AA Rankings for 12/13/09
Posted: Sun Dec 13, 2009 12:14 am
First off, I have to point out what a spectacular week of hockey we have ahead of us. We’ve got arguably the three of the four greatest rivalries between AA powers (WBL-Hill, Moorhead-Roseau, East-Cloquet), one of the most fun holiday tournaments featuring four great programs, a matchup of the number one teams in each class, and the regular slough of entertaining games up and down the board. So find some time to get out to an arena near you this week. Or if there aren’t any near you, buy yourself a plane ticket and head back to Minnesota in time for your favorite game. It’s what I’m doing. (Well, sort of. I just got fortunate with my final exam schedule this year. But barring any unforeseen delays, I’ll be back in Duluth Thursday night, just in time for a hockey game.)
As for the rankings, things haven’t been too difficult in the early going. This is probably because we’ve only had 2 top-10 matchups, one of which turned out to be a dud (Tonka-Woodbury), and another that ended in a tie (Hill-Benilde). There are no tangled webs of A beating B beating C beating A yet. I suspect they’re coming; holiday tournaments have a habit of bringing them around. But for now, everything falls nicely into a couple of tiers, which I will outline in the rankings. The number after the team is their record so far; I’ll get more creative in the coming weeks and offer random statistics with the rankings that will hopefully contribute something to the discussion.
Teams 1-3 are a bit ahead of the rest of the pack, and are loaded with talented and experienced players.
1. Minnetonka (4-0)
-Were idle this past week, but play the biggest game to date of the young season on Saturday when they take on Class A #1 St. Thomas. An awful lot is riding on it in both classes; we’ll see if the game lives up to the hype.
This week: Tues vs. Park (Cottage Grove), Sat vs. St. Thomas Academy
2. Bloomington Jefferson (5-0)
-They haven’t been playing elite competition, but they have run into a couple of good teams and absolutely slaughtered them. They’re averaging 8.4 goals a game right now. While the schedule isn’t strong, it’s important not to judge them too much by that debacle against Edina last year; don’t forget they beat EP in one of two tries, too. This week shouldn’t pose too much of a challenge.
This week: Thurs vs. Eagan, Sat vs. Eastview
3. Eden Prairie (3-0)
-Had a little more trouble than they probably should have against Lakeville North, but got through it and are on to more important things, like the Edina Holiday Classic this week. Don’t read too much into my dropping them a second week in a row; a convincing showing this week will probably move them back up; right now it’s more of a feel than anything in sorting out the top 3 teams. Since the Eagles aren’t in a post-Christmas tournament, this will be one of their biggest sequences of games this year. I’m especially intrigued by the first-night matchup with Elk River.
This week: Edina Holiday Classic-- #8 Elk River Thurs, Grand Rapids Fri, #12 Edina Sat
Teams 4-6 can contend for a state title but aren’t quite as complete as the above teams. They seem to lack either the depth (Benilde, Blaine) or the star power (Hill).
4. Hill-Murray (4-0-1)
-By all accounts looked the better team in the tie against Benilde; hence the jump in the rankings. Took care of business against a potentially tough South St. Paul team, too. On paper they shouldn’t have too much trouble with the opposition this week, though one never knows with rivalry games.
This week: Tues vs. White Bear Lake, Thurs at Simley, Sat at Mahtomedi
5. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (3-0-1)
-Lack of depth exposed a bit against Hill, though they still definitely proved that they belong up here. Important game against Cretin on Tuesday; a convincing win would help clear up the top ten.
This week: Tues vs. #15 Cretin-Derham Hall, Thurs vs. Chisago Lakes
6. Blaine (3-0)
-Survived another close game against Osseo, giving them frontrunner status in 5AA but reminding us that it’s not a foregone conclusion. A couple easy NWSC games this week before a long string of tough games.
This week: Thurs at Champlin Park, Sat at Anoka
Teams 7-8 could jump into the title picture, but we don’t really know enough about them.
7. Holy Angels (1-0)
-Had a good bit of fun against Shakopee in the opener, and will probably continue to put up gaudy numbers this week. After that they get a nice long string of real tests.
This week: Tues vs. Northfield, Fri vs. Prior Lake
8. Elk River (3-0)
-Quietly off to a very strong start after two routs of low-level NWSC teams this week. Now the real test begins; they’re the team whose results I’m most interested in seeing in the EHC.
This week: Edina Holiday Classic-- #3 Eden Prairie Thurs, #12 Edina Fri, Grand Rapids Sat
9-15 is packed very tightly; though Wayzata deserves to be at the front, after that it’s a bit of a mess.
9. Wayzata (4-0-1)
-Tie against Osseo was a mild letdown after the impressive start to the season, though that may be more of a reflection on Osseo than on Wayzata. Look to have a competitive game on their hands this Tuesday, continuing the busy early schedule.
This week: Tues vs. Apple Valley
10. Osseo (2-1-1)
-Welcome to the big stage, Osseo. A tie against Wayzata, the narrowest of losses to Blaine, and a rout of Rogers sends them rocketing into the rankings. Unfortunately their schedule takes an easy turn from here, so may not know how much staying power they have. No matter what, they’re not a team to be trifled with.
This week: Thurs at Coon Rapids, Sat vs. Champlin Park
11. Duluth East (5-1)
-They aren’t blowing away their weaker competition the way some other top teams are, but they reasserted themselves with a win over White Bear despite a depleted roster. It’s an interesting week ahead; they’ll be favored in both games, but Centennial is very capable of pulling off an upset and history tells us to never assume anything in East-Cloquet.
This week: Tues vs. Centennial, Thurs vs. Cloquet
12. Edina (4-1)
-Handled Woodbury quite well, though it’s rather hard to tell how much value to give that win right now. The bottom line is that they’re still looming in the picture and could give the higher- ranked teams plenty of problems in their holiday tourney.
This week: Edina Holiday Classic-- Grand Rapids Thurs, #8 Elk River Fri, #3 Eden Prairie Sat
13. Moorhead (3-0)
-Got by upset-minded Bemidji, then put a beating on Buffalo in preparation for the biggest game of their season to date. Still hard to measure them properly against the rest of the state. Saturday game is no pushover either, and also important as they continue their 8AA tour.
This week: Tues vs. #14 Roseau, Sat vs. Brainerd
14. Roseau (4-1)
-Continue to score goals at a torrid pace; we’ll see how they handle a strong defensive team this week when they head down to Moorhead. After that, they’ll be tested in Grand Forks by some of North Dakota’s finest.
This week: Tues at #13 Moorhead, Thursday/Friday/Saturday at Grand Forks Herald/Stadstad Classic (1st game vs. Grand Forks Red River (ND); other participants are East Grand Forks, Apple Valley, Grand Forks Central, Bismarck Century, Grafton-Park River, Bismarck High)
15. Cretin-Derham Hall (4-0)
-Yes, they won both their games this week, and yes, I sent them plummeting five spots in the rankings. Why? The wins were by one goal against weaker teams, and I have a feeling that the Benilde game won’t be that close. We’ll see. Somehow, they’re still the class of 3AA right now.
This week: Tues at #5 Benilde, Thurs at East Ridge, Sat vs. Forest Lake
Others of note (with a faint attempt at order, though it really is a mess):
Centennial. Scores suggest they’re down quite a bit, but since everyone behind them is losing this will have to do.
Bemidji. Played Moorhead well enough to gain some mention.
Andover. Hard to really tell right now.
White Bear Lake. Hovering around the periphery, as is their wont.
Apple Valley. Plenty of talent, but showed they’re not quite ready for all the hype with a couple of ugly losses.
Burnsville. Playing good teams reasonably well.
Tartan. Gave STA a good run and should build up a gaudy record, though that loss to Woodbury stings.
Park (CG). I never would have guessed this, but they’ve played their way into the picture.
Woodbury. Frankly, who knows?
Stillwater. All over the place so far.
Grand Rapids. They’ve been wildly inconsistent in the early going, but the win over Warroad serves notice to the other teams in the Edina Holiday Classic that they can’t be taken lightly.
Eagan. Off to a good start.
Maple Grove. Clearly down from last year.
Rochester Century. Not bad for a 1AA team.
Okay, I went a little overboard there. Enough of that. On to the section-by-section rundown. I’ll try to do this twice a month.
1AA
Rochester Century
Believe it or not, Century has one of the largest leads of any team over the rest of the section. Beyond them, it’s an ugly mess of mediocre teams such as the Lakevilles, Owatonna, and Winona.
2AA
2 Jefferson
7 Holy Angels
12 Edina
Nothing has happened to help sort this section out since the start of the season. Still looks to be a strong one, though.
3AA
15 Cretin
Apple Valley
Park
Woodbury
Eagan
My most grievous error in the early rankings came in this section. I thought it would be strong; instead, we’ve got an uninspiring Cretin team as the de facto leaders. Beyond that, it’s a free-for-all at the moment. It should sort itself out pretty well, though.
4AA
4 Hill
Tartan
White Bear Lake
Stillwater
We’ll find out this week just how far ahead Hill is of the rest of the field. None of them have really stepped up into the picture yet.
5AA
6 Blaine
10 Osseo
Centennial
Maple Grove
Slight change from the past in that it’s Osseo chasing Blaine other than Centennial, but otherwise everything looks to be in order. A bit down from last year, though there’s time to turn that around.
6AA
1 Minnetonka
3 Eden Prairie
5 Benilde
9 Wayzata
The Section of Death has only gotten tighter since the year began, with Wayzata’s rise.
7AA
8 Elk River
11 Duluth East
Andover
Grand Rapids
Forest Lake?
Flake upset Rapids, which moves them into the picture, sort of. Elk River’s established itself at the top, while East and maybe Andover still pose potential threats.
8AA
13 Moorhead
14 Roseau
Bemidji
Brainerd
The showdown this week will decide who deserves frontrunner status. The section seems a bit stronger as a whole than in recent years.
Since the discussion on these rankings so far has been rather limited, I’d like to invite questions, too. If you want to know why I have team X ahead of team Y while Let’s Play Hockey or Follow the Puck have them the other way around, I probably have an explanation (and if I don’t, I should). That doesn’t mean mine are necessarily better than the other ones, but I do have a reason for ranking things the way I do (as should the others, if we press them). Just keep it civil.
As for the rankings, things haven’t been too difficult in the early going. This is probably because we’ve only had 2 top-10 matchups, one of which turned out to be a dud (Tonka-Woodbury), and another that ended in a tie (Hill-Benilde). There are no tangled webs of A beating B beating C beating A yet. I suspect they’re coming; holiday tournaments have a habit of bringing them around. But for now, everything falls nicely into a couple of tiers, which I will outline in the rankings. The number after the team is their record so far; I’ll get more creative in the coming weeks and offer random statistics with the rankings that will hopefully contribute something to the discussion.
Teams 1-3 are a bit ahead of the rest of the pack, and are loaded with talented and experienced players.
1. Minnetonka (4-0)
-Were idle this past week, but play the biggest game to date of the young season on Saturday when they take on Class A #1 St. Thomas. An awful lot is riding on it in both classes; we’ll see if the game lives up to the hype.
This week: Tues vs. Park (Cottage Grove), Sat vs. St. Thomas Academy
2. Bloomington Jefferson (5-0)
-They haven’t been playing elite competition, but they have run into a couple of good teams and absolutely slaughtered them. They’re averaging 8.4 goals a game right now. While the schedule isn’t strong, it’s important not to judge them too much by that debacle against Edina last year; don’t forget they beat EP in one of two tries, too. This week shouldn’t pose too much of a challenge.
This week: Thurs vs. Eagan, Sat vs. Eastview
3. Eden Prairie (3-0)
-Had a little more trouble than they probably should have against Lakeville North, but got through it and are on to more important things, like the Edina Holiday Classic this week. Don’t read too much into my dropping them a second week in a row; a convincing showing this week will probably move them back up; right now it’s more of a feel than anything in sorting out the top 3 teams. Since the Eagles aren’t in a post-Christmas tournament, this will be one of their biggest sequences of games this year. I’m especially intrigued by the first-night matchup with Elk River.
This week: Edina Holiday Classic-- #8 Elk River Thurs, Grand Rapids Fri, #12 Edina Sat
Teams 4-6 can contend for a state title but aren’t quite as complete as the above teams. They seem to lack either the depth (Benilde, Blaine) or the star power (Hill).
4. Hill-Murray (4-0-1)
-By all accounts looked the better team in the tie against Benilde; hence the jump in the rankings. Took care of business against a potentially tough South St. Paul team, too. On paper they shouldn’t have too much trouble with the opposition this week, though one never knows with rivalry games.
This week: Tues vs. White Bear Lake, Thurs at Simley, Sat at Mahtomedi
5. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (3-0-1)
-Lack of depth exposed a bit against Hill, though they still definitely proved that they belong up here. Important game against Cretin on Tuesday; a convincing win would help clear up the top ten.
This week: Tues vs. #15 Cretin-Derham Hall, Thurs vs. Chisago Lakes
6. Blaine (3-0)
-Survived another close game against Osseo, giving them frontrunner status in 5AA but reminding us that it’s not a foregone conclusion. A couple easy NWSC games this week before a long string of tough games.
This week: Thurs at Champlin Park, Sat at Anoka
Teams 7-8 could jump into the title picture, but we don’t really know enough about them.
7. Holy Angels (1-0)
-Had a good bit of fun against Shakopee in the opener, and will probably continue to put up gaudy numbers this week. After that they get a nice long string of real tests.
This week: Tues vs. Northfield, Fri vs. Prior Lake
8. Elk River (3-0)
-Quietly off to a very strong start after two routs of low-level NWSC teams this week. Now the real test begins; they’re the team whose results I’m most interested in seeing in the EHC.
This week: Edina Holiday Classic-- #3 Eden Prairie Thurs, #12 Edina Fri, Grand Rapids Sat
9-15 is packed very tightly; though Wayzata deserves to be at the front, after that it’s a bit of a mess.
9. Wayzata (4-0-1)
-Tie against Osseo was a mild letdown after the impressive start to the season, though that may be more of a reflection on Osseo than on Wayzata. Look to have a competitive game on their hands this Tuesday, continuing the busy early schedule.
This week: Tues vs. Apple Valley
10. Osseo (2-1-1)
-Welcome to the big stage, Osseo. A tie against Wayzata, the narrowest of losses to Blaine, and a rout of Rogers sends them rocketing into the rankings. Unfortunately their schedule takes an easy turn from here, so may not know how much staying power they have. No matter what, they’re not a team to be trifled with.
This week: Thurs at Coon Rapids, Sat vs. Champlin Park
11. Duluth East (5-1)
-They aren’t blowing away their weaker competition the way some other top teams are, but they reasserted themselves with a win over White Bear despite a depleted roster. It’s an interesting week ahead; they’ll be favored in both games, but Centennial is very capable of pulling off an upset and history tells us to never assume anything in East-Cloquet.
This week: Tues vs. Centennial, Thurs vs. Cloquet
12. Edina (4-1)
-Handled Woodbury quite well, though it’s rather hard to tell how much value to give that win right now. The bottom line is that they’re still looming in the picture and could give the higher- ranked teams plenty of problems in their holiday tourney.
This week: Edina Holiday Classic-- Grand Rapids Thurs, #8 Elk River Fri, #3 Eden Prairie Sat
13. Moorhead (3-0)
-Got by upset-minded Bemidji, then put a beating on Buffalo in preparation for the biggest game of their season to date. Still hard to measure them properly against the rest of the state. Saturday game is no pushover either, and also important as they continue their 8AA tour.
This week: Tues vs. #14 Roseau, Sat vs. Brainerd
14. Roseau (4-1)
-Continue to score goals at a torrid pace; we’ll see how they handle a strong defensive team this week when they head down to Moorhead. After that, they’ll be tested in Grand Forks by some of North Dakota’s finest.
This week: Tues at #13 Moorhead, Thursday/Friday/Saturday at Grand Forks Herald/Stadstad Classic (1st game vs. Grand Forks Red River (ND); other participants are East Grand Forks, Apple Valley, Grand Forks Central, Bismarck Century, Grafton-Park River, Bismarck High)
15. Cretin-Derham Hall (4-0)
-Yes, they won both their games this week, and yes, I sent them plummeting five spots in the rankings. Why? The wins were by one goal against weaker teams, and I have a feeling that the Benilde game won’t be that close. We’ll see. Somehow, they’re still the class of 3AA right now.
This week: Tues at #5 Benilde, Thurs at East Ridge, Sat vs. Forest Lake
Others of note (with a faint attempt at order, though it really is a mess):
Centennial. Scores suggest they’re down quite a bit, but since everyone behind them is losing this will have to do.
Bemidji. Played Moorhead well enough to gain some mention.
Andover. Hard to really tell right now.
White Bear Lake. Hovering around the periphery, as is their wont.
Apple Valley. Plenty of talent, but showed they’re not quite ready for all the hype with a couple of ugly losses.
Burnsville. Playing good teams reasonably well.
Tartan. Gave STA a good run and should build up a gaudy record, though that loss to Woodbury stings.
Park (CG). I never would have guessed this, but they’ve played their way into the picture.
Woodbury. Frankly, who knows?
Stillwater. All over the place so far.
Grand Rapids. They’ve been wildly inconsistent in the early going, but the win over Warroad serves notice to the other teams in the Edina Holiday Classic that they can’t be taken lightly.
Eagan. Off to a good start.
Maple Grove. Clearly down from last year.
Rochester Century. Not bad for a 1AA team.
Okay, I went a little overboard there. Enough of that. On to the section-by-section rundown. I’ll try to do this twice a month.
1AA
Rochester Century
Believe it or not, Century has one of the largest leads of any team over the rest of the section. Beyond them, it’s an ugly mess of mediocre teams such as the Lakevilles, Owatonna, and Winona.
2AA
2 Jefferson
7 Holy Angels
12 Edina
Nothing has happened to help sort this section out since the start of the season. Still looks to be a strong one, though.
3AA
15 Cretin
Apple Valley
Park
Woodbury
Eagan
My most grievous error in the early rankings came in this section. I thought it would be strong; instead, we’ve got an uninspiring Cretin team as the de facto leaders. Beyond that, it’s a free-for-all at the moment. It should sort itself out pretty well, though.
4AA
4 Hill
Tartan
White Bear Lake
Stillwater
We’ll find out this week just how far ahead Hill is of the rest of the field. None of them have really stepped up into the picture yet.
5AA
6 Blaine
10 Osseo
Centennial
Maple Grove
Slight change from the past in that it’s Osseo chasing Blaine other than Centennial, but otherwise everything looks to be in order. A bit down from last year, though there’s time to turn that around.
6AA
1 Minnetonka
3 Eden Prairie
5 Benilde
9 Wayzata
The Section of Death has only gotten tighter since the year began, with Wayzata’s rise.
7AA
8 Elk River
11 Duluth East
Andover
Grand Rapids
Forest Lake?
Flake upset Rapids, which moves them into the picture, sort of. Elk River’s established itself at the top, while East and maybe Andover still pose potential threats.
8AA
13 Moorhead
14 Roseau
Bemidji
Brainerd
The showdown this week will decide who deserves frontrunner status. The section seems a bit stronger as a whole than in recent years.
Since the discussion on these rankings so far has been rather limited, I’d like to invite questions, too. If you want to know why I have team X ahead of team Y while Let’s Play Hockey or Follow the Puck have them the other way around, I probably have an explanation (and if I don’t, I should). That doesn’t mean mine are necessarily better than the other ones, but I do have a reason for ranking things the way I do (as should the others, if we press them). Just keep it civil.