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8A playoff picture

Posted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 3:26 pm
by elliott70
1 East Grand Forks 9-4-2
2 Thief River Falls 8-8-0
3 Warroad 5-11-1
4 Detroit Lakes 6-6-1
5 or 6 Lake of the Woods 9-5-1
6 or 5 Northern Lakes 15-1-1
7 Crookston 4-12-0
8 Park Rapids Area 5-12-1
9 Red Lake Falls 5-9-1
10 Bagley/Fosston 2-11-1
11 Kittson Central 1-12-1

EGF vs PR
DL vs LOW

TRF vs Crookston
Warroad vs NL

Only upset I see may be Crookston over TRF.

But other than Section 7, this is the LOCK section for EGF.

Posted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 4:26 pm
by air force one
First take is how few wins the teams have this year across the board.

Second take is it looks crazy to have a 5 win team as the #3 and a 15 win team at #5 or #6. This section plays such a range of opponents though and is made up of teams from three different conferences.

I agree with a theme from another thread, just do away with conferences and play within section teams. Once you have taken care of section commitments, then you can schedule outside of section. In this section, play everybody once for standings, play those you want to twice for non-section, then play AA, out of section A, or out of state.

Posted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 4:40 pm
by elliott70
air force one wrote:First take is how few wins the teams have this year across the board.

Second take is it looks crazy to have a 5 win team as the #3 and a 15 win team at #5 or #6. This section plays such a range of opponents though and is made up of teams from three different conferences.

I agree with a theme from another thread, just do away with conferences and play within section teams. Once you have taken care of section commitments, then you can schedule outside of section. In this section, play everybody once for standings, play those you want to twice for non-section, then play AA, out of section A, or out of state.
Yup, Northern Lakes will probably end up with 5 6 7 losses but still to have 16 17 18 wins and be a 6 seed.

Some adjustment should be done by the MSHSL.
And this is not the only section like this.

Re: 8A playoff picture

Posted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:17 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
elliott70 wrote:1 East Grand Forks 9-4-2
2 Thief River Falls 8-8-0
3 Warroad 5-11-1
4 Detroit Lakes 6-6-1
5 or 6 Lake of the Woods 9-5-1
6 or 5 Northern Lakes 15-1-1
7 Crookston 4-12-0
8 Park Rapids Area 5-12-1
9 Red Lake Falls 5-9-1
10 Bagley/Fosston 2-11-1
11 Kittson Central 1-12-1

EGF vs PR
DL vs LOW

TRF vs Crookston
Warroad vs NL

Only upset I see may be Crookston over TRF.

But other than Section 7, this is the LOCK section for EGF.
Yeah, TRF could lose to either Crookston or Warroad if their goalie has an off night.

Posted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:21 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
air force one wrote:First take is how few wins the teams have this year across the board.

Second take is it looks crazy to have a 5 win team as the #3 and a 15 win team at #5 or #6. This section plays such a range of opponents though and is made up of teams from three different conferences.

I agree with a theme from another thread, just do away with conferences and play within section teams. Once you have taken care of section commitments, then you can schedule outside of section. In this section, play everybody once for standings, play those you want to twice for non-section, then play AA, out of section A, or out of state.
I think the situation will take care of itself in the coming years (ten/twenty). I see a lot of these small, small programs ceasing to exist due to costs/lack of interest, with cost being the larger of the two.

And I think that will happen elsewhere in the state too.

This age of "discretionary" income is fast coming to an end with the tail end of the baby boomers, not only personal but school district-wise too.

Posted: Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:25 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
Btw, TRF is 8-9.

Posted: Mon Feb 06, 2017 7:16 pm
by TTpuckster
Wondering how TRF's latest situation will affect the seedings?

Posted: Mon Feb 06, 2017 9:12 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
TTpuckster wrote:Wondering how TRF's latest situation will affect the seedings?
Should't matter. Even if they lose both games to EGF, which they will, TRF will be #2 seed.

Unless they lose to RLF Thursday night......

None of that matters though anyway, as EGF will take the section easily.

Posted: Tue Feb 07, 2017 7:48 am
by air force one
LotW exposed Northern Lakes on Saturday, could the Bears make the leap over TRF? They have a Valentines matchup with Warroad but no TRF game this season, the Warroad matchup should be huge. Was that 2-1 loss by the Bears to EGF telling?

Posted: Tue Feb 07, 2017 7:57 am
by air force one
Bears goalie getting some love in the Heraldo
http://www.grandforksherald.com/sports/ ... ks-quickly

Posted: Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:28 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
air force one wrote:LotW exposed Northern Lakes on Saturday, could the Bears make the leap over TRF? They have a Valentines matchup with Warroad but no TRF game this season, the Warroad matchup should be huge. Was that 2-1 loss by the Bears to EGF telling?
You make a good case. What may hurt them, is only playing Warroad once. Even if they beat them, TRF has beat Warroad twice.

But maybe they'll make some noise at Sections.

Here's hoping; that would be a nice change !

Posted: Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:48 pm
by air force one
Pagestat has it in this order. Regardless of how Section 8A is constructed, I think it is crazy that an 18 win team will be hosting a play-in game and an 8 win team will probably be the #2 seed. Warroad could fall a little and Crookston can move up with some wins.

EAST GRAND FORKS
WARROAD
THIEF RIVER FALLS
LAKE OF THE WOODS
CROOKSTON
DETROIT LAKES
NORTHERN LAKES
PARK RAPIDS
BAGLEY
KITTSON CENTRAL
RED LAKE FALLS

Posted: Tue Feb 07, 2017 4:52 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
air force one wrote:Pagestat has it in this order. Regardless of how Section 8A is constructed, I think it is crazy that an 18 win team will be hosting a play-in game and an 8 win team will probably be the #2 seed. Warroad could fall a little and Crookston can move up with some wins.

EAST GRAND FORKS
WARROAD
THIEF RIVER FALLS
LAKE OF THE WOODS
CROOKSTON
DETROIT LAKES
NORTHERN LAKES
PARK RAPIDS
BAGLEY
KITTSON CENTRAL
RED LAKE FALLS
True, and it's not like TRF has a brutal schedule themselves.

Posted: Wed Feb 08, 2017 7:07 am
by elliott70
air force one wrote:Pagestat has it in this order. Regardless of how Section 8A is constructed, I think it is crazy that an 18 win team will be hosting a play-in game and an 8 win team will probably be the #2 seed. Warroad could fall a little and Crookston can move up with some wins.

EAST GRAND FORKS
WARROAD
THIEF RIVER FALLS
LAKE OF THE WOODS
CROOKSTON
DETROIT LAKES
NORTHERN LAKES
PARK RAPIDS
BAGLEY
KITTSON CENTRAL
RED LAKE FALLS
Looks like this might be it.

Posted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 1:32 pm
by air force one
Last night that matters in this section. Will EGF come through clean in section play?

Lake of the Woods has been exposed by Crookston and Ely and play Warroad tonight

Northern Lakes has dropped 3 of their last 4 to Lake of the Woods, Little Falls and Detroit Lakes after going 18-1-1 in their first 20.

Looks like despite the likes of Warroad and TRF having less than 10 win seasons, they will be back in the #2 and #3 seeds. Did Crookston do enough to be #4 or will Detroit Lakes sneak in there?

1. EAST GRAND FORKS
2. WARROAD
3. THIEF RIVER FALLS
4. CROOKSTON
5. LAKE OF THE WOODS
6. DETROIT LAKES
7. NORTHERN LAKES
8. PARK RAPIDS
9. BAGLEY
10. KITTSON CENTRAL
11. RED LAKE FALLS

Playin Round (High Seed)
Park Rapids over Bagley
Northern Lakes over Kittson
Detroit Lakes over RLF

Quarterfinal Round (High Seed)
EGF over Park Rapids
Crookston over Lake of the Woods

TRF over Detroit Lakes
Warroad over Northern Lakes

Semifinal Round in TRF
EGF over Crookston
TRF over Warroad in a coinflip game

EGF goes back to St Paul

I hope the coaches seed 2-11 completely different than what I have here. Crookston or Lake of the Woods (the #4 and #5 teams) have the best chance to pull a Cinderella and steal a trip to state. If either can put together two great games, upset EGF and pick off the survivor of the Warroad/TRF Semifinal they can play Hermantown, Breck, or St Paul Academy the following Wednesday. :)

Posted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 1:35 pm
by elliott70
GO LOW!!!!

Posted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 1:36 pm
by elliott70
air force one wrote: If either can put together two great games, upset EGF and pick off the survivor of the Warroad/TRF Semifinal they can play Hermantown, Breck, or St Paul Academy the following Wednesday. :)
Is it Breck or is it Delano?

Posted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 1:41 pm
by air force one
elliott70 wrote:
air force one wrote: If either can put together two great games, upset EGF and pick off the survivor of the Warroad/TRF Semifinal they can play Hermantown, Breck, or St Paul Academy the following Wednesday. :)
Is it Breck or is it Delano?
I'll stick with Breck. They are the tested team, have the big game experience to shut down the Delano line and advance.

Posted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 4:16 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
elliott70 wrote:GO LOW!!!!
Seconded !

Posted: Tue Feb 14, 2017 4:17 pm
by zamboniexhaustinhaler
air force one wrote:Last night that matters in this section. Will EGF come through clean in section play?

Lake of the Woods has been exposed by Crookston and Ely and play Warroad tonight

Northern Lakes has dropped 3 of their last 4 to Lake of the Woods, Little Falls and Detroit Lakes after going 18-1-1 in their first 20.

Looks like despite the likes of Warroad and TRF having less than 10 win seasons, they will be back in the #2 and #3 seeds. Did Crookston do enough to be #4 or will Detroit Lakes sneak in there?

1. EAST GRAND FORKS
2. WARROAD
3. THIEF RIVER FALLS
4. CROOKSTON
5. LAKE OF THE WOODS
6. DETROIT LAKES
7. NORTHERN LAKES
8. PARK RAPIDS
9. BAGLEY
10. KITTSON CENTRAL
11. RED LAKE FALLS

Playin Round (High Seed)
Park Rapids over Bagley
Northern Lakes over Kittson
Detroit Lakes over RLF

Quarterfinal Round (High Seed)
EGF over Park Rapids
Crookston over Lake of the Woods

TRF over Detroit Lakes
Warroad over Northern Lakes

Semifinal Round in TRF
EGF over Crookston
TRF over Warroad in a coinflip game

EGF goes back to St Paul

I hope the coaches seed 2-11 completely different than what I have here. Crookston or Lake of the Woods (the #4 and #5 teams) have the best chance to pull a Cinderella and steal a trip to state. If either can put together two great games, upset EGF and pick off the survivor of the Warroad/TRF Semifinal they can play Hermantown, Breck, or St Paul Academy the following Wednesday. :)
Assuming TRF/Warroad meet in the semis, I'm picking Warroad. They've outplayed TRF in both games.

This time they outscore them too. :P

Posted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 12:20 pm
by PaynePhalenGuy
Seeds are in:

1 EGF
2 TRF
3 Warroad
4 Detroit Lakes
5 Crookston
6 LOW
7 Northern Lakes
8 Park Rapids
9 Bagley-Fosston
10 RLF
11 KCC

Posted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 1:12 pm
by air force one
In light of the seeding release, my updated forecast. I still think the 4/5 winner has a chance to steal the section, especially after TRF upset EGF last night in TRF. The Warroad/TRF matchup is still pretty close to me, comes down to goaltending.

Play-in Round (High Seed)
Park Rapids over Bagley-Fosston
Northern Lakes over RLF
LotW over KCC

Quaterfinals (High Seed)
EGF over Park Rapids
Detroit Lakes over Crookston

Warroad over LotW
TRF over Northern Lakes

Semi Finals (TRF)
EGF over Detroit Lakes
Warroad over TRF

Final (TRF)
EGF over Warroad

Posted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 1:17 pm
by Goldyismoldy
PaynePhalenGuy wrote:Seeds are in:

1 EGF
2 TRF
3 Warroad
4 Detroit Lakes
5 Crookston
6 LOW
7 Northern Lakes
8 Park Rapids
9 Bagley-Fosston
10 RLF
11 KCC
Schwang is not amused.

Posted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 1:21 pm
by air force one
Goldyismoldy wrote:
PaynePhalenGuy wrote:Seeds are in:

1 EGF
2 TRF
3 Warroad
4 Detroit Lakes
5 Crookston
6 LOW
7 Northern Lakes
8 Park Rapids
9 Bagley-Fosston
10 RLF
11 KCC
Schwang is not amused.
Where is ol Schwang? Haven't heard from him or the Peanut Gallery in a couple years. Just for bringing him up, I hope Bagley-Fosston beats Park Rapids.

Posted: Wed Feb 15, 2017 1:36 pm
by Goldyismoldy
air force one wrote:
Goldyismoldy wrote:
PaynePhalenGuy wrote:Seeds are in:

1 EGF
2 TRF
3 Warroad
4 Detroit Lakes
5 Crookston
6 LOW
7 Northern Lakes
8 Park Rapids
9 Bagley-Fosston
10 RLF
11 KCC
Schwang is not amused.
Where is ol Schwang? Haven't heard from him or the Peanut Gallery in a couple years. Just for bringing him up, I hope Bagley-Fosston beats Park Rapids.
Last I heard he was living in Chicago with his Jag-hag Cuda701