AA Rankings for 2/13/22
Posted: Sun Feb 13, 2022 8:11 am
Here we go: it’s the last week of the regular season, and rarely has there been so much opportunity for movement in this last week.
1. Cretin-Derham Hall (21-3) LW: 1
-The Raiders kept rolling along, and their consistency down the stretch has been admirable, even if the schedule has not been thrilling: this season, that is enough to lock in a team in the top spot, even if the gap between them and the rest is not large. If they win their game this week, they’ll ride into sections on a 16-game streak.
This week: Tues at Park (Cottage Grove)
2. Hill-Murray (18-4-1) LW: 3
-The Pioneer plod on after comfortable wins over South St. Paul and Blake. The final week of the regular season will bring the heat in the form of two potent teams nipping at their heels in the rankings. We’ll see if these games bring any clarity.
This week: Wed vs. #3 Maple Grove, Sat at #6 Moorhead
3. Maple Grove (18-5-1) LW: 5
-The Crimson’s strong push to the finish continued with a convincing performance against Andover. This feels like a reach, but who else has a better claim here at this point? I’m high on this team, and if they can cap their late-season performance by doing anything against Hill, they will be well-positioned for a potential deep run.
This week: Wed at #2 Hill-Murray
4. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (17-5) LW: 2
-A loss to Chaska after a long romp through the easy part of the schedule sows some doubts about the Red Knights. They haven’t dropped too much here due to their body of work, but could slide back a bit further before sections pending some of the results this coming week. They have a busy but not overly challenging final week, with the Champlin game in the middle being the most interesting of the bunch.
This week: Tues vs. Chanhassen, Thurs at Champlin Park, Sat vs. New Prague
5. Roseau (19-3-1) LW: 6
-The Rams thumped Thief River Falls before a tie to Centennial, which isn’t a bad result but does keep them from climbing here. There have been a few question marks over the past month, but it will all come to a head when they meet streaking Moorhead. Can they hold up in back well enough to claim the top seed ahead of an impending section final rematch?
This week: Tues vs. #6 Moorhead, Sat vs. East Grand Forks
6. Moorhead (17-5-1) LW: 7
-The Spuds rolled past Bemidji this past week. This last week, now, will be huge for their ranking heading into sections, as they battle Roseau for the top seed in 8AA and have their regular clash with Hill-Murray to wrap things up. Two wins and they’re a top five team; two losses and they’re mired in the muck below. Can the unbeaten streak hold up?
This week: Tues at #5 Roseau, Sat vs. #2 Hill-Murray
7. Grand Rapids (18-5-1) LW: 10
-Here come the Thunderhawks? A heavy performance and some last-second heroics against Andover have the Halloween Machine pegged as the team to beat in 7AA, whatever QRF might say, and they followed that with a win over St. Thomas. Maple Grove hiccup aside, they’ve been impressive in just about every game since the new year, and are playing their way into strong seeding position should they go to State. A victory over Hermantown to wrap the regular season would be the cherry on top.
This week: Tues vs. Hermantown
8. Andover (19-5-1) LW: 4
-The Huskies are not ending their regular season on a high note, as they struggled to match the intensity of their chief rival for the 7AA crown and then got bowled over by Maple Grove. They’d been in the top five since mid-December, but there were some red flags all along, and they will not end there before the playoffs.
This week: Idle
9. Lakeville South (19-3) LW: 8
-The schedule has not been challenging over the past month-plus, but the Cougars continue to do what they need to do. They have a busy final week that could put a nice seal on this run, as they face two teams capable of upsets (one of which has already clipped them this season) and the closest team to them in talent in the section.
This week: Tues at Rosemount, Thurs vs. Eastview, Sat at Prior Lake
10. Edina (15-8) LW: 9
-While not flashy, the Hornets plowed forward with wins over Buffalo and Minnetonka. Are they finding some steadiness after some wild swings earlier in the season? Or are they just finding a good-but-not-great level? The season finale with Wayzata has some pretty high stakes in the section.
This week: Thurs at St. Michael-Albertville, Sat at #11 Wayzata
11. Wayzata (15-7-1) LW: 11
-The Trojans found some winning ways again this past week, most notably by finishing off Eden Prairie for a second time. Despite the ups and downs, I still think this is one of the more dangerous teams out there, and Benilde’s loss to Chaska has re-opened the door for the all-important top seed in 6AA if they can beat Edina a second time.
This week: Thurs at Rosemount, Sat vs. #10 Edina
12. Rogers (16-7-1) LW: 13
-Pasted Duluth East in their only action. Now, can they top off a promising season with a move to set themselves up for their run through sections?
This week: Tues at #13 Centennial
13. Centennial (16-4-3) LW: 12
-The Cougars collected a couple of ties this past week, each pulling them in opposite directions: knotting up with a Blaine team that they put in running time just two weeks before is not great, but they held up well enough on a road trip to Roseau to make this all a wash. Seeding is on the line in 5AA in their first game this week, and the closer isn’t a guarantee, either.
This week: Tues vs. #12 Rogers, Thurs at White Bear Lake
14. Eden Prairie (13-10)
-The ever-consistent baseline in these rankings kept up its usual beat, beating St. Michael-Albertville and losing to Wayzata. A clash with Minnetonka for a top 15 spot highlights their final week.
This week: Thurs at Minnetonka, Sat at Buffalo
15. Chaska (18-5) LW: NR
-A late-season flourish from the Hawks launches them into the top 15 and shows they can compete with anyone. It’s hard to know how much stock to put in this for ranking purposes, since no one has really separated themselves this season; it might just be one pleasant burst amid an otherwise pretty easy schedule down the stretch. In this season’s 2AA, though, it is a result that puts everyone else on notice. They should finish out their regular season with 20 wins.
This week: Tues vs Waconia, Sat at Orono
The Next Ten
Minnetonka (13-9-1)
-The Skippers fought valiantly against Edina but fell again, keeping them on the outside looking in of the top 15. They get a chance to improve on this somewhat against Eden Prairie.
St. Thomas Academy (12-12-1)
-The Cadets were competitive on a road trip north to face Grand Rapids and Hermantown, but came up short in both, which leaves them hovering on the outside looking in, a capable squad that lacks any obvious edge to set them above the teams ahead of them. Their regular season is done.
Prior Lake (14-9)
-Dispatched of Shakopee in their only game last week. The season-closer against Lakeville South will be a big one: is this team finally finding itself?
Stillwater (16-7-1)
-A one-goal win over Roseville inspires little confidence in the Ponies, who also lost to Cretin. Holy Family awaits in their final game.
Gentry Academy (18-4)
-The Stars had a decent week, punctuated by a big win over their toughest regular season, Lakeville North. They also dropped their rubber match with Hudson, though, and struggled to put away Minneapolis; they just give up too many goals to inspire confidence in pushing them too much higher. Their final week is busy as well, as they face Minneapolis again and play a home-and-home with Blake.
Elk River (17-7-1)
-Closed out their regular season with a solid win over Blaine. They are the clear 3-seed in 8AA and will now await to learn their potential semifinal road trip destination.
Champlin Park (14-7-1)
-Rolled to three more wins, including a decent one in these parts of the rankings over Hastings. A tough final week includes White Bear and Benilde, so they can certainly earn their keep here.
Holy Angels (19-3-1)
-Continue to roll through softer competition. They now conclude with Breck and Armstrong/Cooper.
Lakeville North (16-6)
-Trending in the wrong direction after a loss to Gentry, their second by a lopsided score to a 15-20ish team in the past two weeks. The game with Hastings this week suddenly takes on added meaning in the 1AA seeding race.
Hastings (19-3-1)
-I don’t love this, but when then next-best option here is a floundering Blaine team, I’ll stick with the team with the good record. The Lakeville North game this week will be telling; for that matter, they need to take care of Dodge County, too.
And, with one week to go, sections!
1AA
9 Lakeville South
24 Lakeville North
25 Hastings
Rochester Mayo
-With North fading some down the stretch, this week’s Hastings-North game has taken on new meaning, and the two-seed is there for the Raiders’ taking. Mayo, despite the Century loss this past week, has probably done enough to claim the 4-seed.
2AA
14 Eden Prairie
18 Prior Lake
16 Minnetonka
15 Chaska
-The seeding order has been set here for a bit, but there is plenty of intrigue, with a wide open likely final four between four capable but flawed teams. This week’s Minnetonka-Eden Prairie clash, while unlikely to change anything in the seeding, will at least set the table for us.
3AA
1 Cretin-Derham Hall
17 St. Thomas Academy
Eastview
Rosemount
-With a win in the rematch with Rosemount, Eastview now has a good claim to the 3-seed, though both of these teams have faded some since they looked like more serious upset threats around midseason. They remain in the picture, though, and there are plausible arguments for different orders here based on head-to-head results, though I don’t really buy them. At the end of the day, the road here runs through Cretin.
4AA
2 Hill-Murray
19 Stillwater
20 Gentry Academy
White Bear Lake
-The only question here is where the coaches slot in Gentry, which is playing decently but has its wild card schedule. I would put them at the 3-seed, which sets up a potential Hill-White Bear semifinal, but would not be shocked to see them at 4. As in 3AA, this section has a clear favorite, but there’s enough talent 2-4 that it could get weird.
5AA
12 Rogers
3 Maple Grove
13 Centennial
22 Champlin Park
-This has become one of the more oddly complex sections to seed. Right now, Rogers is 1-0 against the big three, having beaten Maple Grove, while Centennial and Maple Grove split; the tiebreak there is Centennial’s loss to Champlin Park, putting Maple Grove in line for the 2-seed. A Rogers win over Centennial this week would probably lock in this order. A Centennial win, on the other hand, results in chaos; in that situation, I’d put Maple Grove at the top on the basis of body of work, with Centennial second and Rogers third. Champlin, meanwhile, lurks as a dangerous 4-seed.
6AA
4 Benilde-St. Margaret’s
10 Edina
11 Wayzata
23 Holy Angels
-Benilde’s loss to Chaska forfeits any claim they may have to being on a higher tier than their Lake rivals. If Wayzata wins on Saturday, they should be the top seed; if the Hornets pull it out, I’d lean their way, and the loser will get the 3-seed. If they tie, shrug and give the top spot to Benilde.
7AA
8 Andover
7 Grand Rapids
Blaine
Forest Lake
-Grand Rapids should be the top seed in this section, but the QRF gap may be too large for this past week’s game to matter. It’s almost as if using a stupid formula is a bad way to seed a section, but hey, they never asked me. Beyond that, it’s pretty straightforward for the top four, and we’ll see what the formula spits out for the muck of mediocrity behind.
8AA
5 Roseau
6 Moorhead
21 Elk River
Buffalo
-The story is simple here: the winner of this week’s game takes the top seed. The gap in this section is large enough that it may not make a huge deal either way, but the result will certainly send a signal.
1. Cretin-Derham Hall (21-3) LW: 1
-The Raiders kept rolling along, and their consistency down the stretch has been admirable, even if the schedule has not been thrilling: this season, that is enough to lock in a team in the top spot, even if the gap between them and the rest is not large. If they win their game this week, they’ll ride into sections on a 16-game streak.
This week: Tues at Park (Cottage Grove)
2. Hill-Murray (18-4-1) LW: 3
-The Pioneer plod on after comfortable wins over South St. Paul and Blake. The final week of the regular season will bring the heat in the form of two potent teams nipping at their heels in the rankings. We’ll see if these games bring any clarity.
This week: Wed vs. #3 Maple Grove, Sat at #6 Moorhead
3. Maple Grove (18-5-1) LW: 5
-The Crimson’s strong push to the finish continued with a convincing performance against Andover. This feels like a reach, but who else has a better claim here at this point? I’m high on this team, and if they can cap their late-season performance by doing anything against Hill, they will be well-positioned for a potential deep run.
This week: Wed at #2 Hill-Murray
4. Benilde-St. Margaret’s (17-5) LW: 2
-A loss to Chaska after a long romp through the easy part of the schedule sows some doubts about the Red Knights. They haven’t dropped too much here due to their body of work, but could slide back a bit further before sections pending some of the results this coming week. They have a busy but not overly challenging final week, with the Champlin game in the middle being the most interesting of the bunch.
This week: Tues vs. Chanhassen, Thurs at Champlin Park, Sat vs. New Prague
5. Roseau (19-3-1) LW: 6
-The Rams thumped Thief River Falls before a tie to Centennial, which isn’t a bad result but does keep them from climbing here. There have been a few question marks over the past month, but it will all come to a head when they meet streaking Moorhead. Can they hold up in back well enough to claim the top seed ahead of an impending section final rematch?
This week: Tues vs. #6 Moorhead, Sat vs. East Grand Forks
6. Moorhead (17-5-1) LW: 7
-The Spuds rolled past Bemidji this past week. This last week, now, will be huge for their ranking heading into sections, as they battle Roseau for the top seed in 8AA and have their regular clash with Hill-Murray to wrap things up. Two wins and they’re a top five team; two losses and they’re mired in the muck below. Can the unbeaten streak hold up?
This week: Tues at #5 Roseau, Sat vs. #2 Hill-Murray
7. Grand Rapids (18-5-1) LW: 10
-Here come the Thunderhawks? A heavy performance and some last-second heroics against Andover have the Halloween Machine pegged as the team to beat in 7AA, whatever QRF might say, and they followed that with a win over St. Thomas. Maple Grove hiccup aside, they’ve been impressive in just about every game since the new year, and are playing their way into strong seeding position should they go to State. A victory over Hermantown to wrap the regular season would be the cherry on top.
This week: Tues vs. Hermantown
8. Andover (19-5-1) LW: 4
-The Huskies are not ending their regular season on a high note, as they struggled to match the intensity of their chief rival for the 7AA crown and then got bowled over by Maple Grove. They’d been in the top five since mid-December, but there were some red flags all along, and they will not end there before the playoffs.
This week: Idle
9. Lakeville South (19-3) LW: 8
-The schedule has not been challenging over the past month-plus, but the Cougars continue to do what they need to do. They have a busy final week that could put a nice seal on this run, as they face two teams capable of upsets (one of which has already clipped them this season) and the closest team to them in talent in the section.
This week: Tues at Rosemount, Thurs vs. Eastview, Sat at Prior Lake
10. Edina (15-8) LW: 9
-While not flashy, the Hornets plowed forward with wins over Buffalo and Minnetonka. Are they finding some steadiness after some wild swings earlier in the season? Or are they just finding a good-but-not-great level? The season finale with Wayzata has some pretty high stakes in the section.
This week: Thurs at St. Michael-Albertville, Sat at #11 Wayzata
11. Wayzata (15-7-1) LW: 11
-The Trojans found some winning ways again this past week, most notably by finishing off Eden Prairie for a second time. Despite the ups and downs, I still think this is one of the more dangerous teams out there, and Benilde’s loss to Chaska has re-opened the door for the all-important top seed in 6AA if they can beat Edina a second time.
This week: Thurs at Rosemount, Sat vs. #10 Edina
12. Rogers (16-7-1) LW: 13
-Pasted Duluth East in their only action. Now, can they top off a promising season with a move to set themselves up for their run through sections?
This week: Tues at #13 Centennial
13. Centennial (16-4-3) LW: 12
-The Cougars collected a couple of ties this past week, each pulling them in opposite directions: knotting up with a Blaine team that they put in running time just two weeks before is not great, but they held up well enough on a road trip to Roseau to make this all a wash. Seeding is on the line in 5AA in their first game this week, and the closer isn’t a guarantee, either.
This week: Tues vs. #12 Rogers, Thurs at White Bear Lake
14. Eden Prairie (13-10)
-The ever-consistent baseline in these rankings kept up its usual beat, beating St. Michael-Albertville and losing to Wayzata. A clash with Minnetonka for a top 15 spot highlights their final week.
This week: Thurs at Minnetonka, Sat at Buffalo
15. Chaska (18-5) LW: NR
-A late-season flourish from the Hawks launches them into the top 15 and shows they can compete with anyone. It’s hard to know how much stock to put in this for ranking purposes, since no one has really separated themselves this season; it might just be one pleasant burst amid an otherwise pretty easy schedule down the stretch. In this season’s 2AA, though, it is a result that puts everyone else on notice. They should finish out their regular season with 20 wins.
This week: Tues vs Waconia, Sat at Orono
The Next Ten
Minnetonka (13-9-1)
-The Skippers fought valiantly against Edina but fell again, keeping them on the outside looking in of the top 15. They get a chance to improve on this somewhat against Eden Prairie.
St. Thomas Academy (12-12-1)
-The Cadets were competitive on a road trip north to face Grand Rapids and Hermantown, but came up short in both, which leaves them hovering on the outside looking in, a capable squad that lacks any obvious edge to set them above the teams ahead of them. Their regular season is done.
Prior Lake (14-9)
-Dispatched of Shakopee in their only game last week. The season-closer against Lakeville South will be a big one: is this team finally finding itself?
Stillwater (16-7-1)
-A one-goal win over Roseville inspires little confidence in the Ponies, who also lost to Cretin. Holy Family awaits in their final game.
Gentry Academy (18-4)
-The Stars had a decent week, punctuated by a big win over their toughest regular season, Lakeville North. They also dropped their rubber match with Hudson, though, and struggled to put away Minneapolis; they just give up too many goals to inspire confidence in pushing them too much higher. Their final week is busy as well, as they face Minneapolis again and play a home-and-home with Blake.
Elk River (17-7-1)
-Closed out their regular season with a solid win over Blaine. They are the clear 3-seed in 8AA and will now await to learn their potential semifinal road trip destination.
Champlin Park (14-7-1)
-Rolled to three more wins, including a decent one in these parts of the rankings over Hastings. A tough final week includes White Bear and Benilde, so they can certainly earn their keep here.
Holy Angels (19-3-1)
-Continue to roll through softer competition. They now conclude with Breck and Armstrong/Cooper.
Lakeville North (16-6)
-Trending in the wrong direction after a loss to Gentry, their second by a lopsided score to a 15-20ish team in the past two weeks. The game with Hastings this week suddenly takes on added meaning in the 1AA seeding race.
Hastings (19-3-1)
-I don’t love this, but when then next-best option here is a floundering Blaine team, I’ll stick with the team with the good record. The Lakeville North game this week will be telling; for that matter, they need to take care of Dodge County, too.
And, with one week to go, sections!
1AA
9 Lakeville South
24 Lakeville North
25 Hastings
Rochester Mayo
-With North fading some down the stretch, this week’s Hastings-North game has taken on new meaning, and the two-seed is there for the Raiders’ taking. Mayo, despite the Century loss this past week, has probably done enough to claim the 4-seed.
2AA
14 Eden Prairie
18 Prior Lake
16 Minnetonka
15 Chaska
-The seeding order has been set here for a bit, but there is plenty of intrigue, with a wide open likely final four between four capable but flawed teams. This week’s Minnetonka-Eden Prairie clash, while unlikely to change anything in the seeding, will at least set the table for us.
3AA
1 Cretin-Derham Hall
17 St. Thomas Academy
Eastview
Rosemount
-With a win in the rematch with Rosemount, Eastview now has a good claim to the 3-seed, though both of these teams have faded some since they looked like more serious upset threats around midseason. They remain in the picture, though, and there are plausible arguments for different orders here based on head-to-head results, though I don’t really buy them. At the end of the day, the road here runs through Cretin.
4AA
2 Hill-Murray
19 Stillwater
20 Gentry Academy
White Bear Lake
-The only question here is where the coaches slot in Gentry, which is playing decently but has its wild card schedule. I would put them at the 3-seed, which sets up a potential Hill-White Bear semifinal, but would not be shocked to see them at 4. As in 3AA, this section has a clear favorite, but there’s enough talent 2-4 that it could get weird.
5AA
12 Rogers
3 Maple Grove
13 Centennial
22 Champlin Park
-This has become one of the more oddly complex sections to seed. Right now, Rogers is 1-0 against the big three, having beaten Maple Grove, while Centennial and Maple Grove split; the tiebreak there is Centennial’s loss to Champlin Park, putting Maple Grove in line for the 2-seed. A Rogers win over Centennial this week would probably lock in this order. A Centennial win, on the other hand, results in chaos; in that situation, I’d put Maple Grove at the top on the basis of body of work, with Centennial second and Rogers third. Champlin, meanwhile, lurks as a dangerous 4-seed.
6AA
4 Benilde-St. Margaret’s
10 Edina
11 Wayzata
23 Holy Angels
-Benilde’s loss to Chaska forfeits any claim they may have to being on a higher tier than their Lake rivals. If Wayzata wins on Saturday, they should be the top seed; if the Hornets pull it out, I’d lean their way, and the loser will get the 3-seed. If they tie, shrug and give the top spot to Benilde.
7AA
8 Andover
7 Grand Rapids
Blaine
Forest Lake
-Grand Rapids should be the top seed in this section, but the QRF gap may be too large for this past week’s game to matter. It’s almost as if using a stupid formula is a bad way to seed a section, but hey, they never asked me. Beyond that, it’s pretty straightforward for the top four, and we’ll see what the formula spits out for the muck of mediocrity behind.
8AA
5 Roseau
6 Moorhead
21 Elk River
Buffalo
-The story is simple here: the winner of this week’s game takes the top seed. The gap in this section is large enough that it may not make a huge deal either way, but the result will certainly send a signal.