I left in non-MN teams that have played at least two games vs. MN teams and against others who have. I will probably raise the requirement to at least 3 games as the season progresses. My program starts all teams with some equal arbitrary value and then adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative error between expected scores and actual scores is reached (convergence). The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a neutral site between those two teams. A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared from one week to the next). * signifies teams that have only two games included in the rankings, and --- indicates teams that only have one game score included in the rankings. RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Elk River _______________________ 22 2 0 3.6 29.8 33.39 2 Eden Prairie ____________________ 22 2 1 4.2 28.7 32.91 3 Blaine __________________________ 21 5 2 3.0 29.8 32.87 4 Duluth East _____________________ 23 5 0 2.5 30.2 32.74 5 Roseau __________________________ 22 5 2 2.8 29.6 32.39 6 Park Center _____________________ 15 6 3 2.8 29.5 32.26 7 Osseo ___________________________ 15 10 0 1.4 30.3 31.67 8 White Bear Lake _________________ 18 5 2 1.8 29.7 31.48 9 Cloquet/Esko/Carlton ____________ 17 8 0 2.3 29.0 31.33 10 Greenway ________________________ 18 6 0 1.6 29.6 31.22 11 Hibbing _________________________ 14 10 0 1.9 29.3 31.19 12 St Cloud Apollo _________________ 19 4 0 3.2 28.0 31.19 13 Hill-Murray _____________________ 17 9 1 1.0 30.1 31.16 14 Bloomington Jefferson ___________ 18 8 1 1.5 29.6 31.13 15 Grand Forks Red River (ND) ______ 14 3 2 2.3 28.7 31.06 16 Maple Grove _____________________ 12 10 1 1.0 29.8 30.77 17 Warroad _________________________ 22 6 2 2.4 28.3 30.71 18 Hastings ________________________ 22 5 1 2.8 27.8 30.62 19 Edina ___________________________ 19 9 0 1.4 29.0 30.39 20 Rochester Mayo __________________ 24 4 0 3.1 27.3 30.33 21 Forest Lake _____________________ 11 11 1 0.2 30.0 30.22 22 Moorhead ________________________ 13 9 1 0.7 29.5 30.17 23 Burnsville ______________________ 14 7 3 1.1 29.0 30.06 24 Roseville _______________________ 11 11 2 0.3 29.7 29.98 25 Holy Angels _____________________ 21 5 0 2.8 27.2 29.98 26 Bemidji _________________________ 15 9 1 0.8 29.0 29.86 27 Apple Valley ____________________ 16 6 1 0.8 28.9 29.70 28 Wayzata _________________________ 13 8 3 1.0 28.7 29.63 29 Grand Rapids ____________________ 8 14 1 0.0 29.6 29.62 30 Anoka ___________________________ 8 13 3 -0.3 29.9 29.59 31 Brainerd ________________________ 18 4 1 2.0 27.4 29.44 32 East Grand Forks ________________ 11 12 1 1.1 28.1 29.26 33 Willmar _________________________ 17 7 0 1.5 27.7 29.23 34 International Falls _____________ 20 8 0 1.4 27.7 29.14 35 Fargo South (ND) ________________ 11 7 1 0.4 28.8 29.12 36 Lakeville _______________________ 13 9 3 0.4 28.6 29.07 37 Breck ___________________________ 24 3 1 2.9 26.0 28.89 38 Centennial ______________________ 16 7 0 2.0 26.8 28.88 39 Grafton (ND) ____________________ 11 7 1 0.1 28.8 28.84 40 Eagan ___________________________ 12 11 0 0.3 28.5 28.81 41 Cretin-Derham Hall ______________ 17 3 4 2.7 26.1 28.75 42 Alexandria ______________________ 11 12 0 0.4 28.3 28.70 43 Farmington ______________________ 23 5 0 2.7 25.8 28.48 44 Benilde-St Margaret's ___________ 18 6 0 2.4 26.1 28.45 * Benilde-St Margarets ____________ 1 1 0 0.0 28.4 28.42 46 Eastview ________________________ 12 12 1 0.2 28.2 28.40 47 Lake of the Woods (Baudette) ____ 14 10 1 0.6 27.7 28.32 48 Armstrong _______________________ 13 8 2 0.7 27.5 28.21 49 Duluth Marshall _________________ 14 9 2 1.0 27.2 28.21 50 Rochester Lourdes _______________ 22 5 1 3.1 25.1 28.19 51 Hermantown ______________________ 18 6 1 1.8 26.4 28.17 52 Stillwater ______________________ 4 16 3 -2.1 30.2 28.10 53 Rochester John Marshall _________ 13 8 3 1.1 27.0 28.06 54 Fargo North (ND) ________________ 5 9 1 0.2 27.8 27.99 55 Blake ___________________________ 14 8 3 1.8 26.2 27.96 56 St Paul Johnson _________________ 13 11 3 0.7 27.2 27.89 57 South St Paul ___________________ 11 10 3 0.9 26.9 27.81 58 Bismarck (ND) ___________________ 1 5 0 -0.7 28.4 27.77 59 Fergus Falls ____________________ 13 13 0 0.7 27.1 27.76 60 Coon Rapids _____________________ 7 16 0 -1.7 29.5 27.74 61 Minnetonka ______________________ 7 15 1 -0.4 28.1 27.67 62 Red Wing ________________________ 17 7 0 1.5 26.2 27.65 63 Thief River Falls _______________ 5 12 3 -1.1 28.7 27.60 64 St Cloud Tech ___________________ 8 16 0 -0.3 27.7 27.37 65 Austin __________________________ 13 8 2 1.1 26.2 27.31 66 Irondale ________________________ 14 10 0 0.1 27.1 27.21 67 Hayward (Wis) ___________________ 2 1 0 0.3 26.9 27.21 68 Bloomington Kennedy _____________ 9 13 0 -1.6 28.7 27.15 69 Sauk Rapids _____________________ 20 7 1 2.7 24.4 27.12 70 Mounds View _____________________ 5 18 1 -2.9 29.9 27.02 71 Grand Forks Central (ND) ________ 6 14 0 -2.3 29.2 27.00 72 Park Rapids Area ________________ 20 3 0 4.3 22.7 26.95 73 Shakopee ________________________ 16 7 0 2.3 24.6 26.94 74 North St Paul ___________________ 13 9 1 0.3 26.6 26.93 75 Henry Sibley ____________________ 10 10 2 0.8 26.1 26.92 76 St Thomas Academy _______________ 14 11 0 -0.2 27.0 26.87 77 Proctor _________________________ 11 12 1 0.5 26.2 26.77 78 Fort Frances (Ont) ______________ 4 5 0 -1.6 28.3 26.75 79 Crookston _______________________ 6 17 1 -1.5 28.2 26.72 * Mason City (IA) _________________ 0 2 0 -1.5 28.2 26.69 81 Rochester Century _______________ 10 13 0 0.1 26.5 26.63 82 Superior (Wis) __________________ 7 7 0 -0.8 27.3 26.53 83 Eveleth-Gilbert _________________ 7 15 2 -0.9 27.4 26.49 84 Rosemount _______________________ 3 20 0 -2.0 28.5 26.46 85 Silver Bay ______________________ 10 12 2 0.6 25.9 26.46 86 Totino-Grace ____________________ 15 9 0 -0.5 26.8 26.39 87 Chaska __________________________ 7 16 0 -1.9 28.2 26.33 88 Park of Cottage Grove ___________ 8 13 1 -0.9 27.2 26.32 89 Buffalo _________________________ 11 12 0 -0.3 26.5 26.24 90 St Francis ______________________ 12 9 1 0.1 26.1 26.18 91 Red Lake Falls __________________ 11 10 0 0.8 25.3 26.15 92 Minneapolis Southwest ___________ 14 9 0 1.3 24.7 26.02 93 Two Harbors _____________________ 10 12 1 0.1 25.8 25.96 94 Jamestown (ND) __________________ 3 0 0 5.3 20.6 25.93 95 Orono ___________________________ 18 5 0 3.0 22.9 25.90 96 Litchfield/Dassel-Cokato ________ 17 7 0 2.0 23.9 25.88 97 Hopkins _________________________ 6 16 0 -1.9 27.7 25.80 98 Richfield _______________________ 11 11 0 0.3 25.5 25.77 99 Winona __________________________ 13 10 0 -0.2 25.9 25.71 100 Virginia/Mountain Iron-Buhl _____ 8 15 0 -1.7 27.4 25.71 101 Champlin Park ___________________ 4 20 0 -4.3 29.9 25.65 102 Owatonna ________________________ 9 14 0 -0.5 26.1 25.64 103 Mesabi East _____________________ 10 11 2 -0.9 26.5 25.62 104 Woodbury ________________________ 8 14 1 -1.1 26.7 25.59 105 Cambridge-Isanti ________________ 10 11 2 0.0 25.5 25.56 106 Detroit Lakes ___________________ 12 11 0 -0.0 25.6 25.53 107 Ely _____________________________ 12 13 0 0.5 25.0 25.50 108 Spring Lake Park ________________ 11 11 3 0.6 24.9 25.48 109 Mahtomedi _______________________ 6 17 0 -0.5 25.9 25.47 110 Spooner (Wis) ___________________ 5 1 0 2.8 22.6 25.44 111 West Fargo (ND) _________________ 2 2 0 0.0 25.4 25.44 112 St Paul Como Park _______________ 16 6 1 1.6 23.8 25.35 113 New Ulm _________________________ 18 6 0 2.0 23.3 25.34 114 Hutchinson ______________________ 12 15 0 -0.9 26.2 25.25 115 Albert Lea ______________________ 12 13 1 -0.8 26.0 25.17 116 Bismarck Century (ND) ___________ 2 3 0 -2.2 27.4 25.17 117 St Louis Park ___________________ 4 17 3 -1.7 26.8 25.16 118 Tartan __________________________ 7 15 1 -1.5 26.7 25.13 119 Mound-Westonka __________________ 12 12 0 1.4 23.6 24.99 120 Chisholm/Cook ___________________ 10 11 0 0.5 24.4 24.88 * Eau Claire Memorial (Wis) _______ 2 0 0 3.0 21.8 24.78 122 Duluth Denfeld __________________ 5 15 2 -2.9 27.6 24.71 --- Bottineau (ND) __________________ 1 0 0 3.0 21.6 24.64 --- Devils Lake (ND) ________________ 1 0 0 3.0 21.6 24.64 125 Minneapolis South _______________ 8 16 1 -0.7 25.2 24.55 126 Hudson (Wis) ____________________ 0 3 0 -2.0 26.4 24.44 127 St Cloud Cathedral ______________ 14 10 0 0.2 24.2 24.35 128 Northfield ______________________ 8 16 1 -1.2 25.4 24.25 129 St Bernard's/St Agnes ___________ 9 11 0 0.1 24.1 24.24 130 Duluth Central __________________ 4 17 0 -3.0 27.1 24.09 131 Wadena-Deer Creek _______________ 17 10 0 0.7 23.2 23.92 * Somerset (Wis) __________________ 1 1 0 -1.5 25.4 23.85 133 Minnehaha Academy _______________ 12 11 0 -0.3 24.1 23.83 134 St Michael-Albertville __________ 14 9 0 1.3 22.5 23.83 135 Madison LaFollette (Wis) ________ 0 3 0 -2.3 26.1 23.82 136 Chisago Lakes ___________________ 12 10 2 1.8 22.0 23.77 137 Little Falls ____________________ 8 16 0 -2.1 25.8 23.68 138 Princeton _______________________ 11 11 2 0.5 22.9 23.47 139 New Prague/Montgomery-Lonsdale __ 6 17 0 -1.2 24.7 23.46 140 Faribault _______________________ 8 13 0 -2.0 25.5 23.46 --- Ashland (Wis) ___________________ 0 1 0 -3.0 26.5 23.46 142 Simley __________________________ 5 18 1 -2.3 25.7 23.41 143 Cooper __________________________ 3 19 0 -3.4 26.8 23.36 144 Crosby-Ironton/Aitkin ___________ 11 11 1 0.3 22.8 23.15 145 Monticello ______________________ 5 17 1 -1.3 24.5 23.11 * Amery (Wis) _____________________ 1 1 0 1.5 21.5 23.04 147 Mankato West ____________________ 8 16 0 -1.2 24.1 22.97 148 Luverne _________________________ 14 10 1 1.6 21.4 22.93 149 Mora/Hinckley-Finlayson _________ 9 13 1 0.3 22.3 22.52 * Minot (ND) ______________________ 0 2 0 -5.0 27.4 22.40 151 Sleepy Eye ______________________ 17 8 0 1.8 20.5 22.32 * Eau Claire North (Wis) __________ 1 1 0 0.5 21.8 22.28 153 Delano/Rockford/Watertown-Mayer _ 10 13 0 -0.7 22.8 22.03 154 Pine City _______________________ 9 14 0 -0.8 22.7 21.92 155 Prior Lake ______________________ 5 19 0 -3.8 25.5 21.73 156 Kittson Central _________________ 8 14 0 -2.2 23.9 21.64 * Wahpeton (ND) ___________________ 1 1 0 1.5 20.1 21.59 * LaCrosse (Wis) __________________ 2 0 0 2.0 19.5 21.53 * Verona (Wis) ____________________ 0 2 0 -2.0 23.5 21.53 160 Marshall ________________________ 11 10 2 0.7 20.6 21.38 161 Minneapolis Washburn ____________ 5 17 0 -1.3 22.6 21.38 162 Windom Area _____________________ 12 10 1 -0.5 21.9 21.37 163 Mankato East ____________________ 5 18 0 -3.5 24.8 21.24 164 Long Prairie-Grey Eagle _________ 10 13 1 -0.0 21.1 21.07 165 St Paul Harding _________________ 5 17 1 -2.9 24.0 21.06 * Onalaska (Wis) __________________ 2 0 0 1.5 19.5 21.03 167 St Paul Academy _________________ 6 15 1 -2.7 23.6 20.96 168 Sartell _________________________ 10 12 0 -0.8 21.3 20.44 169 LeSueur-Henderson/St Peter ______ 2 20 1 -2.2 22.5 20.37 170 Fridley _________________________ 10 14 0 -1.6 21.9 20.32 171 Fairmont ________________________ 6 17 1 -1.8 21.8 19.96 172 Waseca __________________________ 9 13 1 -1.5 21.3 19.78 --- Mandan (ND) _____________________ 0 1 0 -2.0 21.6 19.64 174 Bagley/Fosston __________________ 7 14 0 -2.4 22.0 19.58 175 Dodge County ____________________ 7 13 0 -0.8 20.4 19.58 176 Benson __________________________ 11 11 1 -0.6 20.2 19.56 177 LaCrescent ______________________ 9 13 1 -0.5 20.0 19.53 178 Worthington _____________________ 6 15 2 -1.8 21.3 19.49 179 St Paul ACHPH ___________________ 3 16 1 -3.8 23.2 19.37 * Tomah (Wis) _____________________ 0 1 1 -0.5 19.5 19.03 * Black River Falls (Wis) _________ 1 1 0 -0.5 19.5 19.03 * Viroqua (Wis) ___________________ 1 1 0 -0.5 19.5 19.03 183 Sauk Centre _____________________ 8 16 0 -1.7 20.7 19.03 * Sparta (Wis) ____________________ 1 1 0 -1.0 19.5 18.53 185 Morris Area _____________________ 9 13 0 -1.7 20.3 18.53 186 Brooklyn Center _________________ 5 17 0 -3.5 21.7 18.26 187 Annandale/Maple Lake ____________ 6 18 0 -2.9 21.1 18.22 188 Moose Lake/Willow River _________ 4 18 0 -4.1 21.8 17.74 189 Columbia Heights ________________ 3 20 0 -4.7 22.1 17.47 190 Baldwin-Woodville (Wis) _________ 1 3 0 -3.3 20.4 17.15 191 River Lakes _____________________ 3 21 0 -3.8 20.9 17.05 * Altoona (Wis) ___________________ 0 2 0 -2.5 19.5 17.03 * Cumberland (Wis) ________________ 0 2 0 -6.5 23.4 16.87 194 Minneapolis Edison/Henry/North __ 4 14 0 -3.6 20.4 16.75 --- Chippewa Falls McDonell (Wis) ___ 0 1 0 -1.0 16.7 15.75 196 Becker/Big Lake _________________ 1 3 0 -2.3 16.9 14.67 197 Pequot Lakes ____________________ 1 11 0 -6.6 21.0 14.43 198 Barron (Wis) ____________________ 0 5 0 -6.8 18.0 11.21 199 North Branch ____________________ 0 18 0 -11.6 21.7 10.10
last updated March 12, 2000