2003-04 Missouri Ratings
Last Updated 3-08-04
Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score is listed on the
2003-2004 Missouri HS Scores page (sorted first by team name and then by date)
The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then
adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative
error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is
reached (convergence).
The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between
any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a
neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that due to goal
differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials
are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other.
The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more
understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings.
A teams Total value only has meaning
in relation to other teams in the same list (i.e. Totals cannot be compared
from one week to the next or directly to a ratings list for another state).
The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five
games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed).
Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely
that ranking is to be accurate.
Links to other ratings:
CT IA IL IN MA MD MD-VA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY WNY Club OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A
RI VA VT WI wWI USA Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1
Back to US HS Hockey Online main page.
High School Hockey Forums
More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past
accuracy can be found here .
As of 2/21/04 all state rankings are calculated interdependently. This allows interstate opponents to be given
their proper weight. Also, games between teams ranked more than 5 goals apart are no longer used when
calculating the rankings.
As of 3/4/04 there are now two rankings listed. The first is the standard Goal Diff Limit = 4 ranking and
the second is a GDL=1 ranking. The GDL1 ranking has proven to be the most accurate for college and junior teams
but is yet unproven at other levels, especially for those rankings in which many teams are missing many scores.
The Totals column takes on a different meaning in the GDL1 ranking, see the D1 College rankings for details.
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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5
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1,CBC,MO,_____________________________ 33 0 0, 3.4, 8.9, 12.27, 12.51
2,DeSmet,MO,__________________________ 24 7 3, 1.6, 8.9, 10.48, 12.42
3,Oakville,MO,________________________ 22 3 1, 2.3, 7.8, 10.14, 10.06
4,Parkway South,MO,___________________ 18 8 1, 1.2, 8.6, 9.79, 9.23
5,Fort Zumwalt South,MO,______________ 18 6 1, 1.6, 7.6, 9.20, 9.17
6,Chaminade,MO,_______________________ 14 12 3, 0.4, 8.6, 9.01, 8.96
7,Lafayette,MO,_______________________ 14 8 3, 0.7, 8.3, 8.96, 8.02
8,Marquette,MO,_______________________ 13 12 0, -0.0, 8.8, 8.78, 8.20
9,Kirkwood,MO,________________________ 13 9 2, 0.4, 8.3, 8.73, 9.54
10,Althoff,MO,_________________________ 13 10 1, 0.4, 7.7, 8.16, 7.88
11,Rockwood Summit,MO,_________________ 10 9 4, 0.2, 7.9, 8.08, 7.75
12,Parkway West,MO,____________________ 8 11 3, -0.4, 8.2, 7.83, 7.48
13,Vianney,MO,_________________________ 8 15 2, -0.8, 8.7, 7.81, 8.01
14,St. Charles West,MO,________________ 17 5 2, 1.6, 6.2, 7.76, 7.69
15,SLUH,MO,____________________________ 7 17 2, -1.2, 8.8, 7.61, 7.81
16,Granite City,MO,____________________ 16 6 1, 1.4, 6.1, 7.51, 7.57
17,Hazelwood Central,MO,_______________ 17 7 0, 1.6, 5.8, 7.41, 7.35
18,Francis Howell North,MO,____________ 12 11 2, -0.1, 7.5, 7.40, 7.40
19,Lindbergh,MO,_______________________ 11 13 0, -0.3, 7.5, 7.24, 8.53
20,Wentzville,MO,______________________ 9 13 1, -0.3, 7.3, 7.01, 8.32
21,Seckman,MO,_________________________ 14 5 3, 1.5, 5.5, 6.98, 5.96
22,Francis Howell,MO,__________________ 18 10 0, 1.0, 5.9, 6.90, 6.07
23,Francis Howell Central,MO,__________ 11 11 0, -0.2, 6.9, 6.74, 5.19
24,Parkway Central,MO,_________________ 7 14 2, -1.4, 8.1, 6.73, 7.40
25,Westminster,MO,_____________________ 15 7 0, 1.8, 4.9, 6.64, 6.42
26,Fox,MO,_____________________________ 10 14 4, -0.4, 6.8, 6.42, 6.99
27,Priory,MO,__________________________ 17 10 0, 1.1, 5.2, 6.38, 7.92
28,Webster Groves,MO,__________________ 4 18 2, -1.7, 7.8, 6.11, 5.91
29,Duchesne,MO,________________________ 11 11 5, -0.1, 6.2, 6.09, 6.25
30,MICDS,MO,___________________________ 13 10 2, 0.4, 5.1, 5.50, 5.02
31,Clayton,MO,_________________________ 10 9 3, 0.4, 5.1, 5.48, 5.85
32,St. Marys,MO,_______________________ 11 11 2, 0.2, 5.3, 5.44, 5.58
33,McCluer North,MO,___________________ 11 10 3, -0.1, 5.5, 5.33, 5.08
34,Lutheran South,MO,__________________ 6 15 1, -1.0, 6.3, 5.27, 4.75
35,Fort Zumwalt West,MO,_______________ 6 16 2, -1.5, 6.6, 5.09, 5.48
36,Eureka,MO,__________________________ 12 12 1, -0.3, 5.3, 4.99, 4.43
37,Mehlville,MO,_______________________ 6 11 5, -0.6, 5.3, 4.73, 4.68
38,John Burroughs,MO,__________________ 9 12 2, -0.5, 5.2, 4.65, 5.32
39,Affton,MO,__________________________ 9 13 0, -0.7, 5.4, 4.65, 2.61
40,Fort Zumwalt North,MO,______________ 4 16 3, -1.6, 6.2, 4.64, 4.70
41,Hazelwood West,MO,__________________ 6 13 2, -1.5, 5.7, 4.19, 3.45
42,Whitfield,MO,_______________________ 6 13 2, -1.2, 5.2, 3.95, 5.46
43,Ladue,MO,___________________________ 3 17 1, -2.1, 5.7, 3.59, 4.06
44,Pattonville,MO,_____________________ 3 16 1, -2.5, 5.6, 3.13, 3.41
45,DuBourg,MO,_________________________ 3 18 0, -2.8, 5.3, 2.45, 3.19
46,Parkway North,MO,___________________ 0 19 1, -3.1, 4.8, 1.66, 1.76
RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1,CBC,MO,_____________________________ 33 0 0, 1.0, 7.4, 8.45, 8.68
2,DeSmet,MO,__________________________ 24 7 3, 0.5, 7.5, 7.94, 8.44
3,Oakville,MO,________________________ 22 3 1, 0.7, 7.1, 7.88, 7.80
4,Parkway South,MO,___________________ 18 8 1, 0.4, 7.4, 7.77, 7.73
5,Fort Zumwalt South,MO,______________ 18 6 1, 0.5, 7.1, 7.58, 7.67
6,Lafayette,MO,_______________________ 14 8 3, 0.2, 7.3, 7.56, 7.19
7,Marquette,MO,_______________________ 13 12 0, 0.0, 7.5, 7.51, 7.45
8,Chaminade,MO,_______________________ 14 12 3, 0.1, 7.4, 7.46, 7.50
9,Kirkwood,MO,________________________ 13 9 2, 0.2, 7.3, 7.46, 7.70
10,Althoff,MO,_________________________ 13 10 1, 0.1, 7.1, 7.25, 7.08
11,Rockwood Summit,MO,_________________ 10 9 4, 0.0, 7.2, 7.23, 6.96
12,Parkway West,MO,____________________ 8 11 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.17, 6.98
13,St. Charles West,MO,________________ 17 5 2, 0.5, 6.7, 7.16, 7.05
14,Francis Howell North,MO,____________ 12 11 2, 0.0, 7.1, 7.12, 7.31
15,Vianney,MO,_________________________ 8 15 2, -0.3, 7.4, 7.11, 7.41
16,Granite City,MO,____________________ 16 6 1, 0.4, 6.7, 7.06, 6.74
17,SLUH,MO,____________________________ 7 17 2, -0.4, 7.4, 7.06, 7.23
18,Lindbergh,MO,_______________________ 11 13 0, -0.0, 7.1, 7.02, 7.51
19,Hazelwood Central,MO,_______________ 17 7 0, 0.4, 6.6, 7.01, 7.10
20,Parkway Central,MO,_________________ 7 14 2, -0.3, 7.3, 6.98, 6.89
21,Francis Howell Central,MO,__________ 11 11 0, 0.0, 6.9, 6.92, 6.34
22,Seckman,MO,_________________________ 14 5 3, 0.4, 6.5, 6.90, 6.49
23,Wentzville,MO,______________________ 9 13 1, -0.1, 7.0, 6.90, 7.37
24,Francis Howell,MO,__________________ 18 10 0, 0.3, 6.6, 6.89, 6.80
25,Fox,MO,_____________________________ 10 14 4, -0.1, 6.9, 6.73, 6.85
26,Duchesne,MO,________________________ 11 11 5, 0.0, 6.7, 6.71, 6.79
27,Priory,MO,__________________________ 17 10 0, 0.3, 6.4, 6.63, 7.36
28,Westminster,MO,_____________________ 15 7 0, 0.4, 6.3, 6.62, 6.54
29,Webster Groves,MO,__________________ 4 18 2, -0.6, 7.1, 6.55, 6.45
30,McCluer North,MO,___________________ 11 10 3, 0.0, 6.5, 6.52, 6.31
31,MICDS,MO,___________________________ 13 10 2, 0.1, 6.3, 6.42, 6.28
32,Fort Zumwalt West,MO,_______________ 6 16 2, -0.4, 6.8, 6.40, 6.57
33,St. Marys,MO,_______________________ 11 11 2, 0.0, 6.4, 6.39, 6.38
34,Eureka,MO,__________________________ 12 12 1, 0.0, 6.4, 6.39, 6.21
35,Clayton,MO,_________________________ 10 9 3, 0.0, 6.3, 6.36, 6.60
36,Lutheran South,MO,__________________ 6 15 1, -0.4, 6.7, 6.29, 6.17
37,Affton,MO,__________________________ 9 13 0, -0.2, 6.4, 6.23, 5.47
38,Hazelwood West,MO,__________________ 6 13 2, -0.3, 6.6, 6.22, 6.26
39,John Burroughs,MO,__________________ 9 12 2, -0.1, 6.3, 6.21, 6.26
40,Mehlville,MO,_______________________ 6 11 5, -0.2, 6.4, 6.20, 6.06
41,Fort Zumwalt North,MO,______________ 4 16 3, -0.5, 6.7, 6.19, 6.26
42,Whitfield,MO,_______________________ 6 13 2, -0.3, 6.3, 6.00, 6.33
43,Pattonville,MO,_____________________ 3 16 1, -0.7, 6.5, 5.86, 5.76
44,Ladue,MO,___________________________ 3 17 1, -0.7, 6.5, 5.84, 6.02
45,DuBourg,MO,_________________________ 3 18 0, -0.7, 6.4, 5.66, 5.76
46,Parkway North,MO,___________________ 0 19 1, -0.9, 6.3, 5.36, 5.33