2003-04 Michigan Ratings
Last Updated 3-15-04
Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the
2003-2004 Michigan HS Scores page (sorted first by team name and then by date)
The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then
adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative
error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is
reached (convergence).
The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between
any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a
neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that due to goal
differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials
are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other.
The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more
understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings.
A teams Total value only has meaning
in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared
from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state).
The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five
games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed).
Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely
that ranking is to be accurate.
Links to other ratings:
CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A
RI VA VT WI wWI USA Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1
Back to US HS Hockey Online main page.
High School Hockey Forums
More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past
accuracy can be found here .
As of 2/21/04 all state rankings are calculated interdependently. This allows interstate opponents to be given
their proper weight. Also, games between teams ranked more than 5 goals apart are no longer used when
calculating the rankings.
As of 3/4/04 there are now two rankings listed. The first is the standard Goal Diff Limit = 4 ranking and
the second is a GDL=1 ranking. The GDL1 ranking has proven to be the most accurate for college and junior teams
but is yet unproven at other levels, especially for those rankings in which many teams are missing many scores.
The Totals column takes on a different meaning in the GDL1 ranking, see the D1 College rankings for details.
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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5
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1,Detroit Catholic Central,MI,________ 17 7 3, 1.0, 11.0, 12.01, 11.89
2,Cranbrook,MI,_______________________ 19 6 2, 2.0, 9.7, 11.77, 12.00
3,Ann Arbor Pioneer,MI,_______________ 6 1 0, 2.0, 9.7, 11.74
4,Livonia Churchill,MI,_______________ 17 3 2, 2.0, 9.4, 11.49, 11.02
5,Orchard Lake St Marys,MI,___________ 18 5 1, 1.7, 9.7, 11.40, 11.66
6,Port Huron Northern,MI,_____________ 17 7 0, 1.5, 9.6, 11.11, 9.95
7,Muskegon Mona Shores,MI,____________ 9 3 1, 1.8, 9.2, 10.96, 11.43
8,Brighton,MI,________________________ 6 3 0, 0.9, 9.9, 10.77
9,Clarkston,MI,_______________________ 6 5 3, 0.5, 10.0, 10.54, 10.59
10,Trenton,MI,_________________________ 11 7 1, 0.5, 10.0, 10.49, 11.64
11,Birmingham,MI,______________________ 23 1 5, 1.9, 8.5, 10.48, 10.95
12,Farmington,MI,______________________ 3 3 1, 0.3, 10.2, 10.45
13,Highland-Milford,MI,________________ 5 1 2, 1.2, 9.0, 10.22
14,East Kentwood,MI,___________________ 7 3 1, 1.3, 8.9, 10.19, 10.13
15,Livonia Stevenson,MI,_______________ 3 4 1, -0.1, 10.2, 10.06
16,Marquette,MI,_______________________ 21 5 3, 1.3, 8.7, 10.03, 11.31
17,Northville,MI,______________________ 7 3 1, 0.9, 9.0, 9.95, 10.48
18,U of D Jesuit,MI,___________________ 11 11 1, 0.0, 9.8, 9.78, 8.63
19,Davison,MI,_________________________ 5 2 0, 2.1, 7.6, 9.77
20,Riverview,MI,_______________________ 5 1 0, 2.3, 7.4, 9.74
21,Grosse Ile,MI,______________________ 7 2 0, 2.1, 7.6, 9.72
22,Flint Powers,MI,____________________ 5 3 0, 1.4, 8.3, 9.63
23,Brother Rice,MI,____________________ 12 10 3, 0.2, 9.4, 9.56, 9.23
24,Woodhaven,MI,_______________________ 3 1 0, 2.2, 7.3, 9.52
25,Jackson Lumen Christi,MI,___________ 4 1 0, 2.8, 6.7, 9.51
26,De La Salle,MI,_____________________ 13 6 4, 0.9, 8.6, 9.50, 9.50
27,East Grand Rapids,MI,_______________ 5 1 1, 1.3, 8.2, 9.47
28,Divine Child,MI,____________________ 15 7 3, 0.9, 8.6, 9.45, 9.98
29,Grosse Pointe North,MI,_____________ 9 14 0, -1.0, 10.4, 9.40, 9.68
30,Grosse Pointe South,MI,_____________ 5 4 0, 0.4, 8.9, 9.31
31,Dearborn,MI,________________________ 2 5 1, -0.5, 9.8, 9.31
32,Allen Park,MI,______________________ 6 4 1, 0.5, 8.7, 9.20, 9.21
33,Saginaw Heritage,MI,________________ 5 3 1, 0.7, 8.5, 9.16
34,Traverse City Central,MI,___________ 15 8 2, 0.7, 8.4, 9.16, 9.38
35,Ann Arbor Huron,MI,_________________ 6 4 1, 0.3, 8.8, 9.05, 7.54
36,Alpena,MI,__________________________ 15 10 1, 0.4, 8.6, 8.95, 10.08
37,Troy,MI,____________________________ 4 4 1, 0.4, 8.4, 8.89
38,Houghton,MI,________________________ 19 5 1, 1.1, 7.7, 8.82, 9.50
39,Escanaba,MI,________________________ 14 10 1, 1.0, 7.7, 8.73, 8.43
40,Novi,MI,____________________________ 12 13 2, 0.2, 8.4, 8.64, 8.76
41,Redford Union,MI,___________________ 2 1 0, 1.0, 7.6, 8.57
42,Gaylord,MI,_________________________ 18 12 0, 0.6, 7.9, 8.51, 9.56
43,Portage Northern,MI,________________ 2 1 0, 1.0, 7.5, 8.51
44,Chelsea,MI,_________________________ 1 2 0, -0.3, 8.8, 8.45
45,Salem,MI,___________________________ 11 10 3, 0.1, 8.3, 8.40, 9.07
46,Portage Central,MI,_________________ 3 3 0, -0.3, 8.7, 8.36
47,Walled Lake Central,MI,_____________ 4 5 0, -0.3, 8.6, 8.32
48,Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley,MI,____ 2 1 0, 0.3, 8.0, 8.31
49,Calumet,MI,_________________________ 10 12 0, -0.5, 8.7, 8.27, 8.66
50,Ortonville Brandon,MI,______________ 3 1 0, 2.0, 6.2, 8.24
51,Saline,MI,__________________________ 3 1 1, 1.0, 7.2, 8.24
52,Notre Dame,MI,______________________ 9 11 0, -0.5, 8.7, 8.24, 8.14
53,Livonia Franklin,MI,________________ 2 4 2, -0.9, 9.1, 8.18
54,Howell,MI,__________________________ 2 2 0, 0.0, 8.1, 8.11
55,Negaunee,MI,________________________ 14 11 1, 0.5, 7.6, 8.07, 6.96
56,Wyandotte Roosevelt,MI,_____________ 1 1 1, -0.7, 8.7, 8.04
57,Waterford Mott,MI,__________________ 1 3 0, -0.5, 8.5, 7.95
58,Cadillac,MI,________________________ 14 7 2, 0.9, 7.0, 7.93, 8.56
59,Midland,MI,_________________________ 2 2 1, 0.2, 7.6, 7.78
60,Grand Rapids West Catholic,MI,______ 2 1 0, 0.7, 7.1, 7.77
61,Southgate Anderson,MI,______________ 2 4 1, -0.1, 7.9, 7.74
62,Hancock,MI,_________________________ 8 15 1, -0.1, 7.8, 7.72, 8.13
63,Marysville,MI,______________________ 3 2 0, 0.8, 6.9, 7.67
64,Wyandotte,MI,_______________________ 3 3 0, -0.7, 8.3, 7.63
65,Cheboygan,MI,_______________________ 15 8 1, 0.9, 6.7, 7.59, 6.26
66,Dexter,MI,__________________________ 2 1 0, 0.7, 6.9, 7.55
67,Traverse City West,MI,______________ 11 14 1, -0.1, 7.6, 7.51, 7.61
68,Utica Eisenhower,MI,________________ 0 3 0, -2.7, 10.2, 7.50
69,Grandville,MI,______________________ 2 2 0, -1.0, 8.5, 7.47
70,Detroit Country Day,MI,_____________ 3 8 0, -1.1, 8.5, 7.45, 6.99
71,Lakeland,MI,________________________ 0 2 2, -1.2, 8.7, 7.43
72,Rochester,MI,_______________________ 0 3 0, -2.7, 10.1, 7.40
73,Notre Dame Prep,MI,_________________ 9 11 1, -0.2, 7.6, 7.39, 8.40
74,Canton,MI,__________________________ 1 6 0, -1.9, 9.2, 7.36
75,Port Huron,MI,______________________ 1 4 0, -2.0, 9.4, 7.35
76,Berkley,MI,_________________________ 1 3 0, -2.0, 9.2, 7.23
77,Traverse City Reps,MI,______________ 3 6 0, -0.6, 7.8, 7.20
78,Sault Ste. Marie,MI,________________ 6 18 1, -1.2, 8.4, 7.16, 7.10
79,Macomb Dakota,MI,___________________ 1 1 1, -1.0, 8.1, 7.08
80,Big Rapids,MI,______________________ 3 5 0, -0.6, 7.7, 7.03
81,South Lyon,MI,______________________ 2 2 0, -0.8, 7.7, 6.95
82,Royal Oak Kimball,MI,_______________ 0 3 0, -3.7, 10.5, 6.81
83,DeWitt/St. Johns,MI,________________ 2 1 0, 0.7, 6.1, 6.80
84,Walled Lake Western,MI,_____________ 0 5 0, -2.4, 9.1, 6.73
85,Bedford,MI,_________________________ 6 2 0, 2.4, 4.4, 6.73
86,Lapeer West,MI,_____________________ 3 1 0, 0.8, 5.9, 6.67
87,Bay City,MI,________________________ 2 3 0, -1.4, 7.7, 6.25
88,Reeths Puffer,MI,___________________ 0 3 0, -3.7, 9.9, 6.19
89,Mt. Carmel,MI,______________________ 7 13 0, -0.8, 7.0, 6.12, 5.75
90,East Lansing,MI,____________________ 2 1 0, 0.3, 5.8, 6.09
91,Flint Kearsley,MI,__________________ 2 3 0, -0.4, 6.3, 5.95
92,L'Anse,MI,__________________________ 3 11 0, -1.9, 7.8, 5.93, 7.10
93,Taylor Truman,MI,___________________ 2 1 1, 0.0, 5.9, 5.90
94,West Bloomfield,MI,_________________ 0 7 0, -3.0, 8.9, 5.87
95,Riverview Gabriel Richard,MI,_______ 1 16 1, -2.6, 8.5, 5.86, 6.02
96,Grosse Pointe Woods Liggett,MI,_____ 1 4 0, -2.0, 7.8, 5.78
97,Midland Dow,MI,_____________________ 1 3 1, -1.4, 7.2, 5.78
98,Kingsford,MI,_______________________ 1 10 0, -3.0, 8.7, 5.71, 6.28
99,Petoskey,MI,________________________ 13 12 1, -0.0, 5.7, 5.66, 6.21
100,Jeffers,MI,_________________________ 1 9 0, -2.6, 8.2, 5.65, 5.45
101,Rockford,MI,________________________ 2 2 0, 0.3, 5.2, 5.41
102,Monroe St. Mary CC,MI,______________ 1 3 0, -1.2, 6.6, 5.32
103,Royal Oak,MI,_______________________ 0 4 0, -4.0, 9.0, 5.02
104,Hartland,MI,________________________ 1 3 0, -2.0, 7.0, 5.02
105,Kalamazoo,MI,_______________________ 2 1 1, 0.5, 4.3, 4.82
106,Gladwin,MI,_________________________ 0 3 1, -2.3, 7.1, 4.73
107,Cabrini,MI,_________________________ 2 17 1, -2.8, 7.4, 4.59, 5.47
108,Pinckney,MI,________________________ 0 3 0, -4.0, 8.5, 4.50
109,Walled Lake Northern,MI,____________ 0 5 0, -4.0, 8.4, 4.37
110,Auburn Hills Avondale,MI,___________ 2 1 0, 1.3, 2.9, 4.24
111,Forest Hills Central,MI,____________ 1 2 0, -1.7, 5.6, 3.98
112,Taylor Kennedy,MI,__________________ 0 3 0, -2.7, 6.0, 3.38
113,John Glenn,MI,______________________ 0 5 0, -3.0, 6.0, 2.97
114,Carman Ainsworth,MI,________________ 1 3 0, -1.7, 4.1, 2.37
RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1,Ann Arbor Pioneer,MI,_______________ 6 1 0, 0.7, 7.7, 8.45
2,Detroit Catholic Central,MI,________ 17 7 3, 0.4, 8.0, 8.39, 8.49
3,Orchard Lake St Marys,MI,___________ 18 5 1, 0.5, 7.6, 8.13, 8.09
4,Cranbrook,MI,_______________________ 19 6 2, 0.5, 7.6, 8.08, 8.39
5,Livonia Churchill,MI,_______________ 17 3 2, 0.6, 7.5, 8.06, 7.87
6,Birmingham,MI,______________________ 23 1 5, 0.8, 7.3, 8.02, 8.05
7,Port Huron Northern,MI,_____________ 17 7 0, 0.4, 7.6, 8.00, 7.66
8,Muskegon Mona Shores,MI,____________ 9 3 1, 0.5, 7.5, 7.98, 7.98
9,Trenton,MI,_________________________ 11 7 1, 0.2, 7.8, 7.97, 8.67
10,Highland-Milford,MI,________________ 5 1 2, 0.5, 7.5, 7.96
11,Brighton,MI,________________________ 6 3 0, 0.3, 7.6, 7.95
12,Marquette,MI,_______________________ 21 5 3, 0.6, 7.3, 7.84, 8.65
13,Farmington,MI,______________________ 3 3 1, 0.0, 7.8, 7.82
14,East Grand Rapids,MI,_______________ 5 1 1, 0.6, 7.2, 7.76
15,East Kentwood,MI,___________________ 7 3 1, 0.3, 7.4, 7.74, 7.57
16,Northville,MI,______________________ 7 3 1, 0.4, 7.4, 7.73, 7.82
17,Clarkston,MI,_______________________ 6 5 3, 0.0, 7.7, 7.70, 7.50
18,Brother Rice,MI,____________________ 12 10 3, 0.1, 7.6, 7.68, 7.63
19,Grosse Pointe North,MI,_____________ 9 14 0, -0.2, 7.9, 7.64, 7.74
20,U of D Jesuit,MI,___________________ 11 11 1, 0.0, 7.6, 7.63, 7.20
21,De La Salle,MI,_____________________ 13 6 4, 0.3, 7.3, 7.63, 7.53
22,Divine Child,MI,____________________ 15 7 3, 0.3, 7.3, 7.60, 7.88
23,Livonia Stevenson,MI,_______________ 3 4 1, -0.1, 7.7, 7.56
24,Grosse Pointe South,MI,_____________ 5 4 0, 0.1, 7.4, 7.54
25,Allen Park,MI,______________________ 6 4 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.51, 7.28
26,Ann Arbor Huron,MI,_________________ 6 4 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.51, 7.21
27,Riverview,MI,_______________________ 5 1 0, 0.7, 6.8, 7.49
28,Traverse City Central,MI,___________ 15 8 2, 0.3, 7.2, 7.48, 7.59
29,Saginaw Heritage,MI,________________ 5 3 1, 0.2, 7.3, 7.48
30,Houghton,MI,________________________ 19 5 1, 0.6, 6.9, 7.47, 7.58
31,Davison,MI,_________________________ 5 2 0, 0.4, 7.0, 7.47
32,Grosse Ile,MI,______________________ 7 2 0, 0.6, 6.9, 7.46
33,Woodhaven,MI,_______________________ 3 1 0, 0.5, 7.0, 7.45
34,Alpena,MI,__________________________ 15 10 1, 0.2, 7.2, 7.43, 7.74
35,Flint Powers,MI,____________________ 5 3 0, 0.3, 7.1, 7.40
36,Clinton Twp. Chippewa Valley,MI,____ 2 1 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.37
37,Saline,MI,__________________________ 3 1 1, 0.4, 7.0, 7.36
38,Wyandotte Roosevelt,MI,_____________ 1 1 1, 0.0, 7.3, 7.34
39,Portage Central,MI,_________________ 3 3 0, 0.0, 7.3, 7.34
40,Portage Northern,MI,________________ 2 1 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.32
41,Redford Union,MI,___________________ 2 1 0, 0.3, 7.0, 7.31
42,Dearborn,MI,________________________ 2 5 1, -0.4, 7.7, 7.29
43,Troy,MI,____________________________ 4 4 1, 0.0, 7.3, 7.28
44,Jackson Lumen Christi,MI,___________ 4 1 0, 0.6, 6.7, 7.27
45,East Lansing,MI,____________________ 2 1 0, 0.3, 6.9, 7.26
46,Grandville,MI,______________________ 2 2 0, 0.0, 7.3, 7.25
47,Gaylord,MI,_________________________ 18 12 0, 0.2, 7.1, 7.25, 7.87
48,Novi,MI,____________________________ 12 13 2, -0.0, 7.3, 7.25, 7.33
49,Wyandotte,MI,_______________________ 3 3 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.21
50,Notre Dame,MI,______________________ 9 11 0, -0.1, 7.3, 7.17, 7.01
51,South Lyon,MI,______________________ 2 2 0, 0.0, 7.2, 7.17
52,Salem,MI,___________________________ 11 10 3, 0.0, 7.1, 7.16, 7.37
53,Calumet,MI,_________________________ 10 12 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.16, 7.13
54,Ortonville Brandon,MI,______________ 3 1 0, 0.5, 6.7, 7.16
55,Escanaba,MI,________________________ 14 10 1, 0.2, 7.0, 7.15, 6.84
56,Walled Lake Central,MI,_____________ 4 5 0, -0.1, 7.2, 7.14
57,Macomb Dakota,MI,___________________ 1 1 1, 0.0, 7.1, 7.11
58,Livonia Franklin,MI,________________ 2 4 2, -0.3, 7.3, 7.10
59,Cadillac,MI,________________________ 14 7 2, 0.3, 6.7, 7.05, 7.26
60,Lapeer West,MI,_____________________ 3 1 0, 0.5, 6.5, 7.05
61,Negaunee,MI,________________________ 14 11 1, 0.1, 6.9, 7.04, 6.69
62,Berkley,MI,_________________________ 1 3 0, -0.5, 7.5, 7.04
63,Royal Oak Kimball,MI,_______________ 0 3 0, -1.0, 8.0, 7.02
64,Midland,MI,_________________________ 2 2 1, 0.0, 7.0, 7.01
65,Cheboygan,MI,_______________________ 15 8 1, 0.3, 6.7, 7.01, 6.53
66,Chelsea,MI,_________________________ 1 2 0, -0.3, 7.3, 7.00
67,Howell,MI,__________________________ 2 2 0, 0.0, 7.0, 7.00
68,DeWitt/St. Johns,MI,________________ 2 1 0, 0.3, 6.6, 6.98
69,Marysville,MI,______________________ 3 2 0, 0.2, 6.8, 6.96
70,Lakeland,MI,________________________ 0 2 2, -0.5, 7.4, 6.92
71,Grand Rapids West Catholic,MI,______ 2 1 0, 0.3, 6.6, 6.92
72,Port Huron,MI,______________________ 1 4 0, -0.6, 7.5, 6.88
73,Rochester,MI,_______________________ 0 3 0, -1.0, 7.9, 6.87
74,Bay City,MI,________________________ 2 3 0, -0.2, 7.0, 6.83
75,Detroit Country Day,MI,_____________ 3 8 0, -0.5, 7.3, 6.83, 6.59
76,Notre Dame Prep,MI,_________________ 9 11 1, -0.1, 6.9, 6.83, 7.29
77,Traverse City West,MI,______________ 11 14 1, -0.1, 6.9, 6.81, 6.97
78,Southgate Anderson,MI,______________ 2 4 1, -0.3, 7.1, 6.79
79,Waterford Mott,MI,__________________ 1 3 0, -0.5, 7.3, 6.77
80,Big Rapids,MI,______________________ 3 5 0, -0.3, 7.0, 6.73
81,Sault Ste. Marie,MI,________________ 6 18 1, -0.5, 7.2, 6.72, 6.96
82,Bedford,MI,_________________________ 6 2 0, 0.5, 6.2, 6.71
83,Canton,MI,__________________________ 1 6 0, -0.7, 7.4, 6.70
84,Dexter,MI,__________________________ 2 1 0, 0.3, 6.4, 6.69
85,Reeths Puffer,MI,___________________ 0 3 0, -1.0, 7.7, 6.69
86,Utica Eisenhower,MI,________________ 0 3 0, -1.0, 7.7, 6.68
87,Hancock,MI,_________________________ 8 15 1, -0.3, 7.0, 6.67, 6.88
88,Taylor Truman,MI,___________________ 2 1 1, 0.3, 6.4, 6.63
89,Traverse City Reps,MI,______________ 3 6 0, -0.3, 7.0, 6.62
90,West Bloomfield,MI,_________________ 0 7 0, -1.0, 7.5, 6.47
91,Royal Oak,MI,_______________________ 0 4 0, -1.0, 7.5, 6.46
92,Midland Dow,MI,_____________________ 1 3 1, -0.4, 6.8, 6.45
93,Kingsford,MI,_______________________ 1 10 0, -0.8, 7.3, 6.44, 6.48
94,Mt. Carmel,MI,______________________ 7 13 0, -0.3, 6.7, 6.43, 6.06
95,Kalamazoo,MI,_______________________ 2 1 1, 0.3, 6.2, 6.42
96,Riverview Gabriel Richard,MI,_______ 1 16 1, -0.8, 7.2, 6.41, 6.39
97,Walled Lake Western,MI,_____________ 0 5 0, -1.0, 7.4, 6.39
98,L'Anse,MI,__________________________ 3 11 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.38, 6.79
99,Petoskey,MI,________________________ 13 12 1, 0.0, 6.3, 6.37, 6.60
100,Hartland,MI,________________________ 1 3 0, -0.5, 6.8, 6.32
101,Grosse Pointe Woods Liggett,MI,_____ 1 4 0, -0.6, 6.9, 6.32
102,Pinckney,MI,________________________ 0 3 0, -1.0, 7.3, 6.28
103,Jeffers,MI,_________________________ 1 9 0, -0.8, 7.1, 6.26, 6.12
104,Rockford,MI,________________________ 2 2 0, 0.0, 6.2, 6.21
105,Flint Kearsley,MI,__________________ 2 3 0, -0.2, 6.4, 6.20
106,Forest Hills Central,MI,____________ 1 2 0, -0.3, 6.5, 6.18
107,Auburn Hills Avondale,MI,___________ 2 1 0, 0.3, 5.8, 6.16
108,Walled Lake Northern,MI,____________ 0 5 0, -1.0, 7.2, 6.15
109,Gladwin,MI,_________________________ 0 3 1, -0.7, 6.8, 6.14
110,Monroe St. Mary CC,MI,______________ 1 3 0, -0.5, 6.6, 6.13
111,Cabrini,MI,_________________________ 2 17 1, -0.8, 6.9, 6.12, 6.44
112,Taylor Kennedy,MI,__________________ 0 3 0, -1.0, 6.5, 5.50
113,John Glenn,MI,______________________ 0 5 0, -1.0, 6.4, 5.42
114,Carman Ainsworth,MI,________________ 1 3 0, -0.5, 5.9, 5.39