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A Peewee State Tournament
Posted: Tue Mar 10, 2009 12:50 pm
by HockeyReality
Who will win state?
Re: A Peewee State Tournament
Posted: Tue Mar 10, 2009 1:56 pm
by buttend
Quarters Upper
Mpls Park vs. EGF
Blaine vs. Woodbury
Quarters Lower
Roseau[/b] vs. Owatonna
Edina vs. Wayzata
Semi's
EGF vs Blaine
Roseau vs Wayzata
Finals
Blaine vs Wayzata
Posted: Tue Mar 10, 2009 8:18 pm
by matthebat
I watched Blaine play in the West Regional tournament and I thought that they were the best team there so I am saying that Blaine beats Roseau in the finals
Posted: Mon Mar 16, 2009 7:39 pm
by outofsite
why do the teams that are suppose to win never win?
Time after time I see this. The Number 1 seed never wins in the tourny, It dont matter if it is Roseau, Blaine, Woodbury, Mpls Park, Edina, Owatonna, Wayzata, or East Grand forks. It dont matter if it is boys or girls hockey.
It happens at all levels.
Posted: Thu Mar 19, 2009 4:32 pm
by Donger
outofsite wrote: why do the teams that are suppose to win never win?
Time after time I see this. The Number 1 seed never wins in the tourny, It dont matter if it is Roseau, Blaine, Woodbury, Mpls Park, Edina, Owatonna, Wayzata, or East Grand forks. It dont matter if it is boys or girls hockey.
It happens at all levels.
I can't help but think that the number one team always has the big target on there back. Every team is out to beat them. A prime example is the Edina / Moorhead game in the x.
Posted: Thu Mar 19, 2009 7:09 pm
by spin-o-rama
outofsite wrote: why do the teams that are suppose to win never win?
Time after time I see this. The Number 1 seed never wins in the tourny, It dont matter if it is Roseau, Blaine, Woodbury, Mpls Park, Edina, Owatonna, Wayzata, or East Grand forks. It dont matter if it is boys or girls hockey.
It happens at all levels.
Let's change your question to "Why do the teams that are favored to win rarely win?"
For simplicity let's assume a balanced field for teams 2-8, so that the favorite has the same likelihood of winning a game against any other team in the tournament. The favorite needs to win 3 in a row to be crowned. In order to win the tournament more often than lose, the favorite needs to have an 80% winning percentage against these teams (.8^3 = .51). That is a tall order when the other 7 teams are no slouches. A simple example is to compare a team's overall record to their record against ranked teams. Winning percentages go way down. A team that breezes through their schedule with a 90% winning percentage may only have a 60% winning percentage against top 10 teams. Applying this 60% winning percentage to the tournament translates into the favorite winning only 22% of the time (.6^3 = .22). Thus the rarely.