 3 losses coming to others in the top 3.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Minneapolis East or West, SF Sat vs. #8 Benilde/#12 Hopkins(Braemar/BIG)
3. Bloomington Jefferson (#1,2AA)
-Like EP, rounded out their Lake schedule without much fanfare, and now will have to beat two good to great teams to make it back to the promised land. Time to put that one-loss record on the line and see how good they really are.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Shakopee, SF Sat vs. #17 Burnsville/Chaska(Braemar)
4. Blaine (#1,5AA)
-Unlike their competition in the NWSC, they rounded out the season on a high note. Despite the 2 late-season losses, I am giving them the bump over East for their win against the Hounds earlier this year. Time will show us if they deserve this or not.
This week: QF Sat vs. Irondale (Champlin Park)
5. Duluth East (#1,7AA)
-Looked very strong closing out the season and now launch into the playoffs as the team with easiest route to state on paper. They have a lot of demons to exorcise from the last 3 years in the 7AA playoffs, though.
This week: QF vs. Princeton Tues, SF vs. Andover/Forest Lake Sat (DECC)
6. Minnetonka (#2,6AA)
-Showed just how good they were with their first two periods against Edina, though the fade at the end had to be discouraging. Still a very, very dangerous team with a very strong defense. Have to win the close ones, though, which has been a struggle at times this year.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Robbinsdale Cooper, SF Sat vs. #9 Wayzata/Robbinsdale Armstrong (BIG/Braemar)
7. Holy Angels (#3,2AA)
-Secured their 9th 20-win season of the decade with little fanfare, and now get to look ahead as a team with a serious shot to play spoiler in 2AA. They could easily ruin the dream Edina-Jefferson final and do have enough talent to get by both if enough things go right, though it won't be easy. Trying to erase the some less-than-memorable runs through sections in recent years from their minds.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Bloomington Kennedy, SF Sat vs. #1 Edina/Prior Lake (BIG/Braemar)
8. Benilde-St. Margaret's (#4,6AA)
-A week after I wrote them off a bit, here they are again. They also quietly had a very good year, and it would be a bad idea to look past the defending 6AA champs. Solid goalie play could help them through sections. Have to beat 3 top-15 teams to get through, though.
This week: QF Thurs vs. #12 Hopkins, SF Sat vs. #2 Eden Prairie/Minneapolis East or West (BIG/Braemar)
9. Wayzata (#3,6AA)
-Yikes, there are way too many teams from one section up here. They're on a somewhat lower tier than the top teams, but they have beaten Benilde this year and are dangerous when they're on. There's a very good chance that they'll be the first top-10 team to lose.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Robbinsdale Armstrong, SF Sat vs. #6 Minnetonka/Robbinsdale Cooper (BIG/Braemar)
10. Maple Grove (#2,5AA)
-Did not stick with Blaine very well, but unlike Centennial they at least have beaten the teams they should have down the stretch. No matter what happens, this year has been a big step forward for this program. Seeding may be key to their chances for success.
This week: QF Sat vs. Coon Rapids (Champlin Park)
11. Centennial (#3,5AA)
-After the way their season ended, I feel this is generous. An ugly tie and loss to round out the NWSC schedule are very bad signs going into sections. They're still up here because we know there's a lot of talent on this team, and if they turn things on again, they can beat anyone. But there's little room for error in a difficult section.
This week: QF Sat vs. North Metro (Champlin Park)
12. Hopkins (#5,6AA)
-Yes, 5 of the top 12 are in 6AA. Should make for one of the best quarterfinal matchups in state history this Thursday. They've shown they can hang with and even beat anyone if enough things go right. Too bad they're not even going to get a home game in the section.
This week: QF Thurs at #8 Benilde-St. Margaret's, SF Sat vs. #2 Eden Prairie/Minneapolis East or West(BIG/Braemar)
13. Moorhead (#1, 8AA)
-A win over Hill proves they belong up here, and have a very good shot at a state tourney. It will likely come down to another grudge match with Roseau, which has quickly become one of the best playoff rivalries in the state. The Spuds are looking to avenge some ugly ones in recent years.
This week: QF vs. River Lakes Tues, SF vs. Brainerd/Buffalo Sat (SCSU)
14. Woodbury (#1,3AA)
-A close but good win over WBL wins them the SEC and has them in good, though not great, shape going in to sections. It was a fairly pedestrian regular season; we'll see if they show any flashes in what does not appear to be that strong a section.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Rosemount/Henry Sibley, SF Sat vs. Apple Valley/Eastview (Coliseum)
15. Cretin-Derham Hall (#2,3AA)
-Have not completely closed the gap on Woodbury, but have made some headway and closed out the season on an upswing, winning 9 of 10. Could make some noise down the stretch; a bit strange to think they're only 3 years removed from a state title.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Park (CG), SF Sat vs. #18 Eagan/Hastings(Coliseum)
16. Elk River (#2, 7AA)
-Wow, what an awful way to end the season. I really have no idea what to make of this team right now. They're capable of beating Blaine and Centennial, but they can't win two games against lower-level conference competition in the last week of the season. They could win 7AA, but they could also easily get upset early on.
This week: QF vs. Anoka Thurs, SF vs. Grand Rapids/Cloquet Sat (DECC)
17. Burnsville (#4,2AA)
-A team that should not be taken for granted, considering their recent near-upset of EP and obvious improvement since those ugly losses early in the year. Could be a potential road bump to the #1 seed, or could roll over for them. Have done a pretty good job at making a run of things the past few years, though.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Chaska, SF Sat vs. #3 Bloomington Jefferson/Shakopee (BIG/Braemar)
18. Eagan (#3,3AA)
-Wrapped up a strong year in the Lake and are in good position to make some noise in 3AA. They could definitely win the section and have shown occasional flashes.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Hastings, SF Sat vs. #15 Cretin-Derham Hall/Park (CG) (Coliseum)
19. Tartan (#1, 4AA)
-Have yet to really be tested by a top-flight AA team, but certainly ended the season on a high note. And also, they have the good fortune of being in a section in which there are no real top-flight teams, and drawing the 1 seed eases things up a little bit. Time to see just how real they are.
This week: QF vs. St. Paul Johnson/St. Paul Saints Sat (Aldrich)
20. White Bear Lake (#3, 4AA)
-Closed the season with 2 losses, but at least they were losses to 2 pretty decent teams. Possibly the most talented team in 4AA; time to see if they can finally seize a golden opportunity and make a run.
This week: QF vs. Mounds View Sat (Aldrich)
21. Hill-Murray (#2, 4AA)
-Not exactly rolling into the playoffs, but a well-coached team that still has some talent around. A Tourney berth is well within reach.
This week: QF vs. North St. Paul/St. Paul Como Park Sat (Aldrich)
22. Roseau (#2, 8AA)
-Overall season in pretty week, but they've come on a bit at the end, and are very capable of defending their section title and earning another trip to the X, though it would certainly be under very different circumstances from last year.
This week: QF vs. Monticello Tues, SF vs. St. Cloud Tech/Northern Lakes Sat (SCSU)
23. Osseo (#5,5AA)
-After a pair of big upsets this week, I suppose they have to be considered a dangerous team in sections. A .500 season as an NWSC team is not all that bad this year.
This week: QF Sat vs. Osseo (Andover)
24. Roseville (#4, 4AA)
-#4 in the SEC and #4 4AA, but that gives you a shot at state this year. Unfortunately for them, they have to play 3 decent teams instead of 2, like the the teams above them.
This week: QF Sat vs. Stillwater (Aldrich)
25. Rochester Mayo (#1,1AA)
-More for the novelty of having a 1AA team ranked than anything else. Andover or Grand Rapids is probably more deserving, but hey, they are going to be the #1 seed, and Lorne Grosso deserves a shout out for career win #600.
This week: QF Thurs vs. Rochester John Marshall/Dodge County, SF Sat vs. Rochester Century/Winona (Rochester)
Enjoy the first week of playoff hockey!